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It is what it is

Created by: exo2769
Team: 2022-23 Toronto Maple Leafs
Initial Creation Date: May 20, 2022
Published: May 20, 2022
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
Kyle Dubas is a good GM. But it was Shanny that was 100% correct about this core back in 2018. Matthews/Marner/Tavares, you're all great hockey players, but it's not like Kuch/Point/Stamkos are in the poor house. The TBL just financially allow their GM more room to make moves. Now Dubas is going to have to sacrifice future pieces in order to compete. TOR absolutely can NOT go into next season with a question mark in net. It just can't happen.

$11.64M vs $9.5M
$11M vs $6.75M
$10.9M vs $8.5M

This delta is ~$9.5M and the differential in talent is negligible. I 100% would agree Matthews this year was the best out of them all, BUT that can't be said for every year. Kuch is a Hart winner after all.

$5.9M vs $7.875M (included for full transparency even though Hedman is far superior to Rielly)
Free Agent Signings
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
2$1,250,000
1$1,000,000
UFAYEARSCAP HIT
5$5,000,000
1$1,000,000
3$5,000,000
Trades
1.
TOR
    CHI is a place holder for any team. I just think with Kyle Davidson outwardly saying "Re-Build"...they're a likely candidate. BUF is another good options.

    Whatever they want
    CHI
    1. Mrázek, Petr
    Additional Details:
    Gotta Dump him. No matter the cost. TOR can't afford to go into next year with Mrazek on the roster because they'll 100% be a worse team than last year if he's on it.
    2.
    TOR
    BUF
    1. Holl, Justin
    Additional Details:
    Dubas will find a home for Holl. He moved Dermott despite everyone's criticism...INCLUDING MYSELF.
    DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
    2022
    Logo of the TOR
    Logo of the WPG
    Logo of the TOR
    2023
    Logo of the TOR
    Logo of the TOR
    Logo of the TOR
    Logo of the TOR
    Logo of the TOR
    2024
    Logo of the TOR
    Logo of the TOR
    Logo of the TOR
    Logo of the TOR
    Logo of the TOR
    Logo of the TOR
    ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
    20$82,500,000$82,055,616$212,500$0$444,384
    Left WingCentreRight Wing
    Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
    $950,000$950,000
    LW
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
    $11,640,250$11,640,250
    C
    UFA - 2
    Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
    $10,903,000$10,903,000
    RW
    UFA - 3
    $5,000,000$5,000,000
    LW, RW
    UFA - 4
    Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
    $11,000,000$11,000,000
    C, LW
    NMC
    UFA - 3
    Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
    $6,962,366$6,962,366
    RW
    UFA - 2
    Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
    $3,500,000$3,500,000
    LW, C, RW
    M-NTC
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
    $850,000$850,000
    LW, C
    RFA - 1
    Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
    $750,000$750,000
    RW
    RFA - 1
    Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
    $762,500$762,500
    LW
    UFA - 2
    Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
    $1,500,000$1,500,000
    C
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
    $900,000$900,000
    RW, LW
    M-NTC
    UFA - 1
    Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
    Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
    $7,500,000$7,500,000
    LD
    NMC
    UFA - 8
    Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
    $5,000,000$5,000,000
    LD/RD
    NTC
    UFA - 2
    Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
    $5,000,000$5,000,000
    G
    UFA - 5
    Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
    $5,625,000$5,625,000
    LD
    NTC
    UFA - 2
    Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
    $1,250,000$1,250,000
    LD
    UFA - 2
    Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
    $750,000$750,000
    G
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
    $1,000,000$1,000,000
    LD
    UFA - 2
    Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
    $1,000,000$1,000,000
    RD
    RFA - 2

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    May 20, 2022 at 11:12 a.m.
    #1
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    I can see where you are coming from with your contract comparisons. We also don't need to go in depth about FLA taxes blah blah blah.

    I don't think you can compare Point's 6.75 as an RFA with no leverage that was signed as a bridge at 23 years old to JT's 11 that was signed during this first crack at UFA status at 28 years old. His newer contract at 9.5 is more of a comparable in my opinion.
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    May 20, 2022 at 11:18 a.m.
    #2
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    Edited May 20, 2022 at 11:27 a.m.
    Quoting: Ritzy
    I can see where you are coming from with your contract comparisons. We also don't need to go in depth about FLA taxes blah blah blah.

    I don't think you can compare Point's 6.75 as an RFA with no leverage that was signed as a bridge at 23 years old to JT's 11 that was signed during this first crack at UFA status at 28 years old. His newer contract at 9.5 is more of a comparable in my opinion.


    I'm not saying you're wrong AT ALL. But he did sign that $9.5M deal which is $1.5M less than JT's deal from years ago. The whole Taxes thing isn't False...it's just a bit over played in my mind. It's not like the Panthers/Predators/Stars/Knights/Kraken (but too soon to know) are getting these discounts. We bring up the tax situation just for the Lighting, and in my opinion it's A.) because they're a good team, but B.) They were able to get a 6x Norris Trophy candidate on a long term deal that is basically what Rielly signed for this upcoming year.
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    May 20, 2022 at 11:29 a.m.
    #3
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    Quoting: exo2769
    I'm not saying you're wrong AT ALL. But he did sign that $9.5M deal which is $1.5M less than JT's deal from years ago. The whole Taxes thing isn't False...it's just a bit over played in my mind. It's not like the Panthers/Predators/Stars are getting these discounts. We bring up the tax situation just for the Lighting, and in my opinion it's A.) because they're a good team, but B.) They were able to get a 6x Norris Trophy candidate on a long term deal that is basically what Rielly signed for this upcoming year.


    I'd argue that FLA did get a discount with Ekblad at 7.5, but that's really the only example I could come up with that has any relevance.

    Does Hedman get that same contract that he has now if he's signing it this offseason (same time as Reilly's extension)? After seeing Point and Vas get 9.5? Maybe, maybe not. He's 4 years into his current contract right now, which obviously has incredible value. Reilly may not get the Norris nods, nor is he the same defender as Hedman, but at 7.5 he's a good bet.

    It's all about timing. Hedman and Stamkos have been around forever and are only team friendly deals now. Were they team friendly at the time they were signed? Point was coming into his own when he signed his 6.75 deal and Vas was starting to become a monster while he was still being paid around 3. Combine that with your two cornerstone pieces being locked in already on good contracts and you've got yourself a contender with money to spend.
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    May 20, 2022 at 11:36 a.m.
    #4
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    The taxes are massive. TOR players lose almost 50% to tax. That is insane.

    But, that's not to say TML didn't "lose" the negotiations. They gave each player the exact length they wanted, and every penny available. -- Except Rielly-- TOR looks to have succeeded on that one.
    May 20, 2022 at 11:44 a.m.
    #5
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    Quoting: exo2769
    I'm not saying you're wrong AT ALL. But he did sign that $9.5M deal which is $1.5M less than JT's deal from years ago. The whole Taxes thing isn't False...it's just a bit over played in my mind. It's not like the Panthers/Predators/Stars/Knights/Kraken (but too soon to know) are getting these discounts. We bring up the tax situation just for the Lighting, and in my opinion it's A.) because they're a good team, but B.) They were able to get a 6x Norris Trophy candidate on a long term deal that is basically what Rielly signed for this upcoming year.


    Something to keep in mind too. EDM and McDavid set a new standard with first contracts after their ELC. I understand he's on a whole other level than the overwhelming majority of the league, but what young skilled player isn't thinking to themselves "why can't I get a higher pay day now rather than taking a bridge" after seeing McDavid do that?
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    May 20, 2022 at 11:45 a.m.
    #6
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    I love Yzerman but he definitely took advantage of the Tampa no tax in keeping his core players locked up for cheaper AAVs. Also, Kyle Clifford and Joey Anderson are not NHL calibre players. I can't see Marchment getting 5 mil. 4 maybe. Jack might get 5 but not from Toronto. Oilers maybe.
    May 20, 2022 at 11:46 a.m.
    #7
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    Quoting: Ritzy
    I'd argue that FLA did get a discount with Ekblad at 7.5, but that's really the only example I could come up with that has any relevance.

    Does Hedman get that same contract that he has now if he's signing it this offseason (same time as Reilly's extension)? After seeing Point and Vas get 9.5? Maybe, maybe not. He's 4 years into his current contract right now, which obviously has incredible value. Reilly may not get the Norris nods, nor is he the same defender as Hedman, but at 7.5 he's a good bet.

    It's all about timing. Hedman and Stamkos have been around forever and are only team friendly deals now. Were they team friendly at the time they were signed? Point was coming into his own when he signed his 6.75 deal and Vas was starting to become a monster while he was still being paid around 3. Combine that with your two cornerstone pieces being locked in already on good contracts and you've got yourself a contender with money to spend.


    I hear ya. I guess I just think Stamkos could have got more on the open market if he wanted to. Is the two years between Stamkos and Tavares really $2.5M per year? I get that Kuch and Point were RFA's, but so were Marner/Matthews/Nylander. Right? Kuch comes off a 100 point season as an RFA and signs a $9.5M contract WITH TERM. Marner comes off a 96 point season as an RFA and signs a $10.9M contract that walks him to UFA.
    May 20, 2022 at 11:48 a.m.
    #8
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    Quoting: MoreHitzSeider
    I love Yzerman but he definitely took advantage of the Tampa no tax in keeping his core players locked up for cheaper AAVs. Also, Kyle Clifford and Joey Anderson are not NHL calibre players. I can't see Marchment getting 5 mil. 4 maybe. Jack might get 5 but not from Toronto. Oilers maybe.


    I can't speak to Canadian taxes truly at all, but the tax situation really isn't that big of a deal. Every player pays taxes in the state the game is played. So, yes for 41 games there's a difference, but there are a lot of twists/turns this goes. If taxes were THAT big of a deal...why would anyone play in Canada?
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    May 20, 2022 at 11:50 a.m.
    #9
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    Quoting: exo2769
    I can't speak to Canadian taxes truly at all, but the tax situation really isn't that big of a deal. Every player pays taxes in the state the game is played. So, yes for 41 games there's a difference, but there are a lot of twists/turns this goes. If taxes were THAT big of a deal...why would anyone play in Canada?


    It's even worse in Montreal.
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    May 20, 2022 at 11:51 a.m.
    #10
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    Quoting: MoreHitzSeider
    It's even worse in Montreal.


    Yikes!
    May 20, 2022 at 11:53 a.m.
    #11
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    This made me laugh. LOL

    https://www.tsn.ca/mason-marchment-florida-panthers-lower-body-injury-status-games-3-and-4-1.1802245

    Not that Marchment is injured. I just wasn't aware Florida was still playing Washington.
    May 20, 2022 at 11:54 a.m.
    #12
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    Quoting: exo2769
    I hear ya. I guess I just think Stamkos could have got more on the open market if he wanted to. Is the two years between Stamkos and Tavares really $2.5M per year? I get that Kuch and Point were RFA's, but so were Marner/Matthews/Nylander. Right? Kuch comes off a 100 point season as an RFA and signs a $9.5M contract WITH TERM. Marner comes off a 96 point season as an RFA and signs a $10.9M contract that walks him to UFA.


    Yup, you're absolutely right, AM/MM/WN were all RFAs at the time of their new contracts. I would say the term was fine with Marner and Nylander at 6 years, it isn't awful. Would I have liked 8? Of course, but it's really not that bad. In my opinion they are both earning every penny.

    Matthews at 5 years wasn't the best decision. Dubas could and should have done better. There was rumors about the relationship between MM and AM with Babcock which drove the price up, but who knows if that is actually accurate. It was also up to Dubas to temper those expectations.
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    May 20, 2022 at 11:54 a.m.
    #13
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    Quoting: MoreHitzSeider
    This made me laugh. LOL

    https://www.tsn.ca/mason-marchment-florida-panthers-lower-body-injury-status-games-3-and-4-1.1802245


    Yikes! again. They need him back.

    Ha! I didn't even catch that!
    May 20, 2022 at 11:56 a.m.
    #14
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    Quoting: Ritzy
    Yup, you're absolutely right, AM/MM/WN were all RFAs at the time of their new contracts. I would say the term was fine with Marner and Nylander at 6 years, it isn't awful. Would I have liked 8? Of course, but it's really not that bad. In my opinion they are both earning every penny.

    Matthews at 5 years wasn't the best decision. Dubas could and should have done better. There was rumors about the relationship between MM and AM with Babcock which drove the price up, but who knows if that is actually accurate. It was also up to Dubas to temper those expectations.


    I'm hopeful for TOR that these guys understand what Shanny was saying all those years ago...now. They've made their money. When it comes time to Extend...pull a Tom Brady. Take slightly less money a chance to win. I'm actually hoping Toews/Kane understand this too. But that's for another day!
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    May 20, 2022 at 11:59 a.m.
    #15
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    Quoting: exo2769
    I'm hopeful for TOR that these guys understand what Shanny was saying all those years ago...now. They've made their money. When it comes time to Extend...pull a Tom Brady. Take slightly less money for more. I'm actually hoping Toews/Kane understand this too. But that's for another day!


    It's interesting how Kane, Toews, Keith and Seabrook got their big paydays after they won 3 Cups. The Leafs core guys got paid before they won anything and they still haven't. Keith played most of his career on a bargain contract.
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    May 20, 2022 at 11:59 a.m.
    #16
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    Quoting: exo2769
    I'm hopeful for TOR that these guys understand what Shanny was saying all those years ago...now. They've made their money. When it comes time to Extend...pull a Tom Brady. Take slightly less money a chance to win. I'm actually hoping Toews/Kane understand this too. But that's for another day!


    This is exactly what my hope would be. You've made your money, that's great I'm happy for you. Now take an 8 year deal at 9-9.5. You're not going to be in the poor house, and the team can spend the little extra elsewhere. Unfortunately, it doesn't seem like it will be a reality. Especially if Matthews continues to score 60.

    Good chat, these types of conversations that don't involve slinging insults or what have you don't happen on here very often.
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    May 20, 2022 at 12:02 p.m.
    #17
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    Quoting: MoreHitzSeider
    It's interesting how Kane, Toews, Keith and Seabrook got their big paydays after they won 3 Cups. The Leafs core guys got paid before they won anything and they still haven't. Keith played most of his career on a bargain contract.


    Keith also signed at a time when 13 year deals were accepted, which helps keep the AAV down. But we're splitting hairs at this point.
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    May 20, 2022 at 12:03 p.m.
    #18
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    Quoting: Ritzy
    Keith also signed at a time when 13 year deals were accepted, which helps keep the AAV down. But we're splitting hairs at this point.


    I always thought Keith should've fired his agent when he signed that deal. What a steal that contract was for Chicago.
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    May 20, 2022 at 12:04 p.m.
    #19
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    Quoting: MoreHitzSeider
    It's interesting how Kane, Toews, Keith and Seabrook got their big paydays after they won 3 Cups. The Leafs core guys got paid before they won anything and they still haven't. Keith played most of his career on a bargain contract.


    Keith's deal is illegal now for a reason though, right? You bring up an excellent point though. From a pure Cap Perspective...would the Hawks have won 3 cups without those "illegal" contracts of Keith/Hossa. Hossa's $8M salary vs $5.25M cap hit. Keith's $8M vs $5.5M cap hit. All while Toews/Kane were making $6.3M.
    May 20, 2022 at 12:04 p.m.
    #20
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    Quoting: Ritzy
    Keith also signed at a time when 13 year deals were accepted, which helps keep the AAV down. But we're splitting hairs at this point.


    Let's not forget Hossa's too!
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    May 20, 2022 at 12:07 p.m.
    #21
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    Quoting: exo2769
    Keith's deal is illegal now for a reason though, right? You bring up an excellent point though. From a pure Cap Perspective...would the Hawks have won 3 cups without those "illegal" contracts of Keith/Hossa. Hossa's $8M salary vs $5.25M cap hit. Keith's $8M vs $5.5M cap hit. All while Toews/Kane were making $6.3M.


    It opened up a can of worms the NHL can't close now.i mean Tampa basically copied them with their cap shenanigans. Remember when Bettman nixed the 15 year Kovalchuk contract? Everyone tries to circumvent the cap now. Some are just better at it.
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    May 20, 2022 at 12:09 p.m.
    #22
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    Quoting: exo2769
    Let's not forget Hossa's too!


    I'm still bitter Ken Holland lowballed Hossa so he could earmark 3 mil for Jiri Hudler. Tallon smartly signed Hossa's BFF Kopecky so he could get Hossa.
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    May 20, 2022 at 12:09 p.m.
    #23
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    Quoting: MoreHitzSeider
    It opened up a can of worms the NHL can't close now.i mean Tampa basically copied them with their cap shenanigans. Remember when Bettman nixed the 15 year Kovalchuk contract? Everyone tries to circumvent the cap now. Some are just better at it.


    100% Kuch on LTIR too... I actually think teams are going to get even more obvious about it too. What's stopping CHI or DET (teams with cap, but still make money) from signing Campbel to a 2 year deal and trading him to TOR 50% retained...almost...immediately?
    May 20, 2022 at 12:10 p.m.
    #24
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    Quoting: exo2769
    100% Kuch on LTIR too... I actually think teams are going to get even more obvious about it too. What's stopping CHI or DET (teams with cap, but still make money) from signing Campbel to a 2 year deal and trading him to TOR 50% retained...almost immediately?


    Interesting concept, although I'm sure there's a random clause somewhere that forbids it.
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    May 20, 2022 at 12:10 p.m.
    #25
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    Quoting: exo2769
    100% Kuch on LTIR too... I actually think teams are going to get even more obvious about it too. What's stopping CHI or DET (teams with cap, but still make money) from signing Campbel to a 2 year deal and trading him to TOR 50% retained...almost...immediately?


    I don't think you're allowed to do that. For 1 calendar year maybe?
     
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