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Forums/Armchair-GM

Pinto

Created by: Wildwinswhen
Team: 2022-23 Minnesota Wild
Initial Creation Date: May 26, 2022
Published: May 26, 2022
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
I'm not sure how to value Pinto, but I'm interested in him. What does OTT think of him?
Free Agent Signings
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
2$850,000
3$2,500,000
UFAYEARSCAP HIT
1$3,700,000
1$750,000
Trades
MIN
  1. Pinto, Shane
  2. 2022 1st round pick (OTT)
Additional Details:
7 OA
OTT
  1. Fiala, Kevin [RFA Rights]
Additional Details:
Assumes Fiala would take 8M x 4 at Ott.
Buyouts
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2022
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2023
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2024
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ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
21$82,500,000$80,991,088$0$600,000$1,508,912
Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$9,000,000$9,000,000
LW
UFA - 4
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$1,700,000$1,700,000
C, RW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$6,000,000$6,000,000
RW, LW
M-NTC, NMC
UFA - 2
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$5,250,000$5,250,000
C
UFA - 7
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$3,100,000$3,100,000
RW, LW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$3,000,000$3,000,000
LW, RW
UFA - 3
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$850,000$850,000
LW, C
RFA - 2
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$880,833$880,833 (Performance Bonus$600,000$600K)
RW, LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$1,200,000$1,200,000
C, LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$750,000$750,000
RW, LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$2,000,000$2,000,000
C
UFA - 1
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$750,000$750,000
LW, RW
UFA - 4
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$2,500,000$2,500,000
LD
UFA - 3
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$7,575,000$7,575,000
RD
NMC
UFA - 5
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$3,700,000$3,700,000
G
UFA - 2
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$6,000,000$6,000,000
LD
NMC
UFA - 6
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$6,000,000$6,000,000
RD
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$3,666,667$3,666,667
G
UFA - 1
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$1,200,000$1,200,000
LD
UFA - 3
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$2,000,000$2,000,000
LD/RD
NMC
UFA - 2
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$1,125,000$1,125,000
LD/RD
M-NTC
UFA - 1

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May 26, 2022 at 1:55 p.m.
#26
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Quoting: IcemanJoe
What?! Haha. He had 85 points last year with a defensive first C and a rookie. Those are facts. Hypotheticals are what you and I are arguing about. There’s no guarantee he goes backwards in his career. That’s your rhetoric. If you can say he’s going to take a step back, I have just as much right to say he’s going to take a step forward. And I provided my reason. Get off your high horse.


Rhetoric means nothing, it’s just blather

Batherson is awesome
May 26, 2022 at 4:10 p.m.
#27
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Quoting: Wildwinswhen
Interesting. I think the team isn't convinced Addison can be that next RD based on other things Russo has said. I'm not sure who else they would put at RD. O'Rourke is a lefty.


Hunt and Peart can both play the right side if they have to.
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May 26, 2022 at 4:24 p.m.
#28
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Quoting: sensibleguy
Fiala’s goals are pretty steady
23G in 64 games, 0.36 goals per game
20G in 50 games, 0.40 goals per game
33G in 82 games, 0.40 goals per game

I’m not going to break down PP versus 5v5 goals

Boldy, that rookie, made his NHL debut on Jan 6th

Fiala’s splits before and after Jan 6th
31 games, 7G, 14A, 21 pts, 0.68 PPG
51 games, 26G, 38A, 64 pts, 1.25 PPG

Gaudreau’s splits before and after Jan 6th
25 games, 2G, 8A, 10 pts, 0.40 PPG
51 games, 12G, 22A, 34 pts, 0.67 PPG

Boldy is going to be good, and he’s the reason for Fiala’s uptick in assists.

MIN had a good team before Boldy arrived, so it’s difficult to say Fiala will have the same success as he did with Boldy, and even with Boldy, Fiala’s numbers could return to their previous levels, hard to say. I see this as Fiala’s career year, and on a contract year that’s good for him. New team, new line mates, new system, we’ll see how he fairs, but I’m not worried about his goals, they will come.


1) Fiala has always been a second-half type of player. It's where he's gotten the bulk of his production for his entire career.

I doubt that'll change wherever he goes. Bottom line, he comes out slow.

2) His assists go up when he has linemates of worth capable of playing at or near his level.

IE... top-six talent.

If they're not capable of finishing, why pass the puck? Better to do it himself at that point. Both Boldy and to that extent Stutzle are more than capable finishers. If they're on his line he'd be more inclined to pass the puck.

His assists won't go down if playing with someone like Stutzle. They probably go up.
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May 26, 2022 at 5:27 p.m.
#29
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Quoting: Xspyrit
1- Sanderson
---------------
2- Pinto
3- Greig
---------------
4- JBD
5- Sogaard
6- Jarventie
7- Thomson
---------------
8- Sokolov
9- Kleven
---------------
10- Boucher

Kastelic is more like 15th-18th OA, he was a potential bottom-6 forward, not more

Pinto could be a perennial Selke candidate and JBD "should" be a Top-4 defensive D-man. These 3 guys are in very different tiers.



Kastelic has shown he can play in the NHL and actually be impactful. However, I don't see him be more than a 4th line Center. But you still need these guys. I think a comparable for him is Nate Thompson. Great on faceoffs, good defensively, can even provide a bit of offense

Look at some analysis I did on him a while ago :


Small sample size (16 GP with 9:11 average) but look at this, among skaters who played at least 15 games :

Hits/60 : Kastelic is 5th behind Michael Pezzetta, Ryan Reaves, Liam O'Brien and Reese Johnson

BkS/60 (forwards only) : Kastelic is 8th behind Austin Watson, Nick Bonino, Carter Rowney, Brett Howden, Tyler Motte, Alexei Toropchenko and Parker Kelly

TkA/60 : Kastelic is 3rd behind Mark Stone and Logan Shaw


Fantastic analysis! Thank you!!
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May 26, 2022 at 6:00 p.m.
#30
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Quoting: RazWild
1) Fiala has always been a second-half type of player. It's where he's gotten the bulk of his production for his entire career.

I doubt that'll change wherever he goes. Bottom line, he comes out slow.

2) His assists go up when he has linemates of worth capable of playing at or near his level.

IE... top-six talent.

If they're not capable of finishing, why pass the puck? Better to do it himself at that point. Both Boldy and to that extent Stutzle are more than capable finishers. If they're on his line he'd be more inclined to pass the puck.

His assists won't go down if playing with someone like Stutzle. They probably go up.


I’ve heard this argument before, and how Bobby Ryan was good for 40 goals playing with Spezza
May 26, 2022 at 6:25 p.m.
#31
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Quoting: sensibleguy
I’ve heard this argument before, and how Bobby Ryan was good for 40 goals playing with Spezza


Boldy, Stutzle, and Fiala are far... far... better players than Bobby Ryan ever was.

Bobby Ryan is closer to Frederic Gaudreau or Ryan Hartman than a legitimate top-six player like Fiala.

They're not even close.

The difference is Spezza is Spezza, and Ryan rode his coattails. Fiala was a 70 point pace player before Boldy arrived and dealt with bottom six scrubs during that same timespan. He's closer to Stutzle than to Ryan.

C'mon.
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May 26, 2022 at 7:01 p.m.
#32
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Quoting: RazWild
Boldy, Stutzle, and Fiala are far... far... better players than Bobby Ryan ever was.

Bobby Ryan is closer to Frederic Gaudreau or Ryan Hartman than a legitimate top-six player like Fiala.

They're not even close.

The difference is Spezza is Spezza, and Ryan rode his coattails. Fiala was a 70 point pace player before Boldy arrived and dealt with bottom six scrubs during that same timespan. He's closer to Stutzle than to Ryan.

C'mon.


You missed the point, you mentioned, "Both Boldy and to that extent Stutzle are more than capable finishers. If they're on his line he'd be more inclined to pass the puck"

I brought up Bobby Ryan because the same thing was said about Spezza and Getzlaf

As for Bobby Ryan, when Fiala has four 30+ goal seasons, then compare Fiala to him
May 26, 2022 at 7:11 p.m.
#33
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Quoting: sensibleguy
You missed the point, you mentioned, "Both Boldy and to that extent Stutzle are more than capable finishers. If they're on his line he'd be more inclined to pass the puck"

I brought up Bobby Ryan because the same thing was said about Spezza and Getzlaf

As for Bobby Ryan, when Fiala has four 30+ goal seasons, then compare Fiala to him


Kevin Fiala (career 419 games)
419 games, 124 goals, 159 assists, 283 points, 0.68 PPG

Bobby Ryan (first 419 games of his career)
419 games, 165 goals, 159 assists, 324 points, 0.77 PPG
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May 27, 2022 at 8:59 a.m.
#34
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Quoting: RazWild
Boldy, Stutzle, and Fiala are far... far... better players than Bobby Ryan ever was.

Bobby Ryan is closer to Frederic Gaudreau or Ryan Hartman than a legitimate top-six player like Fiala.

They're not even close.

The difference is Spezza is Spezza, and Ryan rode his coattails. Fiala was a 70 point pace player before Boldy arrived and dealt with bottom six scrubs during that same timespan. He's closer to Stutzle than to Ryan.

C'mon.


Ryan didn't ride on Spezza's coattails. They didn't even play together that much. People anticipated great things between them but they didn't have any chemistry so they were split quite fast. Ryan mostly played with McArthur and Turris in his first few years in Ottawa and that was a great line, until each of these players got derailed by injuries (MacArthur with concussions, Turris with the Gumby incident, Ryan with hands injuries)

Why people continue to talk without knowing has always been beyond me.

Quoting: sensibleguy
Kevin Fiala (career 419 games)
419 games, 124 goals, 159 assists, 283 points, 0.68 PPG

Bobby Ryan (first 419 games of his career)
419 games, 165 goals, 159 assists, 324 points, 0.77 PPG


What a weird comment that was... Bobby Ryan was a 55+ pts / 0.70+ PPG player the first 8 years of his career. He did that in years where there was a lot less goals scored. That was first line numbers back then.

During his prime (2008-09 to 2015-16), he was the 37th best scorer among NHL forwards, with 437 pts in 584 GP (similar production to Bergeron, Duchene, Jagr, Couture, etc during that period of time)

Several hands injuries (and personal problems) is what made him decline in his late 20's. Who knows how long Fiala's prime is going to last? Or if teams are going to figure out ways to reduce goals against, once again.

Even if you don't account Fiala's first 4 seasons (0.48 PPG player with Nashville), Fiala has been the 27th best forward scorer since his "peak" started in 2019-20. It's great but the hyperbole was ridiculous

If you start comparing at the "same age" (21 years old), then Fiala has been 55th in forwards scoring since 2017-18
May 27, 2022 at 12:54 p.m.
#35
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Quoting: Xspyrit
Ryan didn't ride on Spezza's coattails. They didn't even play together that much. People anticipated great things between them but they didn't have any chemistry so they were split quite fast. Ryan mostly played with McArthur and Turris in his first few years in Ottawa and that was a great line, until each of these players got derailed by injuries (MacArthur with concussions, Turris with the Gumby incident, Ryan with hands injuries)

Why people continue to talk without knowing has always been beyond me.



That was the point, his argument was that Fiala will do just as well with Stützle is the same as the arguments that Ryan would do just as well with Spezza. You’ll need to go back and reread the comments, it seems you didn’t get the point.

Quoting: Xspyrit
What a weird comment that was... Bobby Ryan was a 55+ pts / 0.70+ PPG player the first 8 years of his career. He did that in years where there was a lot less goals scored. That was first line numbers back then.

During his prime (2008-09 to 2015-16), he was the 37th best scorer among NHL forwards, with 437 pts in 584 GP (similar production to Bergeron, Duchene, Jagr, Couture, etc during that period of time)

Several hands injuries (and personal problems) is what made him decline in his late 20's. Who knows how long Fiala's prime is going to last? Or if teams are going to figure out ways to reduce goals against, once again.

Even if you don't account Fiala's first 4 seasons (0.48 PPG player with Nashville), Fiala has been the 27th best forward scorer since his "peak" started in 2019-20. It's great but the hyperbole was ridiculous

If you start comparing at the "same age" (21 years old), then Fiala has been 55th in forwards scoring since 2017-18



Again, you didn’t get the point.

I compared the same situation from the other side, the Bobby Ryan side. What a player did before a trade is not always an indication of how they will perform after a trade.

Bobby Ryan continued his PPG pace with Ottawa, he just changed his ratio of goals to assists, until the hand injuries occurred.
May 28, 2022 at 2:18 p.m.
#36
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Quoting: sensibleguy
That was the point, his argument was that Fiala will do just as well with Stützle is the same as the arguments that Ryan would do just as well with Spezza. You’ll need to go back and reread the comments, it seems you didn’t get the point.

Again, you didn’t get the point.

I compared the same situation from the other side, the Bobby Ryan side. What a player did before a trade is not always an indication of how they will perform after a trade.

Bobby Ryan continued his PPG pace with Ottawa, he just changed his ratio of goals to assists, until the hand injuries occurred.


Uh... When I said "What a weird comment that was", I was not talking about your comment, but the other posters'

Sorry thought it was obvious. And if you read my post, it just gives more support to your argument.
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May 28, 2022 at 2:21 p.m.
#37
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Quoting: Xspyrit
Uh... When I said "What a weird comment that was", I was not talking about your comment, but the other posters'

Sorry thought it was obvious. And if you read my post, it just gives more support to your argument.


Thanks for the heads up, I’ll go back and reread the comments, lol
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