we miss leo k
Joined: Feb. 2018
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-Rangers probably take that deal - every sign points to them moving on from Georgiev, and last I heard Kravstov wasn't gonna come back for them, so getting a few chances at ELC players on a team that needs them is a win for both sides.
-I can see the logic in this trade - but if I'm Bill Armstrong I'd probably want to have another mid-round pick coming along with that package.
Let's look at the draft trade values then - I'm going to reference Dom @ The Athletic's draft pick value chart as a guideline - there's not a ton else out there assigning easily digestible point values to picks. Also doing a quick look at recent draft pick trades, the team moving up always gives up a little more value than the team trading back, so we'll always assume Montreal is sacrificing pick value to move up.
Calgary (27 OA = 3.2 GSVA) + Carolina (worst case is 32 OA = 2.8 GSVA) for Washington (20 OA = 4.0) has a lot of surplus value for Washington but I also couldn't see 27 & 32 getting you into the lottery, so it's a safe pick to target. Maybe Washington throws back a 3rd rounder to even it out?
So now you have 20OA (4.0) going to Vancouver for 15OA (4.9). The difference between the two picks would be equivalent to a mid/late 2nd rounder; I think that Jake Allen with $1M retained *might* equal that value - except for the fact that I don't think it makes a ton of sense for Vancouver to acquire him when they already have Thatcher Demko starting 60-65 games next year and Spencer Martin ready to clean up the last 15 or so. For the sake of argument, though, I'll call this fair.
Now you're making a HUGE jump - 15OA (4.9 GSVA) to 2OA (12.3). The difference in value between those picks is equal in value to the 7th overall pick, which leads me to this question: if you had the 7th overall pick, would *you* trade it for Jesse Ylonen & Josh Anderson? It's an insane underpay for the Devils - you are going to need to do much better than someone from your second tier of prospects and an overpaid winger with that much term left.