Damn, didn't know Murray was in the Top 5 salary wise, always thought he was overpaid, but not THAT overpaid

I would say 13 of the 30 listed are worth their contract.

Ovechkin
Kaprizov
McDavid
Matthews
Barkov
hot take: Marner
Kucherov
Point
Josi
Heiskanen
Chabot
Fox
Vasi

Left wing has 3 of 5 worth it (Kaprizov, Ovi, and Panarin)
Center has 3 of 5 worth it (McDavid, Matthew’s, and Barkov)
Right wing has 3 of 5 worth it (Kane, Point, Kucherov)
Left defense has 2 of 5 worth it (Jodi and Heiskanen)
Right defense has 2 of 5 worth it (McAvoy and Fox)
Goalie has 2 of 5 goalies worth it (Vasy and Gibson)

pretty close to my list. i have panarin and kane too.

11.5 for a 105 pt pace is a little low for me. if he was putting up like 110-115 i'd be good with it (bit picky here)
same for kane, his pace is like ten points under what i think he'd be worth
however i wouldnt be mad if either player was signed for that much on my team

avs managed to have no one on this list despite being a cup finalist.

Taxes play a role

If Panarin is worth, then Marner is worth his as well. I think Panarin is worth more like 10 even though he could have gotten more than he did. Marner is worth like 9. Panarin would be worth it if he was scoring like he did in the 2019-20 season

Chabot might be worth his contract too and Price if he was healthy since it looked like he was having a bounce back

Other than that I agree with you.

Panarin
Ovie
Kaprizov
McD
Matthews
Barkov
Marner
Kane
Kuch
Point (who is 100% a center not RW)
Josi
Fox
Heiskanen
Chabot
McAvoy
Price* (not gonna be in my official count, but deserved his contract in 2021 for carrying them to the finals last year)
Vasi
Gibson

17/30 worth it

Within 1-2.5M of their cap hit:
Tavares
Werenski
Jones
Nurse
Doughty

Kane’s point production isnt bad for a non-playoff team plus if you look at the last 5 years he's probably top 5 point production still

Panarin
Ovechkin
Kaprizov
McDavid
Matthews
Barkov
Marner
Kucherov
Point
Josi
Heiskanen
Fox
McAvoy
Vasilevskiy

Interesting that a lot of the defenseman who aren't worth their contracts never were, namely the ones that were signed recently but they still are you enough to make some changes. Norris Karlsson and the like at 11.5 is still crazy though. Toews on the other hand at least only has a year left and he did bring 3 cups to the city. Tavares doesn't get enough credit and he won't until he produces more than pt per game or they start having playoff success that is because of him.

I'm assuming here that we are ignoring the tax factor and actual pay

Gibson hasn't been worth his cap hit since 2018.