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Trading 2nd overall pick seems unlikely

Created by: NHLfan10506
Team: 2022-23 New Jersey Devils
Initial Creation Date: Jun. 12, 2022
Published: Jun. 12, 2022
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
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In his post-season interviews, in response to a question about the possibility of trading the #2 overall pick in 2022 draft, Devils GM Tom Fitzgerald said he was open to anything. Full quote below:

"I’m open to whatever can help our team improve. And if that is using a pick like that, wherever it may be, to help bring in a player that we know and feel will help impact, you know, the results we are looking for, um, absolutely, that's my job, to improve our hockey club through all the assets that we have"

Somehow that has snowballed into that Devils are shopping that pick.

I still maintain that the Devils probabilities with the 2nd pick are roughly as follows:

85% chance: They keep pick (and select Wright, Cooley, Slafkovsky, maybe Nemec or Gauthier)
7% chance: They trade down a few spots (to #3-#7) and pick up an asset or two (likely picks)
5% chance: They trade down to later in first round and add an NHL player
3% chance: They trade the pick for an NHL player (with no pick returning)

So there is probably only about a 1-in-20 chance we see #2 moved straight-up for a player. But it is certainly fun to talk about these scenarios.

--------

There are have been a number of players that I have seen that have been offered (either by Devils fans or by other teams' fans) for the #2 over all pick in various packages. Here is a rough list:

ANA: Gibson
ARI: Chychrun
BOS: Pastrnak
CGY: Gaudreau, Tkachuk
CHI: DeBrincat
DET: Raymond
MTL: Anderson, Caufield, (and packages)
MIN: Fiala
SJS: Meier
TOR: Nylander
VAN: Boeser, Miller

I have seen other scenarios from SEA, PHI, CBJ and others for trade-downs and many other "package deals" for the #2 pick. But for this post, I am just focusing on the top players to return.

--------

Here is the profile of a player Devils would want:

1. "Heavier Skill" (our GM's terminology). Devils have been doing fine in transition and in producing scoring opportunities, but there holes/weaknesses are winning pucks in corners, getting tips/deflections in front of net and cleaning up rebounds. We are near league bottom in each of these categories.

2. "Jack and Nico's age" (a common trait discussed by Devils GM): Devils want players that are in same cohort as their core players, so roughly age 20-25.

3. "Core piece" meaning Devils won't be interested in a sum-of-the-parts type trades. They will want to add one core piece either by selecting a player with the pick or trading for core piece.

4. "Contract" Devils have plenty of cap flexibility, but are not likely investing in a rental or even 2-year rental. They want a player with plenty of term.
Free Agent Signings
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
1$750,000
1$750,000
1$750,000
CREATEDYEARSCAP HIT
UNLIKELY, cannot be extended before draft
1$750,000
UNLIKELY, probably not available
1$750,000
UNLIKELY, not worth the pick
1$750,000
UNLIKELY, not a fit stylistically
1$750,000
UNLIKELY, not a fit age or contract
1$750,000
LIKELY, perfect fit
1$750,000
Cooley, Logan
3$925,000
Slafkovsky, Juraj
3$925,000
Wright, Shane
3$925,000
Gauthier, Cutter
3$925,000
Nemec, Simon
3$925,000
Trades
1.
2.
3.
4.
NJD
  1. Tkachuk, Matthew [RFA Rights]
CGY
5.
6.
7.
8.
NJD
  1. Fiala, Kevin [RFA Rights]
MIN
9.
10.
11.
VAN
Buyouts
Recapture Fees
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2022
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Logo of the EDM
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Logo of the CBJ
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the NJD
2023
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the NJD
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2024
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Logo of the NJD
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
24$82,500,000$60,209,866$0$3,350,000$22,290,134
Left WingCentreRight Wing
UNLIKELY, cannot be extended before draft
$750,000$750,000
UNLIKELY, probably not available
$750,000$750,000
UNLIKELY, not worth the pick
$750,000$750,000
Logo of the Boston Bruins
$6,666,667$6,666,667
RW
M-NTC, NMC
UFA - 1
$750,000$750,000
RW
UFA - 8
Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
$6,400,000$6,400,000
G
M-NTC
UFA - 5
Logo of the San Jose Sharks
$3,000,000$3,000,000
LW, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Detroit Red Wings
$925,000$925,000 (Performance Bonus$2,500,000$2M)
RW, LW
RFA - 2
$750,000$750,000
RW
UFA - 3
Logo of the Arizona Coyotes
$4,600,000$4,600,000
LD/RD
UFA - 3
$750,000$750,000
RW, LW
UFA - 7
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$5,500,000$5,500,000
RW, LW
M-NTC
UFA - 5
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
UNLIKELY, not a fit stylistically
$750,000$750,000
UNLIKELY, not a fit age or contract
$750,000$750,000
LIKELY, perfect fit
$750,000$750,000
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$880,833$880,833 (Performance Bonus$850,000$850K)
LW, RW
UFA - 1
Cooley, Logan
$925,000$925,000
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$6,400,000$6,400,000
LW, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$6,962,366$6,962,366
RW
UFA - 2
Slafkovsky, Juraj
$925,000$925,000
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$5,250,000$5,250,000
C, LW, RW
UFA - 1
Nemec, Simon
$925,000$925,000
Gauthier, Cutter
$925,000$925,000
Wright, Shane
$925,000$925,000
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$8,000,000$8,000,000
C
UFA - 8
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$7,250,000$7,250,000
C
UFA - 5
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$4,500,000$4,500,000
LW, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$3,400,000$3,400,000
LW, RW
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$2,000,000$2,000,000
C, LW, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$1,825,000$1,825,000
LW, C
UFA - 1
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$3,166,667$3,166,667
LD
UFA - 1
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$1,125,000$1,125,000
LD
UFA - 1
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$9,000,000$9,000,000
RD
NMC
UFA - 6
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$4,166,666$4,166,666
RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$2,800,000$2,800,000
G
UFA - 1
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$4,125,000$4,125,000
G
UFA - 1

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Jun. 12, 2022 at 11:06 a.m.
#1
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I don't know how Raymond is on this list lol
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Jun. 12, 2022 at 11:13 a.m.
#2
KFTW
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I Ike Gauthier but shouldn’t be considered at 2
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Jun. 12, 2022 at 11:13 a.m.
#3
exo2769
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NJD should keep the pick and draft best available. The #2 pick is too high to risk drafting a position of need. They need to force themselves to NOT have blinders for Slafkovsky. If they truly believe he's #2 ok, that's different, but you gotta be true to your process and draft beat available.
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Jun. 12, 2022 at 11:14 a.m.
#4
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Quoting: Lancebmx
I don't know how Raymond is on this list lol


Me neither. I just scanned latest trades off ACGM. And included him just to rule out.

None of these really seem likely.
Jun. 12, 2022 at 11:14 a.m.
#5
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Quoting: csick
I Ike Gauthier but shouldn’t be considered at 2


I just listed the five guys they interviewed.
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Jun. 12, 2022 at 11:17 a.m.
#6
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Quoting: exo2769
NJD should keep the pick and draft best available. The #2 pick is too high to risk drafting a position of need. They need to force themselves to NOT have blinders for Slafkovsky. If they truly believe he's #2 ok, that's different, but you gotta be true to your process and draft beat available.


They are having Cooley and Wright in for extended visits to their facilities. I think the Slafkovsky to NJ drumbeat has been overplayed a bit. Very good chance they take another center.
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Jun. 12, 2022 at 11:33 a.m.
#7
Dougie HIMilton
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Quoting: NHLfan10506
They are having Cooley and Wright in for extended visits to their facilities. I think the Slafkovsky to NJ drumbeat has been overplayed a bit. Very good chance they take another center.


Not to nitpick but Cooley said he was unable to make the extended invite with Slafkovsky and Wright due to a college thing and that he needed to consult with his his advisors to determine if they should reschedule
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Jun. 12, 2022 at 12:59 p.m.
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All depends on their window. If they want to compete in another year and make a run, then the #2 probably won't be that much help likely needing 2 to 3 years development before being a real impact. Something like #2OA + Ty Smith for Cat would make sense in that case. Alternatively, keep the #2, trade Holtz + the 2023 1st (top 5 protected) and that essentially give Cooley + Cat which would likely be more valuable then the 2023 pick (top protected) + Ty Smith (maybe something else is added).

There's a lot of debate whether to do something like this or not but it suggests why it's worth considering.
Jun. 12, 2022 at 1:36 p.m.
#9
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Quoting: ChiHawk
All depends on their window. If they want to compete in another year and make a run, then the #2 probably won't be that much help likely needing 2 to 3 years development before being a real impact. Something like #2OA + Ty Smith for Cat would make sense in that case. Alternatively, keep the #2, trade Holtz + the 2023 1st (top 5 protected) and that essentially give Cooley + Cat which would likely be more valuable then the 2023 pick (top protected) + Ty Smith (maybe something else is added).

There's a lot of debate whether to do something like this or not but it suggests why it's worth considering.


I believe if the Devils traded #2 overall, whether it be for DeBrincat, Fiala, Pastrnak, whomever, they won't add anything of significance. It would be the pick and that is it.

Our real issues were with goaltending last year, not offense. So all these wingers are just guys fans want to help Jack & Nico. Not likely pieces our GM is going after. They are wants, not needs.
Jun. 12, 2022 at 1:52 p.m.
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Quoting: HeadHighSauce
Not to nitpick but Cooley said he was unable to make the extended invite with Slafkovsky and Wright due to a college thing and that he needed to consult with his his advisors to determine if they should reschedule


According to Jeff Marek, NJD is having 6-7 guys come in for extended interviews.

I am guessing...

Wright
Cooley
Slafkovsky
Nemec
Cauthier

And 1-2 others. They didn't interview Jiricek or Savoie, so guessing not them.
Jun. 12, 2022 at 2:00 p.m.
#11
Dougie HIMilton
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Quoting: NHLfan10506
According to Jeff Marek, NJD is having 6-7 guys come in for extended interviews.

I am guessing...

Wright
Cooley
Slafkovsky
Nemec
Cauthier

And 1-2 others. They didn't interview Jiricek or Savoie, so guessing not them.


Wait we didn’t interview Jiricek?! Link to that?
Jun. 12, 2022 at 7:31 p.m.
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Quoting: NHLfan10506
I believe if the Devils traded #2 overall, whether it be for DeBrincat, Fiala, Pastrnak, whomever, they won't add anything of significance. It would be the pick and that is it.

Our real issues were with goaltending last year, not offense. So all these wingers are just guys fans want to help Jack & Nico. Not likely pieces our GM is going after. They are wants, not needs.


The Hawks I doubt would do it for just the #2. They are going to need a couple chances to get a really good player, not just ONE potentially good player while giving up Debrincat who is elite and only 24. If that #2 pick is a bust they have literally nothing to fall back on...elite 24 year old RFAs simply cost more.

Pastrnak is a UFA rental, and Fiala had one great season the rest of have been good to meh...because of that, neither of those guys carry the value or the cost it would take to land Debrincat.
Jun. 12, 2022 at 8:38 p.m.
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Quoting: ChiHawk
The Hawks I doubt would do it for just the #2. They are going to need a couple chances to get a really good player, not just ONE potentially good player while giving up Debrincat who is elite and only 24. If that #2 pick is a bust they have literally nothing to fall back on...elite 24 year old RFAs simply cost more.

Pastrnak is a UFA rental, and Fiala had one great season the rest of have been good to meh...because of that, neither of those guys carry the value or the cost it would take to land Debrincat.


How often do #2 picks bust? You are more likely to get a hall-of-famer than a bust.

List of #2 picks from hockeydb
Jun. 12, 2022 at 8:46 p.m.
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Quoting: NHLfan10506
How often do #2 picks bust? You are more likely to get a hall-of-famer than a bust.

List of #2 picks from hockeydb


Beniers, Byfield, Kakko, Svenchnikov, Patrick, Laine, Eichel, Reinhart, Barkov, Murray, Landeskog, Seguin, Hedman, Doughty, JvR, Staal, Malkin, Spezza

Patrick will probably go down as bust, and Murray as bad pick in bad draft. Most everyone else turned out to be a star player (or are too young to judge).
Jun. 13, 2022 at 12:10 a.m.
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Quoting: NHLfan10506
How often do #2 picks bust? You are more likely to get a hall-of-famer than a bust.

List of #2 picks from hockeydb


Quoting: NHLfan10506
Beniers, Byfield, Kakko, Svenchnikov, Patrick, Laine, Eichel, Reinhart, Barkov, Murray, Landeskog, Seguin, Hedman, Doughty, JvR, Staal, Malkin, Spezza

Patrick will probably go down as bust, and Murray as bad pick in bad draft. Most everyone else turned out to be a star player (or are too young to judge).


More importantly, how many of those never reached their predraft ceiling, aka bust. And most importantly, how many would you give up Cat for?...very few. Keeping those two in mind, you can see why gambling to get a equal or better player then Cat is not a smart move statistically which is why it takes more then the #2 OA, especially in a weak top 5 draft year. If someone says, hey, give me a $100 today and I'll give you a 1 in 3 chance of getting $120 or 2/3 chance you get less...potentially nothing....would you do it?
Jun. 13, 2022 at 12:32 a.m.
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Quoting: ChiHawk
More importantly, how many of those never reached their predraft ceiling, aka bust. And most importantly, how many would you give up Cat for?...very few. Keeping those two in mind, you can see why gambling to get a equal or better player then Cat is not a smart move statistically which is why it takes more then the #2 OA, especially in a weak top 5 draft year. If someone says, hey, give me a $100 today and I'll give you a 1 in 3 chance of getting $120 or 2/3 chance you get less...potentially nothing....would you do it?

Is a bust not hitting an imaginary threshold or being an outlier on.l bell curve for a given draft slot in the given draft?
Jun. 13, 2022 at 12:58 a.m.
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Quoting: BStinson
Is a bust not hitting an imaginary threshold or being an outlier on.l bell curve for a given draft slot in the given draft?


A player's draft position is determined on what they are project to become. If thus player doesn't reach that projection or close to it, it would be a bust as the team would have drafted someone else at that position. My point still stands, maybe....MAYBE...you would take 1/3rd of those players over Cat and as such, a 33% at best of getting a player equal to or better then Cat (bar is high) makes it a loosing bet and why the Hawks would be foolish to trade Cat just for the #2 pick. There is really no reason to debate it. Now I'm sure the devils can get a fine player like Fiala or Pastrnak with that pick, but neither of them are as attractive as Cat.
Jun. 13, 2022 at 1:06 a.m.
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Quoting: ChiHawk
More importantly, how many of those never reached their predraft ceiling, aka bust. And most importantly, how many would you give up Cat for?...very few. Keeping those two in mind, you can see why gambling to get a equal or better player then Cat is not a smart move statistically which is why it takes more then the #2 OA, especially in a weak top 5 draft year. If someone says, hey, give me a $100 today and I'll give you a 1 in 3 chance of getting $120 or 2/3 chance you get less...potentially nothing....would you do it?


I would say your math is off.

Option 1 is a $100 investment that will likely return $110 (think fixed income a bond…less risk, less upside).

Option 2 is two $10 investments (A and B) that both have 1/3 chance of becoming $100, 1/3 chance becoming $50 and 1/3 chance of becoming $0. (Think equities, more risk, more payout) Counting the two $10 investments, your profit table would be:

…………A100…A50…A0
B100…180….130….80
B50…..130…..80…...30
B0……..80…...30…..-20

Option 1 has a $10 profit on $100 investment.
Option 2: has weighted-average $8 profit on $20 investment.

The question then becomes, can you return more that $2 profit (10-8) with the other $80 you didn’t invest in option 2? If the answer is “yes” then you take Option 2. If not, you take option 1.

So then, do you take Option 1 which has the higher asset value and higher profit margin.

Which options do you take?
Jun. 13, 2022 at 10:54 a.m.
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Quoting: NHLfan10506
I would say your math is off.

Option 1 is a $100 investment that will likely return $110 (think fixed income a bond…less risk, less upside).

Option 2 is two $10 investments (A and B) that both have 1/3 chance of becoming $100, 1/3 chance becoming $50 and 1/3 chance of becoming $0. (Think equities, more risk, more payout) Counting the two $10 investments, your profit table would be:

…………A100…A50…A0
B100…180….130….80
B50…..130…..80…...30
B0……..80…...30…..-20

Option 1 has a $10 profit on $100 investment.
Option 2: has weighted-average $8 profit on $20 investment.

The question then becomes, can you return more that $2 profit (10-8) with the other $80 you didn’t invest in option 2? If the answer is “yes” then you take Option 2. If not, you take option 1.

So then, do you take Option 1 which has the higher asset value and higher profit margin.

Which options do you take?


I'd say your math is off and my analysis is spot on. Why, because the Hawks own Cat today which is worth $100 in my scenario; you missed this part. So trading Cat is the Hawks handing over $100 for a 30% chance they get back $100 to $120....that is what the #2OA pick basically is which is why it makes no sense for them to trade Cat for just the #2.
Jun. 13, 2022 at 12:14 p.m.
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Quoting: ChiHawk
I'd say your math is off and my analysis is spot on. Why, because the Hawks own Cat today which is worth $100 in my scenario; you missed this part. So trading Cat is the Hawks handing over $100 for a 30% chance they get back $100 to $120....that is what the #2OA pick basically is which is why it makes no sense for them to trade Cat for just the #2.


You said, "If someone says, hey, give me a $100 today and I'll give you a 1 in 3 chance of getting $120 or 2/3 chance you get less...potentially nothing....would you do it?"

I am simply pointing out you math is incomplete.

Example 1
A; 1-in-3 chance of $120, 2-in-3 chance of $0

P(a=120) = 0.33
P(a=0) = 0.67

The expected mean is $40. So no, investing $100 to get $40 makes no sense.

But let me amend your example slightly and offer a third possible outcome.

Example 2
A: 1-in-3 chance of $120, 1-in-3 chance of $60, 1-in-3 chance of $0

P(a=120) = 0.33
P(a=60) = 0.33
P(a=0) = 0.33

The expected mean is $60. So again, no, investing $100 to get $60 makes no sense.

But let me amend your example slightly again and give two chances of each (representing both the pick and the prospect)

Example 3
A: 1-in-3 chance of $120, 1-in-3 chance of $60, 1-in-3 chance of $0
B: 1-in-3 chance of $120, 1-in-3 chance of $60, 1-in-3 chance of $0

P(a=120, b=120) = 0.11
P(a=120, b=60) = 0.11
P(a=120, b=0) = 0.11
P(a=60, b=120) = 0.11
P(a=60, b=60) = 0.11
P(a=60, b=0) = 0.11
P(a=0, b=120) = 0.11
P(a=0, b=60) = 0.11
P(a=0, b=0) = 0.11

The expected mean is $120. So yes, investing $100 to get $120 makes sense.


But the major flaw in all this probability analysis is that these events no not follow normal distribution, meaning they are not random. Further, since we are trading a pick, we have to be assume the choice they select will be the best one (if Hawks take Kasper Kulonummi with #2 overall, not much we can do about that).

Its not a random drawing of picks (its not a lottery). Any and all information increases the likelihood that the pick turns out to be the $120 option.
Jun. 13, 2022 at 12:23 p.m.
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Quoting: NHLfan10506
You said, "If someone says, hey, give me a $100 today and I'll give you a 1 in 3 chance of getting $120 or 2/3 chance you get less...potentially nothing....would you do it?"

I am simply pointing out you math is incomplete.

Example 1
A; 1-in-3 chance of $120, 2-in-3 chance of $0

P(a=120) = 0.33
P(a=0) = 0.67

The expected mean is $40. So no, investing $100 to get $40 makes no sense.

But let me amend your example slightly and offer a third possible outcome.

Example 2
A: 1-in-3 chance of $120, 1-in-3 chance of $60, 1-in-3 chance of $0

P(a=120) = 0.33
P(a=60) = 0.33
P(a=0) = 0.33

The expected mean is $60. So again, no, investing $100 to get $60 makes no sense.

But let me amend your example slightly again and give two chances of each (representing both the pick and the prospect)

Example 3
A: 1-in-3 chance of $120, 1-in-3 chance of $60, 1-in-3 chance of $0
B: 1-in-3 chance of $120, 1-in-3 chance of $60, 1-in-3 chance of $0

P(a=120, b=120) = 0.11
P(a=120, b=60) = 0.11
P(a=120, b=0) = 0.11
P(a=60, b=120) = 0.11
P(a=60, b=60) = 0.11
P(a=60, b=0) = 0.11
P(a=0, b=120) = 0.11
P(a=0, b=60) = 0.11
P(a=0, b=0) = 0.11

The expected mean is $120. So yes, investing $100 to get $120 makes sense.


But the major flaw in all this probability analysis is that these events no not follow normal distribution, meaning they are not random. Further, since we are trading a pick, we have to be assume the choice they select will be the best one (if Hawks take Kasper Kulonummi with #2 overall, not much we can do about that).

Its not a random drawing of picks (its not a lottery). Any and all information increases the likelihood that the pick turns out to be the $120 option.


That's crazy to think that. The #2OA has at least a 70% (historically) of never becoming a player as good or better then Cat and that is the point and that is generous given this is a weak top 5 draft year. So again, Hawks should easily pass if that's the offer.
Jun. 13, 2022 at 12:34 p.m.
#22
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Quoting: ChiHawk
That's crazy to think that. The #2OA has at least a 70% (historically) of never becoming a player as good or better then Cat and that is the point and that is generous given this is a weak top 5 draft year. So again, Hawks should easily pass if that's the offer.


Take Cat now or the player at age 18

DeBrincat vs Beniers
DeBrincat vs Byfield
DeBrincat vs Kakko
DeBrincat vs Svechnikov
DeBrincat vs Patrick

DeBrincat vs Laine
DeBrincat vs Eichel
DeBrincat vs Reinhart
DeBrincat vs Barkov
DeBrincat vs Murray

DeBrincat vs Landeskog
DeBrincat vs Seguin
DeBrincat vs Hedman
DeBrincat vs Doughty
DeBrincat vs van Riemsdyk

DeBrincat vs Jordan Staal
DeBrincat vs Ryan
DeBrincat vs Malkin
DeBrincat vs Eric Staal
DeBrincat vs Spezza

Now add $8 million in cap space every time you take the latter option.

How many times are you taking DeBrincat?
Jun. 13, 2022 at 12:37 p.m.
#23
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Quoting: NHLfan10506
Take Cat now or the player at age 18

DeBrincat vs Beniers
DeBrincat vs Byfield
DeBrincat vs Kakko
DeBrincat vs Svechnikov
DeBrincat vs Patrick

DeBrincat vs Laine
DeBrincat vs Eichel
DeBrincat vs Reinhart
DeBrincat vs Barkov
DeBrincat vs Murray

DeBrincat vs Landeskog
DeBrincat vs Seguin
DeBrincat vs Hedman
DeBrincat vs Doughty
DeBrincat vs van Riemsdyk

DeBrincat vs Jordan Staal
DeBrincat vs Ryan
DeBrincat vs Malkin
DeBrincat vs Eric Staal
DeBrincat vs Spezza

Now add $8 million in cap space every time you take the latter option.

How many times are you taking DeBrincat?


DeBrincat vs Beniers
DeBrincat vs Byfield
DeBrincat vs Kakko
DeBrincat vs Svechnikov
DeBrincat vs Patrick

DeBrincat vs Laine
DeBrincat vs Eichel
DeBrincat vs Reinhart
DeBrincat vs Barkov
DeBrincat vs Murray

DeBrincat vs Landeskog
DeBrincat vs Seguin
DeBrincat vs Hedman
DeBrincat vs Doughty
DeBrincat vs van Riemsdyk

DeBrincat vs Jordan Staal
DeBrincat vs Ryan
DeBrincat vs Malkin
DeBrincat vs Eric Staal
DeBrincat vs Spezza

Cat 8
Other 12
Jun. 13, 2022 at 12:49 p.m.
#24
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Posts: 19,413
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Quoting: NHLfan10506
Take Cat now or the player at age 18

DeBrincat vs Beniers
DeBrincat vs Byfield
DeBrincat vs Kakko
DeBrincat vs Svechnikov
DeBrincat vs Patrick

DeBrincat vs Laine
DeBrincat vs Eichel
DeBrincat vs Reinhart
DeBrincat vs Barkov
DeBrincat vs Murray

DeBrincat vs Landeskog
DeBrincat vs Seguin
DeBrincat vs Hedman
DeBrincat vs Doughty
DeBrincat vs van Riemsdyk

DeBrincat vs Jordan Staal
DeBrincat vs Ryan
DeBrincat vs Malkin
DeBrincat vs Eric Staal
DeBrincat vs Spezza

Now add $8 million in cap space every time you take the latter option.

How many times are you taking DeBrincat?


But that is the beauty of hindsight if knowing that today, not at draft time, I would take Cat over 70% of those guys in hindsight.
 
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