Quoting: Book_Hockey
What is this logic? NJ assumes plenty of risk in addition to losing 6M+ of cap space. What if CH gets injured? What if his performance declines? If the pick in WPG busts, that’s on the scouting department. **** happens. But to say NJ assumes none of the risk is ludicrous
Right you're only looking at it from Jersey's point of view. First off the $6 mil cap space thing is a non-point. If NJ it's worried about the cap space, then don't make an offer for $6mil goalie.
What if 2OA gets injured, what if his play declines after being drafted? What if CH gets back to his Vezina form and 2OA turns out ordinary? So, every risk NJ takes, Winnipeg takes. Except the odds of the bad side developing for NJ are a far less since they are dealing with a known commodity. While Winnipeg's risks are much higher pinning all their hopes on one single player that has never played a game in the NHL.
If the pick doesn't reach their maximum potential, or very close to it, the Jets outright lose the trade badly.
You say "well that's on scouting", when everyone knows the draft is a crap shoot. A smart scouting team would want some insurance on their bet. NJ is getting a known commodity, Winnipeg is getting a magic bean.
Jersey has to assume some of the risk, to make it enticing for Winnipeg.
That's why trades like this don't happen without desperate teams. The value in a vacuum works, but most times, not in real life. So, unless Winnipeg goes full scorched earth rebuild, it just doesn't make sense for them.