Edited Sep. 8, 2022 at 3:29 p.m.
Hi, OP here, here are my thoughts/reasoning.
Terry's production last season was a bit of an outlier. Not a significant outlier, but I don't think 37 goals is a bit higher than is repeatedly achievable. I am thinking he is a consistent floats around the 55 to 65 point mark season in and out, and between 25-30 goals. This is great production for 2RW, but a bit lacking for 1RW. I see Strome being 2RW with McTavish at 2C, so Terry needs to step up to 1RW, or we need to go get one, because I don't think we play Strome down on 3. I'm not as convinced Terry can be a consistent 80 point guy, so that's the basis behind this trade.
Nylander has the skills, size, and well rounded game to be a true 1RW. We would need some assurances from Nylander for the deal to work, and that is that he is interested in being the star RW in Anaheim long term. We have the money to pay him, and we have the slot for him to be the star instead of playing second fiddle to Marner. He CAN walk and he WILL walk is an important distinction here, we only make the deal if he WANTS to be in ANA. Assuming he is a fit with Zegras, I would be comfortable paying him 9-10 mil AAV on an 8 year deal to be our star RW. He is sufficiently young to grow with the core we have, we just have to make sure he wants to do that. Big IF, but we are in the land of fantasy.
The COL 2nd is nearly a third with how far down they likely go into the playoffs, maybe its a conditional pick contingent on a resigning. Maybe there are conditional picks on both sides tied to resigning.