SalarySwishSalarySwish
Forums/Armchair-GM

Could Stutzle Norris and Suzuki deals impact Dawson Mercers next contract

Created by: NHLfan10506
Team: 2024-25 New Jersey Devils
Initial Creation Date: Sep. 12, 2022
Published: Sep. 12, 2022
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
(in short, probably not)

Looking at the higher end of young centers and their recent signing of long-term deals, I do wonder if Mercer's next deal would be influenced by these. He probably has a ceiling at Hughes' deal as its unlikely he eclipses Jack has 1C.

Stutzle: 8 x $8.35m
Hughes: 8 x $8.0m
Norris: 8 x $7.95m
Suzuki: 8x $7.875m
Hischier: 7 x $7.25m

While Mercer is still young - and has a ways to go to climb into this tier - it is not too far-fetched if he continues to develop. (Its another question whether NJD would want to pay X amount for 3C).

After first 82 games played in NHL (where Mercer is after one season),

Mercer: 17g, 25a, 42pts (0.51 ppg)
Stutzle: 17g, 27a, 44pts (0.54 ppg)
Hughes: 12g, 22a, 34pts (0.41 ppg)
Norris: 27g, 25a, 52pts (0.63 ppg)
Suzuki: 16g, 36a, 52pts (0.63 ppg)
Hischier: 20g, 32a, 52pts (0.63 ppg)

At time of signing

Stutzle (20y, 235d): 132gp, 34g, 53a, 44pts (0.66 ppg)
Hughes (20y, 200d): 119gp, 20g, 35a, 55pts (0.46 ppg)
Norris (23y, 70d): 125gp, 52g, 38a, 90pts (0.72 ppg)
Suzuki (22y, 63d): 127gp, 28g, 54a, 82pts (0.65 ppg)
Hischier (20y, 287d): 157gp, 37g, 64a, 101pts (0.64 ppg)

If Mercer puts up a 55-point season in 2022-23, he would fall right into the mid-point of these players. Now there are a lot of other factors. Age, cap, health. Whether or not Mercer get priced as a center or winger. And points aren't everything as well, as guys like Hischier and Suzuki get paid for 200-ft game.

In the end, I'd bet he probably gets a Robert Thomas-sized bridge deal (2 years x $2.8 million), but if they look to lock him up long-term, I wonder where he would end up.

($7.885 million is the average of the examples I used....probably an unlikely figure).
Free Agent Signings
RESERVE LISTYEARSCAP HIT
2$950,000
3$950,000
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
7$7,500,000
5$4,500,000
3$3,500,000
2$1,500,000
2$900,000
2$800,000
2$800,000
2$800,000
2$800,000
2$800,000
2$800,000
1$775,000
1$775,000
1$775,000
1$775,000
8$7,885,000
Recapture Fees
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2023
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the NJD
2024
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the NJD
2025
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the NJD
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
23$84,500,000$76,066,667$0$4,500,000$8,433,333
Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$4,500,000$4,500,000
C, LW, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$8,000,000$8,000,000
C
UFA - 6
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$894,167$894,167 (Performance Bonus$850,000$850K)
RW, LW
RFA - 1
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$6,000,000$6,000,000
LW, RW
NMC
UFA - 3
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$7,250,000$7,250,000
C
M-NTC
UFA - 3
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$7,500,000$7,500,000
RW, LW
UFA - 7
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$950,000$950,000
LW
RFA
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$7,885,000$7,885,000
RW, C
RFA
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$900,000$900,000
RW
RFA - 1
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$800,000$800,000
LW
RFA
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$1,500,000$1,500,000
C, LW
RFA
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$775,000$775,000
RW
RFA
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$3,400,000$3,400,000
LD
M-NTC
UFA - 4
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$9,000,000$9,000,000
RD
NMC
UFA - 4
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$3,400,000$3,400,000
G
UFA - 1
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$950,000$950,000
LD/RD
RFA - 1
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$4,400,000$4,400,000
RD
M-NTC
UFA - 3
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$3,500,000$3,500,000
G
UFA - 1
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$894,167$894,167 (Performance Bonus$400,000$400K)
LD
RFA - 1
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$918,333$918,333 (Performance Bonus$3,250,000$3M)
RD
RFA - 2
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$800,000$800,000
LD
RFA
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$800,000$800,000
RD
RFA
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$800,000$800,000
LD
RFA - 1
Taxi Squad
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$800,000$800,000 ($0$0$0$0)
G
RFA
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$863,333$863,333 ($0$0$0$0)
RW
RFA - 2
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$800,000$800,000 ($0$0$0$0)
LW
UFA
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$775,000$775,000 ($0$0$0$0)
RW, C
RFA

Embed Code

  • To display this team on another website or blog, add this iFrame to the appropriate page
  • Customize the height attribute in the iFrame code below to fit your website appropriately. Minimum recommended: 400px.

Text-Embed

Click to Highlight
Sep. 12, 2022 at 9:06 p.m.
#1
Avatar of the user
Joined: Jul. 2019
Posts: 14,042
Likes: 5,158
NJ will be very good soon
I don’t think Mercer touches that money yet if ever
He’ll get a bridge deal IMO
Sep. 12, 2022 at 9:13 p.m.
#2
Avatar of the user
Joined: Jul. 2021
Posts: 1,550
Likes: 1,276
Jack definitely set the comparable for that Stutzle signing. I don't think Fitz will see Mercer as a guy with the same type of ceiling as those two though, especially because he'll be primarily a winger to him.

Cap is supposed to jump a lot in 24-25 though which is when he's due. So I think a lot of these comparables will get thrown out the window by the time we get there.
Sep. 12, 2022 at 9:20 p.m.
#3
Thread Starter
Avatar of the user
Joined: May 2019
Posts: 39,600
Likes: 18,154
Quoting: GMs
NJ will be very good soon
I don’t think Mercer touches that money yet if ever
He’ll get a bridge deal IMO


Quoting: GMs
NJ will be very good soon
I don’t think Mercer touches that money yet if ever
He’ll get a bridge deal IMO


Agree. In intro, I said "he probably gets a Robert Thomas-sized bridge deal (2 years x $2.8 million)"...but if these big deals become norm for young centers, NJD will have some decisions to make. Ottawa too with Pinto.

Quoting: MellowK
Jack definitely set the comparable for that Stutzle signing. I don't think Fitz will see Mercer as a guy with the same type of ceiling as those two though, especially because he'll be primarily a winger to him.

Cap is supposed to jump a lot in 24-25 though which is when he's due. So I think a lot of these comparables will get thrown out the window by the time we get there.


I think its supposed to jump once with escrow is balanced, so after 2024-25 season. And contract would probably be signed a year ahead of time...so as early as next summer. Its really not far off.
 
Reply
To create a post please Login or Register
Question:
Options:
Add Option
Submit Poll