we miss leo k
Joined: Feb. 2018
Posts: 5,973
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can't believe you'd stop one Ilya short of collecting them all
Maybe I'm in the minority, but I don't think Bertuzzi is a $7.5M player. He's had one season where he pushed a point per game; otherwise he's been around a 50ish point player the rest of his career. When you look at the forwards in their UFA years who've signed in the $7-8M AAV range in the last 3 offseasons, it's guys like Taylor Hall(174 points in 182 GP in the 3 seasons before his deal), JT Miller (3 straight seasons of being a PPG player), and Nazem Kadri - even if he was thought of as an overpay, he was averaging 71 pts/82 GP in the 3 seasons before his deal *and* was just coming off a Cup win, something we know causes GMs to overpay. Barring an absolute monster season, I just don't think Bertuzzi's in that category and giving him 7x$7.5M would be an overpay.
As far as the trades:
-I'd rather have one year left on Bailey and have Salo for LD3 than have the age-38 and -39 seasons of Ryan Suter. Christian Kyrou would be a nice add, but I don't think Dallas moves him at this point for a deal that gets them a middle-6 guy and a bottom-4 D.
-Not a big fan of giving up a 4th to pay an RD3 $2.75M. Lyub is a fine player, but there will be enough decent guys out there in UFA next summer that should cost less AAV and not cost a pick to acquire for the third pair.
-Toronto says no, unless Bellows takes a big leap this year as well. Samsonov is probably their starter by the end of the year (my own personal opinion) and if they move him they'll need to sign at least a 1B next summer - and the goalie crop isn't exactly inspiring. It's Tristan Jarry & Alex Nedjelkovic as the under-30 UFAs, then a ton of over-35 players who have been good but are getting older (Varlamov, Jonathan Quick, Cam Talbot, James Reimer) or a bunch of career backups that aren't great options.