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devils playoffs please dont hurt me

Created by: HeadHighSauce
Team: 2022-23 New Jersey Devils
Initial Creation Date: Nov. 17, 2022
Published: Nov. 17, 2022
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
I'm sorry in advance. I have no idea what the value of Buch is but he fits what the Devils want and I have no idea what the vibes are out there on the future of the team
Free Agent Signings
RESERVE LISTYEARSCAP HIT
3$925,000
Trades
1.
SJS
  1. Blackwood, Mackenzie
  2. 2025 3rd round pick (NJD)
2.
Buyouts
Recapture Fees
Buried
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2023
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2024
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Logo of the NJD
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2025
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ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
23$82,500,000$82,045,792$0$1,250,000$454,208
Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the St. Louis Blues
$5,800,000$5,800,000
LW, RW, C
M-NTC
UFA - 3
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$8,000,000$8,000,000
C
UFA - 8
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$6,000,000$6,000,000
LW, RW
NMC
UFA - 5
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$5,450,000$5,450,000
RW, LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$7,250,000$7,250,000
C
UFA - 5
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$750,000$750,000
RW
RFA - 1
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$4,500,000$4,500,000
LW, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$2,375,000$2,375,000
C, LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$894,167$894,167 (Performance Bonus$400,000$400K)
RW, C
RFA - 2
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$3,200,000$3,200,000
LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$975,000$975,000
C
RFA - 1
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$825,000$825,000
RW
UFA - 1
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$874,125$874,125
C, LW
RFA - 1
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$894,167$894,167 (Performance Bonus$850,000$850K)
RW, LW
RFA - 3
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$1,125,000$1,125,000
LD
UFA - 1
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$9,000,000$9,000,000
RD
NMC
UFA - 6
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$3,400,000$3,400,000
G
UFA - 3
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$925,000$925,000
LD/RD
RFA - 3
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$4,400,000$4,400,000
RD
UFA - 5
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$3,166,667$3,166,667
LD
UFA - 1
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$4,166,666$4,166,666
RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the San Jose Sharks
$2,250,000$2,250,000
G
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$1,100,000$1,100,000
LD/RD, LW
UFA - 2
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$4,125,000$4,125,000
G
UFA - 1

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Nov. 17, 2022 at 10:33 a.m.
#1
Archiv3
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Pretty big overpay for a guy with 1 goal
Nov. 17, 2022 at 10:34 a.m.
#2
mokumboi
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Buch isn't going anywhere, but if he did, your offer would likely be at or near the front of the line. It's certainly a respectable offer.
Nov. 17, 2022 at 10:34 a.m.
#3
Tintin over 1122
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That isn’t bad package actually. I think they would accept.
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Nov. 17, 2022 at 10:35 a.m.
#4
Tintin over 1122
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Quoting: mokumboi
Buch isn't going anywhere, but if he did, your offer would likely be at or near the front of the line. It's certainly a respectable offer.


First time I’ve ever seen you say that.


That means you did a good job @HeadHighSauce
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Nov. 17, 2022 at 10:35 a.m.
#5
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Dougie HIMilton
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@capsfan2121 @mokumboi I switched it up slightly to Shakir instead of Holtz as Holtz felt like too much, but I tried to keep it to a higher-tier prospect.
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Nov. 17, 2022 at 10:37 a.m.
#6
Tintin over 1122
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Quoting: HeadHighSauce
capsfan2121 mokumboi I switched it up slightly to Shakir instead of Holtz as Holtz felt like too much, but I tried to keep it to a higher-tier prospect.

Holtz would make the push for them to accept because buch is that important.
It would have to be an overpay to make them consider imo
Nov. 17, 2022 at 10:37 a.m.
#7
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Dougie HIMilton
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Quoting: capsfan2121
Holtz would make the push for them to accept because buch is that important.
It would have to be an overpay to make them consider imo


Sure sure. I understand that Buch would likely require an overpay. Bummer. I really like him
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Nov. 17, 2022 at 10:38 a.m.
#8
Tintin over 1122
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Quoting: HeadHighSauce
Sure sure. I understand that Buch would likely require an overpay. Bummer. I really like him


It’s crazy that he was only traded for a second and Blais
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Nov. 17, 2022 at 10:39 a.m.
#9
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Dougie HIMilton
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Quoting: capsfan2121
It’s crazy that he was only traded for a second and Blais


It really is. Rangers moment.
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Nov. 17, 2022 at 10:39 a.m.
#10
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I doubt the blues trade Buchnevich. IF they sell it will be ROR and Tarasenko
Nov. 17, 2022 at 10:40 a.m.
#11
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Dougie HIMilton
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Quoting: Tennisman142
I doubt the blues trade Buchnevich. IF they sell it will be ROR and Tarasenko


Yeah I tend to agree. But Fitz doesn't seem like the guy to swing on ROR or Tank unless we look like true contenders. But first year playoff teams seldom are.
Nov. 17, 2022 at 10:47 a.m.
#12
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Sharks ask for a 2nd for Reimer especially if Blackwood is coming back
Nov. 17, 2022 at 10:47 a.m.
#13
mokumboi
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Quoting: capsfan2121
First time I’ve ever seen you say that.


That means you did a good job HeadHighSauce



It's not. But yes, he did.
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Nov. 17, 2022 at 11:10 a.m.
#14
Sam
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Quoting: mokumboi
Buch isn't going anywhere, but if he did, your offer would likely be at or near the front of the line. It's certainly a respectable offer.


Tbh I still wouldn’t do it. Buchnevich is a machine
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Nov. 17, 2022 at 11:13 a.m.
#15
mokumboi
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Quoting: STLBlues17
Tbh I still wouldn’t do it. Buchnevich is a machine


Yup. And silly value for three seasons.
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Nov. 17, 2022 at 11:17 a.m.
#16
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Quoting: glarson17
Sharks ask for a 2nd for Reimer especially if Blackwood is coming back


2nd plus a late pick straight up. taking back Blackwood we would want more as he is purely a cap dump here.
weather you guys feel he has value or not the sharks wouldnt.
Nov. 17, 2022 at 11:18 a.m.
#17
Sam
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Quoting: mokumboi
Yup. And silly value for three seasons.


Kind of a bad contract imo. Should’ve gone for more term. Although it does allow the team to be flexible with him.
Nov. 17, 2022 at 11:20 a.m.
#18
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Dougie HIMilton
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Quoting: Rob32sjsharks
2nd plus a late pick straight up. taking back Blackwood we would want more as he is purely a cap dump here.
weather you guys feel he has value or not the sharks wouldnt.


How likely is this, genuinely? Like the historical value for rental goalies isn't particularly hot, right?. Reimer is above average and consistent, but far from a world beater.

Why historical comps would Reimer draw?
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Nov. 17, 2022 at 11:39 a.m.
#19
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Quoting: HeadHighSauce
How likely is this, genuinely? Like the historical value for rental goalies isn't particularly hot, right?. Reimer is above average and consistent, but far from a world beater.

Why historical comps would Reimer draw?


Reimer has played exceptionally well over the last 2 years on a weak San Jose sharks team in front of a bad D. I know his numbers don't jump of the paper but neither has any other goalies over the last 5/6 years in SJ. you have to look at his goals saved above average to guage his true value. Teams with offense and poor D would be wise to look into him.
the other piece here is Reimer and the Sharks have zero issue keeping him here and even if he gets traded he is likely resigning here next summer anyways.
so if they cant get a 2nd then I expect them to just keep him. but to sweeten the deal 50% retention could be a possibility and a starter caliber vet goalie with playoff experience playing well for less than 1.5 mil ups his value over his recent comps.

Fleury got a 2nd that could have been a 1st. with conditions. but was a hit of 3.5 mil even after 50% retention.
Kuemper recieved 1st plus a prospect and a 3rd and he cost 3.5 mil
Vitek Vanecek was traded for a 2nd
Adin Hill for a 2nd plus a goalie prospect.

so there are fair comps for the price i mentioned.
Nov. 17, 2022 at 11:49 a.m.
#20
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Dougie HIMilton
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Quoting: Rob32sjsharks
Reimer has played exceptionally well over the last 2 years on a weak San Jose sharks team in front of a bad D. I know his numbers don't jump of the paper but neither has any other goalies over the last 5/6 years in SJ. you have to look at his goals saved above average to guage his true value. Teams with offense and poor D would be wise to look into him.
the other piece here is Reimer and the Sharks have zero issue keeping him here and even if he gets traded he is likely resigning here next summer anyways.
so if they cant get a 2nd then I expect them to just keep him. but to sweeten the deal 50% retention could be a possibility and a starter caliber vet goalie with playoff experience playing well for less than 1.5 mil ups his value over his recent comps.

Fleury got a 2nd that could have been a 1st. with conditions. but was a hit of 3.5 mil even after 50% retention.
Kuemper recieved 1st plus a prospect and a 3rd and he cost 3.5 mil
Vitek Vanecek was traded for a 2nd
Adin Hill for a 2nd plus a goalie prospect.

so there are fair comps for the price i mentioned.


So, I'm a big analytics guy and know how good Reimer is. In the last 4 years he's been between -2 and 7 goals saves above expected. Which is good, but it's not great.

None of those guys are good comparisons for him as none were TDL rentals (and none were 35 years old) except Fleury, who had won a Vezina just 2 years prior.

Kuemper was a full year, VV and Hill didn't have contracts.

Maybe I'm off, but a 35 year old good-not-great rental doesn't seem to be historically worth a 2nd round pick.
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Nov. 17, 2022 at 12:22 p.m.
#21
mokumboi
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Quoting: STLBlues17
Kind of a bad contract imo. Should’ve gone for more term. Although it does allow the team to be flexible with him.


Yeah, I've thought about that. Maybe they could have tacked on a year, but it likely would not have granted any term discount because that would be like his age 30 UFA season. Hell, might have even raised the AAV a little. I'm happy enough we have him so cheap for more seasons to come, so it doesn't really bother me.
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Nov. 17, 2022 at 12:45 p.m.
#22
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Quoting: HeadHighSauce
So, I'm a big analytics guy and know how good Reimer is. In the last 4 years he's been between -2 and 7 goals saves above expected. Which is good, but it's not great.

None of those guys are good comparisons for him as none were TDL rentals (and none were 35 years old) except Fleury, who had won a Vezina just 2 years prior.

Kuemper was a full year, VV and Hill didn't have contracts.

Maybe I'm off, but a 35 year old good-not-great rental doesn't seem to be historically worth a 2nd round pick.


I think Fleury is very fair comparison, it’s not like he’s been great since the Vezina he won. Reimer had the same basic metrics last year and that sets the precedent. I guess it depends on how many teams are looking for a goalie at the deadline. I could think of a few off the top of my head : Devils, oilers, leafs, wild to start.
Nov. 17, 2022 at 12:53 p.m.
#23
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Dougie HIMilton
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Quoting: glarson17
I think Fleury is very fair comparison, it’s not like he’s been great since the Vezina he won. Reimer had the same basic metrics last year and that sets the precedent. I guess it depends on how many teams are looking for a goalie at the deadline. I could think of a few off the top of my head : Devils, oilers, leafs, wild to start.


Fleury might be a comparison on raw numbers, but not even remotely close on reputation, accolades, pedigree, etc.
Nov. 17, 2022 at 12:55 p.m.
#24
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Quoting: HeadHighSauce
Fleury might be a comparison on raw numbers, but not even remotely close on reputation, accolades, pedigree, etc.


None of that matters, could say the same thing about Erik Karlsson but everyone will still bash him because it’s a what have you done for me lately league
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Nov. 17, 2022 at 1:18 p.m.
#25
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Dougie HIMilton
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Edited Nov. 17, 2022 at 1:29 p.m.
Quoting: glarson17
None of that matters, could say the same thing about Erik Karlsson but everyone will still bash him because it’s a what have you done for me lately league


Of course it matters and has always mattered. Players are traded for more than their true value on reputation and accolades all the time. Hell, look at the trade ideas on this board for Gibson, Kane, Toews, etc.

It shouldn't matter, and smart GMs will know that, but it /does/ matter.

I don't understand your EK65 point.
 
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