Quoting: Samsquanch14
I think everyone just gets too caught up in "points". If he was a leading goal-scorer, he'd be making what Suzuki makes. It's funny when those who don't watch all the games try to analyze someone else's games. Analytics are great and all, but they don't tell the whole story. What people tend to miss with Anderson is that he is a valuable asset being a fast power-forward who can put up decent points for being rotated through 2nd & 3rd line. Not only that, he creates turnovers and creates plenty of opportunities. For example, the analytics don't tell if his linemates are in the right places to convert from the opportunities. He's not a bad player at all and I agree with being paid like 1m over, but other than that, he proves his worth. Everyone just assumes that if you're not lighting it up, then you're not good. That's absurd because everyone has their play-style and roles on the team. To say you'd rather have Lucic over Anderson...come on now, talk about age (when 28 isn't even that old). I think what the other person is saying is that Anderson does have value and GM's would want someone like him, a 1st? Not sure, but something decent in return would come back. I don't watch Flames games, so I don't comment on who's ass and not ass because they can play an important role that I don't see on NHL Network's highlight reels.
As for help on this to the creator, I think there are too many pieces in the trade. Can probably get away with a decent prospect with a 2nd & 3rd
There are plenty of statistics which indicate a player's value while on the ice relative to other players. I don't think you can make a rational argument that Anderson makes good chances, but the rest of his team just can't capitalize. He has the 7th worse Corsi percentage on the Habs. Anderson is the equivalent of Coleman on the flames, grossly overpaid for his production because a similar player can be found for less AAV. I would absolutely take Lucic over Anderson because there is only one year left on his contract. It's also well established that peak production's bell curve has a median age of 28. Players decline in production past 28. The few exceptions don't discount the distribution: Giordano for example, started later than most defensemen and got better past 28. Crosby has been very consistent...Lindstrom...etc. they are still a very small subset and Andersons numbers have showed an earlier decline.
I think for a team to be truly competitive they need to have an above average level of production per skater relative to the individual AAV average per skater at any given time. So for 20 dressed skaters on any given game, that gives you an average of 4.125M per skater with a caphit of 82.5M. With two goalies you would need a combined minimum of .90SV%. For the 18 skaters you would need to be on average 1.24 Goals above replacement (above the league average GAR). That works out to spending 3.33M per GAR for any given skater. For example, if you have a skater on your bottom 6 D, like Vlasic at 7M per year with a -3.4GAR it produces negative 2.06M per GAR. Basically, it just means that other players need to have higher GAR relative to every dollar you spend on them against the cap. So for San Jose, Timo Meier had the highest GAR (+16) at an AAV of 6M. His GAR only costs San Jose 375K per GAR. It certainly offsets Vlasic, but you can see how much drag it puts on a team having a few bad contracts. So yes, having a player whose production is far below what their AAV per player would dictate, is a net drag on the team. I'm using the GAR stats based of an analysis Travis Yost did on what it takes for a team to be a contender, which he based off the stats of playoff vs non playoff teams, and the ultimate winners year over year. It's a good read. I suppose you could use WAR, as well for the goalies. I just used SV% for simplicity.