Quoting: BeautifulIdiot
1 - I get what you are saying but you look at the types of goals he scores and you get why he is shooting that and you see why it is kinda sustainable. He parks himself in front of the net and gets all the tip ins, tap ins and rebounds, as well as having a killer shot. Yes regression, but for under 1M trumps that and I think by a fair margin. To get a point per game player no matter the cap situation is a bargan
2 - It might not be but making that cap more efficent, even though you are taking on a bit more cap, to have a guy who can contribute at the top of your lineup would be huge and would really help with the team's finishing abilities
3 - He is honestly a victim of circumstance, hes had like 3 goals disallowed this year already and he just doesnt have a centreman. We have good wingers and because Garland is a playmaking winger it is easy to throw him out with sheldon dries and tanner pearson, and that is where the problem is, its who hes playing with
4 - I think that the reason that the preds would do this is because they just opened up their window and now is the time to compete, yes RyJo has 3y (inc this) left on his contract but I think the surplus value that miller provides will pay dividends to the preds and a deep cup run. They have until Forsberg and Yosi cant play anymore to win a cup, then its time for a rebuild. Miller would be a good guy to take a 95 point team to a 105 point team (not on his own, but just as an addition and the subtraction of RyJo)
re: Kuzmenko - here's a quick rundown of dudes that have hit 23% or higher since 2010:
Sergei Kostitsyn: 24.7% in 2010-11 (23 G on 93 shots/77 GP)
Curtis Glencross: 23.6% in 2011-12 (26 G on 110 shots/67 GP)
Marcus Foligno: 23.5% in 2021-22 (23 G on 98 shots/74 GP)
Ivan Barbashev: 23.4% in 2021-22 (26 G on 110 shots/81 GP)
William Karlsson: 23.4% in 2017-18 (43 G on 184 shots/82 GP)
TJ Oshie: 23.1% in 2016-17 (33 G on 143 shots/68 GP)
Kuzmenko's shooting 24.1% - 13 G on 54 shots/27 GP. Only two dudes in the last 12 years (and most likely further back, considering the scoring rates before 2010) have come close to keeping up that shooting percentage while getting more than 2 shots per game, on average. Again, not saying that it's impossible to happen, just that the likelihood is that either his shooting % goes cold, or he shoots less and keeps the percentage up - either way, it would be a slowdown in scoring.
I just would be surprised if a GM threw out everything we've learned about "small sample size" to overpay in a trade for a guy after a good 1/3 of a season, I guess.