PLD UFA read description

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Created by: willinlisbon

Team: 2024-25 Montreal Canadiens

Initial Creation Date: Jan. 26, 2023

Published: Jan. 26, 2023

Salary Cap Mode: Basic

Description

MTL will have the ability to sign PLD as a UFA in the '24 off-season without having to sacrifice the future or assets they've invested significant time development into.
Bringing in PLD will give MTL a whole new top 6 look and a plethora of options on the top 6 with the ability to interchange Dach and PLD or Slavs, Cole, Anderson depending on the situation.

I have the cap set for 85.5M that season and I think that's being very conservative as it could very well be much higher around 87M.

I also see young guns such as Roy, Farrel, Kidney, Mailloux and Beck being on the team by then either as freshmen or rookies.

Buyouts Explanation:
Armia I believe will be bought out this summer ('23) - nobody will take on his contract for his performance so lets get the immediate savings NOW while the cap is low.
Dvorak and Gally performances look to be in serious decline moving forward and they'll be made expendable with the kids knocking on the door. By the summer of '24, the immediate savings would be welcome as the cap starts to rise more on average each year.

Armia (buyout summer '23) - Overall Savings 2.86M
Dvorak (buyout summer '24) - Overall Savings 1.91M
Gallagher (buyout summer '24) - Overall savings 6.5M

Total buyout savings (spread across 7 years) = over 11M

Even with 11M for PLD + 7.5M for Cole = still 20M under the cap

I've put Matheson, Savard and Evans on LTIR (because I think they'll be traded by then).
but IF they are not, they're combined 9.5 M in cap hit, still leaves us with ~12M Cap Cushion.

This 20M in cap space will be needed in '25 to sign the following RFA's

Guhle - should be signed for 6.5 (8 years)
Mailloux - 950K (entry level)

Slafkovsky - 3.5M (bridge)
Farrell - 1.75 (bridge)
Beck - 2.5 (bridge)
Heineman - (950k slide rule)
Kidney (950k slide rule)
Roy (950k slide rule)

Free Agent Signings

RESERVE LIST		YEARS	CAP HIT
Farrell, Sean		3	$950,000

RFA	YEARS	CAP HIT
Barron, Justin	4	$2,500,000
Caufield, Cole	8	$7,500,000
Harris, Jordan	2	$1,750,000
Harvey-Pinard, Rafaël	1	$1,250,000
Pezzetta, Michael	1	$1,250,000
Xhekaj, Arber	4	$3,250,000
Ylönen, Jesse	1	$1,750,000
Schnarr, Nathan	3	$950,000
Stephens, Mitchell	2	$1,250,000
Teasdale, Joël	2	$950,000
Richard, Anthony	2	$950,000
Norlinder, Mattias	2	$950,000
Leskinen, Otto	2	$950,000
Beaudin, Nicolas	2	$950,000

UFA		YEARS	CAP HIT
Montembeault, Samuel		5	$3,500,000
Bowey, Madison		1	$950,000

CREATED		YEARS	CAP HIT
Dubois, Pierre-Luc		8	$11,000,000

Buyouts

Christian Dvorak: $616,667
Brendan Gallagher: -$333,333
Joel Armia: $866,667

Buried

Mitchell Stephens: $100,000 ($1,250,000)

Draft	Round 1	Round 2	Round 3	Round 4	Round 5	Round 6	Round 7
2023
2024
2025

ROSTER

LONG-TERM OUTLOOK

EMBED

TEXT-EMBED

ROSTER SIZE	SALARY CAP	CAP HIT	OVERAGES	BONUSES	CAP SPACE
23	$85,500,000	$63,494,168	$1,022,500	$3,997,500	$22,005,832

Left Wing	Centre	Right Wing
Caufield, Cole $7,500,000$7,500,000 LW, RW UFA - 7	Suzuki, Nick $7,875,000$7,875,000 C UFA - 6	Dach, Kirby $3,362,500$3,362,500 C, RW RFA - 2
Slafkovsky, Juraj $950,000$950,000 ($3,500,000$4M) RW, LW RFA - 1	Dubois, Pierre-Luc $11,000,000$11,000,000	Anderson, Josh $5,500,000$5,500,000 RW, LW M-NTC UFA - 3
Farrell, Sean $950,000$950,000 RW, LW RFA - 1	Beck, Owen $885,000$885,000 ($20,000$20K) C RFA - 2	Roy, Joshua $835,000$835,000 LW, RW RFA - 2
Harvey-Pinard, Rafaël $1,250,000$1,250,000 LW, RW RFA - 1	Kidney, Riley $836,667$836,667 ($57,500$58K) C RFA - 2	Ylönen, Jesse $1,750,000$1,750,000 RW, LW RFA
Heineman, Emil $897,500$897,500 LW, RW RFA - 1		Pezzetta, Michael $1,250,000$1,250,000 LW, RW UFA - 1

Left Defense	Right Defense	Goaltender
Guhle, Kaiden $863,333$863,333 ($420,000$420K) LD/RD RFA - 1	Barron, Justin $2,500,000$2,500,000 RD RFA	Allen, Jake $1,925,000$1,925,000 G M-NTC UFA - 1
Harris, Jordan $1,750,000$1,750,000 LD/RD RFA - 1	Mailloux, Logan $875,000$875,000 RD RFA - 2	Montembeault, Samuel $3,500,000$3,500,000 G UFA - 3
Xhekaj, Arber $3,250,000$3,250,000 LD/RD RFA	Kovacevic, Johnathan $766,667$766,667 RD UFA - 1
Bowey, Madison $950,000$950,000 RD UFA

Scratches	Injured Reserve (IR)	Long Term IR (LTIR)
		Price, Carey $10,500,000$10,500,000 G NMC UFA - 2
		Evans, Jake $1,700,000$1,700,000 C UFA - 1
		Savard, David $3,500,000$3,500,000 RD UFA - 1
		Matheson, Michael $4,875,000$4,875,000 LD M-NTC UFA - 2

Jan. 26, 2023 at 8:22 a.m.

jonh514

HuGo is a Boss GM

Joined: Dec. 2021

Posts: 6,940

Likes: 3,032

Quoting: willinlisbon

MTL will have the ability to sign PLD as a UFA in the '24 off-season without having to sacrifice the future or assets they've invested significant time development into.

This is an insane premise. No way PLD signs for 1 year in the offseason. Habs will have to trade for his rights or lose their chance. I am a diehard Habs supporter but this premise that all Habs fans are spouting is total nonsense.

Can you name 1 player in the last 10 years who has signed 2 1-year deals in a row if he had any other option? The risk he would be taking with his career and future earnings does not justify the return he will get.

His rights will be traded in the offseason to a team that will sign him to a long term extension for 8M or more per season.

Rooney, palhal and dannibalcorpse liked this.

Jan. 26, 2023 at 8:34 a.m.

Birtle34

Bandwagon fairweathe

Joined: Jun. 2018

Posts: 7,598

Likes: 3,253

Quoting: jonh514

I still think there’s a spot here where he resigns in Winnipeg for 3 years 8.5 to 9.5 and then traded in two years, when jets window is closed or closing and possibly Montreal at that point or somewhere else then goes 8x at 27 years old

Rooney and jonh514 liked this.

Jan. 26, 2023 at 9:47 a.m.

palhal

LongtimeLeafsufferer

Joined: Jul. 2015

Posts: 59,487

Likes: 22,662

Quoting: jonh514

One of probably very few, who went for short term contracts instead of signing long term was Trouba of the Jets. He managed it so, the Jets had control of him for just for one season. Jets made the trade to the Rangers.....Trouba signed long term and Jets got a nice return for a guy that going to walk as UFA. Matthew Tkachuk did the same thing. Nice return to Calgary, Huberneau, Weager and a 1st thought Flames made the mistake of signing Hubeneau to an outrageously high $$$ and maximum term which ends when he is 38.
We';ll see if PLD does forgo a guaranteed long term contract this summer, or will go the one year contract so he can be a UFA in the summer of 2024.

jonh514 liked this.

Jan. 26, 2023 at 10:38 a.m.

jonh514

HuGo is a Boss GM

Joined: Dec. 2021

Posts: 6,940

Likes: 3,032

Quoting: Birtle34

Fair enough. I can see him re-signing in Winnipeg as well on a shorter deal!

Jan. 26, 2023 at 10:39 a.m.

jonh514

HuGo is a Boss GM

Joined: Dec. 2021

Posts: 6,940

Likes: 3,032

Quoting: palhal

Did Trouba or Tkachuk do it twice though? PLD did it this past offseason already...

Jan. 26, 2023 at 1:50 p.m.

willinlisbon

Thread Starter

Joined: Mar. 2020

Posts: 299

Likes: 91

Quoting: jonh514

Doesn't mean it can't be done.
PLD controls the shots here - as an RFA.
to say it's unthinkable, unimaginable or any thing that "CAN"T" realistically happen is what is crazy here.

Jet's have him now and are firmly intrenched in a playoff position with "cup contender" status.
They're simply NOT going to move him at the TDL.
in the offseason, they ONLY way they can trade his rights is to a team that will be allowed to have contract talks with him beforehand - that list of teams WILL definitely include the HABS.
no matter which way you slice it PLD is in complete control in all scenarios.
So long story short I can absolutely see this playing out.

Jan. 26, 2023 at 6:45 p.m.

palhal

LongtimeLeafsufferer

Joined: Jul. 2015

Posts: 59,487

Likes: 22,662

Quoting: jonh514

Did Trouba or Tkachuk do it twice though? PLD did it this past offseason already...

Tkachuk did sign a 3 year RFA after his ELC which is not unusual....though it did give just on more year as RFA till UFA. Yeah, PLD is on that route.
Trouba haad at two RFA contracts with the Jets and was about to start a third, till he got traded.
Yeah it's a "brave" thing for a player to do, forego long term security after his ELC with and take short term contracts and hope to hit UFA status as a better, healthy player.

Jan. 27, 2023 at 2:39 a.m.

jonh514

HuGo is a Boss GM

Joined: Dec. 2021

Posts: 6,940

Likes: 3,032

Quoting: willinlisbon

Yes... It can happen. But it's about as likely as someone eating a bat and causing a global pandemic...

willinlisbon liked this.

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