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Live Free Or Die

Created by: IDKtbh
Team: 2022-23 Detroit Red Wings
Initial Creation Date: Feb. 5, 2023
Published: Feb. 5, 2023
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
For those of you making Larkin trades, this is what it would take or else he’s staying. So, it’s safe to say he’s staying.

This is obviously not a prediction of what I think will happen. Larkin is likely not being dealt and we’re also likely not going to be buyers of any sort.

I do however think it’s important to prepare for the future and trade as many pending free agents we can. I’m just really not a big Larkin fan so, my preference would be to trade him if we got enough value; I think we do that here.

It would also be nice to see move like the Demko one, where we can potentially get a player whom otherwise would not be available and essentially “buy low” although, still a steep price for a guy playing as bad as he has this year. I still think the world of Demko so, I’d pay that price, especially if we load up on picks via the corresponding moves.

Taxi Squad is the prospect rankings in order - Wallinder, Mazur, Morrow, Buium & Tuomisto all signed next year.
Free Agent Signings
RESERVE LISTYEARSCAP HIT
3$875,000
3$875,000
3$875,000
3$875,000
3$875,000
Trades
1.
DET
  1. Heimosalmi, Aleksi
  2. Jarvis, Seth
  3. Morrow, Scott [Reserve List]
  4. 2023 1st round pick (CAR)
CAR
  1. Kubalik, Dominik
  2. Larkin, Dylan ($3,050,000 retained)
2.
DET
  1. 2023 1st round pick (PIT)
PIT
  1. Bertuzzi, Tyler ($2,375,000 retained)
  2. 2023 4th round pick (DET)
3.
DET
  1. 2023 2nd round pick (DAL)
4.
DET
  1. Foegele, Warren
  2. 2023 1st round pick (EDM)
5.
VAN
  1. Hellberg, Magnus
  2. 2023 2nd round pick (STL)
  3. 2023 2nd round pick (DAL)
  4. 2025 3rd round pick (DET)
Buyouts
Retained Salary Transactions
Buried
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2023
Logo of the DET
Logo of the CAR
Logo of the PIT
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the DET
Logo of the DET
Logo of the DET
Logo of the DET
Logo of the DET
2024
Logo of the DET
Logo of the DET
Logo of the DET
Logo of the DET
Logo of the DAL
Logo of the DET
Logo of the DET
Logo of the DET
2025
Logo of the DET
Logo of the DET
Logo of the DET
Logo of the DET
Logo of the DET
Logo of the DET
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
21$82,500,000$66,754,723$0$4,275,000$15,745,277
Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Detroit Red Wings
$925,000$925,000
RW, LW
RFA - 2
Logo of the Detroit Red Wings
$5,625,000$5,625,000
C, LW, RW
M-NTC
UFA - 5
Logo of the Detroit Red Wings
$925,000$925,000 (Performance Bonus$2,500,000$2M)
RW, LW
RFA - 2
Logo of the Detroit Red Wings
$4,000,000$4,000,000
LW
UFA - 3
Logo of the Detroit Red Wings
$1,460,000$1,460,000
LW, C
UFA - 2
Logo of the Detroit Red Wings
$4,750,000$4,750,000
RW, LW
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Logo of the Detroit Red Wings
$2,625,000$2,625,000
LW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Detroit Red Wings
$894,167$894,167 (Performance Bonus$425,000$425K)
C
RFA - 1
Logo of the Carolina Hurricanes
$894,167$894,167 (Performance Bonus$500,000$500K)
RW
RFA - 2
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$2,750,000$2,750,000
LW, RW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Detroit Red Wings
$3,250,000$3,250,000
C, LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Detroit Red Wings
$1,825,000$1,825,000
RW, LW
RFA - 3
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Detroit Red Wings
$4,750,000$4,750,000
LD/RD
M-NTC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Detroit Red Wings
$863,333$863,333 (Performance Bonus$850,000$850K)
RD
RFA - 2
Logo of the Detroit Red Wings
$4,750,000$4,750,000
G
M-NTC
UFA - 3
Logo of the Detroit Red Wings
$800,000$800,000
LD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Detroit Red Wings
$4,400,000$4,400,000
RD
RFA - 2
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$5,000,000$5,000,000
G
UFA - 4
Logo of the Detroit Red Wings
$850,000$850,000
RD
RFA - 1
Logo of the Detroit Red Wings
$1,350,000$1,350,000
LD/RD
UFA - 1
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
Logo of the Detroit Red Wings
$762,500$762,500
C, RW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Detroit Red Wings
$850,000$850,000
RD
UFA - 1
Taxi Squad
Logo of the Detroit Red Wings
$950,000$950,000 ($0$0$0$0)
C
RFA - 4
Logo of the Detroit Red Wings
$925,000$925,000 ($0$0$0$0)
LD
RFA - 4
Logo of the Detroit Red Wings
$875,000$875,000 ($0$0$0$0)
LD
RFA
$875,000$875,000 ($0$0$0$0)
RD
RFA
Logo of the Detroit Red Wings
$894,167$894,167 ($0$0$0$0)
G
RFA - 4
Logo of the Detroit Red Wings
$878,333$878,333 ($0$0$0$0) (Performance Bonus$82,500$82K)
LW, C
RFA - 3
Logo of the Detroit Red Wings
$820,000$820,000 ($0$0$0$0) (Performance Bonus$82,500$82K)
LD
RFA - 2
Logo of the Detroit Red Wings
$875,000$875,000 ($0$0$0$0)
LW
RFA
Logo of the Carolina Hurricanes
$828,333$828,333 ($0$0$0$0)
RD
RFA - 4
Logo of the Detroit Red Wings
$875,000$875,000 ($0$0$0$0)
LD
RFA
Logo of the Detroit Red Wings
$875,000$875,000 ($0$0$0$0)
RD
RFA
Logo of the Detroit Red Wings
$861,667$861,667 ($0$0$0$0)
C
RFA - 4
Logo of the Detroit Red Wings
$859,167$859,167 ($0$0$0$0) (Performance Bonus$82,500$82K)
LW
RFA - 3

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Feb. 5, 2023 at 8:10 p.m.
#1
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I can't see Carolina paying that. Morrow and Jarvis is too expensive. Maatta is probably a 3rd, I have a hard time thinking they don't get more quality for demko.
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Feb. 5, 2023 at 8:15 p.m.
#2
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I like where your head is at, and these deals are pretty reasonable. I doubt Demko can be had without a 1st and making it up in volume isn't really gonna make Vancouver jump at the trade. However, this is Vancouver, so they make it a point to do terrible trades that don't work for them.

I dont think Larkin gets that haul. Their best prospect that is probably NHL ready, Jarvis is good already and figures to be a 2C one day soon, I think, and a late 1st. The D prospect is playing alright in Finland, but at 19 he has a ways to go, and the Finnish league isn't bad but it certainly is well below the SHL.

Basically, Carolina is giving up more than they'd be willing. For perspective, I'd say this would be the equivalent of Detroit trading Edvinsson, Rasmussen, and Viro/Wallinder, and a pick, to land Horvat. Jarvis is probably better than Rasmussen, but Edvinsson is probably better than Morrow.
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Feb. 5, 2023 at 8:31 p.m.
#3
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Edited Feb. 5, 2023 at 8:40 p.m.
Quoting: Jfstompers
I can't see Carolina paying that. Morrow and Jarvis is too expensive. Maatta is probably a 3rd, I have a hard time thinking they don't get more quality for demko.

Come onnn, Kubalik is in there, though. Dominik Kubalik, the prolific point producer every Wings fan on here doesn’t wanna let go of. I should unblock HockeyIsMyPassion so we can get more perspective on how amazing & valuable Dominik Kubalik is.

I could see Carolina overpaying to replace Max; this likely won’t be the deal they do though for obvious reasons.

Maatta’s value definitely took a hit ever since getting switched off of Hronek’s pairing. At this point, with Walman presumably in the mix next year, I would hope Maatta is moved rather than losing him for nothing, as it would make little sense to re-sign both he and Walman.

Demko is an interesting case, as is Vancouver as a whole. I can’t really see a team giving up more than that and Vancouver will likely want more but, with the injury and poor play; it is most likely he is not traded at all.
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Feb. 5, 2023 at 8:38 p.m.
#4
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Quoting: IDKtbh
Come onnn, Kubalik is in there, though. Dominik Kubalik, the prolific point producer every Wings fan on here doesn’t wanna let go of. I should unblock HockeyIsMyPassion so we can get more perspective on how amazing & valuable Dominik Kubalik is.

I could see Carolina overlaying to replace Max; this likely won’t be the deal they do though for obvious reasons.

Maatta’s value definitely took a hit ever since getting switched off of Hronek’s pairing. At this point, with Walman presumably in the mix next year, I would hope Maatta is moved rather than losing him for nothing, as it would make little sense to re-sign both he and Walman.

Demko is an interesting case, as is Vancouver as a whole. I can’t really see a team giving up more than that and Vancouver will likely want more but, with the injury and poor play; it is most likely he is not traded at all.


I agree I have a hard time seeing demko traded. I know goalies are bananas and selling him now gets them off the hook for the money but it's also maybe selling low on a high end goalie. They're better off waiting unless someone kills them with an offer.
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Feb. 5, 2023 at 8:38 p.m.
#5
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Quoting: tonyhzs
I like where your head is at, and these deals are pretty reasonable. I doubt Demko can be had without a 1st and making it up in volume isn't really gonna make Vancouver jump at the trade. However, this is Vancouver, so they make it a point to do terrible trades that don't work for them.

I dont think Larkin gets that haul. Their best prospect that is probably NHL ready, Jarvis is good already and figures to be a 2C one day soon, I think, and a late 1st. The D prospect is playing alright in Finland, but at 19 he has a ways to go, and the Finnish league isn't bad but it certainly is well below the SHL.

Basically, Carolina is giving up more than they'd be willing. For perspective, I'd say this would be the equivalent of Detroit trading Edvinsson, Rasmussen, and Viro/Wallinder, and a pick, to land Horvat. Jarvis is probably better than Rasmussen, but Edvinsson is probably better than Morrow.

Thank you. Good points on all fronts.

Jarvis appears to be strictly a winger. He’s not lived up to expectations this year but, I don’t anticipate Carolina moving him just yet. I was hellbent in the offseason about trying to pry Marty Necas away from them and he is now having a career year. I think patience would be best for Jarvis & the Canes but, if they can get a player like Larkin for him, it might work.

I could see CAR doing a trade like this but, with Jarvis OR Morrow, likely not both. I suppose how they view Kubalik’s value and an extension perhaps in place for Larkin could impact the return in Detroit’s favor. More than likely though, Larkin is not traded.

Also, reasonable comparison on that trade package - the Edvinsson & Rasmussen explanation makes sense, however I’d use maybe Buium instead of Wallinder, and if the Red Wings were a dominant team like the Canes are, that would give us something to think about. I probably wouldn’t do it, but something to consider nonetheless.
Feb. 5, 2023 at 8:39 p.m.
#6
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Quoting: Jfstompers
I agree I have a hard time seeing demko traded. I know goalies are bananas and selling him now gets them off the hook for the money but it's also maybe selling low on a high end goalie. They're better off waiting unless someone kills them with an offer.

For sure.

Do you make that Demko deal if you’re the Wings ?
Feb. 5, 2023 at 8:40 p.m.
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I can’t see the Canucks selling low on Demko
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Feb. 5, 2023 at 8:41 p.m.
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Quoting: mv21227
I can’t see the Canucks selling low on Demko

I would have to agree. This package surely isn’t peanuts but, you would imagine they’d want a 1st back.
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Feb. 5, 2023 at 8:43 p.m.
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Quoting: IDKtbh
I would have to agree. This package surely isn’t peanuts but, you would imagine they’d want a 1st back.


Yeah I imagine the starting point is a 1st or equivalent prospect, which I don’t see Detroit giving up at this stage
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Feb. 5, 2023 at 8:44 p.m.
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Quoting: mv21227
Yeah I imagine the starting point is a 1st or equivalent prospect, which I don’t see Detroit giving up at this stage

I concur.
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Feb. 5, 2023 at 9:02 p.m.
#11
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Canucks pass, no real reason for us to do that
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Feb. 5, 2023 at 9:05 p.m.
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All of these ludocristly favor Detroit. Rental Larkin right now wouldn't get back Morrow or Jarvis, forget both. Not even your dreams should be containing that.
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Feb. 5, 2023 at 9:10 p.m.
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For some perspective from Canes country, they will NOT feel compelled to overpay to replace Max considering the team managed to do quite well without him for the vast majority of the season. Now they will want to reinforce for the playoffs, but they are in a position to make some more strategic adds. One big hitter perhaps, but there is no reason to buy out of desperation. Injury can change all that, but you're not looking at a team that will need to overpay unless they care to dive into a bidding war which they tend to shy away from. I think they may lean towards some trades for players with term to get ahead on next years roster considering some pending UFA's not likely coming back. Just my .02 cents from the heart of Canes country.
Feb. 5, 2023 at 9:17 p.m.
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This would never happen, but I feel like this is one situation where a pending UFA can be traded for a strong but discounted price, and then re-signed in the summer.
Feb. 5, 2023 at 9:18 p.m.
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Quoting: Caniac2000
All of these ludocristly favor Detroit. Rental Larkin right now wouldn't get back Morrow or Jarvis, forget both. Not even your dreams should be containing that.


This is obviously assuming a Bo Horvat type of situation, where the team trading for him will be extending him long term.
Feb. 5, 2023 at 9:21 p.m.
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Quoting: Caniac2000
All of these ludocristly favor Detroit. Rental Larkin right now wouldn't get back Morrow or Jarvis, forget both. Not even your dreams should be containing that.

“Ludocristly” damn, wish I saw this word before I made my username on here.

So, I take it you don’t like Dominik Kubalik, eh?
Feb. 5, 2023 at 9:23 p.m.
#17
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Quoting: InRodWeTrust
For some perspective from Canes country, they will NOT feel compelled to overpay to replace Max considering the team managed to do quite well without him for the vast majority of the season. Now they will want to reinforce for the playoffs, but they are in a position to make some more strategic adds. One big hitter perhaps, but there is no reason to buy out of desperation. Injury can change all that, but you're not looking at a team that will need to overpay unless they care to dive into a bidding war which they tend to shy away from. I think they may lean towards some trades for players with term to get ahead on next years roster considering some pending UFA's not likely coming back. Just my .02 cents from the heart of Canes country.

I absolutely agree. This was more-so to demonstrate our unwillingness to give Larkin away. We would need to be overpaid.

Carolina is probably top 5 right now overall in the NHL without Max, however I would imagine they do make a move prior to the deadline. Probably not one as significant as this, though.
Feb. 5, 2023 at 9:24 p.m.
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Quoting: Datsyukian13
This would never happen, but I feel like this is one situation where a pending UFA can be traded for a strong but discounted price, and then re-signed in the summer.

Those are my dream type of trades. I always wonder why they never seem to happen, tho. Probably not a real good look to say the least.
Feb. 5, 2023 at 9:26 p.m.
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Quoting: IDKtbh
Those are my dream type of trades. I always wonder why they never seem to happen, tho. Probably not a real good look to say the least.


Seems like a no-brainer to me, especially with this Larkin situation.

Take a 1st + from Team X, re-sign Larkin in the summer.
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Feb. 5, 2023 at 9:28 p.m.
#20
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Quoting: Datsyukian13
Seems like a no-brainer to me, especially with this Larkin situation.

Take a 1st + from Team X, re-sign Larkin in the summer.

Love it. More of “borrow” than a trade, lol.
Feb. 5, 2023 at 10:55 p.m.
#21
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Quoting: IDKtbh
For sure.

Do you make that Demko deal if you’re the Wings ?


I'm more of a fan of a trade like that for a goalie than drafting one high in the first round like we did with cossa. If yzerman plans to add and try and be better then I wouldn't hate the deal I'm just not sure it's the best use of the assets though.
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Feb. 5, 2023 at 11:04 p.m.
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Quoting: Jfstompers
I'm more of a fan of a trade like that for a goalie than drafting one high in the first round like we did with cossa. If yzerman plans to add and try and be better then I wouldn't hate the deal I'm just not sure it's the best use of the assets though.

I feel u.

Idk if you keep tabs on the Griffins but Zadina & Vrana combined for 3 goals and Soderblom netted the GW SO goal. Vrana has been on a tear with 8 points in his last 7 games after the slow start he had. YouTube highlights if u wanna see the game recap.

https://youtu.be/DUqzTTXGGoI
Feb. 5, 2023 at 11:09 p.m.
#23
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Quoting: IDKtbh
I feel u.

Idk if you keep tabs on the Griffins but Zadina & Vrana combined for 3 goals and Soderblom netted the GW SO goal. Vrana has been on a tear with 8 points in his last 7 games after the slow start he had. YouTube highlights if u wanna see the game recap.

https://youtu.be/DUqzTTXGGoI


Yeah I saw, it's really nice to see. I'm not optimistic but God would Zadina putting up some points when he gets back be great. I wonder if we see vrana at some point soon too? I figured they'd leave him there but he's playing real good.
Feb. 5, 2023 at 11:26 p.m.
#24
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Quoting: IDKtbh
“Ludocristly” damn, wish I saw this word before I made my username on here.

So, I take it you don’t like Dominik Kubalik, eh?


I more meant giving up 3x what Larkin is worth for a meh 2C when Jarvis has literally started to move over recently.
Feb. 5, 2023 at 11:27 p.m.
#25
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Quoting: Datsyukian13
This is obviously assuming a Bo Horvat type of situation, where the team trading for him will be extending him long term.


Even in that situation, Jarvis and Morrow are non-starters.
 
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