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(BUF/LAK) - Portillo for 3rd

Who won the trade?
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Mar. 1, 2023 at 6:20 p.m.
#1
Trade confirmed: Buffalo Sabres - Los Angeles Kings
Trade Details
Buffalo Sabres Acquire:
Logo of the Buffalo Sabres
2023 3rd round pick (LAK - #86 - Gavin McCarthy)
Sum: $0$0$0
Change: $0
Change: $0
Change: $0
Los Angeles Kings Acquire:
Logo of the Los Angeles Kings
Erik Portillo · $0$0$0 (AHL/JR) (Signing Rights)
Sum: $0$0$0
Change: $0
Change: $0
Change: $0
Mar. 1, 2023 at 6:21 p.m.
#2
WentWughes
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Buffalo - Wasn't going to sign with them. 22 YO Goalie with bad stats on one of the best college teams in history
Kings - Traded a 3rd for a struggling 22 YO on an Elite Team. Goalies are Voodoo
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Mar. 1, 2023 at 6:22 p.m.
#3
Tintin over 1122
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Trade for the rights of Quicks heart
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Mar. 1, 2023 at 6:22 p.m.
#4
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Rob Blake's worse TDL. That's saying something considering Dion Phaneuf + Nate Thompson ...
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Mar. 1, 2023 at 6:23 p.m.
#5
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W for Buffalo

Getting a 3rd for a guy that didn't want to sign

I think he's a pretty overrated goalie prospect. Meh stats on an absolutely stacked team.
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Mar. 1, 2023 at 6:24 p.m.
#6
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Seen Portillo live a few times and he is very sound in net and someone I would like to have in my pipeline. Only possible negative is he's already playing/played with so many NHL players at the college level so hopefully he doesn't have a rude awakening when sides are flipped on talent.
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Mar. 1, 2023 at 6:25 p.m.
#7
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I’d say a fair trade. He was a 3rd round pick in the first place. Word is he wasn’t going to sign with the Sabres so it’s a good return and really a win for both clubs.
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Mar. 1, 2023 at 6:34 p.m.
#8
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Biggest deal of the day
Mar. 1, 2023 at 6:39 p.m.
#9
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Buffalo got a third for a player that drafted in the 3rd round that they were just going to lose for nothing this summer. ... I think. I'm not 100% sure how long they keep signing rights after a draft, but it isn't that long.

On the other hand, a 3rd round pick only have about a 25% - 30% chance of turning into a NHL regular and that usually takes 3 or more years to happen.

So this trade is magic beans while losing nothing.
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Mar. 1, 2023 at 6:46 p.m.
#10
Sabres are elite
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I think Portillo can become a solid 1B goalie, he has all the tools to be an NHL goalie. Hope he pans out for LA. To get a 3rd round pick for a player who everyone knew wouldn't sign with Buffalo is a W in my books.
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Mar. 1, 2023 at 7:24 p.m.
#11
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Blackhawks missed the boat on this one
Mar. 1, 2023 at 7:28 p.m.
#12
sen krak fan
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Sabres win.
Mar. 1, 2023 at 7:42 p.m.
#13
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The Sabres have Devon Levi that should be playing for Rochester in the AHL next season. Portillo would be outplayed in the Sabres system, and needs an opportunity elsewhere.
Mar. 1, 2023 at 8:43 p.m.
#14
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Quoting: CSStrowbridge

On the other hand, a 3rd round pick only have about a 25% - 30% chance of turning into a NHL regular and that usually takes 3 or more years to happen.

.


I think your numbers are off.

From the 2019 draft: 0 3rd round picks have played 82 games
2018: 1
2017: 2
2016: 3
2015: 4
2014: 8
2013: 10
2012: 14
2011: 11

You need to wait 9 years to get to 25%.
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Mar. 1, 2023 at 9:40 p.m.
#15
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Quoting: worldwidesensei
I think your numbers are off.

From the 2019 draft: 0 3rd round picks have played 82 games
2018: 1
2017: 2
2016: 3
2015: 4
2014: 8
2013: 10
2012: 14
2011: 11

You need to wait 9 years to get to 25%.


It takes about three years or more to START being a NHL regular.
Mar. 1, 2023 at 9:49 p.m.
#16
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Quoting: CSStrowbridge
It takes about three years or more to START being a NHL regular.


Sorry, I don't know what that means. What 2020 or even 2019 3rd round draft pick has started being regular?

I guess you have said 3 or more, so that could mean 3 or 15 years.

3rd round picks have a roughly 10% chance of being a regular NHL'er

2nd round picks are in line with your 25-30%.
Mar. 1, 2023 at 10:03 p.m.
#17
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Quoting: CSStrowbridge
It takes about three years or more to START being a NHL regular.


Protas (2019) as played 43 games.No one else is remotely close. That's 1/31 or 3.2%
J harris (2018) has played 66 games this year and Dewar as played 60. That's 2/31.
2017: Geekie, Entwistle, Kovacevic, Skinner are regulars. That's 4/31 or 12.9%
2016: Fox, Mahura. That's 2/30.

I'm not seeing 25-30%
Mar. 2, 2023 at 2:09 a.m.
#18
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Quoting: worldwidesensei
Protas (2019) as played 43 games.No one else is remotely close. That's 1/31 or 3.2%
J harris (2018) has played 66 games this year and Dewar as played 60. That's 2/31.
2017: Geekie, Entwistle, Kovacevic, Skinner are regulars. That's 4/31 or 12.9%
2016: Fox, Mahura. That's 2/30.

I'm not seeing 25-30%


I just rechecked the video I saw recently.



I got the third round confused with the second round. So it's a 1 in 6 chance of becoming an NHL regular in round three. You are correct. Sorry for the confusion.
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Mar. 2, 2023 at 4:28 p.m.
#19
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Quoting: CSStrowbridge
I just rechecked the video I saw recently.



I got the third round confused with the second round. So it's a 1 in 6 chance of becoming an NHL regular in round three. You are correct. Sorry for the confusion.


1/6 = 16.6%

What draft year was that high?

Please illustrate ur point.
Mar. 2, 2023 at 5:00 p.m.
#20
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Quoting: worldwidesensei
1/6 = 16.6%

What draft year was that high?

Please illustrate ur point.


There are 42 so far in 8 years and that includes 2019 and 2018, both of which will likely produce at least one more NHL regulars give the other years. That's an average over just over 5 per draft for a 1 in 6 chance.
Mar. 2, 2023 at 6:37 p.m.
#21
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Quoting: CSStrowbridge
There are 42 so far in 8 years and that includes 2019 and 2018, both of which will likely produce at least one more NHL regulars give the other years. That's an average over just over 5 per draft for a 1 in 6 chance.


Name them. I've given you names. You have not.
Mar. 2, 2023 at 6:38 p.m.
#22
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Quoting: CSStrowbridge
There are 42 so far in 8 years and that includes 2019 and 2018, both of which will likely produce at least one more NHL regulars give the other years. That's an average over just over 5 per draft for a 1 in 6 chance.


What 42? Just tell me and we can call it a day.

There's not 42, so I won't wait.

I gave you all the names and players. It's 12.9% at the highest.

Just acknowledge that, acknowledge your stubborn and hate being wrong, or prove me wrong, somehow.
Mar. 2, 2023 at 7:18 p.m.
#23
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Quoting: worldwidesensei
What 42? Just tell me and we can call it a day.


Did you not watch the video?
Mar. 3, 2023 at 4:13 a.m.
#24
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Quoting: CSStrowbridge
Did you not watch the video?


List them.

I listed all 3rd rounders who made it.
Mar. 3, 2023 at 8:30 p.m.
#25
sensonfire
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Erik Portillo has done absolutely nothing lately to prove he's still worth a 3rd round pick.

Buffalo wins the trade.
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