couldnt afford 2nd t
Joined: Sep. 2021
Posts: 1,014
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That looks pretty realistic.
Between this summer and the trade deadline, there has been a pretty consistent market set for star players by trades like Fiala, Debrincat, Meier, Chychrun, and Hronek. It's a 1st as a center piece and 1-3 other B/C level pieces. (Ignoring unlikely conditional 1sts)
Dvorak probably doesn't have much value, but Montreal would need to move out redundant cap, and Winnipeg would need a replacement. Winnipeg often has to acquire players with term and no trade protection because players don't willingly want to go there (it's cold). So while most teams might not want to take the 2 remaining years of Dvorak, they might value adding a middle 6 center with term.
The first time around, Columbus couldn't get a package of top assets for Dubois, and he likely had more value at that time. They had to settle for swapping him for another young player who wasn't a fit into their original team. Laine clearly wasn't their first choice. I can't imagine Winnipeg will have anymore luck trading Dubois.
With that said, they could set a higher price for Montreal because they know be will sign long term there, and threaten to move him elsewhere. Montreal could call their bluff, but there would be a small chance that Dubois ends up liking it where he is traded to and never hits the open market where Montreal can get him "for free".