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Dubois value if Florida makes playoffs

Created by: Howie
Team: 2022-23 Winnipeg Jets
Initial Creation Date: Mar. 21, 2023
Published: Mar. 21, 2023
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
Florida pick would be the main asset but the value of it keeps slowly getting worse as Florida does better. Does the trade get improved to reflect where the pick lands
Trades
WPG
  1. 2023 1st round pick (FLA)
Additional Details:
What else would be added
(Needs to beat best offer could have Extension which would be quite large for those mtl agms)
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2023
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Logo of the FLA
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2024
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2025
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ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
26$82,500,000$79,232,858$0$2,050,000$3,267,142
Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$7,142,857$7,142,857
LW
UFA - 4
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$6,125,000$6,125,000
C
M-NTC
UFA - 2
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$8,250,000$8,250,000
RW
M-NTC, NMC
UFA - 2
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$4,000,000$4,000,000
LW, RW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$894,167$894,167 (Performance Bonus$850,000$850K)
LW, C
RFA - 2
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$6,000,000$6,000,000
RW, LW
M-NTC
UFA - 3
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$1,250,000$1,250,000
LW, RW, C
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$2,166,667$2,166,667
RW
UFA - 3
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$925,000$925,000 (Performance Bonus$850,000$850K)
LW, RW
RFA - 1
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$3,250,000$3,250,000
C
M-NTC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$825,000$825,000
RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$775,000$775,000
LW, C
RFA - 2
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$750,000$750,000
C, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$750,000$750,000
RW, LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$750,000$750,000
LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$750,000$750,000
RW, C
UFA - 1
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$6,250,000$6,250,000
LD
NMC
UFA - 6
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$5,875,000$5,875,000
RD
UFA - 3
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$6,166,667$6,166,667
G
UFA - 2
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$3,000,000$3,000,000
RD
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$900,000$900,000
G
UFA - 1
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$925,000$925,000 (Performance Bonus$350,000$350K)
LD
RFA - 1
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$5,950,000$5,950,000
LD/RD
M-NTC
UFA - 3
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$3,900,000$3,900,000
LD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$900,000$900,000
LD
RFA - 1
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$762,500$762,500
LD
UFA - 2

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Mar. 21, 2023 at 6:37 p.m.
#1
Reinbacher Josi 2.0
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If FLA makes the playoffs, and there isn't a clear steal at that draft position, Habs do this trade and might add a guy like Farrell, high risk, but also high reward.
Mar. 21, 2023 at 6:39 p.m.
#2
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Quoting: Caufield
If FLA makes the playoffs, and there isn't a clear steal at that draft position, Habs do this trade and might add a guy like Farrell, high risk, but also high reward.


I'd rather not have farell in this case. Also if there's an extension in place the price is high than pick 17 and farell lol
Mar. 21, 2023 at 6:43 p.m.
#3
Jetsfan
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If MTL doesnt want to give up Dach or Barron, then the Jets trade Duby elsewhere.

the only Jets trade is Duby to MTL is to get a top 12 pick plus others
Mar. 21, 2023 at 6:45 p.m.
#4
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Quoting: Jetman
If MTL doesnt want to give up Dach or Barron, then the Jets trade Duby elsewhere.

the only Jets trade is Duby to MTL is to get a top 12 pick plus others


Fair just basing on the most popular destination. If he's willing to extend elsewhere mtl is so out of luck lol.
Mar. 21, 2023 at 6:47 p.m.
#5
Jetsfan
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Quoting: Howie
Fair just basing on the most popular destination. If he's willing to extend elsewhere mtl is so out of luck lol.


Yah but what I mean is if MTL doesnt want to pony up, trade him as a one year rental for basically the same price. Dont tell me Buffalo or Detroit doesnt want him to get over the payoff line...even if he only plays for one year
Mar. 21, 2023 at 6:51 p.m.
#6
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The comparable has always been the Horvat deal, the Panthers pick is still likely in the Islanders range.

But if we're entertaining this dumb line of thinking, then at what point does the fact that Dubois has 8 points in his last 20 games (6 of which were on the PP) and keeps slowly getting worse (no 5v5 points in 9 games) as the Jets struggle (in the West only the Sharks and Blackhawks have been worse over their last 10) mean that the trade improves for Montreal to reflect that Dubois isn't actually as good as he looked for parts of this season?
Mar. 21, 2023 at 7:01 p.m.
#7
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Quoting: Burnout
The comparable has always been the Horvat deal, the Panthers pick is still likely in the Islanders range.

But if we're entertaining this dumb line of thinking, then at what point does the fact that Dubois has 8 points in his last 20 games (6 of which were on the PP) and keeps slowly getting worse (no 5v5 points in 9 games) as the Jets struggle (in the West only the Sharks and Blackhawks have been worse over their last 10) mean that the trade improves for Montreal to reflect that Dubois isn't actually as good as he looked for parts of this season?


Dubois has been injured lol. How can the man get into a Grove when 1 the team constantly has to play from behind and have that increased pressure 2 he's been in and out often so to go at full pace when you aren't 100% is not ideal (had an upper and lower body injury in the past month)
At what point do we get compensated for the cap of Dvorak who's out for the season and has term and trade protection starting next year eh
Mar. 21, 2023 at 7:03 p.m.
#8
Reinbacher Josi 2.0
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Quoting: Burnout
The comparable has always been the Horvat deal, the Panthers pick is still likely in the Islanders range.

But if we're entertaining this dumb line of thinking, then at what point does the fact that Dubois has 8 points in his last 20 games (6 of which were on the PP) and keeps slowly getting worse (no 5v5 points in 9 games) as the Jets struggle (in the West only the Sharks and Blackhawks have been worse over their last 10) mean that the trade improves for Montreal to reflect that Dubois isn't actually as good as he looked for parts of this season?


If we use Bo Horvat as a model, and ignoring PLD's slump, do you think it would be fair to say Dvorak, Farrell, and the FLA 1st for PLD?
Mar. 21, 2023 at 7:06 p.m.
#9
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Hughes said in his interview with lebrun the paramaters for a trade and pld doesnt fit it. Habs decline
Mar. 21, 2023 at 7:13 p.m.
#10
Go Habs Go
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If the Florida pick falls outside the range of getting a deal done, Montreal is out. They aren't trading a top 10 pick this year or a pick without top 10(12) protection in the next 2 years.

That also precludes an offer sheet, so Habs fans can stop kicking that around. We'd look pretty silly using next year's 1st on Dubois and having it end up 1st overall.

Dach and Barron aren't available unless something drastic changes (like drafting Bedard or trading for a top 4 RHD). Even then it's unlikely and would reduce any additional trade components.

Dubois to Montreal is simply unlikely at the prices fans (from both sides) expect. He needs to go somewhere else for anyone to be satisfied, and maybe later he can come to Montreal.
SevenLeg liked this.
Mar. 21, 2023 at 7:21 p.m.
#11
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Quoting: ricochetii
If the Florida pick falls outside the range of getting a deal done, Montreal is out. They aren't trading a top 10 pick this year or a pick without top 10(12) protection in the next 2 years.

That also precludes an offer sheet, so Habs fans can stop kicking that around. We'd look pretty silly using next year's 1st on Dubois and having it end up 1st overall.

Dach and Barron aren't available unless something drastic changes (like drafting Bedard or trading for a top 4 RHD). Even then it's unlikely and would reduce any additional trade components.

Dubois to Montreal is simply unlikely at the prices fans (from both sides) expect. He needs to go somewhere else for anyone to be satisfied, and maybe later he can come to Montreal.


That's exactly what I think mtl is just being forced by the media and is blow way out of proportion. Like no where has he stated he won't sign long elsewhere, how long a deal he wants, etc. Tbh I could see Dubois being traded elsewhere taking like a 5 year deal and becoming a ufa after so in 6 years and sign then. Makes the most sense for everyone as mtl will be mid contention window gets 2 paydays and gets to chase for a lot longer.
Mar. 21, 2023 at 7:25 p.m.
#12
MisstheWhalers
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Quoting: Jetman
Yah but what I mean is if MTL doesnt want to pony up, trade him as a one year rental for basically the same price. Dont tell me Buffalo or Detroit doesnt want him to get over the payoff line...even if he only plays for one year


I can't see either of those teams doing that, they'd be foolish to and with the Hronek trade its clear that Yzerman has realized this rebuild is going to take longer then he thought.
Mar. 21, 2023 at 7:46 p.m.
#13
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Quoting: Jetman
If MTL doesnt want to give up Dach or Barron, then the Jets trade Duby elsewhere.

the only Jets trade is Duby to MTL is to get a top 12 pick plus others


WPG fans continue to use this response as if its an escape card because they don't mention what other teams are offering instead that they would take. All they say is they'll go elsewhere...... Ok so play devils advocate then. Presume MTL scoffs at that and says ok go get your offer elsewhere. What is the offer from other teams that WPG is accepting that is blowing MTL's out of the water? Give us some of your offers.

Because every time that is brought up, WPG fans make a trade to another team and that team scoffs at their offer. The only way both sides end up at a "somewhat" of an agreement is if they offer something they have no power over. PLD coming with a long term extension agreement. The one thing PLD doesn't appear to be wanting to do but WPG can just force PLD to sign apparently? Why would he negotiate with 1 team who trades for him when he can wait 1 year and pick any team he wants to go to and get paid true market value? Assume even if MTL backs out in free agency not wanting to pay PLD what he wants, he then can go to his next favorite destination offering a deal.

But in fairness to WPG, if PLD's agent publicly states he's willing to sign long term with any team that trades for him, than MTL will have to pay full cost if they want PLD. I don't expect them to but if Hughes was hell bent on getting him, I fully expect one of Barron/Dach/Beck etc etc and picks being the cost they'd have to pay. But remember, if MTL wins the lottery and gets Bedard or Fantilli, do they even bother going after PLD anymore? IMO I don't think so. So that is a major factor that won't be decided till later in May/Jun at the lottery results.

On the flip side though, if negotiations with WPG sour, they do not get a trade offer that is sufficient and PLD's agent starts releasing him signing in MTL as a free agent the following year to the media, WPG fans are going to have to accept much less than they are currently expecting because their negotiating power will be shot and no teams will be willing to pay up too much for an asset they could lose in a years time. They'll still get a decent haul. Probably a prospect, 1st and a roster player but those stating it'll be the Horvat deal are conveniently forgetting that Horvat was willing to sign in NYI. PLD may not be willing to sign where he gets traded to. So his value becomes a pure rental only without the possibility of extension before free agency.
Mar. 21, 2023 at 7:49 p.m.
#14
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Quoting: Howie
That's exactly what I think mtl is just being forced by the media and is blow way out of proportion. Like no where has he stated he won't sign long elsewhere, how long a deal he wants, etc. Tbh I could see Dubois being traded elsewhere taking like a 5 year deal and becoming a ufa after so in 6 years and sign then. Makes the most sense for everyone as mtl will be mid contention window gets 2 paydays and gets to chase for a lot longer.


So by that logic, he has never stated he will sign long term anywhere either. Not knowing one way or the other does not mean your assumption is right.

Its precisely because WE ALL don't know what PLD's intentions are that is even the reason why WPG is thinking of moving him in the first place.
Mar. 21, 2023 at 11:25 p.m.
#15
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Quoting: Howie
Dubois has been injured lol. How can the man get into a Grove when 1 the team constantly has to play from behind and have that increased pressure 2 he's been in and out often so to go at full pace when you aren't 100% is not ideal (had an upper and lower body injury in the past month)
At what point do we get compensated for the cap of Dvorak who's out for the season and has term and trade protection starting next year eh


Wow, that definitely sounds like a player that is worth teams paying through the nose for and giving a massive contract. Because no player or team hasn't had injury issues. Its not like Dubois' performance has consistently fallen off as the season goes on or that he's never been more than a 60 point player.

And taking a veteran on salary is the cost of doing business to get the kind of return you're looking for in futures. No one is saying the Jets would have to take Dvorak, Jets fans always say they'd need a center and Montreal (or any team) just straight up aren't going to move a guy like Dach in a Dubois trade. Either take a veteran with salary or trade a better player.
 
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