My best guess - Avs offseason - CapFriendly

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My best guess - Avs offseason

Created by: bcooke

Team: 2023-24 Colorado Avalanche

Initial Creation Date: May 27, 2023

Published: May 27, 2023

Salary Cap Mode: Basic

Description

Expecting a fairly quiet summer for the Avs other than trading for a 2C. Keep the D-core together and give Malinski a shot in camp to beat out some combo of Hunt/Johnson/other depth D on PTO.

Cap crunch leads to some young guys getting a shot early in the season. Meyers is due for some positive offensive regression. Foudy is a fit for a middle 6 role. Pavel is a name that keeps coming up as a guy with good fit on the 4th line. Heavy checking game and good in the face-off circle. Really good fit between Cogs and LOC.

This also leaves room to make deadline moves for a wing if Foudy/Meyers/Pavel struggle to fill their roles. This Avs core should have no trouble getting into the playoffs. They need to use the early part of the season to give some young guys a chance to show they can contribute on ELCs. Then upgrade at the TDL for the cup run. Ultimately need to know who can help the core moving forward as Landy comes back and Toews gets extended.

Free Agent Signings

RFA	YEARS	CAP HIT
Byram, Bowen	3	$4,750,000
Meyers, Ben	3	$1,050,000
Newhook, Alex	2	$2,500,000

UFA		YEARS	CAP HIT
Cogliano, Andrew		1	$1,100,000
Rodrigues, Evan		3	$3,700,000

Trades

COL

Hayes, Kevin ($3,500,000 retained)

PHI

2023 1st round pick (COL)

Additional Details:

Doubt the Avs pick at 27th OA. Expecting this pick moved for a 2C. Hayes is a better fit in COL than with Torts. Good cheap solution for 2C with Philly retaining.

Draft	Round 1	Round 2	Round 3	Round 4	Round 5	Round 6	Round 7
2023
2024
2025

ROSTER

LONG-TERM OUTLOOK

EMBED

TEXT-EMBED

ROSTER SIZE	SALARY CAP	CAP HIT	OVERAGES	BONUSES	CAP SPACE
21	$83,500,000	$78,888,929	$637,500	$137,500	$4,611,071

Left Wing	Centre	Right Wing
Lehkonen, Artturi $4,500,000$4,500,000 LW, RW NTC UFA - 4	MacKinnon, Nathan $12,600,000$12,600,000 C NMC UFA - 8	Rantanen, Mikko $9,250,000$9,250,000 RW, C M-NTC UFA - 2
Rodrigues, Evan $3,700,000$3,700,000 C, LW UFA - 4	Hayes, Kevin $71,429$71,429 C M-NTC UFA - 3	Nichushkin, Valeri $6,125,000$6,125,000 RW, LW NMC UFA - 7
Meyers, Ben $1,050,000$1,050,000 LW, C RFA - 1	Newhook, Alex $2,500,000$2,500,000 C, LW RFA - 4	Foudy, Jean-Luc $847,500$847,500 ($57,500$58K) C RFA - 2
Cogliano, Andrew $1,100,000$1,100,000 LW UFA - 1	Pavel, Ondrej $870,000$870,000 ($80,000$80K) C, LW, RW RFA - 2	O'Connor, Logan $1,050,000$1,050,000 RW, LW UFA - 2

Left Defense	Right Defense	Goaltender
Byram, Bowen $4,750,000$4,750,000 LD/RD RFA - 2	Makar, Cale $9,000,000$9,000,000 RD UFA - 4	Georgiev, Alexandar $3,400,000$3,400,000 G UFA - 2
Toews, Devon $4,100,000$4,100,000 LD UFA - 1	Manson, Josh $4,500,000$4,500,000 RD NTC UFA - 3	Francouz, Pavel $2,000,000$2,000,000 G UFA - 1
Girard, Samuel $5,000,000$5,000,000 LD/RD UFA - 4	Malinski, Sam $850,000$850,000 RD RFA - 2

Scratches	Injured Reserve (IR)	Long Term IR (LTIR)
MacDermid, Kurtis $987,500$987,500 LD/RD, LW UFA - 1		Landeskog, Gabriel $7,000,000$7,000,000 LW, C NMC UFA - 6

May 27 at 1:26 p.m.

Kaiser1776

Joined: Jun. 2021

Posts: 654

Likes: 81

Workable

Samsoc222 liked this.

May 27 at 1:27 p.m.

mferraro

Joined: Feb. 2016

Posts: 218

Likes: 112

This looks like Philly doing the Av's a huge favor. Id expect a larger return for 3 years of Hayes at that cap hit.

Mediumyeet and JuanDamienNebraska liked this.

May 27 at 1:48 p.m.

Mediumyeet

Joined: Oct. 2020

Posts: 3,192

Likes: 1,178

Quoting: mferraro

This looks like Philly doing the Av's a huge favor. Id expect a larger return for 3 years of Hayes at that cap hit.

Ya I agree. I do think Hayes to Colorado could make some sense but that is too much retention.

mferraro liked this.

May 27 at 1:53 p.m.

bcooke

Thread Starter

Joined: May 2023

Posts: 355

Likes: 372

Quoting: mferraro

This looks like Philly doing the Av's a huge favor. Id expect a larger return for 3 years of Hayes at that cap hit.

Quoting: Mediumyeet

Ya I agree. I do think Hayes to Colorado could make some sense but that is too much retention.

Price might be off a bit, but several Philly fans have been ok with it. Could see a few additional assets going to Philly or elsewhere to split the retention.

May 27 at 2:00 p.m.

mferraro

Joined: Feb. 2016

Posts: 218

Likes: 112

Quoting: bcooke

Price might be off a bit, but several Philly fans have been ok with it. Could see a few additional assets going to Philly or elsewhere to split the retention.

3 years of retention is almost unheard of in the NHL. Especially when its a 2nd line center at 3.6m. 27th OA doesn't get it done in my opinion. As a Leafs fan id be comfortable giving up our 1st around that range and prospects possibly future mid round picks at that cap hit.

I think the market would be HUGE for Hayes at 3.6m for 3 years.

Edit: Just to add I think its a great idea and creative for the Avs and potentially other teams around the league.

Mediumyeet, radtad and bcooke liked this.

May 27 at 2:07 p.m.

Mediumyeet

Joined: Oct. 2020

Posts: 3,192

Likes: 1,178

Quoting: mferraro

I agree that is a lot of retention and would give a huge market for Hayes. I see Philly retaining closer to 2mil on him which gives someone Hayes at ≈5mil for 3yrs. That is a good price for either a second or third line C.

mferraro liked this.

May 27 at 2:09 p.m.

earl08

Joined: Jan. 2019

Posts: 3,324

Likes: 807

Avs could get the same from Haula for free. With so many othet options, I think the Avs should just avoid Hayes

May 27 at 2:18 p.m.

bcooke

Thread Starter

Joined: May 2023

Posts: 355

Likes: 372

Quoting: mferraro

Agree that 3 years of retention is rare. Just think Hayes is probably the cheapest 2C available in the trade market with term as far as the cost in assets to aquire. And the Avs don't have a ton of trade chips. Ideally there would be some retention or additional assets going somewhere like Anaheim or Chicago to retain some. If retention isn't an option it, would cost them the ability to resign E-Rod. Likely replacing him with someone looking for a small 1 year prove it deal (Drouin, Toews, etc).

Ultimately the Avs plans will revolve around what it costs to sign Byram and fill 2C.

May 27 at 2:26 p.m.

Samsoc222

Banned

Joined: May 2023

Posts: 324

Likes: 177

Quoting: mferraro

Quoting: Mediumyeet

Quoting: bcooke

The retention is high for sure and I would probably like another decent prospect to go with the 1st but honestly if Danny gets a 1st for Hayes I don’t care what he has to retain to do it. He’s not a part of our future and if he can get a 1st back for him. Good enough lol

May 28 at 12:51 p.m.

#10

Mediumyeet

Joined: Oct. 2020

Posts: 3,192

Likes: 1,178

Quoting: Samsoc222

I don't disagree with that but it's often more of an ownership issue retaining. 50% retention is 8.5million over the three years all to get a late 1st round pick. That is a tough sell to ownership. They probably prefer you retain much less and get a mid round pick or whatever instead.

Samsoc222 liked this.

May 28 at 1:19 p.m.

#11

Samsoc222

Banned

Joined: May 2023

Posts: 324

Likes: 177

Quoting: Mediumyeet

Maybe who knows

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