Edited Jun. 15, 2023 at 12:16 a.m.
Quoting: Rob32sjsharks
Let me pick the mic back up!
A guy who scored 30 goals once is not considered a 30 goal scorer. Does he have that potential? Yes! But until you have more than one season doing it you’re not a 30 goal winger. You’re a winger who had a 30 goal season. When you call a guy a 30 goal guy that means he’s done it multiple times and it’s what you should expect! A guy does it once and you don’t know for a fact if he ever gets back there.
That’s not dumb it’s logic? Is Karlsson a 100 point defensemen or is he a defenseman who scored a 100 points once? Now he does it again next year and he is considered a 100 point D man.
As for TK is he a very good winger? Absolutely, but for your reference yes players popping off in their 25/26 seasons is very typical! Its most athletes peak prime years. Do I think TK will score 30+ in a season again? I would bet money on it! Is he a ppg guy, not quite but still a top line guy.
As for your ask of a top prospect and 2 1sts that’s a tad high is all I said. And justifiably Meier IS a 30 goal guy who just scored 40 last year, and Debrincat is a 35+ guy who also has a 40 goal season (see how I’m. It calling them 40 goal guys, cause it needs to happen more than once to be considered one) and both got about the same to slightly less than your asking. A 1st plus a 2nd and a good prospect is more realistic.
I’ll hand the mic back for your rebuttal
So a guy who scores 30 goals isn't a 30 goal scorer. You are literally arguing that something factual isn't a fact.
Timo Meier was a pending UFA being traded near the deadline which makes any trade for TK with two full years left on his deal not a good comparable.
Alex Debrincat didn't just gor for a "first round pick." That first round pick was known to be the 7th overall pick at the time, in addition to the 2nd and 3rd. Again, not a good comparable since any first round pick coming from Edmonton for TK will be a late future first round and thus SIGNICANTLY less valuable than that pick for Debrincat.
A better comparable is the Kevin Fiala trade. He went for Brock Faber and the 19th overall pick coming off of his breakout year at 25 years old also. Fiala had 33 goals/85 points in 82 games which compares to TK's 31 goals/61 points in 60 games.
Right now the Oilers don't have a 2023 first round pick. So we are talking a late first round pick a year down the road and Broberg. Faber and Broberg is more or less a wash, but I would also take an immediate 19th overall pick over a first a year down the road which is likely to be in the 20's possibly late 20's. So edge to LA deal so far. There is also the fact that TK is under contract for two m ore years at 5.5 million, and the Kings had to commit 7 years at a 7.875 million cap hit for Fiala being that he was a RFA. Cap space is king in today's NHL and an asset in and of itself so edge TK there. Bougault and Holloway are B level prospects. You look at any reputable prospects lists and neither are top 50 in the league, most don't even have them in the top 75. Guess what else, Faber is ahead of Broberg.
When you consider the cap space, the fact that the Flyers don't have to trade TK and Fiala was a RFA who they didn't want to pay so they were actively shopping him, TK should absolutely return as much or slightly more than him. 19 and Faber isn't much less if at all less than a future first from a perennial playoff team, Broberg, and Bourgault.
Either way you are underrating TK massively if you think he isn't returning two firsts (your words) or in this case the equivalent with a future late first and Broberg when a very similar player at the same age went for a slightly better deal than that.