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Havent we learned yet

Created by: JeffGorton
Team: 2023-24 Montreal Canadiens
Initial Creation Date: Feb. 6, 2024
Published: Feb. 6, 2024
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
Im seeing way too many Zegras to Montreal trades where the Habs give up either multiple 1st rounders or their own 2025 1st with additional assets. As if the Dubois saga didnt just happen a few months ago. Kind of the same situation as well. Young "star" player doesnt sign long term with team, gets their big deal and starts stinking up the place

Dubois and Zegras are somewhat similar. Both have "behavior and effort issues", both were 65 point players with PR suggesting they might be 80+ point player.

I dont touch Zegras unless the deal absolves the Habs on a cap dump. Like the trade would have to be so much in the Habs favor based on public perception that theres a less than 0.00001% chance it happens.

Like seriously, take a moment an think rationally about this. The Ducks are rebuilding and Verbeek has shown to be a very competent GM, but they are unwilling to give their 23 year old "superstar" a long term deal and then trades for what seems to be his direct replacement in Gauthier. Even without the performance and attitude rumours, this smells funky
Trades
ANA
  1. Anderson, Josh
  2. Barron, Justin
  3. 2025 2nd round pick (MTL)
Additional Details:
This is the most id give up for Zegras with my explanation above. Of course this doesnt happen, since the Ducks can scam some other team and get Dubois like assets for him. Habs shouldnt be willing to do that
Buyouts
Retained Salary Transactions
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2024
Logo of the MTL
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Logo of the COL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MIN
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the SJS
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the WSH
2025
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Logo of the CGY
Logo of the PIT
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the VAN
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the DET
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
2026
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ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
23$83,500,000$76,000,416$1,170,000$3,977,500$7,499,584
Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$7,850,000$7,850,000
LW, RW
UFA - 8
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$7,875,000$7,875,000
C
UFA - 7
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$6,500,000$6,500,000
RW, LW
M-NTC, NMC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$3,250,000$3,250,000
LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$1,700,000$1,700,000
C
UFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$1,100,000$1,100,000
LW, RW
RFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$775,000$775,000
C
UFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$3,400,000$3,400,000
RW, LW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$812,500$812,500
LW, RW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$775,000$775,000
C, LW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$950,000$950,000 (Performance Bonus$3,500,000$4M)
RW, LW
RFA - 2
Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
$5,750,000$5,750,000
C, LW
RFA - 3
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$775,000$775,000
RW, LW
RFA - 1
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$4,875,000$4,875,000
LD
M-NTC
UFA - 3
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$3,500,000$3,500,000
RD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$1,925,000$1,925,000
G
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$1,400,000$1,400,000
LD/RD
RFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$766,667$766,667
RD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$1,000,000$1,000,000
G
UFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$867,500$867,500 (Performance Bonus$57,500$58K)
LD
RFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$890,000$890,000
G
RFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$863,333$863,333 (Performance Bonus$420,000$420K)
LD/RD
RFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$828,333$828,333
LD/RD
RFA - 1
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$4,450,000$4,450,000
C
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$10,500,000$10,500,000
G
NMC
UFA - 3
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$3,362,500$3,362,500
C, RW
RFA - 3
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$2,900,000$2,900,000
C, LW
RFA - 4
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$762,500$762,500
RD
UFA - 1

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Feb. 6 at 4:40 p.m.
#1
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That’s probably not even enough to dump Anderson

Would you trade Caufield for that? Because he and Zegras are very similar. Zegras has a slightly higher career PPG, and can also play center though. Both are defensive liabilities
Feb. 6 at 4:41 p.m.
#2
Future Norris guy
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laugh That might get you out of Andersons contract, but it sure doesn't get you Trevor Zegras, Verbeek laugh and politely declines.
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Feb. 6 at 4:49 p.m.
#3
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Jeff Gorton
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Quoting: mv21227
That’s probably not even enough to dump Anderson

Would you trade Caufield for that? Because he and Zegras are very similar. Zegras has a slightly higher career PPG, and can also play center though. Both are defensive liabilities


Theres no way you think Zegras and Caufield are at all comparable. Only similarity is the fact they are american. Both play vastly different games and have vastly different attitudes.
Feb. 6 at 4:50 p.m.
#4
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Jeff Gorton
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Quoting: MoSeider53
laugh That might get you out of Andersons contract, but it sure doesn't get you Trevor Zegras, Verbeek laugh and politely declines.


"Of course this doesnt happen, since the Ducks can scam some other team and get Dubois like assets for him. Habs shouldnt be willing to do that"
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Feb. 6 at 4:52 p.m.
#5
Sennecke is a gem
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Quoting: mv21227
That’s probably not even enough to dump Anderson

Would you trade Caufield for that? Because he and Zegras are very similar. Zegras has a slightly higher career PPG, and can also play center though. Both are defensive liabilities


Cole and Z have the same scoring per game this year. The only difference is that Zegras’s “scoring” is in terms of pts, while Cole’s is in terms of goals. They’re not even comparable
Feb. 6 at 4:54 p.m.
#6
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Jeff Gorton
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Quoting: Caufield
Cole and Z have the same scoring per game this year. The only difference is that Zegras’s “scoring” is in terms of pts, while Cole’s is in terms of goals. They’re not even comparable


Its not even that. Caufield is a playdriving sniper. Hes closer to Troy Terry

If anything hes closer to Suzuki (without the high end defence, but more skill goals)
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Feb. 6 at 4:56 p.m.
#7
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Quoting: JeffGorton
Theres no way you think Zegras and Caufield are at all comparable. Only similarity is the fact they are american. Both play vastly different games and have vastly different attitudes.


They’re both all offense, no defense forwards. Caufield more shooting focused and Zegras more playmaking focused. Zegras has been more productive in his career, especially at 5v5, and can also play the more important position (and also has the versatility to play on the wing)
Feb. 6 at 4:57 p.m.
#8
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Quoting: JeffGorton
Its not even that. Caufield is a playdriving sniper. Hes closer to Troy Terry

If anything hes closer to Suzuki (without the high end defence, but more skill goals)


True, but in terms of play alone, Cole is tiers above Zegras this year, and Cole is on a down year as well
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Feb. 6 at 4:58 p.m.
#9
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Quoting: Caufield
Cole and Z have the same scoring per game this year. The only difference is that Zegras’s “scoring” is in terms of pts, while Cole’s is in terms of goals. They’re not even comparable


Caufield in his career: 0.72 PPG

Zegras in his career: 0.73 PPG

Zegras also has a lot more production at 5v5. One down season doesn’t make Zegras an awful player
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Feb. 6 at 4:59 p.m.
#10
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Quoting: mv21227
They’re both all offense, no defense forwards. Caufield more shooting focused and Zegras more playmaking focused. Zegras has been more productive in his career, especially at 5v5, and can also play the more important position (and also has the versatility to play on the wing)


Zegras is a winger who is forced into the center position. He is not a center
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Feb. 6 at 5:02 p.m.
#11
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Anderson is part of the deal therefore Anaheim automatically declines
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Feb. 6 at 5:03 p.m.
#12
Sennecke is a gem
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Quoting: mv21227
Caufield in his career: 0.72 PPG

Zegras in his career: 0.73 PPG

Zegras also has a lot more production at 5v5. One down season doesn’t make Zegras an awful player


Cole is on a down season, he remains tiers above Zegras this year. It shouldn't be hard to grasp the idea that if a player has that much of a decrease in play, his value drops significantly. PLD is arguably not even worth a 7th on the NHL trade market, due to 1 season. That's just how stocks work. If a company is doing poorly, the stocks will lose a lot of value. The value can be gained again if the company does well again, it just might not go as high as it was due past lows.
Feb. 6 at 5:04 p.m.
#13
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Quoting: Caufield
Zegras is a winger who is forced into the center position. He is not a center


While he’s better suited as a winger he’s able to play center if needed

Zegras: slightly more productive overall
Much better production at 5v5
Much better passer
Is able to play Center

Caufield: having a better current season
Much better shooter
Better play driver
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Feb. 6 at 5:04 p.m.
#14
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Quoting: GeneralLandro
Anderson is part of the deal therefore Anaheim automatically declines


I think it's not a mock trade, just the max that MTL would pay for Z in the eyes @JeffGorton . He said ANA would decline
Feb. 6 at 5:05 p.m.
#15
Go Habs Go
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There are definitely red flags around Zegras but not enough to bring his price down.
I think you're correct that we shouldn't be the ones to bite on a trade unless the cost is more palatable.
The hope is that the player matures with time and becomes more effective.
We see it go both ways. Some players overcome those early concerns, some don't.
Someone will likely "bet the over" and give up more than I would be personally be willing.
Feb. 6 at 5:06 p.m.
#16
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Quoting: ricochetii
There are definitely red flags around Zegras but not enough to bring his price down.
I think you're correct that we shouldn't be the ones to bite on a trade unless the cost is more palatable.
The hope is that the player matures with time and becomes more effective.
We see it go both ways. Some players overcome those early concerns, some don't.
Someone will likely "bet the over" and give up more than I would be personally be willing.


lol where are these red flags and
Feb. 6 at 5:24 p.m.
#17
Molson beer is meh
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Quoting: GeneralLandro
lol where are these red flags and


The fact that ANA is rebuilding and still looking for elite forwards, yet have made Zegras available. Yes, I'd say that's a red flag.
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Feb. 6 at 5:27 p.m.
#18
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Edited Feb. 6 at 6:53 p.m.
Quoting: Caufield
Cole is on a down season, he remains tiers above Zegras this year. It shouldn't be hard to grasp the idea that if a player has that much of a decrease in play, his value drops significantly. PLD is arguably not even worth a 7th on the NHL trade market, due to 1 season. That's just how stocks work. If a company is doing poorly, the stocks will lose a lot of value. The value can be gained again if the company does well again, it just might not go as high as it was due past lows.


And Zegras isn't?

This isn't a Caufield vs Zegras debate, the reality is what MTL fans see Caufield as is what ANA fans see Zegras as. We would scoff at an offer of Anderson, Barron, and a 2nd round pick for Caufield why would you expect anything else for Zegras?

The "attitude" assumptions we are making based off nothing more than rumors remind me of a young Nylander with Toronto, overblown in my opinion. Comparing him to PLD who forced his way out of 2 teams makes no sense.

If you want a neutral reference, Pronman ranked Zegras 22 and Caufield 25 in his U23 rankings, they are quite comparable in their careers so far.
Feb. 6 at 5:30 p.m.
#19
On the Rod Meal Plan
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Quoting: Blazingbat11
The fact that ANA is rebuilding and still looking for elite forwards, yet have made Zegras available. Yes, I'd say that's a red flag.


But they haven't made Zegras available?
Feb. 6 at 5:34 p.m.
#20
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Quoting: Blazingbat11
The fact that ANA is rebuilding and still looking for elite forwards, yet have made Zegras available. Yes, I'd say that's a red flag.


And who said he is available man

Don’t tell me it was Frank ‘trash can’ Seravalli

Remember when he said Gibson told Anaheim he will never play a game in Anaheim ever again? Yeah, I remember that too

Guy throws darts that don’t even land on the wall of the dart board
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Feb. 6 at 6:23 p.m.
#21
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Jeff Gorton
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Quoting: GeneralLandro
lol where are these red flags and


Hes a young 60 point player who didnt get a long term deal and then the Ducks give him a bridge and trade for another forward that would end up playing his exact position
Feb. 6 at 6:24 p.m.
#22
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Quoting: JeffGorton
Hes a young 60 point player who didnt get a long term deal and then the Ducks give him a bridge and trade for another forward that would end up playing his exact position


Verbeek literally said that he wanted to bridge Zegras because he wanted to see his defensive game improve and then give him a long term contract? What’s wrong with that??
Feb. 6 at 6:27 p.m.
#23
Jah1722
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Quoting: Caufield
Zegras is a winger who is forced into the center position. He is not a center


Zegras is a center forced to play wing because the ducks have a surplus of top 6C.
Feb. 6 at 6:30 p.m.
#24
Jah1722
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Quoting: JeffGorton
Hes a young 60 point player who didnt get a long term deal and then the Ducks give him a bridge and trade for another forward that would end up playing his exact position


You should try understanding why ZEGRAS wanted a bridge deal a season before the cap will start its significant rise. He’s maximizing his money. When he’s due another contract the cap will be significantly higher so when he asks for X% of the cap, the dollar amount will be a lot more.

Matthews did the same thing with his short extension.
Feb. 6 at 6:31 p.m.
#25
Jah1722
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Quoting: GeneralLandro
Verbeek literally said that he wanted to bridge Zegras because he wanted to see his defensive game improve and then give him a long term contract? What’s wrong with that??


That’s not what happened. Zegras wanted the bridge deal to maximize his money.
 
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