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Marner Machinations

Created by: HCSG
Team: 2024-25 Toronto Maple Leafs
Initial Creation Date: May 7, 2024
Published: May 7, 2024
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
Big Lord Humongous 3-Team Trade

TOR-CHI-PIT

TOR Receives:
Seth Jones ($1.5M Retained)
Tristan Jarry

CHI Receives:
TOR 2024 1st
PIT 2024 2nd
PHI 2024 2nd
PIT 2025 1st
Ryan Graves
Reilly Smith
Easton Cowan
Gregor Noah

PIT Receives:
Mitch Marner ($3.903M Retained)
Free Agent Signings
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
2$3,250,000
2$1,850,000
1$1,250,000
UFAYEARSCAP HIT
6$5,500,000
2$4,000,000
Trades
1.
TOR
  1. Jones, Seth ($1,500,000 retained)
CHI
  1. Cowan, Easton
  2. Gregor, Noah [RFA Rights]
  3. Marner, Mitchell
  4. 2024 1st round pick (TOR)
2.
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2024
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the NSH
Logo of the VAN
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the OTT
2025
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
2026
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
22$87,700,000$87,491,667$0$0$208,333
Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$925,000$925,000
LW, RW
RFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$13,250,000$13,250,000
C
NMC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$11,500,000$11,500,000
RW
NMC
UFA - 8
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$5,500,000$5,500,000
LW, RW
UFA
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$11,000,000$11,000,000
C, LW
NMC
UFA - 1
$4,000,000$4,000,000
RW, LW
UFA
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$1,850,000$1,850,000
LW, RW
RFA
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$2,400,000$2,400,000
C
M-NTC
UFA - 3
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$2,100,000$2,100,000
RW, C, LW
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$1,250,000$1,250,000
LW, C
RFA
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$800,000$800,000
C, LW
RFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$1,350,000$1,350,000
RW
UFA - 2
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$7,500,000$7,500,000
LD
NMC
UFA - 6
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$8,000,000$8,000,000
RD
NMC
UFA - 6
Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
$5,375,000$5,375,000
G
M-NTC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$2,000,000$2,000,000
LD/RD
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$3,250,000$3,250,000
RD
RFA
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$766,667$766,667
G
RFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$1,350,000$1,350,000
LD
UFA - 3
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$1,100,000$1,100,000
RD
RFA - 1
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$1,350,000$1,350,000
RW, LW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$875,000$875,000
LD
RFA - 1

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May 7 at 4:06 p.m.
#1
Snowhawk
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I think I might actually be interested in that deal if I was Chicago. Not sure how the other two teams would feel.
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May 7 at 4:17 p.m.
#2
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Hate being a buzz kill but that Marner retention puts the Leafs about $3.7m over the cap ceiling.
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May 7 at 4:21 p.m.
#3
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I've said it and I'll keep saying it: I don't think Marner is a good fit for Pittsburgh. He's only 1 year away from being a UFA, and the Pens are only going to have a couple more years of playing meaningful hockey whether or not we trade for Marner. Would he really want to sign long term through his prime with a team that close to a rebuild? If not, he could easily just walk next summer. If he does, that's going to put the top picks a little further out of the Penguins' reach while they're rebuilding.
Then on top of that, that's the Pens giving up a 1st and 2 2nds (or 2 1sts and a 2nd if Carolina makes it to the finals) for a player that doesn't fit their timeline particularly well.
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May 7 at 4:23 p.m.
#4
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CHI is not retaining on Jones. Interesting proposal, though.
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May 7 at 4:50 p.m.
#5
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CHI would probably welcome the chance to get out from the long-term commitment to Seth. At least I would! But retention is a non-starter, nobody's tying up a retention slot for that long.

TOR fans should probably accept that Marner's real value is to a contender. To trade a guy expecting a massive extension to a rebuilding team...the return is gonna be underwhelming.
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May 7 at 6:03 p.m.
#6
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Quoting: ginandtacos
CHI would probably welcome the chance to get out from the long-term commitment to Seth. At least I would! But retention is a non-starter, nobody's tying up a retention slot for that long.

TOR fans should probably accept that Marner's real value is to a contender. To trade a guy expecting a massive extension to a rebuilding team...the return is gonna be underwhelming.


That may be. I wouldn't mind if Jones wanted out and CHI obliged, but not for nothing in return. Marner should not be a target, and at best it should be a 1-for-1 with Marner understanding that he must be willing to waive his NMC again at the deadline and be a rental. Even with an extension in place or on the table, I don't want to trade one almost 30 year old with a massive contract for another.
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May 7 at 6:31 p.m.
#7
SkateOrDie
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A bland over rated player on a long term over paid deal, for an over rated player on an expiring contract..... Chicago might agree.
May 8 at 2:21 p.m.
#8
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Quoting: Garak
That may be. I wouldn't mind if Jones wanted out and CHI obliged, but not for nothing in return. Marner should not be a target, and at best it should be a 1-for-1 with Marner understanding that he must be willing to waive his NMC again at the deadline and be a rental. Even with an extension in place or on the table, I don't want to trade one almost 30 year old with a massive contract for another.


In my mind it's a win to swap one guy with a massive contract for another guy with a massive contract with 7 years left on it.

CHI is probably not a smart long-term fit for Marner but if taking him allows CHI to 1) dump Seth Jones and 2) get some kind of 2024-25 deadline haul for Marner, I say that's two wins.

Yes I'm very negative on Seth J. but he's already overpaid for "meh" performance and in 3-4 years it's gonna be one of the worst contracts in hockey.
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May 8 at 2:59 p.m.
#9
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Quoting: ginandtacos
In my mind it's a win to swap one guy with a massive contract for another guy with a massive contract with 7 years left on it.

CHI is probably not a smart long-term fit for Marner but if taking him allows CHI to 1) dump Seth Jones and 2) get some kind of 2024-25 deadline haul for Marner, I say that's two wins.

Yes I'm very negative on Seth J. but he's already overpaid for "meh" performance and in 3-4 years it's gonna be one of the worst contracts in hockey.


Honestly, that is fair. I think if we can move jones for positive value and he is willing to do it, it should be a consideration. But, Marner would have to sign off on the entire plan ahead of any sort of trade. He would have to be willing to be a rental and waive at the deadline. Otherwise, we would be giving Jones away for nothing. Which should not be an option, and would be completely unnecessary.
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May 8 at 3:03 p.m.
#10
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Quoting: Garak
Honestly, that is fair. I think if we can move jones for positive value and he is willing to do it, it should be a consideration. But, Marner would have to sign off on the entire plan ahead of any sort of trade. He would have to be willing to be a rental and waive at the deadline. Otherwise, we would be giving Jones away for nothing. Which should not be an option, and would be completely unnecessary.


Yeah the NMC for Marner is big. Zero guarantee he'd waive for CHI and then they'd have to trust him to waive again. It's risky.
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May 8 at 3:16 p.m.
#11
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Quoting: ginandtacos
Yeah the NMC for Marner is big. Zero guarantee he'd waive for CHI and then they'd have to trust him to waive again. It's risky.


Jones has still been above average for offense from defensemen the whole time he has been with CHI, and he looks great when he has a legit partner, goaltending and some defensively responsible teammates where he doesn't have to overwork himself and try to do everything himself. Like this season, with guys like Foligno, Dicky, Blacky, and Donato on the ice, Vlasic as a partner, and Mrazek between the pipes, he looked well above average defensively too. And if you consider that he isn't going to have a ton of playoff miles on him like a lot of other players his age, his contract will likely age just fine. The narrative around him is way overblown, and CHI fans have him under the microscope, where something he does gets blasted and another player does it and no one bats an eyelash. I think we need to be more objective, and objectively his contract isn't a problem now nor should it be for the next 6 years. ELC's, bridge deals, and smart planning should be more than enough to make his cap hit manageable if things get kinda iffy.
 
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