Dec. 15, 2017
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<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Caniac2000</b></div><div>Don Waddell? Kyle Dubas? Hell, almost every GM in the league favors them to the eye test. There are some that prefer base stats, but the eye test is so deceptive. Reach out to anyone in hockey, they'll tell you the same thing. The eye test is pointless. Base totals are what is usually used, but they have flaws. With most of the best teams in the NHL being analytically driven (Tampa Bay, Colorado, Carolina, Toronto, Vegas) you can't justify saying the eye test is more valuable anymore. It shows a Jurassic level of thinking about the game. You can watch every shift a player has, ups and downs. That's fine. It'll help you learn the player's strengths and weaknesses perhaps. It'll show you how they make their mistakes and can be great for coaching. However, players have good nights and bad nights. Analytics take that out of it. They remove the inconsistency. It's why they have become the second biggest driving factor in management decision-making in recent years. You're being a dinosaur if you're still trying to argue the eye test is more important. There's no world that supports that hypothesis</div></div>
Well, it doesn't look like we're going to convince each other of anything.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Caniac2000</b></div><div>Burns was arguably better! Josi just had a 100 point year, that's incredible. He also had 8 games against Chicago and Arizona, played in the notoriously weaker conference and was still a trash can defensively. So to recap, his QoC is lower, his defense is BAHAHAHAHAH, and his offensive is incredible. Burns on the other hand at his best was playing against the might of the California era. Yes, 8 games a year against Arizona and Edmonton, but the highest of the highs were better. So, QoC favors Burns. Let's talk QoT. Well, that's fairly simple. This Predators team doesn't have the offense the sharks used to. Okay, fair. So, what about the underlyings? Burn's dxG numbers remain some of the best ever in the one year he wasn't an entirely useless trash can in his own end. Josi put up 100 points and his dxG is barely above EVEN. It's just about greater than 0. He had to put up 100 points to be a net positive this year! So, that favors Burns. Eye test, well, I still personally believe Burns looked better than Josi did this year, but that is subjective. But Josi does not belong in this conversation, and there's no evidence outside of subjective viewership that suggests Josi should be in here. Even his base defensive stats were bad.</div></div>
Subjective views based on the eye test are worth more than analytics, by a lot. When evaluating how good a player is, analytics are worth 20% max. Eye test, role within the team, performance under pressure, situational use and rarity around the league are more important.