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Dahlin_On_Me

Member Since
Jun. 23, 2018
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Buffalo Sabres
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Forum: NHL TradesMar. 6 at 9:08 p.m.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Dahlin_On_Me</b></div><div>Like Mitts and will miss him. It will be interesting to see how he does on a better team. As far as Byram, haven’t seen him play but since he’s a 4th overall I’d guess he’s an upgrade for Sabres D. Concerning about his injury history however.

Looks good for Av’s at the moment but I think this deal will age well for the Sabres especially if Mitts isn’t resigned. Probably will he’s class.

For those on about the LH / RH D stuff, it’s not that big of a deal and if you can’t play both side you probably shouldn’t be playing in the NHL. Im rubbish but as a LH Defender myself I actually prefer to play in the Right. It’s better for one timers and poke checks. It’s a little harder on breakouts when you need to thread the needle on the backhand (only if there is o time and room) to your forwards. A pro should be able to manage.</div></div>

Yea, exactly. People are putting way too much emphasis on whether players are left or right-handed. Dahlin plays all over the ice. Power can too. The way more important thing is how defensive partners play together.

I see a lot of people saying "He's stuck behind Dahlin and Power". What if Power-Dahlin are your top pairing and Byram is on your second pairing with Clifton/Jokiharju/Ryan Johnson.

Either way lots of options.

I think critiquing the trade on handed-ness is just lazy.

Defense wins championships and BUF now has 6 former 1st rounder in:

Dahlin (#1)
Power (#1)
Byram (#4)
Jokiharju (#29)
Johnson (#31)
Samuelsson (#32)

That's a lot of young talent on D.

(and yes, please feel free to tell me that Samuelsson was actually a 2nd rounder)
Forum: NHL SigningsOct. 9, 2023 at 1:09 p.m.
Not to get too deep into the mathematical side of this, but I think its important to consider this deal in the broader context of what other players, such as Makar, Miro, and Q. Hughes signed back in 2021-22 to have a better understanding of the value of Dahlin's deal. We should consider the Present Value of all these deals, in their entirety, back in 2021-22 by discounting them back based on the annual cap increase YoY. For this purpose, I assumed a 4.79% growth in 2024-25 and 5.14% growth in 2025-26, and a constant 4.00% growth each year thereafter. Let's consider:

<strong>Miro Heiskanen</strong>
Present Value: $57,703,775
Term: 8 years
AAV: $7,212,972

<strong>Cale Makar</strong>
Present Value: $48,044,169
Term: 6 years
AAV: $8,007,362

<strong>Quinn Hughes</strong>
Present Value: $41,905,192
Term: 6 years
AAV: $6,984,199

When combining the bridge and long term deal of Dahlin, we can get a better picture of what this contract is worth:
<strong>Rasmus Dahlin</strong>
Present Value: $82,720,365
Term: 11 years
AAV: $7,520,033

We can see that Dahlin is right in line with other star defensemen, although on the higher end in terms of AAV. However, if we extrapolate and assume that the next contracts of Makar, Heiskanen, and Hughes all start with an initial Cap Hit % of 12% with a duration of 7 years, we can consider the value of these contracts:

<strong>Miro Heiskanen</strong>
Present Value: $114,345,394
Term: 15 years
AAV: $7,623,026

<strong>Cale Makar</strong>
Present Value: $104,685,789
Term: 13 years
AAV: $8,052,753

<strong>Quinn Hughes</strong>
Present Value: $98,546,812
Term: 13 years
AAV: $7,580,524

<strong>Rasmus Dahlin</strong>
Present Value: $82,720,365
Term: 11 years
AAV: $7,520,033

I think it is an accurate and fair assumption to consider Dahlin is the same category of skill and rank of these similar players. So even though the sticker shock is quite high, he is effectively the least expensive out of the other players under these assumptions. For reference, Makar and Miro are going to be pushing a minimum 12M-13M on the open market, while Dahlin will never see that day until 2032.
Forum: NHL SigningsJul. 31, 2023 at 9:28 a.m.
Forum: NHL SigningsJul. 1, 2023 at 1:51 p.m.