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Dahlin_On_Me
Member Since
Jun. 23, 2018
Favourite Team
Buffalo Sabres
Forum Posts
123
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Forum:
NHL Trades
Mar. 6 at 9:08 p.m.
Thread:
(COL/BUF) - Byram for Mittelstadt
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Dahlin_On_Me</b></div><div>Like Mitts and will miss him. It will be interesting to see how he does on a better team. As far as Byram, haven’t seen him play but since he’s a 4th overall I’d guess he’s an upgrade for Sabres D. Concerning about his injury history however.
Looks good for Av’s at the moment but I think this deal will age well for the Sabres especially if Mitts isn’t resigned. Probably will he’s class.
For those on about the LH / RH D stuff, it’s not that big of a deal and if you can’t play both side you probably shouldn’t be playing in the NHL. Im rubbish but as a LH Defender myself I actually prefer to play in the Right. It’s better for one timers and poke checks. It’s a little harder on breakouts when you need to thread the needle on the backhand (only if there is o time and room) to your forwards. A pro should be able to manage.</div></div>
Yea, exactly. People are putting way too much emphasis on whether players are left or right-handed. Dahlin plays all over the ice. Power can too. The way more important thing is how defensive partners play together.
I see a lot of people saying "He's stuck behind Dahlin and Power". What if Power-Dahlin are your top pairing and Byram is on your second pairing with Clifton/Jokiharju/Ryan Johnson.
Either way lots of options.
I think critiquing the trade on handed-ness is just lazy.
Defense wins championships and BUF now has 6 former 1st rounder in:
Dahlin (#1)
Power (#1)
Byram (#4)
Jokiharju (#29)
Johnson (#31)
Samuelsson (#32)
That's a lot of young talent on D.
(and yes, please feel free to tell me that Samuelsson was actually a 2nd rounder)
Forum:
NHL Signings
Oct. 11, 2023 at 9:13 p.m.
Thread:
Buffalo Sabres signed Owen Power (7 Years / $8,350,000 AAV)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>A_Habs_fan</b></div><div>Good deal, Power, Dahlin and Samuelsson will be the pillars of that Sabres defence and <strong>now they all have long term team friendly deals</strong></div></div>
Samuelsson is the only one with a team friendly deal <strong>right now</strong>.
Dahlin + Power will probably improve and make 11m + 8.4m look team friendly.
But they're both slightly above market value right now ... which is 100% fine for Buffalo.
Forum:
NHL Signings
Oct. 9, 2023 at 1:09 p.m.
Thread:
Buffalo Sabres signed Rasmus Dahlin (8 Years / $11,000,000 AAV)
Not to get too deep into the mathematical side of this, but I think its important to consider this deal in the broader context of what other players, such as Makar, Miro, and Q. Hughes signed back in 2021-22 to have a better understanding of the value of Dahlin's deal. We should consider the Present Value of all these deals, in their entirety, back in 2021-22 by discounting them back based on the annual cap increase YoY. For this purpose, I assumed a 4.79% growth in 2024-25 and 5.14% growth in 2025-26, and a constant 4.00% growth each year thereafter. Let's consider:
<strong>Miro Heiskanen</strong>
Present Value: $57,703,775
Term: 8 years
AAV: $7,212,972
<strong>Cale Makar</strong>
Present Value: $48,044,169
Term: 6 years
AAV: $8,007,362
<strong>Quinn Hughes</strong>
Present Value: $41,905,192
Term: 6 years
AAV: $6,984,199
When combining the bridge and long term deal of Dahlin, we can get a better picture of what this contract is worth:
<strong>Rasmus Dahlin</strong>
Present Value: $82,720,365
Term: 11 years
AAV: $7,520,033
We can see that Dahlin is right in line with other star defensemen, although on the higher end in terms of AAV. However, if we extrapolate and assume that the next contracts of Makar, Heiskanen, and Hughes all start with an initial Cap Hit % of 12% with a duration of 7 years, we can consider the value of these contracts:
<strong>Miro Heiskanen</strong>
Present Value: $114,345,394
Term: 15 years
AAV: $7,623,026
<strong>Cale Makar</strong>
Present Value: $104,685,789
Term: 13 years
AAV: $8,052,753
<strong>Quinn Hughes</strong>
Present Value: $98,546,812
Term: 13 years
AAV: $7,580,524
<strong>Rasmus Dahlin</strong>
Present Value: $82,720,365
Term: 11 years
AAV: $7,520,033
I think it is an accurate and fair assumption to consider Dahlin is the same category of skill and rank of these similar players. So even though the sticker shock is quite high, he is effectively the least expensive out of the other players under these assumptions. For reference, Makar and Miro are going to be pushing a minimum 12M-13M on the open market, while Dahlin will never see that day until 2032.
Forum:
NHL Signings
Oct. 9, 2023 at 9:12 a.m.
Thread:
Buffalo Sabres signed Rasmus Dahlin (8 Years / $11,000,000 AAV)
A lot of money for a guy coming off a career year, but if there's a guy who can live up to it, It's Dahlin. Buffalo is always taking those high risk, high reward deals though. Bravo to them
Forum:
NHL Trades
Aug. 18, 2023 at 10:36 p.m.
Thread:
(ANA/BUF) - 2025 4th (MIN) for Lyubushkin
While he was probably a potential waiver pickup at start of season, the future 4th that's not even ours is close enough to free.99. Bush didn't earn his paycheck in Buffalo but he's better than replacement quality.
Verbeek playing nice with the other GMs in the sandbox, maybe building a trade relationship with Buffalo. It's still a relationship based profession.
Now hopefully Buff fans will stop sending us Smurf Bryson in ACGMs.
Forum:
NHL Trades
Aug. 8, 2023 at 9:46 a.m.
Thread:
(PIT/MTL/SJS) - Granlund, Rutta, Petry, DeSmith, Légaré, 2024 1st (PIT), 2025 2nd (PIT) for Pitlick, Hoffman for Karlsson, Hamaliuk, 2026 3rd (SJS)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Leafsfan98</b></div><div>Didn't we say that about Buffalo 2 years ago? NJD 2 years ago? Who knows these days</div></div>
We didn't. Both those teams had a stack of great prospects. Who does San Jose have? Where is their Jack Hughes, their Rasmus Dahlin, their Dylan Cozens? My hands would tire from typing the names of all the high draft picks / young players both teams had two years ago, Hischier, Holtz, Hughes, Mittelstadt, Peterka, Samuelsson, Power, Quinn, Levi, Rosen...
Forum:
NHL Signings
Jul. 31, 2023 at 9:28 a.m.
Thread:
Buffalo Sabres signed Zach Benson (3 Years / $1,600,000 AAV)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>pinslack</b></div><div>This pick feels like Caufield dropping 15th: way too much talent to be picked at mid round.
But teams still dont like picking small wingers... Benson will prove them wrong</div></div>
This is who I wanted if not Michkov. Another steal for the Sabres. Funny how Stevie Y two years in a row passed on guys that put up combined over 400 pts in junior in Matt Savoie and Zach Benson. Would have been exactly what the Wings needed.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Dahlin_On_Me</b></div><div>Feel like those who said this is a bad signing are only saying so because he’s not signed to their team.</div></div>
Wings fans.
Forum:
NHL Signings
Jul. 29, 2023 at 1:37 p.m.
Thread:
Buffalo Sabres signed Zach Benson (3 Years / $1,600,000 AAV)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Boltsradynasty</b></div><div>It's Every ELC one or two people vote no how is an ELC ever bad for either the player or team?
Last 10 ELC's 2 or more have voted no. Including Connor Bedard</div></div>
Unless it's someone like Mitchell Miller, there's absolutely no reason to vote no, completely agree. Probably just jealousy over other teams prospects.
Forum:
NHL Signings
Jul. 28, 2023 at 3:22 p.m.
Thread:
Buffalo Sabres signed Zach Benson (3 Years / $1,600,000 AAV)
Another undersized prospect for Buffalo
Forum:
NHL Signings
Jul. 2, 2023 at 10:38 p.m.
Thread:
Toronto Maple Leafs signed Max Domi (1 Year / $3,000,000 AAV)
LRTS GOOOOI Carrying on his fathers legacy here
Forum:
NHL Signings
Jul. 1, 2023 at 1:51 p.m.
Thread:
Buffalo Sabres signed Connor Clifton (3 Years / $3,333,333 AAV)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>rollie1967</b></div><div>Not sure what the Sabres plan is... they need help on the rightside...but with Lybushkin, Jokiharju, Bryson and now both Eric Johnson and Clifton....whose going to play? None of those are top pairing right side, and most are best suited on the bottom pairing. Clifton on your 2nd pairing ...isnt great, mediocre at best. This seems to be about 1mil more than I wouldve thought he could demand.
There are lots of good players out there getting cheap deals today....this is not one of them. Early contender for overpay of the day.</div></div>
They are lining up their D-pairs like the way Tampa Bay did (when they had Hedman-McDonagh-Sergachev) with 3 studs anchoring the left side and a rotating group on the right side to see who fits and based on matchups.
Forum:
NHL Signings
Jul. 1, 2023 at 2:02 p.m.
Thread:
Buffalo Sabres signed Erik Johnson (1 Year / $3,250,000 AAV)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>HockeyScotty</b></div><div>Is this and the Clifton signing an indication that Buffalo will align LH/RD in their pairs?
<strong>Lefties</strong>
Dahlin
Power
Samuelsson
<strong>Righties</strong>
Clifton
Lyubushkin
E. Johnson</div></div>
Probably not, assuming it'll look like this
Sammy dahlin
Power Clifton
Everyone else
Forum:
NHL Signings
Jul. 1, 2023 at 1:08 p.m.
Thread:
Buffalo Sabres signed Erik Johnson (1 Year / $3,250,000 AAV)
I'm surprised Johnson didn't retire. He is broken, so it makes little sense to give him this much, even if it is just one year.
Forum:
NHL Signings
Jul. 1, 2023 at 1:05 p.m.
Thread:
Buffalo Sabres signed Erik Johnson (1 Year / $3,250,000 AAV)
His agent deserves a pay raise, he robbed Buffalo big time here.
Forum:
NHL Signings
Jul. 1, 2023 at 1:05 p.m.
Thread:
Buffalo Sabres signed Erik Johnson (1 Year / $3,250,000 AAV)
He seems to fit the mold of what alot of buffalo fans were asking for on here. Maybe alittle older but he's still very capable.
Forum:
NHL Signings
Jul. 1, 2023 at 12:56 p.m.
Thread:
Buffalo Sabres signed Erik Johnson (1 Year / $3,250,000 AAV)
Overpay, but only for a year. Surprised he got more than minimum.
Forum:
NHL Signings
Jul. 1, 2023 at 1:30 p.m.
Thread:
Buffalo Sabres signed Connor Clifton (3 Years / $3,333,333 AAV)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>DongLord23</b></div><div>Honestly based on all these deals for Gudas, Schenn, Holl, Cole etc..
Clifton probably was the guy I liked the most. Has some real promise. Not bad.</div></div>
Agreed. This isn’t a bad move. The Erik Johnson signing probably is tho.
Forum:
NHL Signings
Jul. 1, 2023 at 1:23 p.m.
Thread:
Buffalo Sabres signed Connor Clifton (3 Years / $3,333,333 AAV)
Honestly based on all these deals for Gudas, Schenn, Holl, Cole etc..
Clifton probably was the guy I liked the most. Has some real promise. Not bad.
Forum:
NHL Signings
Jul. 1, 2023 at 1:03 p.m.
Thread:
Buffalo Sabres signed Connor Clifton (3 Years / $3,333,333 AAV)
That's terrible for a 3rd pairing defender. What is Buffalo doing today? Terrible
Forum:
NHL Signings
Jul. 1, 2023 at 1:04 p.m.
Thread:
Buffalo Sabres signed Connor Clifton (3 Years / $3,333,333 AAV)
If he play top 4 than this is good. If he plays bottom pair, this is bad
Forum:
NHL Signings
Jul. 1, 2023 at 1:14 p.m.
Thread:
Buffalo Sabres signed Connor Clifton (3 Years / $3,333,333 AAV)
Yuck.
Forum:
NHL Signings
Jul. 1, 2023 at 1:16 p.m.
Thread:
Buffalo Sabres signed Connor Clifton (3 Years / $3,333,333 AAV)
Not sure what the Sabres plan is... they need help on the rightside...but with Lybushkin, Jokiharju, Bryson and now both Eric Johnson and Clifton....whose going to play? None of those are top pairing right side, and most are best suited on the bottom pairing. Clifton on your 2nd pairing ...isnt great, mediocre at best. This seems to be about 1mil more than I wouldve thought he could demand.
There are lots of good players out there getting cheap deals today....this is not one of them. Early contender for overpay of the day.
Forum:
NHL Signings
Jul. 1, 2023 at 12:46 p.m.
Thread:
Buffalo Sabres signed Tyson Jost (1 Year / $2,000,000 AAV)
Fair value I guess. Looked decent as a bottom 6. Just sucks at faceoffs.
Forum:
NHL Signings
Jun. 24, 2023 at 11:06 a.m.
Thread:
Buffalo Sabres signed Joseph Cecconi (1 Year / $775,000 AAV)
Good signing. Really liked him when he was in our system in Dallas and thought he would eventually be a solid 3rd pair NHLer. Was sad to see him go, so glad he's getting to play in front of his hometown fans.
Forum:
NHL Signings
Jun. 20, 2023 at 9:47 p.m.
Thread:
Buffalo Sabres signed Lukas Rousek (2 Years / $775,000 AAV)
Man Adams is crushing these contracts! Rousek has real potential to be a solid guy who brings great IQ, speed, and scoring ability to the bottom 6. And to lock up a young guy like that for 2 years at sub-800k is amazing
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