Jul 10, 2019
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<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>CD282</b></div><div>Time will tell, of course. Here are all 4 players boxcars from their 22-year-old season:
Letang: 73, 3- 24-27 +1 (3rd full NHL season)
Ellis: 80, 6-21-27 +9 (1st full season)
Spurgeon: 70, 3-20-23 -4 (1st full season, although he played 53 games the prior year)
Bear: 71, 5-16-21 -4
Some of these guys got more PP opportunity than others, so here's their 5v5 scoring numbers:
Letang: 2-18-20 (1st pairing)
Bear: 71, 4-15-19 (1st pairing)
Ellis: 6-13-19 (3rd pairing)
Spurgeon: 70, 1-9-10 (2nd / 1st pairing)
Sure Bear needs to prove he can sustain this level of play, but it's not obvious from what I can see that these guys are "several levels" better.
As far as value goes, Bear probably has just as much as Spurgeon and Letang for two key reasons: cap hit and age. At 33, Letang doesn't have very many great years ahead - he's already sustained several serious injuries in his career - and his $7.25M cap hit until he's 35 is significant. Spurgeon has less upside than Letang and although he's a little younger, his $7.575M cap hit stretches to cover his 37-year-old season which is prohibitive for most teams.
It could be argued that Bear has at least equal trade value to Letang, greater value than Spurgeon and less value than Ellis.</div></div>
Stop using numbers and logic on Toronto fans. It's wasted. :)