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GMTD

Eichel Tower
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Forum: Armchair-GMAug. 12, 2023 at 10:51 a.m.
Thread: Four scoring lines Buffalo cost of living discounts 5 ELC to sign next year
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BUFF36</b></div><div>Sabres are gonna have to trade a few of there High end prospects at some time. With as young as the Core is for the Sabres already, Sabres are already gonna be facing a huge influx of prospects in Rochester over the next couple years. You can't have prospects blocking prospects. Adams is gonna have to start making those Tough decisions he talks about very soon. He probably should have already started. Is Samuelsson even still on the team in 3 years. Sabres have a couple D prospects that could be better than him by then. Decisions Decisions Decisions</div></div> Good point Samuelsson may also be a cap casualty.
It is draconian system but if the Sabres were to trade their prospects after they have established themselfs as NHL players, they would have more value than their draft status.
Take Peterka, he appears to be positioned to make a huge leap this coming year.
If he were to become a 25-25-50 forward, he would return multiple first round picks (or a solid RHD, Pesce?) as an RFA (Brandon Hagel) much more than his 34th OA.
Samuelsson, Mittelstadt, Olofsson could all reap significant returns.
I think 13 first round picks were traded this past TDL, not one of the teams who did the trading made it to the third round.
Nashville did a great job at the TDL yet nearly made the playoffs.
They ended up with Barrie, Foote, two first, two seconds and many other picks whild surrendering Jeanotte and Ekholm.
Forum: Armchair-GMAug. 12, 2023 at 10:02 a.m.
Thread: Four scoring lines Buffalo cost of living discounts 5 ELC to sign next year
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BUFF36</b></div><div>Think Strbak would be here by then, Stillman is probably replaced by Novikov. And think Rousek is on one wing instead of Ostlund. Lots of talent there, not bad.</div></div> Who knows exactly.
Currently Johnson is the Sabres best D-man prospect followed by Mats Lindgren (https://thehockeywriters.com/buffalo-sabres-top-ten-prospects-2023-24/) but Strbak could take Stillman's spot in a couple of years.
Wahlberg was another steal similar to Kulich.
TBH, I am not sure what they will do the following year, 2026-'27.
All of those ELC's expire and even with the "Buffalo Discounts" the Sabres cannot afford all of that talent.
My guess would be Casey would be the first cap casualty, followed by Jokiharju and Luukkonen.
Presumming they would be replaced by players on their ELC's (i.e. Wahlberg, Strbak, Leinonen or Ratzla) and another $3,000,000 increase in the cap, would only leave $10,000,000 to spread out to the 6 expireing ELC's on this team.
Forum: Armchair-GMAug. 12, 2023 at 9:26 a.m.
Thread: Four scoring lines Buffalo cost of living discounts 5 ELC to sign next year
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Dan_the_Man</b></div><div>NY has the 2nd highest state income tax rate in the US Please explain this "cost of living discount" That Krebs signing is hilarious most are actually.</div></div> Buffalo has the second best city lifestyle of all NHL teams: https://gavingroup.ca/lifestyle-rankings/
Buffalo is NOT New York City. <div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>jonh514</b></div><div>LOL. Tage Thompson moving back to the wing? All his success has come at center.
Really overthinking this. Maybe Oilers should move McDavid to wing as well!</div></div> Mittelstadt did really well as the top line center last season with 17 pts in 11 games.
This line up would give Buffalo two top lines and two other scoring lines.
It is doubtful other teams could match up against this line up.
Forum: Armchair-GMMay 8, 2023 at 8:20 a.m.
Thread: Playoff time baby
<a href="/users/worldwidesensei" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@worldwidesensei</a>
<a href="/users/BUFF36" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@BUFF36</a>
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Stadel</b></div><div>Have you considered why so many Sabres fans are so hot to get rid of a guy who scored more goals than Debrincat?</div></div> There are four major reasons why Buffalo fans envision him being traded, Savoie, Kulich, Östlund and Rosén.
They are all 6 or 7 years younger and nearly $4,000,000 less expensive.
DeBrincat would not be a significant upgrade over Olofsson.
Jokiharju is too young to judge, but he has played over 20 min/gm the last two years playing about 2 min/gm on the PK.
Most NHL defensemen do not enter the NHL until 23 yo, he has 5 seasons at that age.
Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 14, 2023 at 9:49 a.m.
Thread: Buffalo moves on from Victor Zemgus Kyle and Tyson
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>littlejerryseinfeld</b></div><div>Why do we need a 6 million dollar 3rd pairing defensemen?

Stillman and Lyubushkin are fine.

Our 3rd pair plays like 11 mins a night

Moving Tage back to wing is about the worst idea I've ever seen</div></div> Surely you jest!
Orlov is a top pairing defenseman, who plays on the bottom because Dahlin, Power and Samuelsson are significantly better than he.
Clifton and Orlov are miles better than Stillman and Lyubushkin, could play more than 10 min/gm, would upgrade the Sabres PK and would score more (in just 23 games with Boston Dmitri has more goals then Rilly and Ilya have together all year).
Thompson is doing just fine on Cozens' wing and Mittelstadt has been on fire playing between Jeff and Alex with15 points in the last 10 games.
This gives Buffalo two really good lines.

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Ihopeigetit</b></div><div>this is exactly what we should target this offseason if possible. Overpay 1 dman for 2 years to come to buff so their cap is off the books when we need to extend everyone in 2 years. 3 mil or under for a defensive D for 3-5 years for stability down the road once we cant afford a 4th D making over 3 mil with Power and Dahlin extended</div></div> Completely agree!
The moves should help the PK and reduce the goal against.
Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 13, 2023 at 5:47 p.m.
Thread: Adams brings his horse shoe to the draft again how does Kulich fall to 28th OA
Thanks for the feedback.
Sort of suspected there would be more negative comments.
Buffalo may need to add a 4th or 5th to second and third trade but all three are reasonable close to equal.
It sure would be remarkable to have back to back drafts with three first round picks.<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>SK101</b></div><div>I think the jackets will use one or both of those picks to upgrade at center/LD so I’m not sure that it would be likely. Don’t think it’s worth trading two premium picks when there are like 35 prospects worth going in the top 20 in most other drafts</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>CaseyFlyman</b></div><div>I love this concept, such an interesting idea. We'll see how the draft shakes out, Jarmo doesn't have much history of trading up for a player (Gabriel Carlsson was the last significant time he did, which wasn't great), so it's probably unlikely (he trades back for additional picks more frequently).

No matter what Buffalo is looking like a force for next season.</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AndrewPawlack</b></div><div>i do not want nate danielson that high nor would i imagine the front office does either</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>gretzkyghosts</b></div><div>This would be wild indeed.
Sort of a dream draft that is unlikely to occur. If they could pick up a prospect who they think is a sure thing v two possible prospects, they may do it. Not likely of course but it is all a fantasy to get three first round defensemen prospects. Let's presume it would be a prospect that the Jackets wanted fell into their laps, not necessarily danielson.</div></div>
Forum: Armchair-GMDec. 11, 2022 at 2:51 p.m.
Thread: Seth Jones Options if Possible
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>GiggywithGibby</b></div><div>That's a way that the club can terminate the contract if the player doesn't want to, and there is of course the buyers remorse way in a buyout, but if both player and team mutually decide to terminate, it can be done.

Ex: Dustin Byfuglien and the Jets agreed to mutually terminate his contract in 2020.</div></div> <strong>Thank you for clarifying the situation.</strong>
Sort of mutual agreement.
The player refuses an assignment (Zach Bogosian refused to go to the AHL and Patrik Berglund refused to report to the club as other examples) and the club terminates his contract.

I wonder if Seth Jones were put on waivers if a club would claim him?
<a href="/users/BUFF36" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@BUFF36</a> who is Beady? Even with his cap hit he would be a huge upgrade for the Sabre RHD for free!
<a href="/users/sound_arguments" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@sound_arguments</a> not specifically "mutual" but the player refuses an assignment or does not report.
Forum: Armchair-GMDec. 7, 2022 at 6:34 a.m.
Thread: Andrew Peeke
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>SK101</b></div><div>Not for sale currently. Check back in a year or two</div></div> <div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BeautifulIdiot</b></div><div>4 1sts and all your prospects
Buffalo fans dont read this next part
(CBJ fans trust me on this one)</div></div> <div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Indy</b></div><div>Just gonna be honest...it won't come cheap spite him being probably a 2RDH long term...we have 3 years term on him at a decent rate so its going to cost a minimum of a 1st round pick+ filler. If we are talking players it's going to be at minimum an ask for Krebs.</div></div> <div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Czu8iks</b></div><div>For Krebs ? Deal</div></div> Krebs?
Buffalo should accept that deal!
Forum: Armchair-GMNov. 12, 2022 at 1:45 p.m.
Thread: I saw this trade but it only received one comment
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Fjordy</b></div><div>I don't really understand why Calgary would do this.</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Shibbal18</b></div><div>2 firsts, not a chance CGY considers this</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>HockeyIsMyPassion61</b></div><div>Girgenson has nowhere near that kind of value, Calgary 100% passes.</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Ledge_And_Dairy</b></div><div>Troll post?</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Luguber</b></div><div>You think?</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>littlejerryseinfeld</b></div><div>Why would you post this?</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TheFastAndTheFleuryous</b></div><div>That’s All-Star Zemgus Girgensons to you</div></div>

Nuts, it was 2 seconds.
I will correct it.
Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 21, 2022 at 6:38 p.m.
Thread: Sabres
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Skyraider112</b></div><div>Lets say in an alternate reality Cale Makar and Josh Manson were both LHD playing the right side. That would make 5 LHD and 1 RHD. You don't think they would have been good enough to still win the Cup, even if all that changes is the handedness of two of their D-men?</div></div> <a href="/users/Shibbal18" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@Shibbal18</a> I am not surprise that you would agree with such an outlandish comment, but <a href="/users/Skyraider112" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@Skyraider112</a> you are much smarter than this to ignore facts.
Sure you can have any alternate reality you want but Makar and Manson were both RHD.
The fact is the last five Stanley cup winners played with effectively 3 RHD.
Dream on all you want, make up any stories you want, pretend the last five cup winners did not have 3 RHD, ignore all of the facts, make up your own alternative facts.

Now let me try to explain to you WHY coaches want 3 RHD and 3LHD.
In the defensive zone, when a defenseman is on his off side, he needs to use a back hand to clear the zone, or use his fore hand to shoot the puck behind the net and attempt to clear out the opposite wing.
I have watched enough hockey to know, when when a defenseman tries to clear the puck by wrapping around the boards, it inevitably ends up on the attackers stick at the point.
I hope you have noticed how often this maneuver fails.

When a defenseman playing his off hand in on the point he needs to collect the puck on his back hand then transfer it to his fore hand to make a play.
Let me remind you of the Vegas game.
Jack Eichel was playing the left point, his off hand side.
When Tuch charged the point, even a player as talented as Jack could not control the puck and Tuch was able to steal it, rush down the ice and seal the victory with an empty net goal.

Please stick to the facts and ignore your alternative universe, coaches prefer to have 3 LHD and 3 RHD.

<strong>FINALLY to answer your ALTERNATIVE UNIVERSE.</strong>
While Colorado won the series in 6 games two of them were OT, "That would make 5 LHD and 1 RHD. You don't think they would have" lost both of those OT games?
Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 20, 2022 at 11:15 a.m.
Thread: Sabres
<a href="/users/Skyraider112" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@Skyraider112</a>
<a href="/users/Shibbal18" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@Shibbal18</a>

First, a defenseman playing his off hand is vulnerable to strong forechecking because he has to use his back hand to advance the puck or shoot the puck behind the net increasing the likely hood an attacker will collect the puck.
Second, when playing the point he has to use his back hand to stop the puck from leaving the zone when a puck is shot around the boards.
Third, replay Tuch's empty net goal v Vegas. Eichel could not keep the puck in the zone and was embarrassed surrendering the puck so easily as he was on his back hand.

I only did the last five years of cup winners.
Remember last year all four finalists had balanced LHD with RHD.
NHL head coaches are a lot smarter than I, the winning coaches seem to like to have balanced defenses.

2022 Colorado 3 LDH 3 RHD
CALE MAKAR
DEVON TOEWS
BOWEN BYRAM
JOSH MANSON
ERIK JOHNSON
JACK JOHNSON

2021 Tampa 3 LHD 3 RHD
VICTOR HEDMAN
RYAN MCDONAGH
MIKHAIL SERGACHEV
ERIK CERNAK
JAN RUTTA
DAVID SAVARD

2020 Tampa 3 LHD 3 RHD
VICTOR HEDMAN
RYAN MCDONAGH
MIKHAIL SERGACHEV
ERIK CERNAK
KEVIN SHATTENKIRK
ZACH BOGOSIAN

2019 St. Louis 3 LHD 3 RHD
ALEX PIETRANGELO
COLTON PARAYKO
JAY BOUWMEESTER
JOEL EDMUNDSON
VINCE DUNN

All balanced defensemen.

2018 Washington 4 LHD 2 RHD
But Carlson and Niskanen played 51 minutes per game so the RHD played nearly a full game.
Include the 5 minutes that Orlov, Kempny, and Orpik played the PP, Washington only played 4 minutes per game with two LHD.
JOHN CARLSON
MATT NISKANEN
DMITRY ORLOV
MICHAL KEMPNY
BROOKS ORPIK
CHRISTIAN DJOOS

But you can do the additional research to find a team that had one RHD.
Five years is sufficient to make my point.
Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 12, 2022 at 3:45 p.m.
Thread: Sign Milano Rodriguez and Stralman
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Diaspora</b></div><div>...Rodriguez - been there, no thanks...</div></div> <div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>sabres89</b></div><div>...stralman sure, pass on the others.</div></div> <div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>PHEN</b></div><div>No reason to sign any of those UFAs...</div></div> So the Stanley Cup Champions can use a depth forward that would be useless as a Sabre.
Peterka could be ready, but Sonny and Rodrigues are insurance policies.
The subs played 187 games (Bjork 58/5; Murray 19/2; Caggiula 18/2; Jankowski 19/2; Ruotsalainen 18/2; Hayden 55/2 gm/gl).
Either of them would be better than any of them, as Sonny scored only one less goal and Evan four more goals than they did last year.

EDIT:
Check this out, https://www.capfriendly.com/armchair-gm/team/3639202 and herehttps://www.capfriendly.com/armchair-gm/team/3639398 Evan is penciled in as the #2 center, but Buffalo cannot use him.
Here he is the third line center https://www.capfriendly.com/armchair-gm/team/3639386

Could this be one of the reasons why Buffalo has missed the playoffs for the past 11 seasons?
Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 8, 2022 at 10:37 a.m.
Thread: two trades trading cap space for picks
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>GMTD</b></div><div>I agree on all counts.
Both could be sent to Rochester if they cannot make the line up and the Sabres walk away with 3 second round picks.
Foegele may not find a spot on a healthy line up but he is an insurance policy if Peterka needs more time in Rochester and is an upgrade over Sheahan.
Zaitsev may be terrible but he is better than Bogosian.
It is important to not underestimate how important 3 RHD are to the offense and defense.
Think back to the empty net goal Tuch scored against Vegas.
Eichel was on his back hand and could not get the puck past Alex.
A left hand defenseman playing on the right side would face the same problem and is vulnerable to being pressured by a forward.</div></div>
Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 8, 2022 at 10:36 a.m.
Thread: two trades trading cap space for picks
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>sabres89</b></div><div>The Sabres haven't shown any inclination to just take cap to be swell guys. Frankly nobody has. <strong>Montreal and Monahan.</strong> I think I would take foegele if he came with a second, he doesn't fit what the Sabres are doing, but the Sabres plan appears to be to roll several talented kids at forward in the top 9, not much grit to be found. Zaitsev I would pass on. All zaitsev would do is give us 3 right shot d on the roster, but he's not good, and he has the extra bonus year to boot.</div></div> I agree on all counts.
Both could be sent to Rochester if they cannot make the line up and the Sabres walk away with 3 second round picks.
Foegele may not find a spot on a healthy line up but he is an insurance policy if Peterka needs more time in Rochester and is an upgrade over Sheahan.
Zaitsev may be terrible but he is better than Bogosian.
It is important to not underestimate how important 3 RHD are to the offense and defense.
Think back to the empty net goal Tuch scored against Vegas.
Eichel was on his back hand and could not get the puck past Alex.
A left hand defenseman playing on the right side would face the same problem and is vulnerable to being pressured by a forward.
Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 7, 2022 at 7:20 a.m.
Thread: Sabre and King fans will hate this trade
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>worldwidesensei</b></div><div>Iafallo, while certainly a better player than Asplund is now, I don't think he will be in 3 years when BUF is expecting to be a contender. Plus, he only has 4 years remaining on his contract. Asplund may be the next player to sign for 7 years. BUF needs another Asplund, they don't need to get rid of one. And this isn't even mentioning ALL of the forwards we have coming up the ranks. We've got veteran wingers.

By trading Samulesson, you have effectively gone from Dahlin as #1RD, to.....Boosh?!!!! That is a major, major, major downgrade. For what? A 3rd pairing D-man. No thanks. Power and Dahlin will each be on the ice for 25 minutes a night. The 3rd pairing guy just needs to be out there for 10 minutes. Someone who can handle PK would be preferable.

Also, why is Hino on the 2nd line. He's in the press box if Quinn and/or Peterka are up.

And, I don't get the Pilut talk. Unless he has drastically improved (all signs point to him not improving), he is an AHL'er. Bryson is way better.</div></div> Great observations.
First, when the team was healthy, the Sabres finished the 2021-'22 season 16-9-3 for 35 pts in 28 games, or 103 pts over an 82 game season.
Adding Lyubushkin, Comrie and Power while upgrading the RHD and LW, I do not think the Sabres will need to wait 3 years to compete.
GF may increase by 30 - 40 and the GA fall by even more if Comrie/Anderson/Luukkonen can stay healthy.
Second, I agree Asplund has demonstrated a scoring touch in the past, but he over his NHL career he has 16 goals in 136 games, Iafallo has 71 goals over 361 games.
I know Rasmus has been a strong defender, but so is Alex.
Alex was raised just 20 minutes from Key Bank Center, I would hope he could provide a similar bump that Tuch did.
Third, Johnson is rated to have a higher upside than Samuelsson, if this is the case, trading Samuelsson may improve the chances of signing Ryan.
Fourth, Durzi is also a strong defender, just not as physical as Mattias, but his 27 points would have ranked second to only Dahlin among the Sabres D-men.
Finally, Quinn is on the third line to take the pressure off of him to produce and over his last 79 games Hinostroza has 17 goals.

Perhaps I am a bit optimistic and you are correct.
You do not need to worry, Blake would never accept this trade as it is heavily tilted in favor of the Sabres.
Let's agree to disagree and hope Asplund can find his goal scoring touch.

<strong>EDIT in 3 years, Asplund will have to work really hard to find a spot in the line up with Kisakov, Rosen, Paltapov, Savoie, Kulich, Ostlund, Rousek and Nadeau in the pipeline</strong>