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HelmutCool

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Forum: NHL SigningsOct. 12, 2022 at 1:39 p.m.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>ElectroMan</b></div><div>The cap is going up nearly 20M in that time. Contracts are going to jump like crazy. At that time his deal would be comparable to a 3.5M deal today, which would be pretty close to his bridge amount. Near the end of his deal it would be close to 2.5M for a top 4 defensive d man.

Guys like Cernak already got 5.2M and that's before the cap has even jumped. You will start to see defensive guys getting 6M-7M pretty soon.

He's playing top pair, has strong defensive results, and this contract would put him 71st highest paid d man. Do you think that's an overpay or fair for what he brings currently?</div></div>

Personally? If he doesn't take a step up, he's overpaid. And his defensive numbers away from the top pair were abysmal - go check out his sub-40% CF/SF and 8-27 GF-GA numbers when he was with Casey Fitzgerald last season if you think I'm just making things up. He put up better numbers with Dahlin, but to me that doesn't scream "top pair guy", it just says he's able to keep up with a superior player while not being able to make a lesser player better. That's fine! There are tons of players like that, and it doesn't mean he's not a top-4 player. I just don't think he's a slam dunk top pair guy that's going to make this deal look like a steal.

If you want a little more to back that up, I think one of his better comps is Jonas Siegenthaler - both defensive LHD, similarly sized players, and Siegenthaler is only 3 years older and signed his extension 10 weeks ago.

Sieganthaler put up better even strength possession numbers (51.2 vs 47.6 CF, 51.0 vs. 47.3 Fenwick) with similar PDOs (so can't say one was bailed out by better goaltending), and was better at preventing goals when he was on the ice shorthanded (7.2 GA/60 vs. 8.1 for Samuelsson), while having a little over 2 seasons worth of NHL games to judge his game on. He just signed for 5x$3.4M - so the Sabres gave more term and more AAV in this deal today.

Again, my point is that it's not that Samuelsson is going to be a bum, or not live up to the deal, or whatever. It's just that it doesn't make a ton of sense to hand out this deal right now when there is very little I could picture Samuelsson doing that would push his value *higher* than this. He's most likely a middle-pair guy going forward and this is a higher-end middle pair AAV.
Forum: NHLOct. 11, 2022 at 10:03 a.m.
Forum: NHLOct. 10, 2022 at 7:05 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMOct. 5, 2022 at 11:15 a.m.
Forum: NHLSep. 28, 2022 at 10:28 a.m.
Forum: NHLSep. 26, 2022 at 12:02 p.m.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>HelmutCool</b></div><div>Had to go look that Devane vs Harpur bout, and came to the conclusion that the enforcers truly are a dying breed.
Sure after the trauma of Brendan Smith having to fight Wilson they brought in Ryan Reeves, but they are not the only team in that situation.

There are a few teams that have a guy willing to drop the gloves, but they are mostly just big/gritty third pair defensemen or relics quitting in a year or two.
Gudbranson, Simmonds, Borocop, Lucic, Deslaurier, Maroon and so on.
Then are the ones who drop the gloves to ignite the team or out of necessity: M. Foligno, Jamie Benn, Trouba (mostly after his own dodgy hit).

Are there any players at their peek age fighting and earning their place on the ice otherwise as well anymore? Jeannot perhaps, Duhaime? Wilson? Middleton?</div></div>

Middleton for sure, but more of a team guy.

Gadjovich and Viel are both still being kept around in SJS.
Both have potential as bottom 6, quality players. Gaddy and Viel both have a nasty bite.

If you aren’t familiar with SJS guys you can follow them.

And up and coming Adam Raska has been notable in every single game in teal. Last night he destroyed Byfield.

<em>
Quinten Byfield stayed down after a hit from Adam Raska and then skated to the bench hunched over. Lias Andersson took exception to the hit and is in the penalty box, so the Sharks have a fourth power player of the 1st period.

That entire shift was one near-fight after another. It started when Blake Lizotte collided w/Adam Raska, who went face-first into the boards. Jeffrey Viel and Brendan Lemieux were also on the ice, so calamity ensued. It all ended with Viel collecting two penalties + none for LA. </em>

Raska has legit Wilson potential but he’s no where near as talented but his work ethic and hustle make up for it. Throws big hits and is always looking for the big play. Ain’t afraid to drop the mitts and is just a wrecking ball. Again I’d say;

Raska - bottom 6er but like 30 points in the NHL would be a peak I’d think unless he can start building some more offensive prowess, but he looks great when he’s on. He’s the youngest here (2020 pick) - so a lot of time to grow.

Viel - better hands and more talent but most likely bottom 6er at best. He’s 25 now.

Gaddy - has been trying to improve but he’s a little less talented than Viel.

I’d take money on Raska having more NHL GP then Viel and Gaddy when careers are over.

“Raska’s numbers may not jump off the page but his relentless pace and high-energy play make him ideally suited for a depth role at the NHL level. Earlier this season he became just the second seventh-round pick from the 2020 draft to play in the NHL. I’m a believer in Raska’s ability to break through to regular NHL duty however consistent point production has never really been his forte at any level.“ - dobberprospects

Raska is a fun player to watch.
Forum: NHL SigningsSep. 22, 2022 at 1:02 a.m.
Forum: NHLSep. 19, 2022 at 7:46 p.m.