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HypotheticalImpossibility
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ARMCHAIR-GM TEAMS
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 28 at 7:54 p.m.
Thread:
Patrick Kane
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Garak</b></div><div>Haha. I mean... I wouldn't call that a "tinfoil hat theory." It sounds pretty legit to me. Among other things, It's this whole "Influencer" culture infiltrating every aspect of society, not just media. Although, media is probably the most visible because it's everywhere. You can see everything going downhill in quality from food to goods to services to skilled labor (or should I say unskilled). There's good stuff out there too, but everything is so oversaturated with millions of people trying to do the same things. Most of them can sell themselves all day long, but they aren't actually capable of doing those things. Everything is a sales pitch now.
So, yeah, they are spiraling. Even organizations like The Athletic should be feeling the pressure. The New York Times won't hesitate for a second to let the athletic go under and write it off on their taxes, if subscriptions fall below a certain threshold. Which I predict is probably going to happen in the next year or so. They already did all those layoffs last year, subscription prices are going up, quality is going down, and consumers barely have money to eat, let alone pay for a subscription to the athletic. It's not crazy, or a conspiracy theory, if you pay attention, it's just obvious that things are not ok.
lol. Can I take my tinfoil hat off now before I have a stroke?</div></div>
Sad part is, that's all entirely reasonable and makes a lot of sense. Higher cost for lower quality product is kind of the name of the game now, and inflation has everybody more broke than ever. Add that into everything being bought out by larger corporations, I can't remember exactly where, but I had heard advertising revenue was somewhere around half of where it was about a year ago, which would support the push for subscription services. Add all these factors together, and you have a downward spiral for all these companies.
"May you live in interesting times" combined with a Monkey's Paw. If you start to smell toast, definitely lose the tinfoil hat lol
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 15 at 6:32 p.m.
Thread:
Fixing and Adding
Detroit trade is good value.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 15 at 6:30 p.m.
Thread:
deadline
Why do Habs fans think every one of their players on the trade block is worth a first?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 15 at 6:25 p.m.
Thread:
Patrick Kane
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Garak</b></div><div>Exactly. They're looking for clicks. Which is fine, it's their job. But there are other ways to generate interesting stories, if you can dig a little deeper. Although, hoping for a larger demographic of our fanbases to take interest in prospects, development, and intricate details of the game might be more ambitious than it is realistic. haha</div></div>
If you'll excuse my tinfoil hat for a second, that could be why legacy sports media sources are on the downward spiral. There's so many podcasts, independent people, and even organizations like the Athletic covering advanced theories, statistics, prospects and development, It's impossible to cover half of it. Even Youtubers like The Hockey Guy and Hockey Psychology do a better job covering the sport than the usual beat writers.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 15 at 6:21 p.m.
Thread:
Montreal trade coming
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>RipNasty</b></div><div>I promise you, I didn't read any of this.</div></div>
Whatever helps you sleep at night, I suppose.
Anyways, since it seems the plot has been lost, we should probably conclude this little discussion. Maybe we can have a productive hockey conversation eventually. Good day.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 7 at 6:38 p.m.
Thread:
Leafs Look Ahead 2526 III
Kampf is the type of guy you'd have to pay to offload. It's not that he's bad, he's just expensive for his role.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 7 at 6:33 p.m.
Thread:
Nylander as per Elliot Friedman
$21M to fill out at least 8 roster spots? I don't think that's a recipe for success.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 7 at 6:29 p.m.
Thread:
Retool of the rebuild redone
This is all over the place. Raymond and Seider won't sign those, Ed won't be playing top line minutes, AJo won't play above Walman, and why pay Mountour 8M to play on the 2nd line? Nate Dan won't be 2C next year, Veleno is a center, not Ras, and Berggren will not make anywhere that much. Also, as far as I'm aware, you can't have 4 buyouts in one offseason.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 7 at 6:06 p.m.
Thread:
Bruins make a push
I don't think Kane would a be a fit stylistically in Boston's system.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 7 at 6:03 p.m.
Thread:
Patrick Kane
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Garak</b></div><div>Yeah. Idk. Some fans complain and some are on board with being patient. I think some of the CHI beat writers make a bigger deal out of poor performances because, well, that's their job and there isn't currently a whole lot to write about unless they are willing to dig deeper, which most of them don't seem to be. Everything I see seems to be very surface level and reactionary, none of them seem to actually watch juniors or college prospects. None of them seem very interested in profiling draft eligible players, and/or speculating on what they are trying to build/what the finished product could look like/etc.
Personally, I am on board with the patient approach. I am in no rush for any results. I fully realize how long this is going to take if they are going to do it right, and I am very intrigued by scouting, development, and the entire rebuild process, really. In discussions, people are always putting deadlines on things where there doesn't need to be. Like "oh, they gotta be better this year" or "they gotta be better next year", "there needs to be tangible steps taken", etc. Players take time, and we can't rush this. Plus, I don't want some late 20's dude getting overpaid because they had a really good season and then their contract becoming a boat anchor when we are actually ready to start competing again because their career is winding down.</div></div>
Something similar is happening in Detroit, I think. Both teams have been bad for awhile, but recently went through a regime change after starting a rebuild way too late. Parts of the fanbase could be a bit restless, but it's not like either team will suddenly be good overnight. Beat writers might just be looking for clicks.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 7 at 5:54 p.m.
Thread:
Montreal trade coming
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>RipNasty</b></div><div>Whatever dude this is just silly</div></div>
Yes, it is silly. It's silly that you make definitive statements about topics you clearly have little to no understanding of. It's silly that nearly all of the statistics and historical information you spout is not only inaccurate, but easily discovered through simple google searches or a click away from the homepage here. It's silly that you are unable to elaborate on any of the opinions you've presented outside of "whatever," "this is silly," or "you're attacking the Leafs." It's silly that you either refuse to acknowledge when you're wrong, or double down after already having been proven wrong.
Or maybe it's silly of me to expect anything else from you, considering this is par for the course on this website. Maybe it's silly of me to think that proving you wrong would prompt you to maybe start doing some research once in awhile so you can actually be informed on your opinions. Or, maybe silliest of all, that conversing with you was at all worth any amount of time.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 3 at 8:15 p.m.
Thread:
Montreal trade coming
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>RipNasty</b></div><div>Lol I didn't even read the second half of your statement. Just taking cheap chirps at the leafs is rich.</div></div>
How is it cheap? It's literally a self-inflicted wound. And it happened. And they're in cap hell because of it.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 3 at 8:14 p.m.
Thread:
Montreal trade coming
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>RipNasty</b></div><div>I think the credit he gets in Tampa is unfairly heaped onto his shoulders. I haven't liked his moves in Detroit and I fully expect it will prove to be a flawed rebuild. The signing of old guys will hurt him. They haven't had enough low picks. Other rebuilding teams will pass them by and they will be either bubble teams or miss the playoffs entirely. There is no way to substantiate that until it happens. It's called a prediction. You do understand what that is right?</div></div>
And why was the credit unfairly given to him? He was the GM, he brought in the staff, execs, coaches, and players. Do you think he just sat there while everyone else did everything?
You've listed three moves that were "bad" and nothing else. You haven't mentioned how half of his draft picks in Detroit have overperformed their draft position, the fleecings of trades (Fabbri for Jacob De La Rose, Walman and a 2nd for Nick Leddy, Bertuzzi (for a first) and spare parts for Alex DeBrincat, Hronek for 3 draft picks, one of which is setting records in the SHL, by the way). Did any of that factor into your prediction? Or that all of the "old guys (of which, Perron was by far the oldest, at 34) are all off the books in 4 years or less. Not every move he's made has been good, but he's made far more good moves than bad.
Every bit of information you've placed into your "prediction" is baseless, incomplete speculation lacking any credible evidence, context or insight. Anything you have provided has been easily disproven through basic google searches. Your "prediction," quite frankly, sucks. You might as well just say you think Yzerman is bad because he isn't working for the Leafs.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 3 at 7:46 p.m.
Thread:
Montreal trade coming
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>RipNasty</b></div><div>It's pretty tough to have evidence for a future prediction. I am not sure you understand how time works</div></div>
So, by your own logic, you can't substantiate any of your claims in any way and are pulling this assessment out of thin air?
Also, the best indicator of future performance is past performance. Like when Toronto tied half their cap up into four forwards, suggesting that they will manage the cap poorly in the future. When the Oilers hired a past his prime GM whose track record in the last 10 years was mediocre at best, bad at worst (Ken Holland, in case you didn't know), he went on to still be mediocre at best. Yzerman built a good team in Tampa, and the Red Wings were bordering on historically bad when he took over. Spoiler alert, they're not historically bad now, and they're trending up.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 3 at 7:36 p.m.
Thread:
Option for denfense
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>aedoran</b></div><div>If he continues to play the way he has a 1st completely plausible. Especially if Savard is worth 1st. Ghost is producing at a higher rate and he has been much better defensively than Savard this season.</div></div>
Habs fans think all their players are worth a first. Matheson, Anderson, Petry, Monahan, etc. etc. If their asking price is that high, I doubt Savard goes anywhere.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 3 at 4:48 p.m.
Thread:
Option for goalie
Lyon's been far and away Detroit's best goalie this season, so it's unlikely they move him.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 3 at 4:48 p.m.
Thread:
Option for denfense
Ghost has been better defensively than expected. Still not good, but not a black hole either.
I'd be happy with a second at the TDL, assuming Ghost doesn't want to extend in Detroit.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 3 at 4:46 p.m.
Thread:
Ryan Graves done deal
Steeves isn't necessary in the Detroit trade, but I don't think you want Reimer.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 3 at 4:45 p.m.
Thread:
Shopping for Dach 20
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>MTLaveragefan</b></div><div>Those are likely early picks for the habs.</div></div>
Early in the round, but it's not like the Habs would be offering 1st/2nd/3rd round picks for either player. Neither have that kind of trade value, but they still have upside.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 3 at 4:44 p.m.
Thread:
What to do this offseason
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>NucksnOilers</b></div><div>Has Soderblom really proven that much in Detroit?
He’s about to be 23 and hasn’t really broken out in the AHL, Attard I think has been far more effective offensively in the same league</div></div>
If Soderblom is unproven and is a worse asset, why would Philly trade for him?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 3 at 4:40 p.m.
Thread:
Shopping for Dach 20
Soderblom isn't available. His upside is far more valuable to the Wings than his trade value.
Berggren is a little more difficult to gauge, but I can't imagine he'd go for anything other than a similar position C/RHD prospect, or as a sweetener in a larger package. Mid to late round picks just aren't appealing for him.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 3 at 4:36 p.m.
Thread:
Montreal trade coming
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>RipNasty</b></div><div>It will take time man. I am talking about the future. Detroit is not going to progress like you guys think it will.</div></div>
So, you can't back up your claims with evidence and we have to trust in you, because you clearly know what's going to happen?
Just for the sake of argument, how do we Detroit fans think everything will turn out?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 3 at 4:33 p.m.
Thread:
Patrick Kane
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Garak</b></div><div>Yeah. My jaw was on the floor when Moore was still available at 19th OA. He is on the smaller side and isn't having the greatest freshman year, but I'm still hoping he can be a future Selke-type for us. I really think we have a few years before KD thinks about making any long term UFA signings or making any trades for RFA's. Though, this summer will be interesting, given that CHI's gap to the salary floor is even larger than last summer. I also don't know if they can get away with another tank year. I think there needs to be some progress or else CHI fans and maybe even the players will start getting pretty angry. But, building through the draft seems like an important aspect of this rebuild to CHI brass. So, the players and fans might just have to deal with it. Personally, I have fully bought in and I am fine with getting as many high picks as possible before these kids start joining the NHL ranks and the team starts improving organically. I just don't know how they get to the salary floor without some massive overpayments on short term deals. Plus, they gotta be eyeballing at least one or two of the next couple summers UFA classes.
Also, yeah, Raymond is underrated. But I also don't see DET moving him at all. So, that is part of why I don't engage even the most vague notions of acquiring him. Teams like NJD and CAR I could see moving some of their young players for depth and picks if they think those young players are gonna break the bank.</div></div>
Moore dropping like he did was a shocker. I wouldn't be too worried about his D+1 production, could be a number of things. Could very well be like what happened with Jonathan Lekkerimaki. His D+1 was pretty unremarkable in the Allsvenskan, but this year, he's almost doubled his point total while playing in the SHL.
As far as what the Hawks do next season, they have almost too much flexibility. $52M for 17 roster spots is just insane. Davidson may have to overpay a few guys on short term just to get to the floor, or pick up a few bad contracts for more picks. Can't say I have a finger on the pulse of the Hawks fandom, but having Bedard ripping up the league should placate things for a couple seasons, right?
As far as Raymond, Detroit would have to be full firesale before considering moving him. Kid took a huge step so far this season, and is by far the best young forward on the team. I agree though, the notion of trading for him just doesn't make sense from either side.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 3 at 4:04 p.m.
Thread:
Montreal trade coming
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>RipNasty</b></div><div>You will see. Yzerman isn't the best GM in hockey. He's an old school guy who thinks he's better than he is.</div></div>
You keep saying that I'll see, but have produced no evidence to substantiate your claim. Am I supposed to take your word for it, because you know more about teams you don't watch, players you don't watch, and staff you don't follow compared to those who actually do?
Nowhere in this thread has it been said that Yzerman is the best GM in hockey. Nowhere in any of his interviews has he said that he's the best GM in hockey. Do you have anything proving otherwise?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 2 at 11:07 a.m.
Thread:
Petey wants out
A team that's bad defensively trades their 1C hometown captain and their best defenseman for a single better center? Not considered for a second.
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