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Isles777
Isles7
Member Since
Jun. 9, 2019
Favourite Team
New York Islanders
Forum Posts
12222
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ARMCHAIR-GM TEAMS
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 22, 2021 at 5:00 p.m.
Thread:
First Try
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Campabee</b></div><div>WOW, Romanov wasn't even in the NHL for the last 3 seasons and played 3rd pairing in the KHL as an 18 y.o. Then came to Canada as a 19 y.o. and while he did not get to participate in the bubble showed he belonged in Montreal through the next training camp and regular season.</div></div>
Ok that means nothing lol - the odds are still against him to become a top 4 D. You can believe what you want.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 22, 2021 at 4:59 p.m.
Thread:
First Try
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Makeeeeebo</b></div><div>I'm a Patreon to JFresh, it's his most recent update. This is Romanov's card for the 2020-2021 season.</div></div>
then he must have changed his model. The one Jfresh posted on April 22, Romanov only played 4 games after he posted it. Going from a 39% WAR% to 66% makes no sense.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 22, 2021 at 4:42 p.m.
Thread:
First Try
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Makeeeeebo</b></div><div><img class="for_img" src="https://i.ibb.co/ggPFJM4/image-2021-07-22-163650.png" alt="image-2021-07-22-163650.png"></div></div>
What is the date on that?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 22, 2021 at 4:40 p.m.
Thread:
First Try
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Campabee</b></div><div>He was a healthy scratch cause the coaches didn't want to throw him to the wolves in his rookie season. Do you not know anything about sheltering a prospect? Seems like you have absolutely now concept of what it takes for an international prospect to make the jump to the North American game. Hundreds of International prospects go from their respective leagues straight to the AHL as they need to acclimate their game to the NA style. You are right though you know more than any NHL GM or pro scout around the world!</div></div>
Romanov has not done anything in the last 3 years that would lead anyone to believe he is going to be a top 4 defenseman. Can he turn into one? Sure, but it’s highly unlikely. This is different than say, kotkaniemi who has struggled the past two years but he’s done enough from his age 17-19 seasons to argue that he’ll be at least a 2C in the future
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 22, 2021 at 4:31 p.m.
Thread:
First Try
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Makeeeeebo</b></div><div>I don't think either team makes this trade but Romanov is already a solid player and his stock is high. Regardless of what you perceive him to be, GMs will always try and "beef up the back end". Any GM would jump on a smooth-skating D who led all rookies in hits. I think Beauvillier is worth more than Romanov but I also think GMs would like to have Romanov on their team.</div></div>
I'm not sure why you think Romanov's stock is high, he didn't have a good season and he was a healthy scratch for most of the playoffs.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 22, 2021 at 4:15 p.m.
Thread:
First Try
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Campabee</b></div><div>So how many Montreal Canadiens regular season games did you watch? 0?! Yeah you don't have to use stats or advanced stats to know that during the regular season Chiarot, Weber and to a lesser degree Kulak and Edmundson sucked. Just look at some of the teams interviews from down the stretch, EVERY one of them Petry included kept saying how much better they had to play game after game after game. There was a reason that Montreal was 18th overall in the league headed into the playoffs, their D sucked in the regular season. Go ahead and blame the kid if you want but every Habs fan will tell you the same thing, OUR D in the regular season was one of the worst in the entire league with Weber and Chiarot leading the way as the worst 2 regulars. once Merrill and Gustafsson came to town they were the only D worse than Weber and Chiarot.</div></div>
I probably watched like 10 Montreal games this season and the great thing about analytics is it removes bias. Sorry man I don't trust your eye test. Kulak was great
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="hu" dir="ltr">Winnipeg's Brett Kulak. <a href="https://t.co/LHfteRQBM8" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">pic.twitter.com/LHfteRQBM8</a></p>— Simon Ledsham (@twigsontwigs) <a href="https://twitter.com/twigsontwigs/status/1389056147206836228?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">May 3, 2021</a></blockquote>
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 22, 2021 at 4:08 p.m.
Thread:
First Try
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>impaaaaact</b></div><div>Looked pretty good in the the Stanley Cup
/Users/ben/Documents/Screenshots/Screen Shot 2021-07-22 at 3.55.22 PM.png
true, can't risk breaking up this juggernaut</div></div>
Beauvillier-Nelson-Bailey = 73% goals for percentage
Beauvillier without Nelson/Bailey = 62.50% goals for percentage
Nelson+Bailey without Beauvillier = 27% goals for percentage
And you want to trade beauvillier for scraps?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 22, 2021 at 4:04 p.m.
Thread:
First Try
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Campabee</b></div><div>You didn't watch many Habs games this year did you? Chiarot, Weber, Edmonsdon (on occasion) and Kulak were all tire fires in the regular season! Weber and Chiarot's play picked up in the playoffs but so did everyone else's. Edmundson was awful to start the season and turned it around about halfway through the season. Kulak was all over the place, he would be good for a game or two then suck bad much like Mete did in the past. Romanov considering he was a rookie used solely on the 3rd pair had an up an down year as well but the transition from KHL to NHL is not easy especially for a 20 y.o. But you do you and continue to dump on a 20 year old kid cause you have nothing better to do with your time.</div></div>
The numbers don't lie - you clearly don't know what you're talking about. All of those players were above average in most defensive metrics. I'm dumping on the 21* year old because I'm arguing why this is a terrible trade for the islanders. I personally don't give a sh*t about his transition from the KHL, there are plenty of players who come over and succeed.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 22, 2021 at 4:01 p.m.
Thread:
First Try
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>impaaaaact</b></div><div>Looked pretty good in the the Stanley Cup
/Users/ben/Documents/Screenshots/Screen Shot 2021-07-22 at 3.55.22 PM.png
true, can't risk breaking up this juggernaut</div></div>
In the playoffs Montreal was outshot 42-31 and outscored 3-1 with Romanov on the ice. He also had a 32% expected goals %, worst among Montreal D. "Looked pretty good" I guess you're referring to his 1 goall lol - 2 min later he made a terrible defensive play which cost MTL.
I have no idea what that link is.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 22, 2021 at 3:56 p.m.
Thread:
First Try
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Campabee</b></div><div>LMAO, you are basing your analysis off of what 54 games in his rookie year, used only on the 3rd pair on a team that was as a whole horrible defensively through the entire regular season!
EDIT** Guess that means Dobson is a bust as well! Rookie season = 34 GP 1 G 6A 7 P, Let's wait 3 or 4 years before we say anyone is a bust. Only those jealous of what other teams have start dumping on players after their rookie season.</div></div>
Dobson's play driving was much better and it actually matters what you do before you get in the NHL. Also Dobson was averaging 13 minutes per game as a 19 YO and he still had 1 more point than Romanov in his age 21 season (averaging 17 min a night playing in 54 games as opposed to Dobson who only played 34)
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 22, 2021 at 3:51 p.m.
Thread:
First Try
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Campabee</b></div><div>LMAO, you are basing your analysis off of what 54 games in his rookie year, used only on the 3rd pair on a team that was as a whole horrible defensively through the entire regular season!</div></div>
Chiarot , Edmundson , Kulak, Petry, and Weber were all above average defensively. MTL fans overrate the hell out of him because of his WJC performance, but he's not even a lock to be an NHLer. Top down hockey's model currently gives him a 10.61% chance of playing 200 games. Byron Bader's model has him at under 50% odds as well .
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 22, 2021 at 3:42 p.m.
Thread:
First Try
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>impaaaaact</b></div><div>Parise is one year removed from a 25 goal year, and two years removed from a 28 goal year - each in substantially less than 82 games played. Calling him a 13 F is beyond harsh.
The point of putting him there was to spread the love around and have Lee anchor his own line. It's also been relayed to me that I didn't move Boychuk into the LTIR slot so this team is moot anyway</div></div>
Father Time is undefeated and if you didn’t know , players pushing 40 YO can fall off a cliff at any moment. That’s already happened to Parise. He cannot drive a line and neither can Bailey. Beauvillier was the one who was the main driver of the 2nd line. Nelson and Baileys numbers without Beauvillier are f*cking brutal . Beauvilliers numbers actually improved without them. I don’t think putting a slow washed up 40 YO on the 2nd line is a good idea.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 22, 2021 at 3:39 p.m.
Thread:
First Try
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>impaaaaact</b></div><div>#analysis</div></div>
Romanov is awful defensively while playing in a system that usually boost defensive numbers. He also doesn’t put up points and has mediocre hockey IQ. From most hockey prospect models he’s not even a lock to be an NHLer and if he is he’ll be a #4 or #5 D - and we’re trading our best two way winger in Beauvillier. Are we trying to force Barzal to request a trade next summer by getting rid of 3 of his closest friends on the team in one year?
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">I was kind of expecting Romanov to be a low-event guy but from the stats and eye test he's been a very risk-taking aggressive player. Pretty sure he's their most active transition guy and the defensive numbers aren't very good. <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/GoHabsGo?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">#GoHabsGo</a> <a href="https://t.co/GIluaVXqxB" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://t.co/GIluaVXqxB</a> <a href="https://t.co/LnZhVbs0rA" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">pic.twitter.com/LnZhVbs0rA</a></p>— JFresh (@JFreshHockey) <a href="https://twitter.com/JFreshHockey/status/1385311820727132166?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">April 22, 2021</a></blockquote>
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 22, 2021 at 3:31 p.m.
Thread:
First Try
Also Parise is a 4th line caliber forward, maybe even more of a 13 F. That 2nd line would be a huge defensive liability and they would barely score any goals
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 22, 2021 at 3:29 p.m.
Thread:
First Try
Romanov isn’t good. That’s a terrible trade for the isles
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 22, 2021 at 10:32 a.m.
Thread:
Islanders Roster
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>omegajude</b></div><div>Dont think st louis goes for that. Komorov has little value at $3mil, salo is a mid-tier prospect, and thats likely a late round 1st in 2022.</div></div>
Islanders would never do this trade - Salo is a lot better than a mid tier prospect
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">I'll be frank with you - I've never heard of this player. But his progression looks very promising and he's done very well in men's leagues since being drafted. <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Isles?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">#Isles</a> <a href="https://t.co/FWxE8HdxYs" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://t.co/FWxE8HdxYs</a> <a href="https://t.co/J6D64P1RKk" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">pic.twitter.com/J6D64P1RKk</a></p>— JFresh (@JFreshHockey) <a href="https://twitter.com/JFreshHockey/status/1417606863399657484?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">July 20, 2021</a></blockquote>
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 22, 2021 at 9:53 a.m.
Thread:
31 Thoughts
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>MTLaveragefan</b></div><div>Habs declines... sorry.
You wouldn't trade Dobson would ya?
OR would ya? if so how much, we need a RHD bad</div></div>
Romanov will top out as a #4 D. He’s not at the same level as Dobson.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 22, 2021 at 1:37 a.m.
Thread:
A Guy I Would Move the 10th Overall Pick For
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Claesson4Norris</b></div><div>(Danault is never going to live up to his upcoming contract. He's an all world defensive forward, but he doesn’t have the offensive ability to justify a 6mil contract like he's supposedly looking for)</div></div>
I disagree - he’s a strong offensive play driver and a good playmaker. His points per 60 rates are well above average. He’s worth it. I’d give him 6 mill x 4
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Per our GAR projections on <a href="https://twitter.com/EvolvingHockey?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">@EvolvingHockey</a>, Danault is tied with Landeskog for the highest projected GAR/60 among UFAs, and is easily the best defensive forward available this offseason. Among all players (non-FAs), we project him to be a top-50 forward next season. <a href="https://t.co/zfqIyLWfIX" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://t.co/zfqIyLWfIX</a></p>— EvolvingWild (@EvolvingWild) <a href="https://twitter.com/EvolvingWild/status/1415821929127288834?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">July 15, 2021</a></blockquote>
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 22, 2021 at 1:16 a.m.
Thread:
Did Dubas Protect the Right Guy
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TheFlamingC</b></div><div>Ok, if they could replace Holl then yea, protect McCann. McCann is a better player but Holl is more valuable to the Leafs</div></div>
But holl is easily replaceable. Dubas could definitely acquire one of Jensen/TVR from the caps. They can both be 2RD with Muzzin. It’s a lot harder to find a player with McCanns impact.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 22, 2021 at 12:56 a.m.
Thread:
Did Dubas Protect the Right Guy
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TheFlamingC</b></div><div>Top 4 RHD at $2M are impossible to find.
They don’t exist besides Holl
Jared McCanns do exist</div></div>
Holl is carried by Muzzin . Dubas could have trade for someone like troy stretcher who only makes 1.7 mill. McCann had a 1st line impact last season, it was stupid to leave him exposed
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 22, 2021 at 12:35 a.m.
Thread:
A Guy I Would Move the 10th Overall Pick For
You should give it up for garland and then sign Danault (who’s better than Dvorak)
Forum:
NHL
Jul. 22, 2021 at 12:03 a.m.
Thread:
2021 offseason talks thread
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Devil1122</b></div><div>Elliotte Friedman expects Jack Eichel and Seth Jones to get traded tomorrow
GET YOUR POPCORN READY:popcorn</div></div>
link?
Forum:
NHL
Jul. 22, 2021 at 12:02 a.m.
Thread:
2021 offseason talks thread
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>aadoyle</b></div><div>I feel Hyman will be to slow for Mcdavid lul. Hyman often relied on Marners passes and Matthews dont have a phrase for it yet as its not gritness yes
Could work out but I feel Hyman may either be better suited for Draisaitl or we could see him struggle</div></div>
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>aadoyle</b></div><div>Im guessing in 2. He suffered 2 big leg injuries a year a part and those can add up fast. If they throw him out there longer with Mcdavid I feel Oilers may get him for 68 games before he gets hurt</div></div>
Giving Hyman term is a terrible idea, but he's still a high end top 6 forward right now. He wasn't a product of Matthews/Marner. Sure his point totals are inflated a bit, but his isolated impact shows he's a very strong driver of offense and he's also an elite forechecker. I think he'll mesh well with Mcdavid.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 21, 2021 at 11:42 p.m.
Thread:
building through the first few years
Two middle 6 wingers for a future top line wing. Hard pass from the isles. Wahlstrom is already better than both.
Forum:
NHL
Jul. 21, 2021 at 11:17 p.m.
Thread:
2021 offseason talks thread
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TheFlamingC</b></div><div>Please be 8x8 🤞</div></div>
the truth is hyman-Mcdavid is actually going to be a sick duo for like the next 2-3 years, but man Hyman is going to fall off a cliff in year 3 or 4. It's going to be worse than Lucic, at least Lucic is good defensively.
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