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J2W

Member Since
Jan. 16, 2018
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Montreal Canadiens
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Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 22, 2018 at 8:07 p.m.
Thread: OTT / BUF / MON
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>J2W</b></div><div>Montreal probably says no. They have a good number of RHD prospects around Andersson's age and guys like Fleury look good, so he doesn't really fill a need for them, so unless it is a guy like Fox it doesn't move the needle much valuewise for Montreal. With Bennett's best season putting him at around Danault's level and the numbers being worse the last 2 seasons he has the value of a 3C, again something Montreal has. Brouwer is a cap dump, a 4th liner making 4.5 for the next 2 seasons can't be called anything else. Maybe the value is there for Weber between Andersson and Bennett, probably still off but it is a starting point, but it doesn't get you retention and dumping Brouwer's contract. Weber with retention likely starts at Bennett, Kylington, and some picks, if picks are off the table discussions might even start with Valimaki instead of Kylington. If a prospect is going to be the compensation for taking Brouwer instead of a pick the conversation likely starts at Phillips. Tl;dr MTL likely asks for a LHD not a RHD and dumping Brouwer will cost extra.
The Buffalo deal looks close enough that the only details to get hammered out would be fair value for 5 seasons of retention, likely a couple of late picks or one middle pick, a 3rd rounder maybe.
The Ottawa deal might be fair but Stone is such a big part of the Senators that he isn't going anywhere unless it is a massive over-payment.</div></div>

Most Flames fans would roast me for this, but if subbing Fox in instead of Andersson is what it took to get the deal done, I would do it.

And yes, Brouwer was 100% a cap dump. I would add Mangiapane to the deal for taking him on.
Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 16, 2018 at 2:54 a.m.
Thread: EDM and BUF trades + Boqvist
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>J2W</b></div><div>Fair enough, they do need some help at D though, especially on that right side, if they can lock down a youngish guy like Carlson it would be amazing for them. Also, while I don't fully believe in it, the Sabres need to shake the whole culture of losing thing, part of why their are so many ROR trades being proposed. I figured Byron to take some of the lost PK time, an early second in a deep draft, and another 2nd or even 1st next season if Weber didn't work out would be a good deal to fix the wholes short term while moving out a guy who, while valuable, has made management look bad with his end of year comments.</div></div>
We're all pretty upset with ROR right now, kind of because of the culture thing, shipping out Kane helped more with that. But now all his butt buddys are being salty crybabys and you can easily tell who they were by the end of the year interviews. So its not so much a culture of losings, its just a sh**ty culture that was establish and grown like mold since Ruff got fired and they havent had a real, disciplinarian voice in the locker room, captain or coach, to keep them in line since.
Forum: NHLApr. 13, 2018 at 11:46 p.m.
Thread: Biggest off-season impact?
I think cap space will have the biggest impact because cap space will play a role in where all those players end up, I mean taking on a Tavares or Karlsson is a big deal... Not only that but cap space will dictate just about every move a team makes, it will also dictate what players get as free agents....I don't see where Tavares or Karlsson ends up affecting the league as a whole but the salary cap will..... Also, 21 out of 31 teams are within 3.5 million of the upper limit right now and I'm sure next season will be similar so if the salary cap goes up to 80 or 82 million that will make a huge difference for most teams...

So yea, absolutely the salary cap will play the biggest role, yea sure to some extent where Karlsson and Tavares lands will play a role in the divisions these guys end up but and teams are going to make moves to keep pace with that but ultimately it will be the salary cap that dictates how these team can respond..

Either way this should be an interesting off season with teams getting a nice chunk of cap space to work with and Tavares and maybe Karlsson on the market..

Funny, Dorion said he wasn't going to move Karlsson at the draft watch him move him a day before the draft, lol..... I don't think Karlsson is getting traded IMO..
Forum: Armchair-GMFeb. 7, 2018 at 5:33 p.m.
Thread: J2W STL side, minor changes 2018 tdl
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>J2W</b></div><div>He isn't signed past the current season but yeah he is another good option. I'm a Habs fan and don't want to step on STL fans toes by saying what the value of their FA's are at this point in the season.</div></div>

Don't worry, you can step on toes! Just glad you tip-toed around Thomas, although you stripped our cupboard of all other center prospects. I wouldn't be too torn up about it. I like Musil as a bottom 6 option, Barbashev is a good middle six guy who we won't need if we can keep Stastny and Thomas.

If MTL had to get a deal done, this is what I could see happening, but IMO they have no reason to force a Patches deal. I think his price will stay high for now.

As for Fabbri, he might get a 1-yr deal around $2M. Blues would be wise to ask for 2 years but it's still anyone's guess as to what will happen.
Forum: Armchair-GMFeb. 6, 2018 at 3:38 a.m.
Thread: if MTL gets 1st pick(twist only i see coming )
its 4th line he can win 55-57% on up to 700 faceoffs which 4th line here doesnt usually see here .
it gives us a checking line to play a shot down role who is a scoring threat

Chucky respects Eller which is why third line is build to be Chuckys safety blanket but instead of Eller-Weise on his wing its Eller-Scherbak
this whole build really is about making Chucky the center we know he can be and saw glimpses of with Eller chewing him out and lighting a fire under his ass

if i move Bonino to fourth i also lose the checking plus this hole build mimics CJs line in BOS if you look closely as he rotated centers not wingers there

that being said i edited my lines to try to keep my vision but get shaw off bottom center while having him mentor Hudon isnt great at center he is great at checking and draws a lot of penalties while still giving Scherbak his time with Chucky
i had to move Drouin to LW which i dont like but i can play him RW with chucky on PP and both will still continue to lead us in pts there as top 2 (their PP chemistry is something i wanted to build on )
Forum: Armchair-GMFeb. 6, 2018 at 1:53 a.m.
Thread: Pacioretty to STL Kessel trade as base
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>J2W</b></div><div>I didn't actually know the Blues depth chart, this is just from guys who are represented on this site. What do you think of the lines I have up there BTW. Galchenyuk was solid with Byron and Radulov before he got hurt last year, so I put offensive downgrade but defensive (maybe) upgrade Lehkonen with him. I hope Danault and Barbashev flip by seasons end but a know more about Danault when he is healthy. Plekanec is a place holder and hopefully traded by seasons end but that isn't important to this exact trade. Also I don't know if Hudon replaces him or DLR/Froese/A.Shaw.</div></div>

this took me a bit to ponder

id put Drouin on Chucky RW as he is best on his off wing (dont know why drouin just is ) plus he can help chucky with faceoffs

so i guess i would go based on chemistry and the face Hudon is our best possesion forward bar none and draws a lot of penalties i like keeping him with Gallagher
because the more they play together the better Hudon becomes all around .

Byron-Chucky-Drouin
Hudon-Danault-Gallagher(when theyve played together this year they have been fast and good agitators )
Lehkonen-Shaw- Scherbak(hoping they click if not move up shaw again)
Deslauriers-Barbashev-Carr
Froese(Froese i better then L.Shaw or DLR as 13th forward as every game he is given he plays like his last digging out pucks and paying the price for Deslauriers and Carr to score )

that only covers about 2600/4000 between top 3 centers
but between Drouin ,Barbashev ,Hudon and Byron we should be able to get 1400 faceoffs (drouin with about 600,i would lay about 300-400 on hudon via special teams PK primary center and 400 between byron and barbashev )

ideally i would like to move out byron because until we moved out moen , weise didnt step up , until we moved out weise byron didnt step up and until we move byron someone else cant step up .
i would like to move byron out and promote Lehkonen to top 6 bringing eller in to player third line with Barbashev on his LW transitioning him to center like he started to Chucky as adding eller helps our faceoff issues and our youth WAYYYYYYYYYYYYY more then Plekky because he is Coach Eller and because of his dad he just knows how to make all those around him better .

as far as D you nailed it
id leave benn up top until Mete is ready and Jerabek is so good on his offside its illogical
Forum: Armchair-GMFeb. 6, 2018 at 1:56 a.m.
Thread: Pacioretty to STL Kessel trade as base
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>ricochetii</b></div><div>This might give an idea, if you're using Kessel as a comparison. It's not exact, but should give a ballpark idea, then you can tweak around it.

Spaling: 3rd line C. Flipped for two 2nds and Torres. (along with Polak).
Kapanen: 1st round pick 22nd overall. Ultimatum from Toronto was no kapanen, no deal.
Harrington: 2nd round pick 54th overall. Flipped along with a conditional 5th for Rychel (1st round pick 19th overall).
1st and 3rd round picks.

Toronto retained (approx 7M total), included a 2nd, Biggs (22nd overall "bust"), and Erixon (23rd overall "bust").

Montreal:
Pacioretty (4.5M total retained)
2nd in 2018
McCarron
De La Rose (next closest 1st round "bust")

St Louis:
Thomas or no deal (Montreal's ultimatum)
Gunnarsson (closest to Spaling, might be able to flip for a pick)
Vanelli or Walman (closest to Harrington)
1st in 2019
3rd in 2018

Not an evaluation, but a comparative breakdown.
The reality is, the other pieces can fluctuate, but Montreal would probably go somewhere else if St Louis wasn't willing to move Thomas. If that means no deal, so be it.</div></div>

TMLs shitty drafting isnt PIT fault tho they passed on
Namestnikov and Raekell to pick **** picks that isnt on PIT

also pass on Thomas

Barbashev is ready now plus we get a prospect with similar production to Thomas at the same level
plus he was getting at STL being ready to pony up some depth prospects and picks to get a 30 goal scorer for 3rd line
i am pretty sure or thats what his description reads .
Forum: Armchair-GMFeb. 6, 2018 at 1:02 a.m.
Thread: Pacioretty to STL Kessel trade as base
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>J2W</b></div><div>Honestly this was a thought long before I actually joined the site. I just don't see the point of posting most of the time, I've only been browsing AGM since Christmas, I thought the more reasonable trades had been done to death.</div></div>

you would actually be shocked at how little trades like this are pulled off

i know about 5 members who would run a similar set up but 4/5 dont know who is in what teams system
they just look at the cap and usually pick the prospect with the highest cap never looking at their production like you did with Kaspick

Gofnut999 is about the only one i think that would put together a trade similar to this and he will be by in a while and likely give you the old thumbs up (which is rare from him as it 100% has to work for both sides or he wont give you a good ranking )
Forum: Armchair-GMFeb. 6, 2018 at 12:50 a.m.