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Member Since
Jan 18, 2020
Favourite Team
Toronto Maple Leafs
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Vancouver Canucks
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Worked at ACC... Leafs havent won a playoff series since I left.
Forum: Toronto Maple LeafsFeb 23, 2020 at 12:33
Forum: Toronto Maple LeafsFeb 23, 2020 at 10:41
Forum: Toronto Maple LeafsFeb 21, 2020 at 7:13
Forum: Toronto Maple LeafsFeb 19, 2020 at 6:15
Forum: Toronto Maple LeafsFeb 19, 2020 at 6:11
Forum: Toronto Maple LeafsFeb 19, 2020 at 2:32
Forum: Toronto Maple LeafsFeb 18, 2020 at 11:50
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Random2152</b></div><div>Were talking about Rielly in this instance. He was saying Rielly was fine defensively while I contend he very much is not.

These are rapm charts. Basically it measures how good a player is in a catagory relative to an average player (y axis is SD) and runs the numbers through a regression model.

Tldr, Rielly is good offensively, bad defensively.

And they aren't my charts, so the title isn't exactly something I can control</div></div>

Thank you for that. I agree with you about Reilly not being great defensively using an eye test since I don't have the data to analyze! However, I do think he is a great offensive defenseman!

As I stated, I have taken many courses in statistical analysis and the first rule of thumb is the statistical-results must be able to withstand scrutiny. It's impossible to quantify the reliability of any analysis without transparency of the process; for that matter, statistics can be falsely generated to support anything and frankly most don't understand enough to know the difference. Fact is Stats/Data Analysis is one of the most hated/fear courses in the university. The interpretation of said analysis should also be scrutinized and if this site you are copying these graphics from isn't providing that information, can any of it be trusted? I think not. Additionally, using a regression-equation isn't going to provide any sensible analysis, this sort of analysis would require Anova's and lots of them.
Forum: Toronto Maple LeafsFeb 18, 2020 at 11:09
Forum: Toronto Maple LeafsFeb 17, 2020 at 11:35
It has been a long three weeks since I started my Approach to deadline thread, here is some of my reflection since.

Honestly, my feelings regarding how to approach this year's trade deadline have not changed. Here are a couple of questions I consider as I try to answer this question if I were hypothetically the GM of this team.

Are they playing well?
Will making the playoffs be an accomplishment? What does it mean not to make them like Tampa a few years back didn't?
If they make the playoffs, do they have a chance to win it all?
What is the cost to improve, and do we have the resources to spend?
What is the opportunity cost of each: buying or selling?

Each of us will have our answers to these questions. No doubt!

I have been a Leafs fan long enough to go from the naive-optimist "we'll-get'em-next-year" fan to a highly bitter skeptic waiting for the hockey gods to crush our hopes again just one more time. Funny, if you are the former and don't believe it will happen to you... go and check out Steve Dangle's old LFR's in comparison to the ones he is posting these days. Let me save you some time, what you will see is he who was once known for his Ra-Ra super optimistic love for this team, converted a too and sheer lack of desire to watch games of an organization he literally makes a living off. I understand what he feels twice over being a decade older and having seen this show before.

Fact is a locker room full of SuperStar egos, does not a great team make!

Sell all UFA's and furthermore if we don't want to continue like this we must consider trading one of the 11mil salaries in the offseason.

Final Question... What's more important, team hardware, or an individual of the team getting hardware?
Forum: Armchair-GMFeb 17, 2020 at 11:14