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Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 22, 2019 at 3:56 p.m.
Thread:
What would these players net
One thing everyone has to remember, is all these picks DET will acquire won't be early round picks (if they are the original picks by the teams). Playoff teams start at pick 15 in every round (and real contenders are even later). So, a 2nd round pick isn't going to be pick 33, it'll end up being in the 50s more than likely. GMs value picks on points (just like in the NFL), and there is a huge difference between pick 33 and pick 43, so values are always higher (which is why every deadline, someone says "I can't believe so and so got a 1st for ...."). Round 1, pick 14 is worth round 1, pick 30 and round 2, pick 35 (every GM has their own calculator).
Also, I expect KH to not take all picks from 2019, but to start spreading some of these picks out a little bit. You can' draft 11 guys every year, as you can't put that many in GR.
My breakdown:
Nyquist: 2nd with an upgrade to a 1st (based on time in playoffs, either a CF or SCF appearance by the team) + a B prospect. Retention probably adds something to the trade.
Jensen: 2nd (dmen costs always go up, and his metrics are really good, plus affordable RHD list has 1 name on it as the rest aren't affordable in season)
Vanek (if he goes): 3rd
Kronwall (if he accepts): I can't see KH parting with him without a 2nd. A 3rd doesn't move the needle at all.
Frk: 6th rounder (I expect him to be bundled with someone)
Howard: 2nd with an upgrade to a 1st (this is because he'll only end up going to a top contender, who will be all in for the finals). KH won't move him for a 3rd.
Helm: I think he's in play (with salary retention), 2nd, with DET shipping out a late round pick
Glendening: KH won't move him without a 2nd (I don't think he gets moved at all, he would be tough to replace metric wise, and DET isn't deep at C).
SalarySwish
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