SalarySwishSalarySwish
Avatar

Matthews34

Member Since
Jun. 21, 2016
Favourite Team
Toronto Maple Leafs
Forum Posts
429
Posts per Day
0.1
Forum: Armchair-GMMay 14, 2019 at 12:40 a.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMDec. 12, 2018 at 4:32 p.m.
Thread: Interesting Piet Proposal
I give the author Matthews34, five stars for creativity in this trade. If Pietrangelo is such as difference maker, and would propel the Leafs to to greater success....at least for two years then I appreciate the trade.
Then it's the subjective worth of Pietrangelo is worth to the Leafs, minus the assets it takes to get him. Certainly Blues fans think Pietangelo is a difference maker. I'm not so sure, 4 playoff round wins in 9 years
So the trade is really Pietrangelo and his upgrade over Zaitsev, at the cost of Kapanen and Liljegren. I certainly don't think it's worth it for the Leafs as now you have competent replacements for Kapanen and Liljegren who still years of NHL control for the teams that own them.
So, five stars for the thought and structure of the trade. As a Leaf fan, I don't think it's a "difference maker" deal for the Leafs.....but Pietrangelo's worth and the other players are subjective.
Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 5, 2018 at 3:35 p.m.
Thread: Crazy Concept - The Leafs HAVE enough defensemen
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>DJSums17</b></div><div>I didn't say it's not an issue right now but the prospects can definitely fill the holes. How old was Doughty, Muzzin, Martinez, Voynov when they won the cup? What about Keith, Seabrook, Hjalmarsson, etc on Hawks? Letang and Shultz... that's about it for Pens... lol</div></div>

I just get the logic that a this magic # 1 Dmen is the solution to the Leafs problems and will lead to instant success. I think you proved my point when you mentioned the Kings and Hawks. They had good depth on defence which helped make their team successful. Generally team with better players have more success. Now that there core has slipped even Doughty hasn't helped the Kings since they last won the Cup in 2012. I don't think they have won a playoff round.
Take the Capitals last year, Leaf had a better GAA, so it's not like the Leafs are dmen desperate. What's with "lol" comment?
Forum: Armchair-GMAug. 9, 2018 at 6:02 p.m.
Thread: Leafs Cheap RHD Trade (PHI)
ok, so lots of good points and some I will never, and I'm not alone, agree with.

First, these metrics some love to reference are only good in addition to traditional evaluation. Not as the core decision making factor. Since phillyja's reply only stating these metrics then its not wrong to assume this. Based on previous years of watching both players and based on traditional stats, Polak, to the leafs, has just as much value as gudas to philly. Yes Gudas is a better player, i can admit that. But at 3.3mil would he add that much more value to torontos line up. no chance!

As for advanced metrics, sure they can be valuable, but they can't be relied on. All the stats you state, with sanhiem, with carrick etc. These are variables. Theses stats are based on way to many variables to be completely relied upon and will change team to team. No stat can say some one like gudas will succeed on the leafs. Who's in net? whos gudas passing to? who's coaching him on what to do. So, no I don't believe these metrics are so valuable they should be the base of an argument, respect can only be lost if you ignore traditional evaluations. When you compare Gudas to DeHaan you also devalue advance metrics, its just ridiculous. Any GM valuing them the same would not have a job long.

Facts are facts, Polak is not as good as Gudas but he performed better than Gudas last year for the leafs than Gudas did for Philly, granted Polaks on a better team. Also, the leafs don't need Gudas, or Polak. Their propects and style of play prove this. Thats what i was implying with my first comment, if we need a player like gudas, we may as well stick with polak and keep the cap room.
Forum: Armchair-GMAug. 9, 2018 at 5:14 p.m.
Thread: Leafs Cheap RHD Trade (PHI)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>buds16</b></div><div>You replied with advanced stats as proof? first pdo is luck, so your reply has no credibility. Real stats make your reply even less relevant.

Polak. 54 GP, 2G, 10A +5 46PIMS 0.22PPG 1 MILLION
Gudas . 70GP, 2G, 14A, 0+/- 83PIMS 0.23PPG 3,350,000 MILLION

WOW.</div></div>

yeah thats the point lol. PDO is luck and his was way below league average. That's why they always say never sell low on someone because of their PDO. Gudas is twice the player Polak is. It doesn't take advanced stats or "counting" stats to see it. We can use a method that both sides use in the eye test. Gudas is better easily. He comes with more baggage because of the suspensions, but he's a good payer that as of right now means too much to the team to move for a 2nd round pick. If it was for a player on TOR sure, but the draft picks have little value at this point for Philly, imo. Part of the reason he had a down year is because he's usually paired with a decent puck mover. He's had the best success being with Sanheim, Streit, Del Zotto, and Medvedev. For some reason Hak like to put Manning with him for extended periods of time and it never works out great.

5v5:
w/ Manning: CF% 51.52, CF%rel +1.87, xGF% 50.22 , xGF%rel -0.33
w/ Sanheim: CF% 57.11, CF%rel +7.48 , xGF% 56.87, xGF%rel +7.81

... so depending on how TOR utilizes him he'd be very effective. Pair him with a true puck mover and he could play on any pair and provide value. He didn't all of a sudden just turn bad. He makes his money by being one of the better dmen at preventing controlled entries into the zone. Last year he just stopped stepping up to people at the blue line after the suspensions which caused him to look worse than he was. it also doesn't help when he is paired with another guy like Manning.
Forum: Armchair-GMAug. 9, 2018 at 5:00 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMAug. 8, 2018 at 2:11 p.m.
Thread: Leafs Cheap RHD Trade (PHI)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Matthews34</b></div><div>It's a good point because actually I'm a pretty big Carrick fan too and believe he would succeed in a bottom pairing role. What it comes down to for me is that Gudas brings a whole different element to our blueline that I don't believe Carrick or Oz possess. And while they COULD theoretically fill that role we're a contending team that at some point needs some stability back there and to not rely on an overseas signing or a bottom pairing D to take the next step.

But if we go into the season as we are at this point in time, see what Carrick/Oz have in camp, and a deal like this is still available mid-season? I think that's totally a viable option as well.</div></div>

Carrick and Ozhiganov are two comoletely different players.
Ozhiganov comes a red to Gudas:
Oz better skater, bigger body harder hitter, harder shot.
Gudas more experience in nhl

Gudas would be an alright fit for maybe 1 season but as it’s already been pointed out I don’t think they have the depth to let him go.
Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 4, 2018 at 1:10 p.m.
Thread: Leafs D Trade (TOR/MIN) + Depth
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>LoganOllivier</b></div><div>He's a above average 2nd pairing defenceman. He's good but he's still a spare part. He's not the stud blueliner who is the envy of other teams. He's a good defencemen with a right shot. If he was left handed, we aren't even mentioning him here. Don't get me wrong though, he's a very valuable player. He just isn't enough of a step up that it makes sense to make the trade you mentioned above.

He'd improve the defence a couple points but when you factor in the lost production from Brown and the lost draft pick, then the trade isn't a positive gain overall for Toronto.

That's my point, the proposed trade does not end with an overall increase in talent on the Leafs.</div></div>

Spurgeon eats up 24 minutes a night, and has a positive CF% rel unlike both of Zaitsev and Brown. Spurgeon isn't a franchise D but he's a quality puck mover which is an asset the Leafs would very well use.
Forum: Armchair-GMMay 16, 2018 at 9:48 p.m.
Thread: 2018-19 Toronto Maple Leafs AKA "There's Probably A Reason I'm Not A GM"
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Matthews34</b></div><div>I get it. I just have a hard time using who is at the helm of a franchise as the reason why they can easily get killed in a deal. I promise if Larsson was only going to cost that much he'd have been gone a long time ago. To get them thinking on that deal the pick should probably be our 1st. Even then it doesn't make a ton of sense when you factor in the direction of their team. I think you need a little more quality and a little less quantity in these deals. Respect the effort and ability to realize maybe the values aren't perfect though :)</div></div>

TBH I thought that the pick should be higher after I posted, but I decided to just leave it standing with a note at the end.
Anyway, your opinion is noted and filed for next time. I'm definitely having another go at this.

Cheers