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Miguelicious
Oil Country Rising
Member Since
Jul. 3, 2018
Favourite Team
Edmonton Oilers
Forum Posts
585
Posts per Day
0.3
POSTS
THREADS
LIKES
ARMCHAIR-GM TEAMS
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 7, 2023 at 1:51 p.m.
Thread:
Retooling
Oilers pass
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 4, 2023 at 1:54 p.m.
Thread:
good or bad move
His fancies don't tell a good story throughout his career IMO. While he's a very high action defenseman like Nurse (lots of Hits, Blocks, Shots), it's on the defensive side of things that we're looking for an upgrade.
Risto has been flip flopping between 45/55 split between Ozone vs Dzone deployment much like Nurse (though Nurse gets put out there against the top line night in night out).
I don't know much about what the eye-test says about Risto either, but his numbers (and cap hit even with retention) do not give me a good feeling about him and Nurse as a pairing. Similar fancies to Ceci but Ceci has more of a defensive deployment bias compared to both Nurse and Risto.
Would love to get Tanev as Nurse's partner though.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 1, 2023 at 5:34 p.m.
Thread:
Skinner is a good goalie
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>LastDaze_</b></div><div>Agreed he’s your best Dman. And moving him would be the only possible way to make your team cup-contenders.</div></div>
Untrue. The issue with Nurse is that because he doesnt have a same-tier partner to synergize with, he ends up trying to do TOO much and that's where the screw ups happen.. Ceci is basically treading water on the first pair instead of someone like a Toews synergizing with a Makar scenario.
Not saying Nurse is Makar level either, let's get that out of the way. He is fine as a first pair guy, but is way better when simplifying his game and not overdoing it. Really needs a better partner to cover for his shortcomings. Is he also overpaid? Yep, by about 1.5-1.75M and there would be way less noise about him if his AAV started with a '7' instead of a '9'.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Nov. 27, 2023 at 4:41 p.m.
Thread:
Update Given News on Untouchables
Larsson will be a 'no-go' as it was revealed the reason he left was because his dad died here, not hockey related at all.
Even if you did manage to bring him in, a dejected Larsson doesnt do us any good on the ice.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Nov. 27, 2023 at 4:37 p.m.
Thread:
Load up assuming the are playoff bound
I don't think Dumba + 3rd for Ceci + 1st does us any favors defensively.
Not an upgrade in anything: worse CF%, FF%, Point Shares, xGF, xGA this year (and we've been terri-bad ourselves, overall worse defensively than ARI).
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Nov. 23, 2023 at 10:06 a.m.
Thread:
who says no
The Salary Cap says 'no'.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Nov. 14, 2023 at 5:46 p.m.
Thread:
HABITS
Oilers decline. Doesnt make sense financially, and Allen isnt as big of an upgrade to warrant losing their best prospect.
Forum:
NHL Signings
May 31, 2023 at 5:22 p.m.
Thread:
Edmonton Oilers signed Jayden Grubbe (3 Years / $925,000 AAV)
Defensive right-handed centerman with size and smarts. I'm all for it!
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 15, 2023 at 2:29 p.m.
Thread:
McDavid Trade
This one aint it. Sorry, man.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 6, 2023 at 4:30 p.m.
Thread:
Buffalo Spitballing
Done. No Refunds!
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 6, 2023 at 12:48 p.m.
Thread:
Offseason Oil Change
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>CD282</b></div><div>He also has a bad back and a long contract - you sure you want to go down that road? Back issues don't just go away.</div></div>
I forgot about the back issues! He's missed significant time dating back 4 years, but the last two (incl this season) kind of is a better sign?
Durability aside, am I out to lunch with the valuation?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 6, 2023 at 12:45 p.m.
Thread:
Offseason Oil Change
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Blues4TheCup</b></div><div>blues pass. also Bjugstad will cost a bit more</div></div>
I agree. Bjugstad would fetch more on the open market. He has, though, made interesting comments regarding his time in Edmonton. I think the combination of being tolerant to our weather AND the prospect of playing for a contending team AND having a clearly defined role AND knowing he's a fit for sure could knock his price down. He's easily a 2.5-3M guy as a UFA (summer overpay included). I wonder if 1.5M gets it done with the above caveats.
As for Parayko, what's the overall feeling about him in your fanbase? I hear everything from "oh my god cap-dump, to the above 'first pairing RD' guy". It's tough for me to gauge his value since I don't see him lots. I think he's solidly a top 4 dman though. I just saw he's from here and the biggest hurdle (weather) wouldn't be as big an issue compared to other players.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 6, 2023 at 12:38 p.m.
Thread:
Offseason Oil Change
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>HockeyIsMyPassion61</b></div><div>Blues aren't retaining on Parayko, And that's a pretty pathetic offer for a top pairing RD.</div></div>
Just because he slots into the top pair doesnt necessarily mean he is top pair material. Case in point: Cody Ceci.
Ceci is by no means a top pairing guy. He's playing there because:
A. Bouchard is better served playing with Ekholm
B. Ceci provides 'Decent' minutes compared to the alternative (rookie Desharnais).
C. A better fit defensively than the recently-departed Barrie
Parayko, while being undoubtedly better than Ceci, has struggled as of late and is viewed more as a Top 4 guy, than a bonafide Top Pairing guy. He would play on the Oilers top pair though, for the same reasons above.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 14, 2022 at 2:20 p.m.
Thread:
Briere
So uh, where do we sign?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 9, 2022 at 11:00 a.m.
Thread:
so tage is good
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>CD282</b></div><div>Why would Edmonton do that? Barrie has been their best defenseman for much of the season. He leads the team in GF% - and has since Woodcroft & Manson took over last February, both in the regular season and in the playoffs. He's on pace to score 50 points again this season and the Oilers have their sights set on going deep again this year, they aren't trading him for a middling prospect and some picks!</div></div>
I'll always find it hilarious when fans judge by name and not by body of work.
Un-named RHD A, since last season:
100GP
11G
47A
58Pts
~19mins a night
56.4/52.7 CF%
54.4/52.9 FF%
positive xGF/xGA both years..
$4.5M, this year and next
Un-named RHD B, since last season:
94GP
7G
48A
55Pts
~22mins a night
54.3/52.5 CF%
53.5/49.7 FF%
getting caved xGF/xGA this year (-10.3)
7M no term
dman A is obviously Barrie, who is (on this site) almost universally unwanted, while dman B is Klingberg, one of the more sought after TDL targets.. so while I'm not sitting here suggesting Barrie > Klingberg, they're not world's apart yet only one gets a bad rap.
TL;DR: Edmonton EASILY declines.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 8, 2022 at 2:39 p.m.
Thread:
Jesse Puljujarvi is the Perfect Trade for the Jets and only Trade Jets need
I doubt the Oilers bite on that, just not the type of trade I see them doing.
If JP is traded it's for another warm body, possibly at TDL on a smaller deal for another expiring contract or as a sweetener/cap balancer on a bigger deal.
I don't see them wanting to move roster players for picks for the next four years (perceived cup window). Nothing against the 2nd rounder as that's close to where his current value is (low).
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Sep. 30, 2022 at 12:25 p.m.
Thread:
Alternative Chych What If
Thanks for the feedback! Kinda figured it would turn out like this.
Fans vs non-fans definitely have different insights on players.
Probably because we see them on a nightly basis versus highlights or lowlights on TV.
Personally I think this is a losing trade for EDM. I know a lot of hockey fans think Barrie is a cap dump (which he absolutely is not) and that Pulju is a failed prospect (which he also absolutely is not). It's about a slight win in ARI's favor, hence the 3rd instead of the 1st.
Was just spitballing anyhow, no biggie!
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Sep. 30, 2022 at 11:12 a.m.
Thread:
I suspect this would be the Chychrun offer EDM puts forth
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>rext7177</b></div><div>I heard rumors that AZ asked for Broberg and Holland declined, same situation with Ottawa and Pinto, which makes me think that's why AZ has lowered their ask, 1 roster player, two B prospects, (or 1 A prospect) and a 1st, might need a 2nd in there</div></div>
I think you're bang on.
Barrie in the last 4 seasons is 277GP - 34G - 153A - 187Pts - minus 2
That's 0.68pts/Gm (55.7pts per season average over 82 games)
He's not gonna win the Norris despite those numbers, but he certainly is NOT the cap dump everyone else is making him out to be. Plus he's making 4.5m for this year and next. That's good value for a dman putting up those numbers. All things considered he is on a decent cap hit & term, and for a team looking to put up points he fits the bill very well. It's just that the Oilers have his heir apparent in Bouchard and are lacking on the defensive side, making Barrie the odd man out.
Barrie
1st
2x "B" prospects (Samorukov + Lavoie)
That's more than fair.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 18, 2022 at 12:55 p.m.
Thread:
Moving players
Huge 'NO' from Edmonton.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 18, 2022 at 12:34 p.m.
Thread:
finding a RHD
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>MTLaveragefan</b></div><div>Fair enough, but don't you guys have cap space now?</div></div>
Not really, still have 3 RFAs to sign and would like another solid defensive D. Trading Barrie would definitely help, but the return would have to be a cheaper (less flash, more muscle) dman
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 18, 2022 at 11:33 a.m.
Thread:
Thoughts on the Trade
I would, but would they...
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 18, 2022 at 11:31 a.m.
Thread:
finding a RHD
I am unsure if it's the right fit for us. We already have a crazy ex (Kane's) following the team, don't need Hoffman's crazy wife too lol
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 14, 2022 at 9:55 a.m.
Thread:
Oilers
There is no reason for the Oilers to do this:
You've essentially blockaded Broberg twice.
Proven chemistry (Barrie) for unknown fits.
Barrie has value elsewhere whereas you're trying to dump Muzzin for ineffectiveness.
Put simply, if we needed to trade Barrie someone would pay even a mid-low pick for a 40+pt RHD at 30years old. You would need to add sweeteners to dump Muzzin to start..
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 8, 2022 at 3:09 p.m.
Thread:
Coilers trad
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>The_Rocket</b></div><div>I apologize, I do this for fun since I obviously failed at life</div></div>
It's ok bro, have a better day.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 8, 2022 at 2:56 p.m.
Thread:
Coilers trad
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>The_Rocket</b></div><div>Sorry, I am a troll who doesn't know hockey</div></div>
There, fixed ;)
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