ON3M4N

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Forum: Armchair-GMMon at 1:02 pm
Thread: actuall 2015 draft team no bs
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BuFfaLOFaN</b></div><div>It's harsh, imagine already having maybe the most dominant team ever with those 3😑, and definitely not kidding to St.Luois</div></div>

HUGE unknown what this team would look like. You have to consider the ripple effects that those 3 changed picks make. for example...

Every teams draft board would change, maybe Carlo isn't available with Boston's 2nd round pick
Barzal doesn't get the TOI he does in NY and doesn't develop as quickly as he has
Chabot is behind Chara and Krug and having to compete for a 3rd pairing role
Let say they do well though, the following year Boston isn't in a position to draft McAvoy
Because of the players drafted, they don't trade Coyle or sign Backes

It's a rabbit hole of possibilities and not as simple as swap these three guys and assuming nothing else changes. But lets just pretend everything is still the same...how would Boston pay all these guys? The simply wouldn't be able to.
Forum: Armchair-GMThu at 8:17 pm
Thread: Bruins Playoff Line-Up Idea
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quote:</div>I can tell your a big analytics guy. But your analytics aren’t qualifying right now. Coyle was on the second unit PK and getting regular reps on it before the season pause. Don’t look at his time because he was inserted late into the season.

Your comparing a corsi stat when Kase has played a WHOPPING 6 games. Would you like to talk about Coyles regular season stint last season with the bruins when he got traded here? Wasn’t pretty huh? Let’s give Kase more games before you bring up Corsi lol

And the Charlie McAvoy scenario is MUCH different than Jack Studnicka’s. Are you forgetting how injured the bruins D core was during that 2017 playoff run? Of course he had to play, I would hope he’d be a better option than Joe Morrow or Tommy Cross.

This bruins team was dominant without Jack Studnicka. This whole team has finals experience besides Kase, Bjork, Ritchie, and Lauzon. Why would you fool around with the team when this was the best team in hockey this year? You keep the lineups that worked.

Give Kase and Ritchie more games before you whip out stats</div>

So DeBrusk/Coyle have equal 5v5 TOI with Krejci as Kase/ Ritchie but we can't compare stats? Seems like a great comparison as the sample size is the same.
Forum: Armchair-GMThu at 3:05 pm
Thread: Bruins Playoff Line-Up Idea
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Bcarlo25</b></div><div>This team ran away with the presidents trophy. Maybe don’t majorly mess with the structure of the lineup to incorporate a rookie.</div></div>

Are you really "majorly" messing with the structure of the line-up though? If Coyle/DeBrusk had the same TOI w/ Krejci at 5v5 as Kase/Ritchie then really where is the major structure changing? Better yet what are you going to do next season when Studnicka is expected to make the team and everything so far points to Boston wanting him at center? If Studnicka is good enough for a #3C role in October, why isn't he good enough now? If I read the report right, training camps could open mid-July with the qualifiers and first two round finishing about a month after. So you're looking at mid to late August with the conference finals and SCF still to go. You could be playing the SCF in September with the 2021 season kicking off shortly after.

Again as I said in my previous post, I expect the lines to be exactly the same as they were before the break. The only argument I've seen against the lines I proposed is Coyle plays better as a center (I don't disagree, but the idea here was to make the 2nd line better) and Studnicka's limited experience. You look at 2020-2021 rosters and every Bruins fan is saying Studnicka is a lock to make the club, but for some reason he's not good enough a few months before the new season to even be a thought on the starting line-up.

BTW we traded for a pair of top 9 guys while already being the best team in the NHL standings, thus majorly messing with the structure of the lineup. Why? because we wanted to try and make our team better. If you're telling me that this team isn't better with Studnicka over Nordstrom, then the kid should be a consideration for the roster next year.
Forum: Armchair-GMThu at 2:02 pm
Thread: Bruins Playoff Line-Up Idea
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>nalzugaray12</b></div><div>I don't think Studnicka, who has 2 NHL games experienced, should be playing. Bruins are trying to win now. An inexperienced player shouldn't be in the lineup over guys who have the experience.</div></div>

Charlie McAvoy had zero NHL experience and played 26 minutes a night when he debuted in the playoffs. Studnicka also would be taking Nordstrom's roster spot and lets be honest, that's not a huge loss.

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quote:</div>Besides, it is not like Coyle looked any better at RW. Coyle needs to play center, he makes the third line have great depth.</div>

Its about making the 2nd line better and the overall team better. I'm not sold on a line of Ritchie/Krejci/Kase and while the sample size is small, they played nearly identical time together as DeBrusk/Krejci/Coyle. The advanced stats between the two are night and day:

CF%
NR/OK: 48.1%
JD/CC: 50.8%

SF%
NR/OK: 45.8%
JD/CC: 54.6%

xGF%
NR/OK: 42.8%
JD/CC: 62.8%

SCF%
NR/OK: 53.9%
JD/CC: 59.0%

HDCF%
NR/OK: 40.0%
JD/CC: 61.1%

I'm also of the thought that having Studnicka at your #3C doesn't hurt your depth, which lead to your next point....

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quote:</div>Also, not a chance you can convince me Studnicka is better defensively than Coyle. Coyle was killing penalties on the second unit and was looking like a monster on that unit.</div>

Coyle was 7th among B's forwards in SH TOI and averaged 54 seconds of SH TOI per game. If he was "a monster" he'd be in the top 4 among forwards. As for Studnicka, I'm lucky enough to have 4 AHL teams within a few hours of me and two of them within 30 minutes of my house, so I get to see a lot of games. Studnicka right now is on par/if not better than Coyle defensively and is a threat offensively (led the AHL in SHG). I've seen the kid play quiet a bit this year in person, have you?

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quote:</div>All im saying is: we're all excited for Stunicka. But there is absolutely 0 need to rush him into this lineup. Call him up for practices, but he shouldn't play unless he absolutely has to. You play Studnicka next season and go from there.</div>

You put your team in the best situation to win a cup now, like you said we're in win now mode. Studnicka is an upgrade over Nordstrom and DeBrusk/Coyle w/ Krejci is an upgrade over Ritchie/Kase w/ Krejci.
Forum: Armchair-GMThu at 10:31 am
Thread: Bruins Playoff Line-Up Idea
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Bcarlo25</b></div><div>I think there is a larger sample size showing that this team is more effective with coyle at 3C. I wouldn’t look to reinvent the wheel unless there is a real reason to.</div></div>

See and I think Studnicka is more than capable of being a good #3C with his skillset and won't hurt you. This allows Coyle to slide up, making a stronger L2. Next year either Coyle/Studnicka are moving to RW. Based on management comments about Studnicka only making the team as a center and their unwillingness to give him a look at RW this season, i have to think Coyle is the guy. If that's the case, why not get a look now?

At the end of the day I don't think my line-up happens. I fully expect the same line-up we had before the break. I just wanted to provide a different look that would give a stronger #2 line without sacrifice for the #3C role.