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RedWing9119
Member Since
May 8, 2018
Favourite Team
Detroit Red Wings
2nd Favourite Team
Tampa Bay Lightning
Forum Posts
1975
Posts per Day
0.9
POSTS
THREADS
LIKES
ARMCHAIR-GM TEAMS
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Fri. at 10:58 a.m.
Thread:
Teamop
It's fair price, but can't see the Wings taking that cap hit for a 2nd pair dman
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 17 at 12:41 a.m.
Thread:
Red Wings 24-25
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Softdump</b></div><div>Berggren’s getting traded either way. Again, he’s not in the plans. They literally decided they’d rather have Czarnik in the lineup than him. Buying out Holl saves 2.3 this year and adds 1.1 in following years. Removing Holl and Berggren removes 4.6 from the active roster this year and allows a clean break without future year cap issues. Fabbri’s cap hit can fall off naturally the following year.</div></div>
It's almost like him being one game from losing waiver exemption had something to do with their decision...
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 15 at 10:38 a.m.
Thread:
Yzerman might actually be predictable this off-season
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>LuckyMoneyPuck</b></div><div>and yet 3 body problem got higher ratings than the NHL ever will.</div></div>
I have no doubt it did! Hopefully it got 500X the ratings of the average NHL game because 8 one hour episodes vs. 1200 three hour game broadcasts is kind of a mammoth sized difference in content purchased... But you're the broadcasting genius, I don't need to tell you that!
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 15 at 10:34 a.m.
Thread:
Yzerman might actually be predictable this off-season
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>LuckyMoneyPuck</b></div><div>Netflix didn't make cuts because they were expensive to make, they made cuts because the streaming war has cut away at their growth and profit margins.
They aren't the only game in town and they can no longer spend without being competitive just like Disney.
Sports aren't cheap and wwe isn't a sport, it's fake....crazy right, i know you thought it was real. In many cases they have found paying for sports no one watches isn't worth it. Which is why many large brands have walked away from expensive sports advertising, like the superbowl. But keep thinking the shrinking audience doesn't matter.
The fall of cable has nothing to do with viewership. The numbers aren't balanced out by streaming. This is a known fact. They are just gone.
Every analyst has said... people just watch highlights on their phone now, they don't watch the games. So that's a dead argument. You think a shrinking audience doesn't mean shrinking revenue, it does.
For the record no one ran from the McAvoy conversation. There are many comparables out there. Again the point is he's not getting 11.5. in 2 years You just don't want to admit that.
You can cry Makar isn't relevant all day.... but it is and that's that. He's not making more than him. The production isn't there 2 years shorter deal or not.
and yet 3 body problem got higher ratings than the NHL ever will.</div></div>
Jesus Christ you really are stubborn enough to keep making yourself look like more and more of an idiot. :tearsofjoy
1. This is kinda the same thing dude... They made cuts because the movies weren't worth what they were spending on them anymore.
2. Uhh yes, sports are very cheap compared to original content. And whether you like it or not, WWE is a regular event, broadcasted from an arena, that sells their broadcasting rights to the highest bidder. I never said it was a sport. It does operate on a similar business structure as sports, particularly when it comes to broadcasting. But I'm not surprised you had to nit-pick at this because your arguments have been pathetic thus far.
3. Weird. "Many large brands have walked away from expensive sports advertising, like the superbowl", and yet the Superbowl keeps charging more and more for ads...
4. "You keep thinking a shrinking audience doesn't mean shrinking revenue, it does." Well this is just a weird argument considering... The revenue isn't shrinking. :tearsofjoy
5. Nah bud, you definitely ran from the McAvoy conversation when you tried contesting what his contract would inflate to and then found out that it was indeed $11.3M.
6. There's no crying about Makar's relevancy. There's laughing that you keep bringing it up because it's stupid. :tearsofjoy A player on his third contract at 8 years buying six years of UFA is not remotely close to a player on his 2nd contract at 6 years buying two years of UFA. In fact... The 8 year deal proposed for Seider on his second contract is comparatively WELL UNDER what Makar got, for more years. Keep eating Ls on this, though.
You can yell and scream and **** and moan until you're blue in the face that they're the same, but they're not.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 15 at 9:26 a.m.
Thread:
Yzerman might actually be predictable this off-season
Netflix budget for the Movie "Triple Frontier": $115M
ESPN cost to broadcast 1000+ NHL games/year: $400M
Golly, I wonder why Netflix is cutting their movie department?! Wonder what they'll shift that money to! :tearsofjoy
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 15 at 9:20 a.m.
Thread:
Yzerman might actually be predictable this off-season
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>LuckyMoneyPuck</b></div><div>you really don't want to get into the convo about netflix as they are making massive cuts to their movie making departments. And have laid off large portions of their work force.
I mean honestly.
Again, you don't know the revenue growth stop pretending you do. It's not a linear curve.
They did everything they could to get those numbers those final 3 years. The years before they weren't putting logos on helmets, in game advertisements, and digital adds all over the ice, 2 tv contracts and streaming rights.
There is only so much you can do to keep growth like that..... especially with a known declining viewership. Stop pretending you are smart, your clearly not. They are running out of ways to add and a lot of their attempts are turning the viewership away. Which is why it's declined massively over 2 years.
Again, you keep ranting about how Makar isn't relevant. I don't care if Makar signed a 6 year deal. You are talking about a defense man who was a PPG player when he signed his deal. Seider isn't getting paid close to what he's getting paid. Period. the value of the player alone, dwarfs the 2 year difference in contract length and you really fail to understand that.</div></div>
1. Oh no buddy, I absolutely want to talk about Netflix. Because you're gonna lose that one, too. Do you know why Netflix is making cuts to their original content? Movies cost millions to produce. Do you know what's cheap? <em>Sports and live events... </em> Crazy right?! It's almost like that's why they signed that $5B contract with the WWE...
2. Those numbers cited are literally from the NHL. Try again.
3. You keep citing "Declining viewership" like the death of cable hasn't been going on since the early 2000s... Again, it's weird how you think this is relevant considering the numbers I cited were for a 25-26 cap and a 26-27 cap, and the league's US TV deals are guaranteed until the end of the 27-28 season.
4. I'm not pretending I'm smart at all, but I'm definitely smarter than you. Not that that's hard to do, apparently.
5. Makar isn't relevant lol. You want an 8 year deal on Mo after a two year bridge. Makar signed a 6 year deal after his ELC. Makar's contract buys 2 years of UFA. What you're asking for Seider would buy SIX. There is a clear difference there. You refuse to see it because you can't accept that<em> you're wrong.</em>
6. Again, appreciate that you have run from the McAvoy discussion after you compared him to Seider without realizing what his contract would inflate to.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 15 at 9:06 a.m.
Thread:
Yzerman might actually be predictable this off-season
<em>"NHL team sponsorship revenue rose by 21% YoY to $1.28B in 2022-2023."</em>
One single revenue stream. $200M+ increase.
"sO lEtS nOt pReTeNd rEvEnUe iS gOiNg uP $200M+ eVeRy yEaR!"
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 15 at 8:53 a.m.
Thread:
Yzerman might actually be predictable this off-season
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>LuckyMoneyPuck</b></div><div>there are plenty of players who have 1 or 2 good years and then fall apart. Don't think it can't happen. The point is teams want to see on a lot of players to know what they are getting.
Makar is 11% of cap that's where we are. You seem to think Seider is getting more than him. He's not. This idea he's getting 11.5 is absurd and that's the point. Like I said, he might as well ask for his 10.2 now by your attitude.
As far as the league revenue growth, their viewing audience is shrinking right now. Like many major sports. So to think that the revenue is set to predict this for 3 years is all smoke and mirrors.
Ratings are down this year compared to last, and last year they took a real hit.
https://www.sportspromedia.com/news/nhl-regular-season-2022-23-us-tv-ratings-audience-viewers-espn-turner-tnt/
down 22% in 2023. So lets not pretend, the money is growing 200m+ a season year after year. There is a lot of reason to not believe that. They have expanded every direction they could. From 2 tv contracts in the US, to logos on helmets over the years. Streaming contracts etc... but much like Netflix and other streaming services are cutting back, eventually those hits are going to come to the NHL as the audience is shrinking. People consume differently if at all now a days. Which is why you can't predict 3 years out. As the numbers are pointing down.
None of that is rocket science either.
So lets not try to predict the salary cap in 3 years. You don't know.</div></div>
1. Yes, Seider is definitely going to fall apart. :tearsofjoy
2. You keep talking about Makar and it's honestly hilarious to me. He literally doesn't apply. Signed a 6 year deal on his 2nd contract and you're asking for 8 years on a third deal. These are not the same thing. Stop comparing the two. THEY ARE NOT THE SAME. Dunno how much more clearly you need that spelled out.
3. Super weird how you abandoned ship on McAvoy when you realized you messed up there...
4. Audiences have been shrinking on TV for decades and yet TV revenue continues to increase across every sport. Not to mention you're citing US ratings and the US TV contract doesn't end until after the 2027-2028 season... Which is a year after where I'm projecting. :tearsofjoy
5. "So lets not pretend the money is growing $200M+ a season year after year."
Hmmmmm...
13/14 - $3.7B
14/15 - $3.98B
15/16 - $4.1B
16/17 - $4.43B
17/18 - $4.86B
18/19 - $5.09B
19/20 - $4.37B (COVID Playoffs)
20/21 - $2.33B (COVID Season)
21/22 - $5.93B ($840B increase over three seasons)
Pretty sure I don't have to pretend...
6. Netflix is an interesting example to use for "Cutting back" considering they just signed WWE to a $5B contract... You're arguing just to argue at this point, and you're doing a bad job at it. Stop.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 15 at 12:31 a.m.
Thread:
Yzerman might actually be predictable this off-season
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>dca919</b></div><div>It's called a hard cap and NTC's. Unless you are willing to send those players elsewhere with draft capital or top prospects to the limited number of teams which aren't in their NTC listing then they aren't going anywhere.
As far as signing a 5'9" guy that CAN score 40. I am sure every GM in the league is like no I am not interested in acquiring a potential 40 goal scorer that will cost nothing beyond the dollars for a contract because he is 5'9" or 5'10". I mean trade call comes for Kirill Kaprizov (5'10"), Brayden Point (5'10") , Jesper Bratt (5'10") ......why, pass of course!....they are just too small.</div></div>
It's called a buyout.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 14 at 3:43 p.m.
Thread:
Habs 24-25
There is a 0% chance the wings accept this
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 14 at 11:02 p.m.
Thread:
3 Trades 3 New UFAs and Youth
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>dca919</b></div><div>Seider will be the top pair RHD. If you are arguing this full stop.
Petry has a 15 team NTC and a NMC (so can't bury him). He has a retained cap trade with a $2,343,750 remaining cap. There is no reason to buyout that remaining amount.
Holl has a 10 team NTC. But more importantly a 3.4M cap hit (so no team is going to take him without retention and a sweetener) was brought in before the Ghost signing and Petry trade to be what he will next year: a 3rd pair d-man. He might not be the best NHL d-man, but he will be a 3rd pair rather than wasting a buyout or a sweetened trade to save a couple million when Maatta and Fabbri are the most likely to get traded for cap relief (as they already have cheaper internal replacements at those positions).</div></div>
Imagine hearing an objection to your insisted upon Seider/Petry/Holl RD lineup and leading off thinking Seider was the issue...
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 14 at 1:46 a.m.
Thread:
Isles Abandon Ship
Isles add barzal to wings deal, that's how lopsided it is
Forum:
Mock-Draft
Apr. 8 at 12:58 p.m.
Thread:
2020 top 5 redo
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Who_is_Jimmy_Stu</b></div><div>Sanderson>Raymond is an outrageous take</div></div>
Agreed
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 9 at 2:06 a.m.
Thread:
Marky to Detroit
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AdamL188</b></div><div>my breakdown is 1st, 3rd, Bergren for markstrom, and the 2nd for taking on Husso, I guess take out the 2nd but i doubt they remove the 1st</div></div>
Goalies don't bring in big returns. Below are 2 goalie trades where age and stats are similar to Markström.
Chicago traded Fleury to Minnesota for a 2nd that had a condition that could turn into a 1st.
StL traded Allen to Montreal for a 3rd and a 7th
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 9 at 1:53 a.m.
Thread:
Marky to Detroit
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AdamL188</b></div><div>my breakdown is 1st, 3rd, Bergren for markstrom, and the 2nd for taking on Husso, I guess take out the 2nd but i doubt they remove the 1st</div></div>
Husso isn't a cap dump, so while i get what you are saying and respect your opinion, it's not a correct take. Wings are gonna pass at this cost, it's not the way yzerman does business
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 8 at 9:41 p.m.
Thread:
They Are Making Me Believe
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>LuckyMoneyPuck</b></div><div>who are you kidding, between the two teams DET is far more likely to blow it.</div></div>
Well that went <strong><em>WAY WAY</em></strong> over your head.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 5 at 9:08 a.m.
Thread:
Players worth targetting
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Lancebmx</b></div><div>If they would have traded Berggren for a third at the deadline, teams would have lined up for him.</div></div>
Apparently if a guy cannot make the team because of a logjam, he's only worth a 3rd. Unless he's a part of the Habs or Sabres organizations, and then he's worth at least a 1st. ACGM rules!
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 5 at 9:05 a.m.
Thread:
Players worth targetting
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Black61</b></div><div>The habs arent trading mesar for a guy who they likely cpuld have had for a 3rd round pick at the tdl</div></div>
As a 22/23 year old he had 34 point in 79 games. He's over a PPG in the AHL. How in the world do you expect to get him for a 3rd round pick.
If he's worth a 3rd round pick, Josh Roy is worth a 4th!
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 5 at 9:04 a.m.
Thread:
Players worth targetting
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Black61</b></div><div>The habs arent trading mesar for a guy who they likely cpuld have had for a 3rd round pick at the tdl</div></div>
you drastically undervalue Berggren lol
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 5 at 9:04 a.m.
Thread:
Players worth targetting
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>jonh514</b></div><div>I don't own a PlayStation. Do you have any concrete concerns about the deals, or are you just complaining because you don't like the name recognition.</div></div>
cook that fraud
Forum:
Mock-Draft
Apr. 3 at 5:36 p.m.
Thread:
Nill master class
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>ROBOFAN1999</b></div><div>He was increidbly shaky at the AHL level last year, and hasnt dominated like a dustin wolf did.</div></div>
He's been very good in the AHL this year? Probably has been better than Wallstedt lol.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 4 at 7:30 p.m.
Thread:
Raymond
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>my_name_is_Fil</b></div><div>yup
like what andersson, drouin, and gallagher had?
yup. very familair
rather stick with my own potatoes.
bird in the hand and all that
.. do you know what kind of ram i should use with an old tempermental x58 board?</div></div>
A) Buddy Raymond is currently a top-6 winger, not "potentially." Reinbacher hasn't even played a single AHL game, let alone NHL.
B) DDR3. I'm not a CE, tho.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 4 at 8:03 p.m.
Thread:
Raymond
Yeah... Neither team does this.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 4 at 4:15 p.m.
Thread:
Raymond
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>my_name_is_Fil</b></div><div>lol. nah man top d is worth more than a potential top 6 forward.</div></div>
Do you know what potential means?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 4 at 2:51 p.m.
Thread:
Raymond
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>RedWing9119</b></div><div>You put the word potential in the wrong place.</div></div>
I agree Raymond is every bit a top line winger as Caufield.
Now no doubt Reinbacher will be solid but he won't be better than Seider. So, in Detroit he is potentially a #2RHD.
So I'm going to agree with <a href="/users/JoeROFLCOPTER" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@JoeROFLCOPTER</a> this doesn't make sense for either team.
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