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SimonSelaars3

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Forum: Armchair-GMNov. 15, 2022 at 11:49 p.m.
Thread: Unpopular and unlikely
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>RazWild</b></div><div>And that right there is the crux of it. He's still good. So there's no need to move him. And we have a defensive prospect pool that'll be pushing for ice time in the next two years.

But you don't move him now before they're ready. You move him in two years when his NMC changes to a 10-team M-NTC, and that $7M coming off our cap hit is <strong>most</strong> crucial in getting through the last year of the heavy buyouts, and when Addison and Faber are pushing to become the teams 1-2 punch on the right side. In two years time.

Trading him now is, frankly, premature. Yes, his value will be less, and you potentially will have to pay to have someone take him. But why are we trading him now, just so we can spend that cap space regardless and then find ourselves screwed for having done so two years from now.

Move him now, spend the opened cap space over the next two years, and lose the flexibility of moving $7M in cap space while having $14.7M in deadcap and having 14 roster spots to fill in 2024.

It doesn't make sense to move him.

Not yet.</div></div>

It doesn’t make sense if you truly believe this is a cup contending team. As of right now, this is nowhere close to a cup contending team and they don’t have any reinforcements that would make me think otherwise. To me, this current team is another 1st round exit at best and more likely a team that just barely misses the playoffs.

As for Spurg still being good, you’re right. The only issue with that is as soon as he’s no longer good, nobody will want any part of him, therefor leaving us paying a washed up defenseman 7.75 a year.

Good GMs make moves when the moves make sense, great GMs make moves before the moves make sense. Several teams in the league are currently reaping the benefits of trading star players right before their age catches up to them and I would prefer to be one of those teams, not the other way around.
Forum: Armchair-GMNov. 15, 2022 at 11:09 p.m.
Thread: Unpopular and unlikely
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>RazWild</b></div><div>1) He's the team Captain.

That's the first reason why it'd be stupid.

2) He was literally our best defenseman by analytics last year. By a wide margin.

And low and behold. He looks like our best defenseman again by far <em>this</em> year.

So there's reason number two, for why it'd be stupid.

3) He's still the most productive defenseman in Wild history and currently sits as the longest tenured player on roster.

If hating on his contract and height are the sole reasons and qualifications for fans having *1/2 a brain*. I'm rather glad I'm not one of them. Because I'd rather use the full 100% of it and keep the player that will likely be the second player jersey number to be retired by the franchise at some point.

If for no other reason than for holding off while he's still one of our two best defenseman and he holds a NMC in his back pocket. Which changes to a 10-team M-NTC on July 1st 2024, which is just in time for the heaviest and hardest year of the deadcap to navigate.

Because you see, <strong><em>THAT IS</em></strong> when you trade him. We can afford to keep him and pay him this year and next, but the option to move him at that point will give us the wiggle room we need in order to navigate the final year of the deadcap.

Yes, moving him now would likely net you better assets. But you also lose the flexibility to free up cap space when you most need it two seasons from now.

Think smarter not harder.</div></div>

Spurgeon is a stud and has been a stud for his entire tenure with the Wild. I love watching the dude play and have loved watching him since he entered the league with us.

That being said, this team is going into a transitional period and he will be turning 33 years old two weeks from now with probably the highest value he will ever have.

If you can net a 2023 1st or 2024 1st for him at the deadline or during the next off season then you’d have to at least consider it. He’s bound to regress at some point over the next 2-3 years and if you’re a GM you don’t want to be stuck paying 35-36 year old defenseman 7.75m a year after he’s regressed. Look at OEL for example, that’s a nightmare situation for a GM and I’d rather be on Arizona’s side of that deal, not stuck overpaying a washed up defenseman.

None of that is meant to underestimate Spurgeon and his capabilities, it’s just what happens to the human body once you start reaching a certain age.

Lastly, I hope Spurgeon does defy the deterioration of the human body and plays lights out until he decides to retire but considering the circumstances, trading him within the next year isn’t a bad idea in my mind. Especially with Addison thriving and Faber looking to join the team next season.
Forum: Armchair-GMNov. 11, 2022 at 12:46 a.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 28, 2022 at 4:06 p.m.
Thread: Cap Jail to Cap Heaven
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>drmantalban</b></div><div>I have a crackpot theory that Eichel is gonna return to form and that Vegas will shop him during his last year (25-26), which is also Kaprizov's last year. It's also when the Suter/Parise buyouts drop off a cliff and the cap will be much higher.

I think he comes to MN as a rental for an all-in year.

The rumors were swirling that Guerin was in on him before, but the money and timing just didn't work out. I think 25-26 will be cup or bust, and could be another pivot point in the franchise - Guerin will be 5-6 years into the job, Kap may or may not re-up, Brackett era prospects should be hitting maturity. A lot of current storylines will be coming to fruition around then, and in my mind, would be a fitting little twist to the Guerin era.

edit - 25-26, not 24-25</div></div>

I wouldn’t be against it but I think there will be better options than Eichel at that point. Matthews might walk from Toronto, Pasta might walk from Boston, Aho might walk from Carolina, Draisaitl might walk from Edmonton. I think the 24-25 season or 25-26 season is the time for Guerin to go big in free agency or the trade market to acquire an elite 1C or elite right handed winger. I actually think the 2025-2026 season will be the start of our cup window rather than a cup or bust year with guys like Wallstedt, Rossi, Boldy, Yurov, Faber, Lambos, Ohgren, Khusnutdinov, and others fully establishing themselves into the NHL. If you can add a player like Matthews, Aho, or Draisaitl to that core, they legitimately could be a wagon. And that’s not even mentioning the vets that will likely still be on the team like Brodin, EK, Spurgeon, and Hartman. If that isn’t enough to convince Kaprizov to re-sign, I don’t know what is.

Also, whoever our 2023 1st round draft pick is will hopefully be on the team by that time, which could be huge given how deep this upcoming draft is.
Forum: Armchair-GMAug. 31, 2022 at 6:52 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMAug. 21, 2022 at 3:57 a.m.
Thread: Deadline deals
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>dannibalcorpse</b></div><div>Barzal is still young enough to rebuild a team around. If the Islanders decide to tear it down, he's one of the handful that stay - 1Cs are very hard to find in this league and I can't see them flipping him out without getting a monster asset back. Not this is a bad package, but there's no real headliner in it - I'd rather get back a single pick and a higher caliber of prospect/young roster player if I was moving Barzal out.</div></div>

I hate to break it to you but if you think Barzal has any interest in wasting his prime years away on a rebuilding team you’d probably be wrong. Would NYI want to keep him around? Sure. But the chances of him being willing to stick around is slim to none.
Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 20, 2022 at 5:40 a.m.
Thread: Final piece
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>jedihonesy</b></div><div>This roster could go head on with the Avs, probably beat them, especially if they don't have Kadri.</div></div>

Yeah but he’s gonna be a UFA and I don’t think Guerin is going to trade for him if he’s not confident that Miller signs an extension. Plus Miller doesn’t fit Minnesotas timeline, Minnesotas cup window is going to open 2-3 years from now once our prospects start pop into the NHL and we gather a core of Kaprizov, Rossi, Boldy, Wallstedt, Yurov, Ohgren, Brodin, Eriksson Ek, Lambos, Faber, etc.

Point is, the team is probably gonna take a step down from last season with the loss of Fiala. Miller will be in his mid 30s by the time our cup window starts to open especially once we’re released from salary cap jail.
Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 17, 2022 at 11:35 p.m.
Thread: This team is gonna be so good
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>LetsPlayThatHockey</b></div><div>Are we allergic to Right Handed forwards? That is the only thing I would say about our forward core. This gives me some home and the fact are cap hell should be on the way out and we could sign an UFA. I still think we might be a little weak down the middle especially toward the bottom 6. So a larger Right Handed Center would be nice. I know they mentioned during the the draft the Yurov could possibly move to center has the skill set.

I think the addition of more Russians and hopefully competing toward a cup and a large check could keep Kirill. Got to keep the hope.

Side note I think BG has done well with keeping the team relatively competitive especially with the massive cap penalties. But I think this year will be the first true test.

One question if Kirill for some reason can’t get over does anyone know what happens? In terms of cap? Because if he can’t get over I wouldn’t mind a tank and try to get a lottery pick. And trading Dumba at the deadline.</div></div>

We have Haight who according to top analysts is a prime player to breakout in the OHL this season, he’s a right handed center who had a top 10 skill set in this draft but just didn’t put together the point production to match it so he fell to the 2nd round.

Adding Yurov and Khusnutdinov to the team within the next 2-3 could be huge in the potential re-signing of Kaprizov when his contract is up.

BG and Brackett have been doing business the right way by keeping their draft picks and stockpiling talented prospects, they’re the future of the franchise after all.

As for the Kaprizov situation, who knows if he makes it over or not, only time will tell but if he doesn’t I would assume he would stay under contract but this year of the contract would either go void or rollover into whenever he can get back over here to play, I highly doubt he will be “trapped” in Russia for long (if at all). I also think that Dumba will be traded at the deadline regardless of whether or not we are a playoff team. Everybody knows playoff teams overpay at the deadline and if you can pick up a late 2023 1st for Dumba then that’s a huge win considering how deep the 2023 draft is plus we have Addison and Faber who both will be on the team to start the 23-24 season.