TML_Bias

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Jan. 19, 2022

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Toronto Maple Leafs

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Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 19 at 11:03 a.m.

Thread: Leafs - Flames Devils

Really counting on the cap to take a massive jump in 2 years when #34 needs extending.

Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 15 at 3:11 p.m.

Thread: How unrealistic is this

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Windjammer</b></div><div>Very unrealistic for Dubois. The very last thing Winnipeg needs in return for Dubois is an LD.</div></div>

Not to mention his signing value being only $5.5 million.

Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 14 at 11:07 a.m.

Thread: JT miller Trade Kessel reunion

Wayy too much to give up for Miller.

It might be what Vancouver expects. But versatile middle 6 LW, top prospect, 2x 1sts + is too much to give up for 1 year of Miller.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 30 at 1:15 p.m.

Thread: Dubas Asks For Help To Get Past The First In His Career As GM

This is a lot of 1st round picks to give up to be a hockey team that is worse than the previous season.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 30 at 1:13 p.m.

Thread: Matthew Tkachuk

If they offered Matt $10.5 million as an RFA deal, it would be 1x 1sts & 2x 2nds as compensation , and wouldn't have to include players-- which could be flipped elsewhere to gain assets back. Calgary is only as likely to match, as they would be to accept the trade.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 30 at 11:48 a.m.

Thread: Senators Off-Season Moves

TOR has been linked to Murray, but it would be with retention,<em> a lot</em> of it. If TOR wanted a $6million goalie, would pick the top FA and go.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 30 at 10:16 a.m.

Thread: Leafs offseason

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Logan_Ollivier</b></div><div>He was absolutely a solid top 4 D with Brodie for a good stretch last season. So what if he needs a better partner to be effective, if the result is quality 20+ minutes a night, what does it matter?

The whole, "he can't carry a pair, so he's worthless" mentality on here is stupid. I am not saying he's a terrific player but at 2 million he's a bargain.</div></div>

Again, he's played top 4 minutes, and is <em>capable</em> of doing so-- but he's a better fit talentwise as a bottom pairing player. At no point did I say he's worthless.
Arguing that he's top 4 talent because he plays in the top 4, is like arguing that Bunting is a #1 LW because he plays on the top line. Fit & line-mates matter.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 30 at 9:53 a.m.

Thread: Leafs offseason

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Logan_Ollivier</b></div><div>With your cap issues, getting a 2 million dollar top 4 RD certainly makes sense.</div></div>

I don't dislike Holl (I actually believe he's highly underrated and hated for no reason)-- he has value as a PK, and is absolutely an NHL caliber RHD @ a good cap hit of $2million.... but still, let's be real, he's not a legitimate top 4 guy.
Yes, he has at times played top 4 minutes for TOR, but that doesn't make you a top 4 player. He does not carry a pairing.

If Holl is on his way out, it is only because TOR is hoping that Sandin & Liljegren start eating minutes. $2 million to be a 7th D is a luxury they can't afford. If Sandin is to be traded- Holl will be on the opening day roster

Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 30 at 9:30 a.m.

Thread: Leafs offseason

I would keep Kerfoot & Holl, rather than trading for Zucker and signing Subban for more $.

Not a fan of much here.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 29 at 10:30 a.m.

Thread: edmoil

No, thank you. -- TOR

Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 28 at 4:30 p.m.

Thread: Toronto from outside perspective - Is this team better than last years

$8 mill almost on goalies isn't in the cards, or there would be no need to go outside.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 28 at 10:10 a.m.

Thread: Sandin and Forsberg

I really hoped that after Liljegren signed for $1.4, that people would stop offersheeting @ outrageous values.

TOR can't match. Neither team is happy with this outcome.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 27 at 2:26 p.m.

Thread: Miller Malkin AND Trocheck

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>T0R</b></div><div>If Boosh wants 2.5 Dubas will pay him before he hits the market</div></div>

I don't think so. Not because he's not worth it-- there's already becoming a logjam @ D.

Rielly, Brodie, Muzzin, Gio, Liljegren, Sandin, Holl. Even if you move Holl out, you're either holding Sandin out of the lineup, or Boosh @ $2.5

Muzzin isn't going on LTIR, or waiving his NTC-- So unless Sandin is on his way out in a trade package, Boosh will be in a different Jersey next season.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 27 at 1:58 p.m.

Thread: Taking from the SCF

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>RWellington</b></div><div>This is the most TML bitter take I've read in a while.

Barrie is a 40-50 point RHD, with a reasonable contract.

Contract Comps: Justin Faulk, Kevin Shattenkirk, Damon Seversson ...... but hey that is off the top of my head, there is probably only another dozen or so that relate.

This is what I don't understand about the Barrie situation, he is a known commodity and teams with poor PP's should be lining up to get this player. COL moved him because of Makar, EDM should be doing the same because of Bouchard it isn't because of him being a poor player, it has everything to do with redundancy. Bouchard is on his ELC, he brings the needed offense to move on from Barrie.</div></div>

I'm not knocking Barrie-- not my favorite player, but I agree he has value. Seattle might even value him similarly to how you do, but that doesn't change his trade market value-- there isn't going to be a lineup to take on his contract for a PP specialist that isn't a good defender, into his 30's.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 27 at 12:44 p.m.

Thread: Taking from the SCF

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>RWellington</b></div><div>If SEA doesn't go to UFA and grab Letang or Klingberg, then I do expect them trade for a offensive defenseman</div></div>

I don't think there will be a bidding war for Barrie's $9.5 million owed / & $9mil cap hit over the 2 years.

If SEA wants Barrie, I would hope they're aware that the price tag won't be this high, as there is little to no market competition for his services,

Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 27 at 12:02 p.m.

Thread: Taking from the SCF

You think SEA is going to give up value to take on Barrie?

Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 27 at 12:01 p.m.

Thread: Big leafs W

Liljegren had no chance at "twice as much" --- He's played 76 games @ the NHL level -- for many of which he looked shaky. He looked solid down the stretch, yes, but w/ Gio as a partner.

Good player yes. Good value signing by Dubas, yes. But this isn't some grand negotiating miracle.

Don't be surprised if Sandin is signed @ the same, or $100-$200k more.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 27 at 10:51 a.m.

Thread: Campbell Mrazek and Nylander gone

Why would NJ trade anything for Campbell ?
Teams would only do trades like this if it gives them the option to add an 8th year... which no one will be doing for Soup.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 27 at 10:29 a.m.

Thread: Kampf Didnt Highstick Foote

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Terry_AkiSauce</b></div><div>Going from ~85 to ~28 in the draft goes from about a 10% chance of drafting a nhler to 50%... pretty important difference for an expiring UFA</div></div>

Yes it's a good jump up-- but it's not enough with<strong> $ </strong>retained. Maybe @ the deadline.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 24 at 2:06 p.m.

Thread: Kampf Didnt Highstick Foote

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Terry_AkiSauce</b></div><div>Which is why a first is being added?</div></div>

moving up 2 rounds doesn't offset the difference in player AND salary retention.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 24 at 1:50 p.m.

Thread: Kampf Didnt Highstick Foote

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Terry_AkiSauce</b></div><div>They get Kase who produced better P/60 than Brown and a 25-32nd overall pick and give up like pick 85</div></div>

If you want Kase's p/60, then don't trade him, and offer him a contract. You can get him for less than the $1.8

Brown is the more valuable player. Ottawa doesn't consider this, IMO.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 24 at 1:39 p.m.

Thread: Kampf Didnt Highstick Foote

Brown with retention might get OTT a 1st round pick, without sending back a 3rd. They don't gain much here.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 24 at 1:31 p.m.

Thread: Stealing from the Jets

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>CapFriendlysFinest</b></div><div>Thought was top prospect, upside top 4 D, middle six winger/center to cover for when PLD is traded, a goalie just to have one and a late first.
What would you need to add?</div></div>

Kerfoot doesn't fill in for PLD. Count him as a 2nd or early 3rd round pick for sake of value.
Need to add at least another early draft pick/good prospect to get in the ballpark.

Edit: and take out Mrazek.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 24 at 1:20 p.m.

Thread: Stealing from the Jets

Not enough. Mrazek isn't a positive.
So 1 good prospect, an RFA without a set contract, a late first, & Kerfoot (another asset to flip) -- for a top 5 goalie in the world

Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 24 at 10:33 a.m.

Thread: Is it realistic

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Lenny7</b></div><div>Dats the one right there. The whole "Jettison Kerfoot!" effort on here is weird to me. IMO, the value of keeping him for next season on a potential playoff run, and then having his contract expire at the same time as essentially every depth player on the team will be good for the short and long term build on this team.</div></div>

Agreed.
IF Kerfoot is moving out- it's to shed salary to spend on a G, or to split money between 2 roster spots. Not re-spend on 1 player of equal or lesser value.

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