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TMarch
Member Since
Apr. 3, 2017
Favourite Team
Detroit Red Wings
2nd Favourite Team
Vegas Golden Knights
Forum Posts
1120
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ARMCHAIR-GM TEAMS
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 11, 2023 at 10:18 a.m.
Thread:
23-24
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TMarch</b></div><div>Razor will get a 1st line shot before Bergy. Razor is an excellent playmaker too. Bergy and Ras would fit together as well, as Bergy could feed Ras in the net front.
The reason why you wouldn't want Bergy or Razor with Cat and Larkin is who is playing in the corners? Larkin can play in the corners, but Cat and Razor aren't forecheckers. Perron and Ras are.
It might be 20-30 games before we know how these lines will work.</div></div>
No; I just think that Berggren is our team's best playmaker. Raymond is also a great playmaker, but is
A) Right shooting
B) More rounded than Berggren
Obviously, I do think that Raymond sees the top-line over Berggren; he's the better player no doubt, but that's not what I believe it should be.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 11, 2023 at 10:16 a.m.
Thread:
23-24
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TMarch</b></div><div>Razor will get a 1st line shot before Bergy. Razor is an excellent playmaker too. Bergy and Ras would fit together as well, as Bergy could feed Ras in the net front.
The reason why you wouldn't want Bergy or Razor with Cat and Larkin is who is playing in the corners? Larkin can play in the corners, but Cat and Razor aren't forecheckers. Perron and Ras are.
It might be 20-30 games before we know how these lines will work.</div></div>
I can't see any scenario in which Razor and Cat on the same line make sense, as they play too similar of a game, they also both need to be paired with strong defensive linemates to insulate them AND they're both right handed shots...
I love Ras with Razor and think those two should all but be married at the hip... I assume we'll see a lot of line juggling for line 2-4 throughout the season, but I expect the top line to sort itself out pretty quickly. I think Kostin could be a sleeper to work his way into the top 6 too. Not suggesting this per se, but I could see this working too:
DeBrincat-Larkin-Kostin
Rasmussen-Copp-Raymond
Forum:
Mock-Draft
Jun. 15, 2023 at 4:23 p.m.
Thread:
My top-10 comparables
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TMarch</b></div><div>I think you are pretty good on all of these. Definitely the Moore / Larkin comparison (there scouting reports were also identical), Carlsson / Kopitar, and Hughes / Smith. The only one I'd slightly disagree with is the Reinbacher/Seider comparison, as I don't think Reinbacher has Seider's ceiling. But Reinbacher has a very high floor too (same with Seider).</div></div>
Agreed, reinbacher is hard to judge because his offence just isnt quite there... maybe more of a Noah Hanifin type?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jun. 8, 2023 at 3:21 p.m.
Thread:
Signings Nobody Expects
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TMarch</b></div><div>Why is Fabbri on LTIR? It had a chance to come back last year, it was just too late in the season. Also, you don't use LTIR unless you need to, so Edvinsson would be on IR unless Steve needs the cap space (and based on this scenario he won't).</div></div>
Fabbri I just expect to be injured :tearsofjoy
Ed was put on LTIR just to show that I didn't forget about him (since nobody reads the Description box). Could've just put him on IR I suppose.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 8, 2023 at 3:12 p.m.
Thread:
DET wins the lottery
It's good to see you back but we know this isn't happening. If anything after 2 years of staying in place we are do for a fall backwards.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 22, 2021 at 2:04 p.m.
Thread:
Post expansion
Considering Ghost just went WITH a 2nd round pick this GM didn't age very well. Perhaps you need to adjust your value system where your own team is concerned?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Oct. 7, 2020 at 11:44 a.m.
Thread:
Sounds like Murray to Ottawa
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TMarch</b></div><div>Seems like a lot for Murray. OTT had a ton of picks, but Gruden was a decent prospect too. Murray better be over his injury bug...</div></div>
I'm not worried about losing Gruden, or even moving a 2nd really, but I it's a lot to give up for a sub 900sv% Goalie
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Sep. 25, 2020 at 1:50 p.m.
Thread:
Is this a playoff team
No, that bottom 6 is horrific.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Sep. 25, 2020 at 2:08 p.m.
Thread:
Is this a playoff team
Without killing the entire future to make 1-2 years of 1st round exits, you're not turning Detroit into a playoff team.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Sep. 16, 2020 at 7:10 p.m.
Thread:
Puck Analysis Ideal Offseason
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TMarch</b></div><div>Not a big fan of that D lineup. It could end up being a repeat of 2020 from the backend. Maybe ToR looks at Dumba, hopefully balance out the offense from the backend (which Barrie was supposed to be).
I also don’t understand the Andersen hate. The ARI trade is ok, and ARI needs picks desperately, but is Kuemper that much better than Andersen, or did his D let him down?</div></div>
Andersen is really good, I just think fans give him slack cuz he tends to let him a soft goal during the biggest games. However, this season was pretty bad by his standards. I’m not adamant on moving him but there were reports he didn’t want to stay.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 18, 2020 at 4:27 p.m.
Thread:
Some rumours and what I hope happens
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TMarch</b></div><div>Very reasonable and realistic price for Johnsson. Are you sure you are a TOR fan? :)</div></div>
Haha! Most people/fans in general tend to be very uneducated in terms of sports and in trades. So there are a lot of very bad ones made. But Toronto has more fans than every other team, so you see more of it. But I assume on a percentage basis, Leaf fans aren't any worse than fans of other teams.
And in saying that, I have made my fair sure of awful trades, for and against Toronto. I admit those mistakes when they are presented to me :P. Sometimes.... Haha
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 29, 2020 at 8:23 a.m.
Thread:
making room
Wings decline & will keep their pick for rebuild
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 15, 2020 at 12:24 p.m.
Thread:
Fairly realistic but not bad offseason
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>SlevinKalevra</b></div><div>I don’t see you moving Boychuck’s contract AND acquiring Ras in the same trade. If you do it will cost you a decent amount more than that</div></div>
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BStinson</b></div><div>Detroit values Rasmussen he was really good when not injured in Grand Rapids. You want to dump Boychuk okay for 1st + b prospect or pick but you’re not getting Ras.</div></div>
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TMarch</b></div><div>Rasmussen has a role in DET, probably as a 3rd line C (which is why he played in GR for the entire season, to spend it playing C, instead of LW). You probably won't get him back as payment for a cap dump.</div></div>
Like I said I wasn’t sure of Ras’ value. An alternative would j be the same trade, but the isles j getting a low pick instead. In that case, I’d probably call up Wahlstrom and give him a full time spot on the 3rd line
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 7, 2020 at 5:24 p.m.
Thread:
What an Eric Lindros Trade would look like in 2020
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TMarch</b></div><div>If you are trying to compare apples to apples (as much as you can), then Forsberg is Matthews. Forsberg was mostly a C, and Marner obviously is not. Forsberg was a 1.25PPG player for his career, while Matthews is just a 1.00PPG player, though I expect that to rise some as he gets a little older. Forsberg was more of a playmaker, while Matthews is a goal scorer. But the comparison is close enough.
Obviously, none of this is going to happen, if you swapped out Matthews for Marner, I think it would infinitely make EDM deeper, and totally destroy TOR's depth and defense. Need to plug it into NHL 2020 and see what happens on the sim.</div></div>
yeah like obviously it wont happen lol. but if they are trying to make this trade as similar to the Lindros one, matthews would be included.
here's a good video on the Lindros trade if you have time lmfao its quite long.
<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mM7D2WTX2QA" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mM7D2WTX2QA</a>
Forum:
Mock-Draft
Jul. 7, 2020 at 11:59 a.m.
Thread:
2019 Redraft
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TMarch</b></div><div>In my mind, Dach has the best season of the Cs in this draft class, but Hughes still is the better long term prospect, with Dach as the 2nd best. Dach didn't play sheltered minutes in CHI (53/47 split), didn't get a ton of PP time (2nd PP unit), or a lot of ice time overall (14min/night, 3rd line minutes), but still had 162 shots in 64 games playing down the lineup. His shot totals showed up in his Corsi (-.5 relative, almost flat). He was trusted to play tough minutes as a kid, and even though he didn't play a ton of C, still took 222 draws (only won 33%, something that will get fixed as he gets older and stronger, not an uncommon issue).
When I went into the draft, I had Hughes, Turcotte, Zegras, Dach, Cozens, and Newhook in that order for the Cs. After this season, it's Hughes, Dach, Zegras, Turcotte, Newhook, and Cozens, but the spread isn't as wide as it may seem. You can make an argument for almost any order.
Also, the 2019 C class could be one of the better ones in recent memory, especially on depth. McMichael and Pinto really showed something too. In a 5 year redraft, you could have 8-9 Cs in the first 10 picks.</div></div>
One other stat to point out about Dach which is really impressive for a 18 year old kid in the NHL is 38 takeaways to 16 giveaways. That speaks volumes to how good his puck possession is and how well his defensive abilities are. You just don't seen 18 year old centers doing that or wingers. Usually a young forward has trouble protecting the puck, as example Hughes with 53 giveaways and 42 takeaways. Dach's ratio in this area is very strong for a season vet let alone a 18 year old kid.
I agree that Hughes will eventually be the better C, but Dach for the first 3 years should be the clearcut winner in the draft class as he is more physical mature then the rest and now has 1 year more experience then the rest aside from Hughes. Turcotte I think is going to struggle to adjust to the NHL this coming season but ultimately will be a good. My money is Zegras is the dark horse but Dach is going to be a 1C if he can get his faceoffs together and stays mentally astute as he's shown so far.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jun. 29, 2020 at 1:36 p.m.
Thread:
31 team series
Not a bad idea for the Blues, but they likely will first try to move fellas without sending their 2020 1st away. Call it a back-up option.
Forum:
Detroit Red Wings
Jun. 23, 2020 at 10:19 a.m.
Thread:
The career of Nick Lidstrom
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>A_K</b></div><div>Lidstrom was an all-timer. He was all about the little things - here's some of my favorites that he was really good at, with some hyperbole sprinkled in because we're talking about a GOAT:
He was never out of position. Never chasing the play. Always in the right spot. It's why he never had to use much physicality, and because of that, he could play 30+ minutes per night easily even when he was getting old.
He could swat pucks out of the air on attempted dump-ins so easily. Teams would think they're gonna get it deep and change and he'd catch the puck off the boards and float a pass to center ice for a counter-attack.
He knew exactly where to lean on a guy to disrupt a shot. Not sure if all of it would be legal any more but his timing on little stick jabs or stick checks was always perfect.
I hated him so much growing up in STL. Just a testament to how good he was. I agree with your sentiment, he is 2nd only to Number 4 in my book.</div></div>
Listen Spittin Chiclets and they have a few guys on who tell stories of hating to play against him because they could never get it deep on him, Crosby talks about how he hated playing against him because of it. One of his former teammates also tells a story on there about playing against him in a drill in practise and Babcock screaming at him to get the puck deep and he just yells back at him 'PUT ME AGAINST SOMEONE OTHER THEN NICK THEN!' Recommend a listen
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jun. 17, 2020 at 2:29 p.m.
Thread:
Buffalo offseason
A 34 year old center that scored 8 points and has 2 years left on his contract isn't going to get you a 2nd. You most likely will have to pay someone to take him.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 7, 2020 at 7:28 p.m.
Thread:
lafreniere wings
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TMarch</b></div><div>Actually, I think Rasmussen will be called up as a C, at least initially. He played the last 10+ games in 2018-2019 in DET as a C, and had a positive Corsi. He's played almost exclusively in GR as a C this season (he did take draws on the PP as a C, but played net-front, so he's responsibility was not quite a C there). He'll never be anything more than a #3 C in the NHL (and definitely not manning the PP or PK as a C), but he's way more engaged as a C.
If DET gets Lafreniere, I think your Cs are (in organizational order): Larkin, Fils, Glendening (even though he's been playing a lot of W), Nielsen, Rasmussen, Veleno, Pearson. I suspect Veleno will pass Rasmussen after next season in org order. If they get Byfield, then Rasmussen will move to be a W pretty quickly (he wouldn't be any good as a #4 C), and Byfield would slot into the #2 C spot.</div></div>
He was lost last season (thanks Kenny) I think easing him back is the way to go and starting at wing reduces his responsibility. That's what I would do.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 28, 2020 at 2:06 p.m.
Thread:
2020 lineup - Yzerman going young
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TMarch</b></div><div>Nemeth will never have flashy counting stats, but his advanced numbers show that he's got value as a #4 dman (and a veteran presence next to a growing Seider). He had a positive Corsi this year (1.6 relative) while playing a 40/60 Ozone/Dzone split (if you split adjust those are great numbers really). The on ice shooting percentage was very sustainable (9.1%, which is slightly below league average, so he should be able to maintain that), while his on ice save percentage was one of the best on the team (which shows to his defensive positioning). He will never contribute offensively, but he is a stable presence next to a more offensively inclined player to balance things out (a little bit of Brad Stuart).</div></div>
One of my favorite D parings was Kronwall and Sturat. It's like they were trying to out hit each other every shift.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 28, 2020 at 1:48 p.m.
Thread:
2020 lineup - Yzerman going young
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>aedoran</b></div><div>I think that's about right for Bert. I agree Byfield will need a year or 2.</div></div>
If anything, it's a touch low for Bert. EW has a 5 year deal coming in at 5.8 mil.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 20, 2020 at 6:10 p.m.
Thread:
Using their cap
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TMarch</b></div><div>Let's do a comparison:
Player A is 26 years old, and since 2016-2017 has played in 291 games, scored 138 points, for a .47PPG average.
Player B is 25 years old, and since 2016-2017 has played in 199 games, scored 119 points, for a .60PPG average.
Player C is 24 years old, and since 2016-2017 has played in 249 games, scored 150 points, for a .60PPG average.
Player A is Tom Wilson, he of the 6 year, 5.166m/year contract, 6.5% cap hit
Player B is Tyler Bertuzzi, who you just gave a 3 year, 4.5mm/year contract to, which is a 5.5% cap hit.
Player C is Nick Schmaltz, he of the 7 year, 5.85m/year contract, 7.36% cap hit
Can we please stop underpaying people?!? Tyler is going to end up signing a 5-6year, 5.5m/year contract (about 6.7% cap hit)</div></div>
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>DiehardRedWingsFan58</b></div><div>Bertuzzi will get a 5-6 year deal @ 5.5m easily Mantha gets the Kreider deal 7 years @ 6.5m There's no way Bertuzzi would take that deal he's a bonafide 50-60 point winger and that's what they get.</div></div>
This hypothetical team still has $11M.. there is no problem giving Bertuzzi more $.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 20, 2020 at 12:30 p.m.
Thread:
Taking a crack at this team
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TMarch</b></div><div>Couple of points:
1. Johnson has a ton of trade value, and there are ways to get people to waive their no-trade clauses (benching, demotions, etc. Use the same logic for Gourde, Palat, and Killorn as well) Guys want no trades to get control over the situation and be part of the process, not necessarily to stop a trade (unless they are a very seasoned veteran, whereas well-run teams "defer" to the vet with the clause). I suspect that if JBB needs to move Johnson, he'll find it pretty easy, with a pretty good return.
2. Trading Sergachev may be counter-productive. While his numbers aren't earth-shattering, he was easily the 2nd best Dman overall for TBL. He was second on the team in dmen points (34), 3rd in TOI (:20 behind McDonagh), 2nd in hits, 2nd (overall and amongst dmen) in blocks. He was sheltered in the same fashion that Hedman was (Hedman and Sergachev both had a 54/46 Ozone/Dzone start split). He also generated offensive chances at the same rate as Hedman (who played 4 fewer games than Sergachev, so the numbers are skewed). Doing this with 2nd PP unit time (he was #2 dman on the team in PP time behind Hedman), and on the 2nd unit for PK (so playing all situations). All of this while only being 21 years old, which means he's got 6+ years before he is near his peak development. For teams that need to balance now vs future, Sergachev is a no brainer at 4.5-5.5mm x 4-5 years.
3. If you get a CBO, the only real candidate is Gourde, as his trade value isn't near his contract value. Johnson, Palat, and Killorn would return close to their trade values (though, no one is giving TBL full value on any trade, since everyone knows what kind of position they are in).
4. My changes would be trade Johnson (who should return a low-level 1st rounder+), Palat (the trade listed above is good value), and CBO Gourde, which would free up 15.466mm in cap space. Give Gourde's money to Sergachev. Keep the rest of your signings. In a couple of years, Shattenkirk will move on, leaving room for Foote.</div></div>
Oh I definitely do think Sergachev is a great player. A #2/3 d man as of now. If the Lighting can trade Johnson, they definitely should.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Mar. 12, 2020 at 1:06 p.m.
Thread:
launch blashill straight to the sun
I don't think you're as close as you think you are on all of these trades.
Forum:
Mock-Draft
Mar. 11, 2020 at 6:01 p.m.
Thread:
2014 Redraft
I'd argue that Drai would be a 1C on like 27 teams right now
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