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TheEarthmaster

Good Opinion Haver
Member Since
Jun 7, 2018
Favourite Team
St. Louis Blues
Forum Posts
1207
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1.05
Forum Threads
14
Forum: Armchair-GMFri at 4:59 pm
Forum: Armchair-GMJul 2 at 11:10
Forum: Armchair-GMJul 2 at 10:09
Forum: Armchair-GMJul 1 at 3:11
Forum: Armchair-GMJul 1 at 3:08
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Chopper02</b></div><div>He's definitely not worth 6.5 mil. Not to mention he's also 28. So his performance will be going down pretty quickly here in a couple years. Again I like him and he fits the Blues mold, but for 6.5? Let him go.
Also worth mentioning that while it's great to have a high expected goals for, it doesn't mean much if you or linemates don't put the puck in the net.
While there are other things here I disagree with, it's pretty tame to the Danult. I'm thinking 4 × 4.5? So 18 mil over 4 years.</div></div>

Brendan Gallagher, Danault's most common line mate, is 5th in 5v5 goals since 17-18, behind Ovechkin, Pastrnak, Kucherov, McDavid. Seems like someone is putting pucks in the net on Danault's line with his high xGF%. Imagine what he could do with someone like Tarasenko.

You make a good point about Danault's age but the way this team is built we've got a ton of guys already in that position. Krug, Faulk, Binnington, Schenn are all Danault's age or older and signed to long term deals, all will be 33 or older when their contracts are done. O'Reilly and Tarasenko are in that same range and at least one of them will presumably be re-signed. So from my view, who cares what Danault is when he's 31 or 32? Get the talent now and deal with the consequences when the cup window is closed. It's not like 6.5 is an unmovable contract later if the guy only has a few years left and some playoff success to his name.

Of course, if we can get Danault for like 4.5 million I would again of course do that in a heartbeat. Don't need to twist my arm to save money, but I legitimately think someone will pay him that and I would do it if I was the Blues (wouldn't go any higher though).

Also happy to field any of the other things you dislike! Always like talking the Blues with the homies on Capfriendly.
Forum: Armchair-GMJul 1 at 3:01
Forum: Armchair-GMJul 1 at 2:57
Forum: Armchair-GMJul 1 at 2:53
Forum: Armchair-GMJun 23 at 4:39
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Ledge_And_Dairy</b></div><div>Dunn plays incredibly sheltered minutes vs 3rd and 4th lines, he is not particularly good defensively. Dube is young and looks very promising, he is a power forward that provides loads of forecheck with lots of speed. Yeah his stats this year weren't great but he was always deployed on the wing of our shutdown lines.

Calgary definitely isnt rebuilding and the severely underperformed this year</div></div>

You are absolutely right about Dunn's sheltered minutes previously in his career and Dube's numbers this year being worse than normal. However, those stats on Dube and Dunn are the aggregate from the last three years and Dunn did not play sheltered minutes this year (#172 among all skaters in quality of competition versus #600+ in QOC in previous years from Evolving-Hockey). To put that in perspective, Rasmus Andersson was #160 in QOC among all skaters this year. Krug/Parayko/Scandella/Gunnarsson were all hurt at various parts of the year, so Dunn played a ton of top four minutes and did fine. Obviously not the toughest minutes, but certainly not sheltered.

People think he's not good defensively because he's not out there hitting people or breaking up passes- things that Dunn is not good at that we traditionally associate with being "good" defensive plays. But if you are good at getting and keeping possession of the puck when you're on the ice, which Dunn is extremely good at, then you're not going to be allowing tons of shot quality against while you're on the ice, which is, at its core, what you want from your defense. That's why he's good defensively.

Definitely not trying to argue that Dunn isn't overrated because maybe he is, but I think his reputation as an "offense only" guys is a bit unearned, at least at even strength and his defense doesn't get enough credit. He's been solid there, and he still scores on the PP.

I know they aren't rebuilding and probably aren't going to, I'm just saying they should. They might be able to make the playoffs in a similarly weak division next year (provided they get that third spot behind Vegas and Edmonton, they might have trouble getting a wild card spot otherwise with the Central going back to normal) but it's hard to picture a sustained window of success when so many of the guys they're relying on heavily are in their thirties (Markstrom, Giordano, Backlund) the guys in their prime are consistently underperforming (Monahan, Gaudreau), and they only have a handful of young guys who have thus far made a big impact (Hanifin and Tkachuk).
Forum: Armchair-GMJun 23 at 3:38
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Ledge_And_Dairy</b></div><div>Dunn is overrated and only good offensively, Dube has top 6 potential</div></div>

If anything Dunn is <a href="https://imgur.com/a/Cf5Lslg" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">only good defensively and just racks up points on the PP</a> while if you're playing Dube in your top six your <a href="https://imgur.com/a/tgSKSpe" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank"> team is probably not very good</a>. He's young but like those are not great early returns.

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>jcambers</b></div><div>But this is practically the exact same team as this past year.
How do they possibly get better?</div></div>

They don't! Not without taking a step back first. I don't really buy all the "Tkachuk wants out" rumors but regardless of his status Calgary management needs to rebuild this team. I get he was hurt this year but Monahan has been in three years of decline. Backlund is in his thirties, Lucic is in his thirties, Giordano is in his late thirties, Tanev is in his thirties, Markstrom is in his thirties. And like, some of those players are still good- we've jumped the shark on how bad Lucic really is, Giordano is still insanely good, Tanev was great this year, Markstrom is only a year removed from a Vezina-caliber season and Backlund is still underrated- but Calgary needs to be in the playoffs every year to maximize those older guys and they're not.

It's tough for any fanbase to hear and it's certainly not exciting but the way to make the team better is to sell everyone over 25 and try to get top picks while these next few drafts are loaded with high end talent. Start this season with selling Gaudreau and Giordano if you can and Tanev while his value is high if you can(yes, even though they just signed him, because he could turn back into a pumpkin at any point). If you want to really make noise sell Monahan and Lindholm too, though they have some term left so it might make sense to keep them for a bit. A lot of people might think that's an extreme path but like, if you keep Gaudreau and rebuild for the next three years suddenly he's 31 and probably in decline and just eating away usable cap space for you.

The new core is Hanifin (great) Tkachuk (great, borderline elite) Mangiapane (great) Andersson (less great) and Dube (maybe fine who knows he's only 22). And then guys like Wolf and Zary too assuming they pan out. And then hopefully you can add Bedard or Wright, or literally any young high end talent, to that pile and have a really special team down the road.

I definitely don't think it's impossible to make moves to make the team better next year, but like if we're talking sustained success that's the way you gotta go.
Forum: Armchair-GMJun 12 at 1:54
Forum: Armchair-GMMay 24 at 1:16