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TrueCanuck

Roster Architect
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Forum: Armchair-GMMay 15, 2022 at 4:57 p.m.
Thread: Off-Season Blueprint
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>rollie1967</b></div><div>If Mrazek was so easy to move- they wouldve done it this past season, he obviously was out of their plans for the playoffs- hell he was waived for nothing- and no one grabbed him.

Husso is 3 years younger than Campbell- and doesnt have his injury history, i would consider it an upgrade over Campbell, and if the Leafs thought Mrazek got 3.8 to be a tandem with Campbell as the starter...someone could very well offer Campbell the same or more to be their starter. Realistically the Leafs cant spend that on a back up. A tandem situation isnt a money saving proposition, and the Leafs have to cut corners where they can.
Grimaldi got a $2mil deal after scoring 10 goals with Nashville, then spent most of the year in the minors. Mikheyev got 21 goals in just over 50 games...theyre not even close to comparables.</div></div>

Toronto didn’t move Mrazek that easily because they had injury concerns and coupsnt directly lose him without someone coming back.

Also, go compare Grimaldi and Mikheyev at the same amount of games in their careers. Almost identical in points, it was actually somewhere in the 98% range of comparables so yes it close. Lol.
Forum: Armchair-GMMay 15, 2022 at 3:30 p.m.
Thread: Off-Season Blueprint
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Tintin</b></div><div>Seriously hope Devils aren't trading Blackwood. I'm a big believer in him and back him to develop into a true NHL starter sooner rather than later.
I think his underwhelming results as of late are more due to too much responsibility being forced upon him (was supposed to share the net with Crawford last year and Bernier this year) as well as outright playing injured a lot of the time.

OP's tradeoffer doesn't do anything for the Devils anyway.
Two C level prospects and a mid rd pick doesn't fill any need for a team that already sits on one of the strongest and deepest prospect pools in the league.</div></div>

Definitely wouldn’t call Voit a C level prospect, he’s more in the B- range, maybe a C+ at worst. But every report I’ve read and the people I’ve talked to say that New Jersey needs dynamic wingers. I don’t see them getting a top notch one for Blackwood because of his injury history and performance (give him excuses all you want but the bottom line is that his numbers aren’t good). So it’s a future guy that could be a 2nd line playmaker and get you 50-70 points a year. With Blackwood’s apparent disagreements with the team and agent switch, I don’t see New Jersey holding onto him past next season. So it might be smart to move him now before his value plummets more.

The best I could see Toronto doing is maybe moving Robertson for him, but that would have to be a guaranteed retention on Blackwood and a late round pick going to Toronto as well
Forum: Armchair-GMMay 15, 2022 at 3:17 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMMay 15, 2022 at 3:02 p.m.
Thread: Off-Season Blueprint
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>rollie1967</b></div><div>Blackwood is NJs starter....and you expect them to trade him for next to nothing...and retain salary? not even close.
Mikheyev will command more than that as a UFA, and even Campbell could get more.
Ideally the Leafs move one of their pricey forwards and spend a big chunk of it on a goalie- like Husso, but theyre going to have to pay someone to take on Mrzazeks deal- and they dont have that many prospects to do that.</div></div>

New Jersey and Blackwood have reportedly had disagreements and he was made available at the deadline so he’s certainly available at least - this doesn’t stop them from getting another guy too. They can make trades as well. With his injury history and poor play for the last 2 seasons it’s also not out of the question to have salary retained because of it - it’s only for 1 season so it’s not a long term committed retaining.

Mikheyev as I said was signed to a deal comparable to Rocco Grimaldi when he signed. Both were around the same amount of games played, points, and age - Grimaldi signed for $2m so what makes Mikheyev worth so much more? Because he’s a Leaf and people like to overrate him so Toronto can’t sign him? $2.4m is more than fair.

Campbell is a tandem goalie and tandem goalies don’t get paid $4m +.. look at what Mrazek got. Again Campbell was highly inconsistent and not that great in playoffs. He has a injury history and is over 30. Those types of goalies don’t command a lot on the open market. Husso was in the same type of area as Campbell and you think Campbell should get more despite being older? Doesn’t seem right.

Mrazek - as stated in the description - won’t take that much to move. If teams don’t want him, his cap hit on a buyout is just over $1m so it’s not a high cap hit to absorb. Look at what Toronto did to move Nick Ritchie, didn’t cost a lot and got a good return. Mrazek will be in a similar boat.
Forum: Armchair-GMMay 15, 2022 at 2:53 p.m.
Thread: Off-Season Blueprint
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Leafsfan16</b></div><div>I like the Blackwood idea I think that is smart and Dubas should consider it. Also idk how Devils fans will feel about that.</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Tbrew</b></div><div>The Devils have goaltending issues as it is. I’m not sure about trading their only NHL goaltender for a prospect and pick, plus retaining salary. Makes more sense to just keep Blackwood or find a better trade</div></div>

That one was tough to judge. But with the reported disagreements between Blackwood and the team (Blackwood hired a new agent apparently to help find a new start somewhere), I think he’s available. I’d think that New Jersey would find a goalie elsewhere anyways, but it seems like his time in New Jersey may be short
Forum: Armchair-GMMay 15, 2022 at 8:57 a.m.
Thread: Mattbust
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TCMonkey</b></div><div>Giving up a package that includes the 6th and 12th OA for what will turn out to be ALMOST two seasons of Matthews who hasn't been able to get his team out of round one for 6 years straight? NO. I hope they'd be smarter than that. They have Texier, SIllinger, Boqvist, Laine, Roslovic and Ceulemans: all of them 25 or younger. Matthews gives them ONE SHOT at the cup in 22-23 and then he's a UFA who is highly unlikely to stay in Columbus. Being impatient can be very expensive.</div></div>

You’re blaming the playoff losses on Matthews? Wow. You can tell you don’t watch the Leafs at all.

Matthews was dominant in the playoffs. It’s not his fault the team can’t get a timely save from their goalie.

Columbus takes this and runs.
Forum: Armchair-GMMay 15, 2022 at 8:45 a.m.
Thread: changes
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>theleano1</b></div><div>Canucks pass no need to take on cap</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Ledge_And_Dairy</b></div><div>Flames decline. This at best makes their cap situation slightly worse while not actually improving anything on the roster</div></div>

This honestly sounds like nothing more than pure anti-Leafs than anything.

The Vancouver deal: are you kidding me? Rutherford takes that and absolutely sprints off. Highmore is a AHL tweeter guy, and Ferland is LTIR space. Kerfoot has extremely more value than this and even if you don’t like the player, you take that deal and flip Kerfoot for his actual value. Not taking a deal like this would not only get you fired but it’d get you run outta the league.

The Calgary deal: I understand the cap issues surround the deal, those can be figured out with other moves. But come on, the actual deal. Nylander is better than Mangipane (don’t deny it, he is). Nylander showed how completely dominant offensively he can be. &amp; with Gaudreau likely leaving Calgary Nylander would be the perfect replacement for him. &amp; then Sandin is thrown in as well? That’s a steal of a deal. Again, I get the cap constraints but when you’re getting that much more value you take the deal and make the cap work. It’s not hard to move money around in the league, just call Arizona.
Forum: Armchair-GMMay 14, 2022 at 4:39 p.m.
Thread: What we could get if we moved up in the draft using Tampas 2nd
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>sensonfire</b></div><div>Each draft pick becomes less valuable the farther down you go in the draft.

Once you get past the second round, the odds that a draft pick plays in the NHL become rather slim.

This article from dobber prospects explains how that is true:

https://dobberprospects.com/2020/05/16/nhl-draft-pick-probabilities/



Also, teams seem to be all over the place on placing a value on each pick and then trading them on Day 2 of the draft.

That's why I made rough estimates.

I explicitly said so in the description.



If you think my values are "horrendous", then tell me what would your values be.

When you try and fail to explain yourself, I hope your feelings don't get hurt :sarcasm</div></div>

I’m not disagreeing with the fact that picks becomes less valuable the further down the board - obviously that’s true.

But when you say the 49th overall pick you think it’s valued at a 2nd and a 4th but the 48th is valued at a 2nd and a 3rd, the difference in 1 SPOT isn’t that big. It would still be the same price for both picks, which is likely a 2nd and a 3rd.

That’s what’s horrendous. &amp; if that hurts your feelings sorry but the truth hurts. That’s awful.

Edit: you’re essentially saying that the 48th pick is worth the 57th and the 87th pick, but the 49th spot which is virtually the same value is worth that same 57th pick and instead of the 87th you drop down 16 spots (which is half the round) - that’s absolutely insane.
Forum: Armchair-GMMay 14, 2022 at 3:33 p.m.
Thread: Next level
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Jacketsman61</b></div><div>Foudy is a victim of Covid. He played his first few games for CBJ in the Bubble in 2020. He just hasn’t gotten enough games or the real chance to get ice time bc of CBJ having too many forwards on the roster and most of which could not be sent down without clearing waivers. Foudy is still very much a prospect. As far as the Leafs are concerned, they likely won’t get a impact defenseman for a winger. The Jackets could do Boqvist for Nylander and maybe a 2nd but that would be about it. Cap space is gold in the NHL. Nylander has great numbers but is unproven being away from such players as Matthews, Taveras, and Marner. I could see a conditional pick based on stats to help even but..,</div></div>

Leafs walk away from the kind of offer too. Hey absolutely can get an impactful top 4 right handed defenceman for Nylander. No question about it. You can’t offer that or won’t offer that, they’ll find someone that will.

Nylander isn’t being forced out. They don’t have to move him &amp; wouldn’t move him for weak offers like this.