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dannibalcorpse

we miss leo k
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Feb. 24, 2018
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Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 15 at 12:38 p.m.
Thread: I have no idea what Im doing lol
-I think the retention is just too heavy here. I get that it doesn't make sense for the Kings to take Binnington at $6M; but I also think they could find a goalie of similar caliber for less of a package. Maybe you call up Vegas and see if they'd be willing to clear Adin Hill's $4.9M now that Logan Thomson looks capable of being a #1 on a sub-$800K deal. Maybe you talk to Barry Trotz and see what you'd have to add to this to get Juuse Saros. Maybe you just keep Cam Talbot (2.46 GAA/.915 SV%) and offer him the $3M you'd be paying Binnington here. Whichever way you go, I think there are much simpler and/or cheaper options for the Kings to pursue - paying for that much retention just doesn't make sense to me.

-I could see the Panthers doing this but I also think they have more pressing needs - this summer they've got just over $20M in space with 7 F / 5 D / 2 G signed. D-wise, they've got a top pair (Ekblad/Forsling), a #4/5 type (Mikkola), and a pair of #6/7 types (Balinskis/Bjornfot.) I think they probably focus on the forward group first and settle for a top-heavy D corps if they run out of space - I also think 3 years of $3.25M is a ton of money to eat for a mere 2nd round pick on the Blues side of the equation.

-I am super intrigued by this deal, honestly. Ballparking the draft pick value basically has Vancouver giving up the equivalent of a mid/late 2nd round pick, in addition to Podkolzin (change of scenery needed) and Wallinder and they upgrade Mikheyev into Buchnevich with 50% retention. Canucks turn a 30 point middle-6er into a 65-70 point top line winger while saving $1.875M in 2024-25; St. Louis gets a little extra draft capital and a good prospect in return.

Really depends on where Vancouver thinks they are. If they think their window is right now, I make the move - you're giving up on a guy who could be a big deal but is still 2-3 years away from being in the NHL. Buch is still young enough that you could give him a JT Miller extension and get good value out of it; I honestly think it's a worthwhile gamble. I think it's a pretty solid deal for both sides.
Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 15 at 12:10 p.m.
Thread: 75 goal differential offseason
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>jonh514</b></div><div>Not opposed to higher AAV shorter term deals! Yours was the fist positive comment in 2 pages. Thanks!</div></div>

I mean, it makes sense. If you can dump Anderson and bring guys like Armia &amp; Gallagher out of the top 6 and into more appropriate roles based on their production, I think you have something here.

I don't know if this team is good enough to swing the goal differential by 75 goals, but barring any other moves the Habs 2nd through 4th lines next year probably look like:

Gallagher - Newhook - Dach
Armia - Evans - Anderson
RHP - Dvorak - Pezzetta

To me, you've got Brendan Gallagher in over his head on that 2nd line, and then you've got two checking lines behind that. Adding Stephenson &amp; Monahan while subtracting Anderson really shifts that middle 6 towards being more productive - and seeing as how you've still got nearly $12M in cap space with this team now, I think bumping up their combined AAVs around $3M is worth it. Like you said - there's no one in Laval really pushing to be in the lineup next year. The best scoring U25 players on the Rocket are Xavier Simoneau (5'7" center who somehow has 111 PiMs despite only fighting once this year) and Sean Farrell (5'9" winger who looked out of his depth at the NHL level last year and probably needs another year of seasoning at this point.) You're not holding anyone back by giving those top-6 spots to productive veterans.
Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 15 at 11:31 a.m.
Thread: 2024-25 - Isles - 5mil for a LW-UFA - Increase estimate 87mil
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Earth2Fire</b></div><div>Is there a rule explicitly stopping it? From what I understand 20 is the minimum. Eventually injuries will create enough cap space for another 2 players.</div></div>

There's no rule against it, but it becomes an issue when you have someone who has a nagging injury that needs a night or two off - perfect example right now is Noah Dobson. You *could* put him on LTIR and free up the cap space to call someone up, but LTIR specifically states that a player must be out for 10 game or 24 days, whichever comes first. So you either have 8 extra games of Grant Hutton playing every night, or you find the way to have a couple of healthy scratches that you can rotate in and out of the lineup as necessary.
Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 15 at 10:20 a.m.
Thread: Canesnot Necas
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Billy316</b></div><div>Not that i agree with Value
Plus Romanov in many regards has declined since leaving MTL in most regards with exception to 8-9 points a season more</div></div>

Legitimately curious what you are basing that on. First - 8-9 points per season might not be a lot for a top-6 forward, but Romanov has gone from scoring 0.14 pts/game with Montreal to 0.28 with the Isles - literally doubling his scoring output. That's a pretty significant step towards being an all-around top-4 guy.

The team's 5v5 numbers with him have been excellent too - his two seasons with the Isles, New York's outscored the opposition 117-96 (the Habs were outscored 99-88 during his tenure in the same 5v5 situations.) He's committing less penalties, he's had less giveaways, and he's blocking shots at basically the same rate. I just don't know how you can look at what he's done the past 2 years in New York and argue that he's declined compared to his time in Montreal.
Forum: Armchair-GMMar. 21 at 5:32 p.m.
Thread: Next year
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Tjm220</b></div><div>About the same as Casey Mittelstadt’s value was when he was 23 years old.</div></div>

Mittelstadt was much more advanced at this point in his career than Krebs currently is.

Mittlestadt through age-23 season: 195 GP, 33 G - 47 A - 80 PTS, 14:25 TOI. Averages out to about 34 pts/82 GP.
Krebs through age-23 season: 203 GP, 19 G - 44 A - 63 PTS, 13:35 TOI. Averages out to about 25 pts/82 GP.

And if you want to point out that Krebs has been saddled with less offensive linemates, you have to then also acknowledge that early in Mittlestadt's career some of his most common linemates were the likes of Rasmus Asplund, Conor Sheary, Jimmy Vesey, and pre-breakout Tage Thompson.

I don't think Krebs is a bum, but at this point his value seems to lie more in hoping a change of scenery helps him than in his former draft pedigree.
Forum: Armchair-GMMar. 21 at 5:06 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMMar. 11 at 10:24 p.m.
Thread: Idea but not happening
-I don't the Kings bite - they already have Mike Anderson and Vlad Gavrikov signed next season at a combined $10M, not to mention Drew Doughty hanging around with an $11M AAV. Not saying Hedman isn't worth it, just saying that I would think the Kings are more interested in shoring up the goaltending situation and extending Quinton Byfield and they could use the assets and cap space to address those issues.

-I could see the Isles making this type of move, especially if they wind up trading JG Pageau. Move Cizikas up to 3C/PK1 and use Glendening as 4C/PK2 and win every faceoff ever.

-Keep the pick, wait a week. Only team that Hanifin can sign an 8 year deal with now is Vegas - you have to be on the roster at the deadline to be eligible for that, so trading for rights won't really do anything here.

-I like Andersson, but not this much - this is two 1sts, a solid &amp; cheap bottom pair player, and one of your best remaining prospects for two years of a solid 3/4 type. I think you could aim higher with this package but also think it's a moot point because I don't think you get the picks from LA.

-I'd defer to Avs fans here, but I think there needs to be just a little more here. LOC is a solid third liner on an affordable deal, and Colorado is cap strapped too - they're gonna need value to pry him out.
Forum: Armchair-GMMar. 11 at 8:00 p.m.
Thread: Tkachuk-Style Trade To Upgrade Top Six
The big issue to me is that if you're looking for a Tkachuk-style trade, CBJ has to be sending back a Huberdeau &amp; a Weegar and I don't know if that's on this roster currently. I can see a Laine or Gaudreau being the Huberdeau, but the closest to Weegar I can see is Provorov - and considering Provorov is already collecting $6.75M per year on his deal, I don't think you're going to be able to extend him to the type of contract Weegar agreed to.

I think you can immediately rule out Barzal &amp; Bratt, though - I can't see two GMs making this type of trade intra-divisionally. I also think that Necas/Konecny/Batherson, while very good, are not quite on the level that Tkachuk was at the time of the deal.

Keller is the most interesting option to me - the Coyotes are losing more than $13M in dead contract IR this summer (Bryan Little/Jakub Voracek), and while there are always dead contracts to acquire, I think bringing in Gaudreau &amp; Provorov for Keller would be an interesting move. I think the issue is that NTCs start rearing their ugly heads when you talk about sending someone to the Mullett.