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dannibalcorpse
we miss leo k
Member Since
Feb. 24, 2018
Favourite Team
New York Islanders
Forum Posts
2666
Posts per Day
1.6
POSTS
THREADS
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ARMCHAIR-GM TEAMS
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 1 at 2:45 p.m.
Thread:
Chychrun Kadri In - Bailey JGP out
Not a big fan of essentially trading JGP's age-29 through -32 seasons at $5M AAV for Kadri's age-32 through -37 seasons at $2M more. Kadri's not even that much of an upgrade over Brock's production to make that move - Brock's scored about 25 goals/82 GP for his entire career while Kadri's only exceeded 20 goals 4 times in his 10 full seasons.
Also not a big fan of moving that many assets for a guy with one good season like Chychurn.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 1 at 2:09 p.m.
Thread:
Delusional Habs Fan
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Lenny7</b></div><div>If you've got around $13 mil in cap space, what's the point of paying to dump players, or, alternatively, underpaying someone like Huberdeau?</div></div>
Agreed on this take - even if you have Price's contract on the books, you can still afford Armia to be your 13th forward for one season (2024-25 would be his walk year). I'd also argue that Dvorak and Anderson have some value (especially Dvorak in this hypothetical - he'd be in his walk year as well). Gallagher? Good luck moving him. But he's the only guy of the 4 I'd say you *need* to attach an asset to in order to get him off your cap.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 1 at 2:04 p.m.
Thread:
Lou has awaken
-Palmieri has a full NTC and I can't imagine him waiving to move 3,000 miles away when he's literally playing for his hometown team, and just had a kid on the Island.
-Both sides say no. If Colorado is moving Girard, they're doing it to create cap space - and this trade at best is cap-neutral for them. 3C isn't really a need for them either so Pageau isn't a guy I see them targeting. On the Islanders side, it's too much to pay for Girard - he's a fine player, but giving up your best defensive center and a 2nd rounder is more than I'd want to spend to turn Romanov-Salo at LD2-3 into Girard-Romanov.
-Sharks don't have the cap space to go from Reimer ($2.25M) to Varlamov ($5M), and that's before you get to the idea that they most likely want to move one of their 3 goalies without getting another back. Even beyond the cap and roster logistics issues, pretty much every move San Jose has made this summer screams "we don't plan on contending this year" and teams in that position typically don't sacrifice picks to make small upgrades in goal.
Lastly, I can't picture Kadri signing for $7M AAV and playing 3C. If they're paying him that much, they're going to find a way to mess up their top 6 by playing Barzal or Nelson on the wing with Nazem Kadri's Decline Years at 1C/2C.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 31 at 10:50 p.m.
Thread:
The JT Trade That Helps Both Teams
It's just too much for Jersey give up on a rental player. I don't think they're in "one player away" territory yet so it would make more sense to focus those assets on other moves instead of getting a guy who helps them -maybe- sneak in as the 8th seed.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 30 at 9:40 a.m.
Thread:
a new era
Isles easily pass on that one. Korpisalo isn't really an asset I would be super interested in - he's had a SV% over .900 -once- in the past 5 seasons. I'd rather roll the dice with Ken Appleby or Jakub Skarek as the backup than treat him as a positive asset in this trade. Blankenberg is an undrafted guy who might have some potential, but to me it's hard to call him a strong prospect until I see him produce outside of that insanely good Michigan team this year. Chinhakov looks like he might turn into a decent player, but he's always going to have less value than Raty for the simple reason that he's a winger and Raty's a center. I just don't think there's enough here for the Isles to retain $2.5M on their backup goalie *and* trade their best prospect.
As far as the Devils trade, the pendulum swings wayyy back the other way in this being an insane overpayment by the Jackets. I understand you need to move the cap to run a 23 man roster, but I think you can find it somewhere else that doesn't involve trading such an integral part of the team as Jenner.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 29 at 10:34 p.m.
Thread:
Getting Some BC Boys Back
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Ottawa67s</b></div><div>This is a ridiculous amount of delusional comments in one place. I’m amazed at what I started</div></div>
Islanders fans tend to get a bit territorial around their star forwards' hometown teams talking about "bringing him home", it was this whole thing a few years ago, not worth going over again.
Personally, I don't hate the value in this deal but I don't like the idea of trading out a legitimate 1C without getting something that fills a need in return. Garland is good but he's not a top line guy - he's a solid 2nd line play driver with a commensurate cap hit at this point. Podkolzin and Lekkerimaki look like very strong prospects (Podkolzin looked good this year) but again: two more wingers. There's no one on the Islanders ready to step up and take over Barzal's 1C spot in 23-24 unless Raty takes a huge leap, so this is basically adding a ton of middle-6 wingers (a couple with top 6 potential) and turning the Islanders into a team with no top line, three 2nd lines, and presumably Matt Martin, Casey Cizikas, and Cal Clutterbuck on the 4th line until the heat death of the universe. Not exactly the roster I'd want to have after moving out my bonafide 1C.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 29 at 10:23 p.m.
Thread:
Who says no
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Billy739</b></div><div>Im trying to drive step 1/2 in to his skull given how very different Jarvis and Caufields last 12-13 months has been
Then we go back to him coming into a dead team sparking a top line and finishing top 3 team scoring in a SCF
When people dont listen you have to drive the point home over and over
I keep seeing these people overvaluing complete trash while trying to give away legit talent on this site.
Trying to tell me Jarvis = Caufield will provoke a rebate 10/10 just like me saying Suzuki = Matthews would and should</div></div>
From pure production standpoint: Caufield has 48 points in 77 regular season GP at this point in his career. Jarvis had 40 points in 67 GP this season. In a vacuum, I'd pick Caufield over Jarvis too, but the value is a lot closer between those two guys than between Suzuki & Matthews. I think it comes down to personal preference in playstyle - Jarvis is a playmaker, Caufield is a finisher. But if I woke up tomorrow and saw there was a trade package based around Caufield for Jarvis, I wouldn't look at it as "oh man one side got FLEECED".
But, I think it was said elsewhere in this thread, no GM in their right mind would make this trade to begin with. Trading 1st round picks after each of them has basically a rookie season's worth of games under their belt is tying your entire career's fortune to that guy you're trading for - if he becomes a star, you're a genius! But if the guy you traded away becomes a better player? Hooo boy, pack your bags buddy, you're outta here.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 29 at 10:18 p.m.
Thread:
Getting Some BC Boys Back
wow this went off the rails pretty fast in an hour
personally i would only accept this deal if jason Dickinson and Tucker Poolman get thrown in
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 29 at 10:06 p.m.
Thread:
Who says no
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Billy739</b></div><div>
But we remember 22 goals 35 points in 37 games finishing with a Hat Trick to end the year
While you suggest that means nothing while explains why 30 games define him as having no value or extremely less.
Its an argument that contradicts itself </div></div>
some might say that continually spouting "35 points in 37 games" while ignoring his first 30 games is doing the exact same thing that you're accusing others of doing here, just in reverse.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 29 at 8:33 p.m.
Thread:
Who says no
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Billy739</b></div><div>I straight up wouldnt trade Pitlick for Jarvis let alone Caufield
Jarvis maybe good , just not good enough</div></div>
we're talking about *REM* Pitlick here right?
the same Rem Pitlick who scored 15 goals on a 23.1% shooting percentage last season?
the same Rem Pitlick who was available on waivers in the middle of last season so you got him for nothing?
slow down buddy
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 29 at 8:28 p.m.
Thread:
Possible Kadri Addition
the mike reilly market in SHAMBLES, a 4th???
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 29 at 8:23 p.m.
Thread:
Justin Holl clears waivers at the start of the season
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>JaredOfLondon</b></div><div>that's just it though. Holl may be unsexy as you say, but he certainly isnt over paid or best suited to the bottom pair. He's a middle as middle can be defender that is pretty much what every team but half a dozen max have on their 2nd pair. He isnt spectacular at anything but he's solid defensively, can put up points if used as such and reasonably versatile. He got all the blame when Muzzin was hurt and recovering for being the bad one on the pair despite putting up the better numbers.
The funniest thing is that if he threw a big body check or crosschecked guys more (and took more penalties) everyone who hates him would think he was amazing without him changing any other aspect of his game</div></div>
I think I leaned third pair for him because he reminds me a lot of Scott Mayfield on the Isles - both bigger dudes (6'4", 211 for Holl and 6'5", 220 for Mayfield) that are somewhat physical (each gets credit for about 1-1.5 hits per game) but not a crazy Kronwall-type hitter. Mayfield is another guy who's probably better than half the league's RD2s but is RD3 on the Isles behind Pulock & Dobson - but that's the kind of depth a contender is going to *want*. If you can have a second pair guy on the third pair because you're top 4 is that good? You've got playoff aspirations, baby, and someone's gonna give up an okay asset for Holl because of that.
The only thing I think that can depress his value is if GMs really start smelling blood in the water over the Leafs' cap situation - that's why Kerfoot probably gets moved (they're $1.5M over right now, trading Kerfoot clears $3.5M with 13 forwards signed, then sign Sandin for under $2M and call it a day) (maybe find a better minimum contract guy than Kyle Clifford or Joey Anderson tho)
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 29 at 8:16 p.m.
Thread:
Trade Deadline more like Tank Deadline
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Canesfan21_</b></div><div>Keep Bonino, take Gardiner and we’ll take some future considerations</div></div>
Honestly, if the Canes are going Aho-Staal-Necas at the dot, I don't hate the idea of Bonino at the 4C for them. He's still somewhat productive (basically 25-35 points each of the last 7 seasons as a bottom-6 type of guy) and is strong defensively, plus he's a pending UFA. He's 100% the type of guy I'd try and target at the deadline with retention, plus he's got that thing we know all GMs love when they're gearing up for a playoff run - 2 rings.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 29 at 8:11 p.m.
Thread:
Monahan
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Xqb15a</b></div><div>33pts as a rookie playing on the 3rd line. It wouldn’t be unrealistic to expect a jump just from year 1 to 2. Throw in playing with high end wingers like Landeskog and Lehkonen and regular PP2 minutes it’s not that big of a leap to think he scores 50pts, and I mean 50pts is 50pts but 50pts on an elc is special. And think about it this way Newhook at last years rate scores ONE more point every five games that’s 50. Personally I think he has 70pt potential but that’s just me.</div></div>
If I'm an Avs fan, I don't *hate* the idea of getting a veteran (like a healthy Sean Monahan) as a backup plan for 2C in case Newhook needs a little more sheltering while he develops.
I also honestly don't know enough about the depth chart there - would Compher and Helm be 3C and 4C if Newhook slid up to 2C? Because I'm not the hugest fan of that bottom 6 if that's the case.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 29 at 8:07 p.m.
Thread:
Justin Holl clears waivers at the start of the season
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>JaredOfLondon</b></div><div>amazing how every other teams decent 2nd pairing RHD are worth their weight in gold, yet Holl is waiver fodder. Hilarious.</div></div>
Holl gets dinged a lot because he's literally the un-sexiest asset I could imagine in the league - a guy best suited for the bottom pair, probably paid a little bit too much at $2M, on the wrong side of 30, just nothing really attractive about him. I think some of his undervaluing comes from the fact that every Maple Leafs ACGM has him going out the door ("if he's so great why are you always trying to move him?"), but to act like he's a cap dump at $2M is just silly. He's fine. He's worth a 4th rounder for a team that wants to have a more reliable RD3.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 29 at 8:01 p.m.
Thread:
Trading for Girard A Re-Tool
If Mike Hoffman is a cap dump, why are the Islanders sending back a 3rd for him? Typically a player you call a "cap dump" is someone you'd attach an asset to in order to get their contract off your cap.
Isles aren't going to give up a 3rd for 2x$4.5M of Mike Hoffman. I don't think any team in the league would currently give up any sort of positive asset for him - you could easily sign a guy like Sonny Milano or Evan Rodrigues to give you the same production Hoffman gives you, likely at a lower cap hit, and without having to take on a soon-to-be 33 year old goalscorer who forgot how to score goals.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 29 at 7:51 p.m.
Thread:
leafs
Gaudreau gives you, like, 85% of what Kerfoot gives you at 1/3 the cost. I can't see the Wild doing you the favor of taking on the extra $2.3M in cap without Toronto adding something to make it worth their while.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 29 at 4:40 p.m.
Thread:
All-In
Chicago deal doesn't make any sense. They're obviously tearing it completely down to the studs before they rebuild, so if they're moving Kane & Murphy, why wouldn't they focus on picks and prospects coming back instead of a pair of pending UFAs and a guy in Nylander who most likely leaves after next season for nothing?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 29 at 3:44 p.m.
Thread:
Cap space
Jason Robertson scored 41 goals last year and was even pretty good the year before (27 goal pace in 51 GP). And you're sending Dallas a 6th round pick from last year's draft who put up big numbers as a 19 year old in Russia's junior leagues, a B tier at best prospect in Tverberg, a player you *need* to trade to field this lineup, and a conditional 2nd.
Then you're underpaying him on his RFA deal.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 29 at 3:34 p.m.
Thread:
Gonna be good real soon
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Shibbal18</b></div><div>360 minutes with 4th liners 230 minutes with dylan cozens even strength any combination of the 3rd guy, so you are incorrect</div></div>
16:47 TOI every night is not a 4th liner my dude, i don't know why this is something you're digging your heels in so strongly on. i don't care if he spent half his ES time with Jeremy Bracco, he's still being deployed like a top 6 player when he's getting nearly 2 minutes of PP time every night and 1:24 on the PK to boot.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 29 at 1:47 p.m.
Thread:
Stanley time
IT'S COMIN HOME
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 29 at 1:16 p.m.
Thread:
Gonna be good real soon
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Shibbal18</b></div><div>Yeah, he played the majority of his shifts with Girgensons and Eakin. He was a really good 4th liner</div></div>
He spent more ES time skating with Dylan Cozens than he did with Eakin or Girgensons, and absolutely lapped both of those guys in PP time. He averaged nearly 18 minutes a night for Buffalo last year, making him clearly part of their top 6 forwards, regardless of how his linemates may have shuffled throughout the year. Just an absolutely weird hill to die on.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 29 at 1:10 p.m.
Thread:
JT Miller
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>pmbrouillard</b></div><div>I want to know why you set up the trades as you did? forgot to put miller the first time?</div></div>
It's set up like a "Future Considerations" trade that immediately pays off with JT Miller being the FC
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 29 at 1:08 p.m.
Thread:
Motte and Mikkola trade
I think the Isles are going to be content running out Robin Salo as LD3 but if they don't like what they see I could see this being a September trade.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 29 at 12:18 p.m.
Thread:
Simple
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Db1899</b></div><div>lol when you have Mitch Korn it allows you take a risk with the backup goaltender position to improve in other areas</div></div>
Right there with you. It's why I'm happy they kept Ken Appleby - he put up solid numbers between Worcester and Bridgeport and is at that age when journeymen goalie sometimes put it together. If Lou wanted to move Varly at any point, I'd actually be fine with Appleby coming up and getting a shot at the backup role - in my eyes, you hope that Sorokin starts close to 60 games so his backup is someone you can take a chance with.
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