SalarySwishSalarySwish
Avatar

dgibb10

I Love J Boqvist
Member Since
Jan. 16, 2023
Favourite Team
New Jersey Devils
Forum Posts
11851
Posts per Day
25.5
Forum: Armchair-GM5 hours ago
Thread: Zegras
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>NHLfan10506</b></div><div>Here you go again fella guess you want to panic and sell both Hughes brothers for some grit again but we will never score again good idea but it’s not to sell Bratt for more toughness and don’t even mention the coach why do you live Travis Green so much guess you love him you knows have other options why are you panicking and desperate to get Blackwood back he is toast we can find better goalies guess you love watching devils getting scored on</div></div>

He doesn’t even want grit. You had an ACGM bringing in McNabb, Howden, and Colton and he still complained about not enough grit.

He wants goons, scrubs.

More Bahl, Macdermid, and Brendan Smith. Just 1 more scrub who can’t play hockey is all we need
Forum: Armchair-GMYesterday at 11:56 p.m.
Thread: The best team possible - does not mean realistic or likely
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Celtics21</b></div><div>So that dismisses it?

He also followed it up by having better numbers this year than all but one of Schneider’s years throughout his career for whatever that means</div></div>
10-11: 8th in GSAx (0.789 GSAx/60 1st)
11-12: 6th in GSAx (0.547 GSAx/60 2nd behind Henrik)
12-13: 9th in GSAx (0.29 GSAx/60 7th)

Overall: 43.11 total, 4th in total GSAx, 0.524 GSAx/60 (2nd)

The rankings in GSAx over that time (minimum 45 games):

Henrik: 0.562
Schneider:0.524
Dubnyk: 0.380
Ward: 0.310
Luongo: 0.217
Rask: 0.214
Halak: 0.205

No other goalie was above 0.200


Swayman over the last 3 years is at

39.47 GSAx (9th), 0.340 GSAx/60 (7th if you don't count Stolarz, Varlamov, or Ingram)

Over the last 2 years he is 6th in total GSAx with 43.78, 1 spot ahead of Samuel Montembault.
And 3rd in GSAx/60.

In that time frame (minimum 45 games and this is a HARDER minimum to reach considering it's 2 years instead of 3):

Ullmark: 0.680
Stolarz: 0.617
Helle: 0.596
Swayman: 0.5737
Sorokin: 0.519
Varlamov: 0.453
Montembault: 0.443
Saros: 0.428
Rittich: 0.418
Shesty: 0.401
Andersen: 0.381
Ingram: 0.364
Skinner: 0.301
Daccord: 0.300
Markstrom: 0.293
Demko: 0.286
Pyotr: 0.286
Adin Hill: 0.266
Vasy: 0.227
Gustafsson: 0.211
Oetter: 0.206
Binnington: 0.205

So Swayman has a 0.574 in a time frame where 21 other goalies are above 0.200. Luongo was 5th over that time frame, he'd rank 20th in this time frame
Schneider has his 0.524 in a time frame where 6 other goalies are above 0.200
Forum: Armchair-GMYesterday at 10:55 p.m.
Thread: The best team possible - does not mean realistic or likely
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Celtics21</b></div><div>Filter by 30 starts. Showing people without scale seems like a reach. There are some anomaly years on there, but overall the leaders above .300

2024 - 6 leader at .557
2021 - 5 leader at .500
2018 - 9 leader at .695
2015 - 8 leader at .501
2012 - 5 leader at .557
2008 - 5 leader at 471

Leaders
Brian Elliot -.711 (2016)
Tim Thomas - .706 (2011)
Anti Rantaa -.695 (2018j
Igor Shesterkin -.666 (2022)
Kari Lehronen - .607 (2013)
Phillip Grubauer -.601 (2018)

Last year was a complete anomaly and then it returned to zero this year

Linus Ullmark - .883
Juuse Saros - .735
Jeremy Swayman -.715
Ilya Sorokin - .647
Filip Gustavsson - .628</div></div>

So what you're saying is Swayman has his numbers driven by a large anomaly season where almost as many goalies hit 0.600 GSAx/60 than the previous decade combined?
Forum: Armchair-GMYesterday at 9:59 p.m.
Thread: The best team possible - does not mean realistic or likely
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>tupty</b></div><div>This is correct. I think a late round first or an early 2nd rounder + 3rd rounder is probably the appropriate range, given his play of late, the likely demand for G in the offseason, and the lack of quality UFA G this offseason.



Situationally, it doesn't make sense for the Bruins to give up Swayman for a single pick likely near #10. You can argue about fair value and comps until you are blue in the face, you can present all of the numbers, and I won't try to counter them because that stuff doesn't matter. Many of you who follow the NJD-BOS threads already know my song-and-dance routine on this topic, so I'll spare you all this time.</div></div>

I 100% agree that Swayman shouldn't be moved for 10th overall. I have consistently said I'd add to either 10th overall or Mercer for Swayman. Goalie market has changed. But Schneider was imo better than Swayman is now.
Forum: Armchair-GMYesterday at 5:50 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMYesterday at 5:07 p.m.
Thread: One more try with Ovi
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>MyTeamsSuck</b></div><div>I’d rather have Yegor. I think he still has more in him, especially if he’s playing on his proper wing with Zary and a better Huberdeau. Plus if the PP actually gets going, he’ll have a field day on there too. I could see 40+ goals in the future</div></div>

Do you really see that in Yegor?

He had a great year shooting and got PP time for once, but of his 4 years here's how this year ranks:

At even strength individual metrics:
shots/60: worst
shot attempts/60: worst
xgoals/60: worst
points/60: 3rd worst
goals/60: 1st (again driven by shooting heater)

On ice metrics:
goals%: worst
shots%: 2nd
corsi: worst
fenwick: 2nd
xGoals%: worst

and that's despite getting the most offensive zone starts of his career.

He shot 17.3%, but his overall game did not get better. At age 25 he'd either have to get to even more ridiculous shooting rates, or vastly improve his underlyings to reach 40