Sep 10, 2019
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<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>I_Know_Nothing_About_Hockey_Or_Any_Sport2</b></div><div>Unless something has been confirmed about the cap next year and I missed it, I would say that's a very low estimate. If the cap goes up by $1m more than you're projecting, and we don't do whatever that horrid Montreal trade is, then we have almost $5m to sign Sergachev, which we would almost definitely do. Cernak probably gets more than that, but honestly, just don't keep an extra defenseman on the roster and give that salary to Cernak and that's probably enough. The Cirelli deal also isn't that great for us. He brings defensive responsibility to the team beyond anything else, and that's what pays least in the League. Long-term, $4.75 is an underpayment, but for a bridge, it's probably a bit more than what the organization is hoping.
The difficult part of this is that the Lightning want to keep Killorn too given the season he's having. And I'm sure they want to get rid of Gourde, Johnson, or Palat (and probably mainly Gourde if he never scores again) instead. But if we have to move Killorn, we'd get a decent return and we'd more than likely be able to re-sign everyone else (other than Shattenkirk).</div></div>
Lebrun in December mentioned between $82.5M and $83.5M, either way, its a very slight increase. I do think Cirelli and Sergachev would be prime offer-sheet candidates because of how tight-strapped Tampa is. No way they want to move Killorn but he is the only guy without a full NTC, and I doubt anyone would want to waive it. Can see how MTL deal is an underpayment, and that's why I suggested add more, they still get similar role players with less cap hit but an obvious less skill and upside. Cirelli contract will be a different one to gauge, just because of how much he's progressed in the last 5 years of his career many think he could turn into an absolute stud. Because of this, I don't think he'll want to sign long term, so a $4-5M 2-3 year bridge seems appropriate.