gretzkyghosts

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Apr 19, 2018
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Edmonton Oilers
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Montreal Canadiens
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Jan 1, 2001
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Forum: Armchair-GM23 hours ago
Forum: Armchair-GMNov 25 at 6:06
Forum: Armchair-GMNov 25 at 3:16
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>SalamiCheese</b></div><div>Joki should not be scratched under any condition, the longer Botterill pulls with trade RHD, the worse.</div></div>
There is time left in the season. This team has a lot to fill before they will be a playoff team. The defense is good enough now, but other than 9, 23, 53 and 90 who are the forwards? As I noted earlier the PK forgot how to KP and too many people standing around and not enough talent for the PP to be successful. IMO 90 points would be the most any reasonable person should have expected from this team.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>ashleyschaeffer</b></div><div>i think this is all part of botterill and kruger's plan to showcase bogosian, risto, mccabe and scandella to see if he can get usable assets for them. i think he had a talk with miller that said look, it's been a little bit of a rough start but i traded for you with term on your contract for a reason and that reason is you're going to be around with montour and jokiharju as the RHD of the future here. i need to play these guys to get something for them that can help us in the long term. plus, the extra bodies don't hurt for this brutal stretch of a lot games in a short time frame. if botterill collects assets for these guys that aren't part of the long term plan, he can make a better trade in the offseason (i don't think we'll shop hard at the deadline). or, i may be giving them too much credit.</div></div>

I never thought this was a playoff team. I looked back at one of my preseason guesses and figured this team would finish 12th or 13th in the east. In October they has a lot of "puck luck" winning games in which they were outplayed. In November the luck changed and they lost a lot games that I thought they should have won. I hope last night is the beginning of getting some of the good puck luck going their way.
I know many people point to the O'Reilly trade as "the worse trade in Sabre history", but when did he ever help the Sabers to win? The Beaulieu experiment did not work for Buffalo and the Vesey deal looks like a stinker right now as well, but what other trade did not work out? Jokiharju, Miller and Montour for a late 1st, late 2nd and Nylander, OMW, does Botterill have nude photos of Bowman, McCrimmon and Murray? That is just about what I would have thought Montour would cost.
Who would be playing forward if Jason did not sign Lazar and Dea?
I hope the press does not eat him as as they did Scotty Bowman. But if you want proof as to his ability to judge talent, look at the Amerks line up. The top 6 scorers are all Botterill's additions. It takes longer to build an NHL team. When there is nothing in the pipe line, no extra picks, the teams captain says he does not want to play in Buffalo any more and the team seems to have developed a losing attitude, I do not know how long it will take to turn the team around.
I know the fans are impatient (as I am as well), but the re-rebuild started the day Dahlin was drafted. The team finished dead last, when the Hockey Writers predicted a playoff spot for Buffalo. When the previous GM trades for players who do not want to play in Buffalo and a GK who he must have known had emotional problems what else could one expect.
Well that is my rant.
Forum: Armchair-GMNov 23 at 11:19
Forum: Armchair-GMNov 21 at 3:13
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>SalamiCheese</b></div><div>Yes, I changed my name a little, but for some reason can’t change the photo, I’am already tired of looking at Bill Murray’s displeased face. :)

Yes, the defenders need more time and often it is individual for each player. Dahlin is still too young and I fully admit that he will have recessions, this is normal, but I have some doubts about the training and the coaching staff. I don’t know how Housley coached him, it seems to me that he didn’t work with him on the defensive game at all, but Housley left, and Steve Smith stayed this year, because he is the defender’s coach, it’s difficult say not being in the team and having little information on training, in general I liked how Dahlin played with Chicago and Minnesota, he looked better than in previous matches, maybe sit in the bench in the game against Ottawa also influenced. Krueger said that they work with Dahlin at every training session on his defense game, I hope these are not empty words, we can get a guy in the future who is poor in defense, but good at attack and can score 80 points per season, but we can to get a guy who is decent in defense and attack, but already 50-60 points, I choose the second option.

Risto is a strange character, but it seems to me that he has improved this season, but not by much, I really don’t like the fact that he plays in tandem with McCabe, they are both similar players and just should not play together, I liked how Risto played in tandem with Pilut, he needs a player who can move the puck and is solid on the defensive, but McCabe just doesn't suit him.

I completely agree, Skinner should play with Jack, they have excellent chemistry, Sam should carry his line, but we need help with the help of trade. Our team is too soft, when it is beaten, it shrinks, we need at least one player with grit, and preferably two, also I have not yet been sold to Olofsson, maybe he should play Bottom 6 in the link with Mitts, or look at him in the link with Reinhart and Johansson, the main thing is away from Jack. Thompson is unfortunately injured now, but I like the energy of Asplund and Lazar, maybe Lazar will take the place of Okposo until the situation with his concussion is clarified, but Asplund I don’t know, Larsson and Johansson will return now and someone will have to sit down in the press box or go to the press Rochester.

In the last lines from the training session, Vesey was in the first link with Jack and Sam, apparently this will be the last attempt to revive Jimmy, maybe he will finally score a goal. Olofsson and Asplund were in a link with Mitts.</div></div>

I completely agree with your evaluation.
The team needs a Kadri. While Larsson, Girgensons and Ristolainen will throw their weight around, it is not enough, they need someone who is actually nasty.
You are correct Ristolainen and Pilut was a great combo.
IMO, Johansson played even better than I thought he would while as you Vesey has been a huge disappointment.
Welcome back my friend, I always enjoyed your sharp analysis.
Forum: Armchair-GMNov 20 at 10:09
Forum: Armchair-GMOct 28 at 12:03
Forum: Armchair-GMOct 26 at 5:00
Forum: Armchair-GMOct 25 at 12:32
Forum: Armchair-GMOct 25 at 11:10
Forum: Armchair-GMOct 23 at 10:45
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Shibbal18</b></div><div>Rodrigues has not been good, and i really wouldnt worry about cutting the cap with moving out Larsson and Girgensons. Ive never been a huge fan of those 2, but results so far, i dont want to mess with that, that would be a line to rely on to win games at the end of the year. I think we need Sobotka to get hurt long term to replace him. Scandella is as good as gone, Id think before January 1. Bogo is gone, and they probably could move out another RHD or Jokiharju sits. Mittelstadt has been alright at 3c not blowing anyone away, i dont see him taking over 2c this year. He really just needs to work on his body though its not a talent thing, he needs to be stronger. If they move out Sheary and brought up Cozens at RW and keep Vesey on the 3rd line, I'd be less hesitant at best. Thompson needs to prove it in the NHL before I can trust him fully, he was always good in the A, but he's rebuilding his confidence so thats a positive. I would still look at an NHLer to upgrade 2RW through trading one of their assests instead.</div></div>

Good answer.
I agree with your comment about Scandella and Bogosian, I just hope we can get a decent return.
I am sorry to say but Larsson and Girgensons have been a little disappointing this year. But you make a good point, they may still be adjusting to a new system.
Rodrigues has been equally unproductive, I never would have thought Sobotka would be in the line up ahead of him.
I think Tage has been good in the AHL only his last 21 games (11 goals, 17 pts in 17 games), his first 46 he only had 20 points. He and Cozens I believe were two of the last cuts, so they were close.
BTW Mittelstadt has been really good this past year. His defensive play is what has me becoming a big fan of his, more than his offensive contributions.
But of course this post is a reach and as I said it is very unlikely that any team would be able (or want) to trade away all of its UFA's.
So thank you for your thoughtful answer.
Forum: Armchair-GMOct 22 at 5:01
<a href="/users/BuFfaLOFaN" target="_blank">@BuFfaLOFaN</a>
<a href="/users/Pharrow" target="_blank">@Pharrow</a>
Well we know this will not happen, I do not know of any team that has ever been able to trade all of their UFA’s at the TDL. That is why I called this my ideal 2020 TDL. trade them all and bring in the kids.
Thompson and Cozens played really well in the preseason tournaments (both were among the last players to be sent down), they are playing really well in their lower leagues right now and IMO they could easily replace Vesey and Sheary.
Furthermore, if we bring in Cozens, Johansson could go back to the wing (or play either Mittelstadt or Cozens at LW).
I thought that Rodrigues would be in the line up over Sobotka, so I put him there now.
Lazar and Asplund appear to be 3rd or 4th line players, so let’s cut the cap and bring in the kids.
Lastly, I really like this team and I like their chances, but if Cozens, Thompson, Pilut, Asplund and Lazar ready, trade what we have for younger players.

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Shibbal18</b></div><div>If theyre going into the playoffs, they arent trading out 6 of their current starters and replacing them with rookies that have little to no NHL experience. The NHL isnt juniors. Its also not the A. Add in the playoffs, those kids will get eaten alive. Botterill wouldnt do that</div></div>
Bogosian and Scandella are easily replaceable with defensemen who are less expensive and better.
Lazar has played in only 5 fewer playoff games than Bogosian, Vesey, Girgensons and Larsson combined, so do not see how keeping them adds anything to the play off story.
I guess Matt Murray and Jake Guentzel really wilted under the playoff pressure as rookies in 2018.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>littlejerryseinfeld</b></div><div>You can only retain on 3 salaries.
Also, no.</div></div>
Yes, you cannot retain more than 3 salaries, I was waiting for some one to point that out.
At the beginning of the season, every one was willing to either buy out Sobotka, Scandella or Bogosian, or add a pick for a team to take them, or hoping they would go to the KHL, now I get a “NO” to the entire post. What a joke, wake up to the real world. If you want to make a comment at least give some reasons.
Forum: Armchair-GMOct 13 at 7:20
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BuFfaLOFaN</b></div><div>I do believe the current roster is good, and could be slightly better than ours now, on offense, but defense and Goalie is worse.iMO. Goaltending for sure...defense is similar, I just think Dahlin at LD is better than the new.additions, Myers does help.</div></div>

I should have included Hutton as he was a free agent and would most likely have been signed in an alternative universe, so at least the GK would be the same.
Not having Dahlin is HUGE. Because of the Salary cap a team can really only afford a Top 10 Center, Defenseman, Goalie and decent role players to be in the playoff hunt. Some teams can afford more but I think in a couple of years Reinhart, Eichel, Skinner and Dahlin will consume about 50% of the cap space leaving little cap space for Olofsson, Montour, Miller, Mittelstadt (on the average they will be asking for $6,000,000 each or about 30% of the cap) and the other 15 players will have to split about $20,000,000 among them. I hate to say it but, the window for Buffalo will start to close in 2 years when the last four players will be looking for big paychecks and Buffalo will need to trim the roster and play younger perhaps less talented players.
On the bright side Dahlin in a few years will be the NHL top defenseman as the current candidates are aging (Burns, Hedman, Weber, Subban, Karlsson etc) and he is better than any of the younger crop (Reilly, Carlson, Heiskanen etc). But I left him off of the team as the team would have to have finished last in 2018, and that may not have happened in my alternative universe. I did not want to have to explain how the Sabres could have a good young team as I posted above and still finish last in 2018. As you can see it was a struggle to explain that Jokiharju, Miller, Montour, Skinner etc would still be on the team.
Forum: Armchair-GMOct 13 at 10:16
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>aedoran</b></div><div>Ok 2018 really? So you weren't rebuilding the 6 seasons you missed the playoffs prior to that?</div></div>
No we were not rebuilding we were giving away prospects and picks for other teams cast offs. The team finished last in 2018 so if that is the consequence of rebuilding, I would rather not tear the team down. Yup the worse rebuild ever up until the end of 2018, then a true rebuild was started.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BuFfaLOFaN</b></div><div>Look at the goalies also, we lost our best.goslie imo, and not having Dahlin is a huuuge loss.</div></div>
Let's look at the GK at the end of this year. Did Lehner ever perform as a championship GK when he was in Buffalo? I thought the year we had Johnson, Nillson and Ullmark as his back up they all had better w/l % than he. What did Lehner do to bring a championship here? I will repeat 81 78 and 62. BTW the year we had 81 pts he only played 21 games. So the best record the Sabres had while he was here, he was not the primary GK.
I know not having Dahlin is huge and 6 #2 D-men will replace him, but were you happy finishing last in 2018. The Hockey Writers Association looked at the improvements Botterill made during the off season and predicted the Sabres would make the playoffs. If the talent is there, but the players are not performing up to the expectations, it time to clean house. Getting Dahlin should have been out of the question and an unexpected bonus for poor on ice results, the team was not predicted to be the worse team in the NHL.
BTW as I stated above if the rebuild is not rushed then the team has a shot at Laine. I know it would never happen but Laine (or Matthews or Dubois or Tkachuk), Zadorov, McNabb, Myers, Cernak, White, Armia, Compher, and Roslovic gives the team talented depth which would make the team very difficult to defend against. That my friend is the talent that was lost by rushing the rebuild.
As a final thought, maybe the team is still bad in 2018 and gets Dahlin anyway. LOL
Forum: Armchair-GMOct 12 at 10:45
I am not making any assumptions about drafting Draisaitl over Reinhart or Sergachev of Nylander, both taken directly after the Buffalo picks. I am adding the players traded away and players taken with the picks traded away. I did not presume that Aho could have been drafted with the 2nd traded when O'Reilly was acquired or any other wild guesses like getting Konecny instead of White or Beauvillier over Roslovic.
All of the players are easily obtainable with the assets that were on hand.
White is projected to be solid #2 center I put him at RW,
Armia has developed into a good PK power forward.
McNabb is always near the top of his team's +/-
Zadorov is always among the league hit leaders.
Cernak is considered one of Tampa's up and coming defensemen.
Myers has always been reliable and other GM's know this as he was given a 5 year contract at $6,000,000/yr.
The team is at least as good the one on the ice now, with more home grown talent.
Let me add, this is a very young team with most players still room to be better.

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Stan_Bowman</b></div><div>you forgot to reverse the Jokiharju trade.</div></div>
I am presuming all the same players being drafted, so Nylander is still available to be traded for Jokiharju! I will give up Jokiharju if you agree that the Sabres probably would have finished last in 2016 as they did in 2014 and 2015 with a shot at Matthews or Laine instead of Nylander.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Nick623</b></div><div>If Armia is your 2nd line RW you are still in a rebuild...</div></div>
Why, Armia is off to a great start 3 goals in 5 games and last year he had 13 goals in only 57 games (nearly 20 goals over 82 games), playing less than 16 minutes a game. BTW are you saying Sobotka is better than Armia?
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>aedoran</b></div><div>When did Buffalo start their rebuild?
How many GMs have they had during their rebuild?
How many coaches have they had during their rebuild?</div></div>
Well this is presuming all of the draft choices made my Murray were the same, as well as the picks made by the teams to which he traded the picks.
But to answer the question, the rebuild started when Dahlin was drafted and all of the garbage was out of the locker room.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Nick623</b></div><div>And the Montour, C Miller, Jeff Skinner etc...</div></div>
Why, Miller and Skinner were picked up for 2nd round picks, and Montour for a first. There is nothing here that is unreasonable, as all of those picks were available.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BuFfaLOFaN</b></div><div>Defiently worse, I would love to undo ROR trade though</div></div>
Why is this team definitely worse? The only loss is Dahlin (I know that is a big reduction), but Compher, Armia, White, and Roslovic are better than Okposo, Sobotka, and Rodrigues. Zadorov, McNabb and Cernak are all quality Defensemen. But the team probably finishes last in 2016 and has a good chance to get either Matthews or Laine instead of rushing the rebuild.
So you want to keep a captain who said he lost his love of the game. Captains are suppose to instill the team with fire in their bellies and hold players accountable, not give up. Let me add 81, 78 and 62 so how did his presence in the line up improve the team? He was traded to a team that missed the playoffs by one pt in '17-'18 and added not only him but Perron, Bozak and Binnington but we are all led to believe that his 50% FO wins during the playoffs is what lead the Blues to the finals and the cup the following year.
Forum: Armchair-GMOct 4 at 7:07
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Hedman77</b></div><div>You don’t base them off one game</div></div>
No we cannot, but it was the first time Buffalo won a regulation game in Pittsburgh in six years, so for Buffalo it was monumental.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BuFfaLOFaN</b></div><div>IK...but that's what makes this different/fun</div></div>
Yup, all for fun. Not to be taken seriously.
BTW how can I do <a href="/users/gretzkyghosts" target="_blank">@gretzkyghosts</a> for another ACGM?
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>MikeyThePensFan</b></div><div>Yesterday was a really strong performance by the Sabres but also an extremely weak performance by the Penguins.</div></div>
Yes, the best game I saw the Sabres play in years. To dominate the Penguins on opening night in Pittsburgh was remarkable.
So here is the question, who will the Sabres jump over to make the playoffs?
Bolts, Bruins, Leafs, Caps, Canes, Devils and Panthers IMO are play off bound.
IMO Wings, Sens, Jackets, Habs and Islanders are all vulnerable.
We need to add 3 more teams to that list, Rangers, Flyers and Penguins?
So while I love the improvements, last night's performance will have to be duplicated at least 50 more times if the team has any chance.
If Buffalo was in the Pacific, I would say the Sabres have a great chance, but in the east 99 pts may not get a team to the play offs.
I posted a team <a href="https://www.capfriendly.com/armchair-gm/team/1463282">https://www.capfriendly.com/armchair-gm/team/1463282</a> with my predictions. I think it demonstrates how difficult it will be to make the play offs.
Forum: Armchair-GMOct 4 at 4:54
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>hanson493</b></div><div>imo hes projected to get 164 goals this year so 20 seems a little low :tearsofjoy :tearsofjoy :tearsofjoy</div></div>
Only if he can play against the Penguins 81 more times. Maybe the GM's could pass him around league so he gets to play against his old team more often.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>MikeyThePensFan</b></div><div>He might injure himself from slipping and falling every time he steps onto the ice.</div></div>

Two years ago there were many posts of him being traded to Buffalo for a 2nd or McCabe. Since my time is limited i only watched Sabre games and he never made a huge impression on me when the Sabres played the PEN's, so I thought those returns were a bit exaggerated. When he finally came Buffalo for a 4th, I still was a little concerned because he only had 30 pts and mused why he did not have more assists playing with Crosby.
Now that I get to watch him every game, I do not remember him falling down every time he stepped on the ice but I am very impressed with his speed, shot, energy and willingness to fight for the puck.
Playing 3rd line minutes with Jimmy and Casey I think he will get between 15 and 20 goals.
Let me add, Vesey and Sheary are playing for contracts and are both UFA (so is Mittelstadt, but he is only an RFA), so we may see career years out of each of them.
That is why I just do not know where the Sabres will finish this year. They are better, but so are the Rangers, Leafs, Devils, and others. But with so many free agents all playing for contracts, it is very difficult to handicap. Last night, half way through the first period, I told my GF that they are playing as a playoff team. Can they do that every night?
But that is a subject for a different post. To reiterate 15 to 20 goals is my best guess.