gretzkyghosts

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Forum: Armchair-GM40 minutes ago
Thread: WWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWW
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>hockeyfan14_</b></div><div></div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>NjDevsfan12</b></div><div>Top 4 d man who is good defensively</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>feds91stammer</b></div><div>Why would Tampa voluntarily get so much worse?</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Smithcd995</b></div><div>Lol he's a devils fan but the point remains</div></div>

Why would BriseBois make this trade? He really does need a RHD, my goodness he is so desperate that he signed Luke Schenn, how much closer to the bottom of the barrow can one go?. Cernak is the only NHL quality one Tampa has, and that is based on a very small sample size. He may turn into nothing next year as well.
I will not try to exaggerate the value of Ristolainen, but I will point out he hits (something the Tampa midgets could have used against the Jackets), he plays 24 minutes a night, he can score and he is at the age that many NHL defensemen suddenly put their game together.
Take out Cernak and I think it is fairly close. TBH, I will be surprised if Botts and BriseBois can make a deal. Look at the players Buffalo has picked up in the last 6 months. All are over 6' tall. At 5'8" Johnson does not seem to fit the mold of the team rebuild.
Any feed back is always appreciated.
Forum: Armchair-GM2 hours ago
Thread: ristolainen
Good feed back. This is not the sort of trade Botts has made. Every other trade was more or less a slam dunk getting players that would add to the the team, this is too much of a shot in the dark with Turris.

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>wojme</b></div><div>Absolutely not</div></div>
While you are correct that this trade would not be enough for Ristolainen, it does give Buffalo a solid #2 center who had a bad year due to injury for a defenseman who had a bad year for other reasons.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Gofnut999</b></div><div>Buffalo declines easily.
Preds want to move Turris to free up cap space for Josi/Granlund. This does not accomplish that.</div></div>
You are most likely correct. I viewed this as a win for both teams. Buffalo gets a #2 center and the Preds get a RHD to replace Subban both players do not seem to fit into the futures of their respective teams..
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Shibbal18</b></div><div>Turris is a cap dump and picks do nothing for Buffalo</div></div>
Yes he is and Ristolainen is extra for Buffalo. Turris should return to his 2nd C status and that would be a good move for Buffalo
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>sabres89</b></div><div>Well, not these picks anyways.</div></div>
I think you are correct.
Forum: Armchair-GMSun at 7:27 pm
Thread: Tyler Johnson
Thanks for you comments.
Two questions if Johnson would agree, does the trade make sense. Tampa needs RHD and Pearson would take Johnson's forward spot
The cap stays the same, Pearson playing in Tampa could easily get 20 or more goals (18 last year and 24 in '16-'17) and Tanev would be a solid top 4 defensemen.
Second, if the trade makes sense but not Johnson, who do you think Tampa would offer in his place?


<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>palhal</b></div><div>Hardly improves Tampa's cap situation. Tampa is worse on the ice. Johnson has a NTC.</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Fleurdelille</b></div><div>3? more years of full NTC.</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>DiehardRedWingsFan58</b></div><div>Tyler Johnson's full NTC says hell no to Vancouver. He's not leaving Tampa for Vancouver i surely wouldn't.</div></div>
Forum: Armchair-GMSat at 8:44 am
Thread: Realistic Point Projections
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Skyraider112</b></div><div>250-275 goals? We aren't Tampa bay. No way we score that much. I was predicting 235 goals and that's hopeful</div></div>

Last year:
Eichel- Reinhart- Skinner- 90
Vesey- Johansson- Okposo- 44
Sheary- Mittelstadt- ERod- 37
Girgensons - Larsson - Thompson 18
Defense 35
Replacements 13
That is 237, IMO Olofsson will do better than Thompson, Mittelstadt will improve from 12 goals, Johansson will play more than 58 games, the replacements will be better this year (see UFA signing), I do not see 250 as an unreasonable projection. If Vesey-Johansson-Okposo get 2nd line minutes 55 is possible, and if Mittelstadt can bulk up that line could also reach 50 goals.
BTW Tampa had 325 goals last year, nearly a goal a game better than my low prediction.
250 (only 24 more than last year) should be an easy reach with better forward, defense, and young players maturing which would rank the Sabres as a middle of the pack scoring team, not Tampa Bay scoring machine.

Edit, your team gets 230 with out adding in replacements and you only have 10 forwards, You are jumping all over my prediction which is nearly the same as yours. Do you just like to disagree with people who are actually supporting your point of view.
In reality, my prediction is more pessimistic than yours, but somehow you failed to notice that. LOL
Forum: Armchair-GMFri at 5:17 pm
Thread: Realistic Point Projections
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>arafay</b></div><div>I highly doubt that your d-core will score that many points</div></div>
It all depends on the forwards. Nearly all of the pts are assists so it is very plausible that this prediction is good.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Shibbal18</b></div><div>I wouldnt doubt that, especially if the forwards are putting up more. He didnt predict that many goals from the backend</div></div>
Adding Vesey and Johansson with a new system, maybe the forwards could be a little more creative because the back end is much better than last year. Montour and Miller are very good at getting out of the defensive zone to start a play, I could see the defense easily reaching this level. The numbers may change per each individual but over all this is a good guess (in fact I think some forwards will do much better than this prediction),
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Sabresforlife</b></div><div>Shouldn't Thompson have 20 and Z G get 15</div></div>
I think it is very plausible for them to get 25 goals together, 35 seems a bit high.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Mike_Gartner</b></div><div>when you use the word realistic, you should probably try to be more realistic.
This isn't even a full set of line and you have already added 50+ goals over last year...

the sharks scored 252 last year and top to bottom their line up was worlds above what Buffalo currently has.
you should probably dial it back a good 30%...</div></div>
I think it is a reach to think Olofsson will get 25. He did well last year but that was a very small sample and he played with Jack over 90% of the time.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>wondershrimp</b></div><div>I think 50 from Olofsson as a rookie is too much. I could see him getting maybe 40 (20,20).</div></div>
Even 40 is a reach IMHO, see above comment
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Skyraider112</b></div><div>One of the best D cores in the league, all those defenders are capable of those numbers. Hard to gauge with Pilut since he's never played a full season. Risto can hit 50 points if he is played right by Krueger. Seeing as you just made a statement without any evidence to your claim I'll just say I doubt your argument is correct.



I only did players that I believe would play 82 games on the roster. Thompson could have 30+ if he gets top 6 mins for 50 games. Zemgus can have 20 if the whole team gets better.



Our team is extremely young, and young players tend to improve every season. Olofsson is a new edition to our roster and he is known for scoring goals, lead the SHL two years ago. He can put up 20+ goals in his rookie campaign. Johansson is also new and it's no stretch to say he can have 15 goals. Vesey is also new, 15 goals is what he can attain. Right there is the 50 goals you said were unrealistic. I honestly don't see why this team can't have 235 goals from the players I listed above. That would put them around the middle of the league if we go off the GF last season.</div></div>

50 additional goal would be a lot, but as you indicated not out of the question.
I am going to do it by line instead of player:
Eichel- Reinhart- Skinner- 80-90
Vesey- Johansson- Okposo- 50 - 55
Sheary- Mittelstadt- ERod- 45-50
Girgensons - Larsson - Olofsson 25 - 30
Defense 30 goals
Maybe another 20 from replacements so 250 to 275
On the low end an improvement of 21 goals (Vesey and Johansson)
On the high end 46 goals, seems to be a reach
Maybe the lines are different, but that is my best guess.
Forum: Armchair-GMFri at 3:31 pm
Thread: Trying to get a decent trade from Buffalo
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>LoganOllivier</b></div><div>Ristolainen isn't all that good of a player, he's pretty low on the depth chart now and if that's the case, how is his value high?</div></div>

I do not think in any of my posts I have disagreed with your premise that Ristolainen is over rated and agreed that his value may be only a second based on the recent trades of Miller and Montour, I am only maintaining the Botterill will not trade him for a 2nd and if he does it will be for much more than you would ever think. I know every one thinks Botterill got robbed in the O'Reilly trade, but the return right now is more than Murray gave up to get him and O'Reilly devalued himself when he declared he lost his love of the game. Imagine how long Pasternak would be a Bruin if he ever said that. So I was making the point that Botterill will get more than a second or not trade him at all.
Forum: Armchair-GMFri at 11:11 am
Thread: Trying to get a decent trade from Buffalo
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>LoganOllivier</b></div><div>In no way is this fair or realistic, who trades a 94 point 22 year old winger and a 2nd round pick for a player who would likely be a 4th liner in TO and a defenseman who has proven to be the worst in his own end in the entire league over his career? A fair trade for Risto at this point would be the 2nd rounder and that's all. From a TO perspective he has nothing they need or want, other than being right handed. They have better puck movers in Rielly and Barrie, way better guys in their own end in Muzzin and Dermott and honestly everyone else they have as well. So there is no need. He would he a defensively liability at 5v5 and never get any PP time to make up for his deficiencies by scoring points. Holl would be better in TO than Risto because he's at least as good defensively, way cheaper and also right handed. Without PP time Risto has almost no value.</div></div>

Based on the Miller and Montour trades you have a good point, yet IMHO I think Botterill will squeeze a lot more than that if he is traded. I do not think any defenseman needs to be traded unless it is a good deal. Ristolainen for a second is not a good deal.
Forum: Armchair-GMFri at 10:54 am
Thread: 1st round picks since 2005
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>hanson493</b></div><div>he looked disengaged in buffalo. true money isnt everything contract. similar to david price his first year in boston.</div></div>
Yes, and the thing I noticed was how poorly he entered the offensive zone, nearly always turning the puck over.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>hanson493</b></div><div>i literally said it would have changed the bruins for the future. if we have barzal/connor instead of senyshyn/zboril we probably win the cup this year and make a better run at last years cup since you now have your 3rd line center they were missing last year and you have the 1st/2nd line rw they are missing (pretty sure connor plays left though?) which i also think is the reason they went for senyshyn who is a true rw</div></div>
I agree, Boston not only drafts well, they control the cap well, they draft players who want to win as well (shall I say players with character) who excel when the stakes are the highest.
Forum: Armchair-GMFri at 10:20 am
Thread: 1st round picks since 2005
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>hanson493</b></div><div>no i know i was just replying to the 2015 draft part, using your post as reference. that draft was stacked and could have changed the bruins for the future (would really have been in cap jail if we had barzal/connor to sign back to back years with backes on the books).</div></div>

LOL, What a terrible situation with which to contend, too much talent. I do know what you mean. I must say Boston has some of the best contracts, Krejci, Bergeron, Marchand and Pasternak all earning less than O'Reilly (I know he played well in the last 4 games, but he was nearly invisible in the first 3, BTW I may be the only Sabre fan that was happy to see him traded, he never played that well in Buffalo).
Forum: Armchair-GMFri at 10:09 am
Thread: More UFAs for depth and Rochester
I was certain someone would comment on signing Spooner and trading Sheary. LOL

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>puckhead6130</b></div><div>That is not a second line center. He's a good player but he is not who we need.</div></div>
No he is not but he is better than any center the Sabres would have other than Jack. If Casey can get his game going, then Nick drops to the 3rd line, there he would be a good third center. His 17 goals ranked 63rd in the NHL, so that makes him just below 2nd line and at the top of 3rd line.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>littlejerryseinfeld</b></div><div>I highly doubt Nashville would do that. Bogosian isnt good and hes hurt</div></div>
They may make the trade. Bogosian when healthy is good, he just has not been healthy in Buffalo. The need a RHD, a third and salary retention may be enough to close the deal.
Forum: Armchair-GMFri at 9:51 am
Thread: 1st round picks since 2005
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>hanson493</b></div><div>Hind sight is always 20/20. I liked at the time both the zboril and the senyshyn picks at the time. senyshyn was lighting it up scoring 40 in juniors, his game hasnt translated yet but he has speed and a natural ability to put the puck in the net. he is still young. give him more time. Zboril was a big body left shot that we all thought would take over for chara. He looked better in 2015 than he does now. chabot benefit significantly from playing on bad ottawa teams and getting the playing time in the nhl.</div></div>

As I posted above, I envy how well Boston drafts. As I was happy when Galisano bailed out the bankrupt Sabres but he fired all of the scouts and forced Regier to let Drury and Brier walk. I was not only commenting on Boston missing out on several players but also how Boston knew this was a good draft and made the move to get 2 additional picks while Buffalo was trading them away.
As a Sabre's fan I like the direction my team is headed, but you have several more years as long as Bergeron and Krejci can play well.