gretzkyghosts

Member Since
Apr 19, 2018
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Edmonton Oilers
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Montreal Canadiens
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Jan 1, 2001
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296
Forum: Armchair-GM14 hours ago
Forum: Armchair-GM14 hours ago
Forum: Armchair-GM16 hours ago
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BeastModeUnknown</b></div><div>At the time, the 2 cap dumps were borderline cap dumps, and they became cap dumps because they didn't have quality on them, and Berglund had it easy in St.Louis his entire career just lazy in general, Wasn't surprised he left the NHL.</div></div>
I agree Berglund was not a pure cap dump.
He had 17 goals his last season with the Blues in only 57 games and 23 the previous full season.
Of course, stories change to suit peoples opinions and this is a perfect example.
Not much was made of this but the Sabres became a dumpster fire right after he left the team.
During the preseason he being called the "Swedish Uncle" by the media.
I agree, he was not a dump as many are portraying.
Sobotka on the other hand did not seem to offer much talent, but Krueger liked his style so much he put him on the second line.
You obviously watched more Blue playoff games than I.
While on vacation we met a couple of Blues fans who had strong opinions of O'Reilly's performance prior to the finals.
Could you please share what you observed about his contribution.
In particular could you comment on game 7 against the Stars.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>sabres89</b></div><div>Such an absolutely brutal trade. Botterills gone, no point beating that dead horse anymore. I suppose we could blame the pegulas for insisting that ror be moved before paying the bonus, but since they blew past their self-imposed 70 million dollar cap as soon as they got a chance to sign hall...its just weird i guess.</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>mokumboi</b></div><div><img class="for_img" src="https://media4.giphy.com/media/7OWtnqixczaR5JieV7/200.gif" alt="200.gif"></div></div>

I know it was a shame to break up that Stanley cup team.
Oops, I meant it was a shame to break up that play off team.
Oops, I meant it was a shame to break up that bubble team.
Oops, I meant it was a shame to trade away a multi trophy winner.

Did you ever listen to O'Reilly's entire interview?
<a href="https://thehockeywriters.com/sabres-oreilly-deserves-respect-not-accusations/" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://thehockeywriters.com/sabres-oreilly-deserves-respect-not-accusations/</a>
listen at 1:54, 3:00, 4:58 and 5:08 lost his love of the game. We were lucky to get a bucket of pucks after this interview.
Did you remember that STL was in last place until Binnington joined the Blues?
Did you ever read an analysis of the trade directly after the trade: <a href="https://nhl.nbcsports.com/2018/07/01/trade-blues-spend-big-to-get-ryan-oreilly-from-sabres/" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://nhl.nbcsports.com/2018/07/01/trade-blues-spend-big-to-get-ryan-oreilly-from-sabres/</a>
Only after the trade he had a "spark" <a href="https://www.sportsnet.ca/hockey/nhl/ryan-oreilly-trade-blues-spark-now/" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://www.sportsnet.ca/hockey/nhl/ryan-oreilly-trade-blues-spark-now/</a>

I watched the Blues in the playoffs , if O'Reilly played with that high of intensity the Sabres would never have traded him and the team would have made the playoffs at least one of the years he was here.

Hindsight is always 20-20 but you all know the Blues missed the playoff by one point the previous season and added not only O'Reilly but Bozak, Perron and Binnington.
And with Berglund, the Sabres got off to a great start and were in first place in the entire league.
I guess we all forget about these sort of things once we make up our mind about a trade.

EDIT:
Somehow the Sabres had a better record the following year after he was traded.
How is that possible when he was such a great player.
Forum: Armchair-GM17 hours ago
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>tkecanuck341</b></div><div>You'd have to pay the Kings to take Okposo, even at 50% retention.</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TonyInBuffalo</b></div><div>You're probably right. Its more-so if they even take him at all.</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>NeverEndingMisery</b></div><div>Calgary laughs and hangs up</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Radu47</b></div><div>Yup the standard rate for that type of situation is a 1st and 2nd round pick it's quite steep but reasonably</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>earl08</b></div><div>I could see them doing it for a 2nd</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>OrganizedConfusion55</b></div><div>Its gonna cost a lot more than that to get rid of Okposo</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Ledge_And_Dairy</b></div><div>What? Literally none of that is true</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>desertdog111</b></div><div>Not the worst Raanta proposal. I don’t know enough about Fitzgerald’s prospect pedigree but the 3rd rounder is a decent return in itself. I get the feeling that the coyotes are going to roll with Raanta and Keumper again this year and try and flip one at the TDL, but I’d take this deal</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>SAS</b></div><div>Flames will do this right after Buffalo sends Calgary Jokiharju for Klington and 4th. You know to help with Buffalos log jam on the right side.

It needs to make sense for both teams.

This does not.</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>SAS</b></div><div>Trading Hanafin for scraps was not part of the conversation.

If the Flames are going to shake up the core they are going to want a core or potential core piece back. Miller and a 4th ain't close.

The value is all wrong.</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>NeverEndingMisery</b></div><div>Agreed!</div></div>

Read the title, these are Christmas presents to the Buffalo Sabres.
HO! HO! HO!
:laugh :laugh :laugh
Forum: Armchair-GM18 hours ago
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>flamesfan</b></div><div>Hanifin is worth more</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Shibbal18</b></div><div>sure</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>NeverEndingMisery</b></div><div>what do you think he would be worth?</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Ledge_And_Dairy</b></div><div>No, we are not trading him for a RD who would be on our 3rd pair</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Jetman</b></div><div>Thompson...lol...he is a huge AHLer...they already have one in Buddy Robinson.</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Gmonwy</b></div><div>Over cap</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>OrganizedConfusion55</b></div><div>Ehhh. Not really</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>DaBus</b></div><div>Just do Hanifin for Montour and a 2nd since youre over the cap</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Boomer125</b></div><div>Tanev isn't overrated he's simply unreliable - his style of play causes his injury history and without that style of play he's overrated</div></div>

Some fun facts to consider.
Hanifin has been playing for a MUCH better team that last 3 years.
Hanifin has 87 pts and 20 goals +/- -14 and Montour has 85 pts and 22 goals +/- -7
Hanifin is more physical and hits more.
Hanifin scores less on a much better team with a worse +/-

Please give it your best shot now to convince me who is the better of the two.
One is left handed, one is right handed.
Buffalo may over pay to balance the pairings.
Oh yes let me add, last year Montour had the best +/- among all Buffalo skaters and only Ristolainen had a higher TOI/gm.
I should also add that Montour played about 65% of the time on his off wing, seriously impacting his performance.
Forum: Armchair-GM18 hours ago
Forum: Armchair-GM19 hours ago
Thread: Changes
Forum: Armchair-GMTue at 1:41 pm
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Claebom</b></div><div>That's okay. I know who Montour is! Used to watch him play for Waterloo so I've followed him very closely. Have his Black Hawks jersey hanging in my office! Usually my answer for "who's that one player you have a weird thing for". Him, or Freddie Claesson. Thing is, I know I like bottom pairing D (Montour) or guys who can barely crack into the league (Claesson). You're just making up fictional defensemen.\</div></div>

Thanks for the analysis.
That was very thorough and detailed, I am sure it took a long time to research.
I will not dispute the stats that you provided.
He as well as 6 other skaters had career worse years playing under Krueger.
You can check that out as well, Miller, Okposo, Vesey, Rodriguez, Sheary, and Skinner.
It does not surprise me that statistically he played poorly.
On the other hand, as <a href="/users/BCAPP" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@BCAPP</a> pointed out prior to this year, he ranked among top 60 NHL in pts and TOI the two previous years.
31 teams 2 top defensemen per team, equals 62 top defensemen, translates he was a top pairing defenseman.

While the stats you provided look really bad, sometimes the proof of the tasting.
He had the best +/- of all skaters, only Scandella had a better PDO and Ristolainen a higher TOI/gm.
He played the off wing the majority of his ice time which would obviously reduce his efficiency.
I have not watched him play as much as you have, but he is often a trade candidate not for poor play but the belief that he will provide a decent return.
In a different setting, he would return to his top pairing performance IMO.
Go to <a href="https://public.tableau.com/views/SKATR2019-2020/SKATR?:embed=y&amp;:display_count=y&amp;:showVizHome=no#3" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://public.tableau.com/views/SKATR2019-2020/SKATR?:embed=y&amp;:display_count=y&amp;:showVizHome=no#3</a> and compare Montour last year to Montour this year. The difference is very striking.
He did not do very well this year. He needs a new head coach for sure.
Thank you again for your excellent research.

EDIT: He is not my favorite defenseman to trade.
I think he will be moved as he has value to the right team and coach.
Forum: Armchair-GMMon at 1:48 pm
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Jdfitz77</b></div><div>The EV SV% is great,
but he was pretty bad on the PK if i remember correctly
But i like Ullmark as a “1b” goalie
If we could just get a good Vet to go with him,
then i think we’d be in good shape

I’d love to get one of the ARZ goalies, especially Kuemper</div></div>

The Sabre skater are too passive when they PK.
I watched as many playoff games as my schedule permitted.
Nearly every team, pressured the puck carrier to make a play or move before their team was ready.
If the coaching staff was instructing the players to stay in their defensive box, I do not think Reider or Eakin will fix the problem.

My point for posting my fun facts was to highlight the PK problems.
The team is not blocking the passing lanes and teams are getting open and making clean shots.

Let me add, some of Ullmark's mechanics have been addressed.
I do not remember a single wrap around, 5 hole goal or puck going under his pads.
If Bales can continue to improve his positioning and mechanics, he could emerge as the our top GK.

Finally:
Did we all forget that Hutton set a Sabre record. He made 47 saves to record a shutout.
He had essentially 3 seasons, 9 games with a .928 SV%, followed by 8 games where he had a .854 SV%, then a 13 game stretch of a .904 SV%.
I cannot believe that the coaching staff was unaware of his eye condition.
Johansson or Hammond would have been better than Carter when he had his eye problems.
Maybe Hutton could be put on LTIR and Buffalo use a very inexpensive backup or trade for a GK better than Ullmark.
Forum: Armchair-GMMon at 12:30 pm
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Stanley_Cup_To_Manhattan</b></div><div>Defense and Goaltending is gonna kill our chances.</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Wqrrior</b></div><div>no trust in ullmark? i think he's given a bit too much flack. I also like Montour's rebound odds and Dahlin's growth to be great with the offensive lean. I'd want a better backup by the TDL tho</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Jdfitz77</b></div><div>Ullmark is “ok”
But need an upgrade on Hutton
He’s just WAY too inconsistent, &amp; flat out terrible at times</div></div>

Just some fun facts about Ullmark:
<strong>First:
</strong>Of all the NHL GK who played more than 30 games last year only Anton Khudobin, Tuukka Rask, Tristan Jarry, Philipp Grubauer and Connor Hellebuyck had a better ES SV % than Ullmark.
Khudobin, Rask were lights out with 0.945 and 0.939 SV% but the next three were 0.029, 0.929 0.927 followed by Ullmark 0.926 SV%.
That is pretty good company to be in.
<strong>Second:
</strong>Ullmark had the best SV% (0.984) of all NHL GK on shots taken from 31 ft. and further (shots 565 goals 9).
Keep the puck out of the danger zone and clear more rebounds he will stop the long-shots.
<strong>Third:</strong>
Of all NHL GK who played more than 30 games only Pekka Rinne, Jonathan Quick, John Gibson and Carter Hutton had worse PK SV% than Ullmark.
It was the PK that killed the team last year.
<strong>Fourth:</strong>
The defense is very young.
McCabe and Miller are the grey beards and they are only 27, just about when defensemen have their best years.
Two of their best defensemen Dahlin and Jokiharju are only 19 and 20 respectively.

What do you think if you put Buffalo's defense in front of Rask and Boston's in front of Ullmark?

The defense will be better next year.
The offense will be better next year which will reduce the shots against.
I pray to god the PK and PP will be better next year.

If the team stays healthy,
If the moon is in the Seventh House
and if Jupiter aligns with Mars
Maybe the Sabres make the playoffs and will the 2016-'17 Ottawa Senators.
Forum: Armchair-GMSun at 6:28 pm
Forum: Armchair-GMSun at 8:26 am
Forum: Armchair-GMSat at 7:22 pm
Forum: Armchair-GMSat at 2:04 pm
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>SalamiCheese</b></div><div>Do not change the lines, nothing will work. Olofsson with Vesey on Jack's wings would have been awful, he couldn't have had such a strong season. Reinhart hasn't played in the center for many years and it seems to me it's not about the coaches, but about Reinhart himself, apparently he just doesn't want to play there. Mittelstadt is not ready for the NHL, Krueger gave him a chance and Casey was terrible, everyone saw it except you, he is not an NHL player, especially in the center. The defense has improved, but a couple of years ago we had Eichel, Reinhart, ROR and Kane, I guess I don’t need to remind one of the worst deals in Buffalo history in the face of ROR to a pile of trash. Botterill sucks, and almost everyone saw it too.</div></div>

Sobotka is gone, much less on the second line, HUGE IMPROVEMENT.
Skinner has someone who can actually pass him the puck, HUGE IMPROVEMENT.
Mittelstadt WAS NOT TERRIBLE. did you miss that his 25 pts ranked among third line production, playing with third line wingers and only getting third line minutes.
Among all forwards who played over 30 games ONLY Pominville and Thompson got less ice time than he.
That is NOT a bust for a young player. So yes with better wingers he WOULD HAVE produced this past year.
O'Reilly, Kane and Lehner led the team to last place over all and getting Dahlin.
O'Reilly begged to be traded.
Did you ever listen to O'Reilly's entire interview?
<a href="https://thehockeywriters.com/sabres-oreilly-deserves-respect-not-accusations/" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://thehockeywriters.com/sabres-oreilly-deserves-respect-not-accusations/</a>
listen at 1:54, 3:00, 4:58 and 5:08 lost his love of the game. We were lucky to get a bucket of pucks after this interview.
Did you remember that STL was in last place until Binnington joined the Blues?
Did you ever read an analysis of the trade directly after the trade: <a href="https://nhl.nbcsports.com/2018/07/01/trade-blues-spend-big-to-get-ryan-oreilly-from-sabres/" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://nhl.nbcsports.com/2018/07/01/trade-blues-spend-big-to-get-ryan-oreilly-from-sabres/</a>
Only after the trade he had a "spark" <a href="https://www.sportsnet.ca/hockey/nhl/ryan-oreilly-trade-blues-spark-now/" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://www.sportsnet.ca/hockey/nhl/ryan-oreilly-trade-blues-spark-now/</a>
I watched the Blues in the playoffs this year and last year, if O'Reilly played with that high of intensity the Sabres would never have traded him and the team would have made the playoffs at least one of the years he was here.
He led us to last place in the Atlantic, then the last place in the league.
Forum: Armchair-GMSat at 12:50 pm
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>SalamiCheese</b></div><div>Well, this is simply not true, I did not say that Jokiharju and Kahun are bad and Skinner is the same, although his contract looks bad. What credit is it to Botterill that he chose Dahlin? No. Cozens is probably a good choice, although I liked Zegras better, but I'm fine with Cozens' choice.

You love metrics so much, so look at what Vesey's metrics were in the last season for the Rangers, and then show me for not being against Eakin signing. Moreover, it was previously known that Vesey did not want to play for Buffalo after college.

Our attack at Botterill:

Oloffson - Eichel - Reinhart
Skinner - MoJo - Sobotka
Vesey - Rodrigues/Lazar - Sheary
Girgensons - Larsson - Okposo

If it's a playoff team attack then I'm the Danish king.

Botterill was a bad GM and this is a fact, what kind of GM Adams will be, I don't know, but for now I like him, and I will not criticize him for some small signings for Rochester that you do not like, I and Botterill for this did not criticize.</div></div>

YUP that line up is garbage. As you said Krueger was certainly not on the same page of Botterill.
That line up was terrible and did not make the best of the talent available.
Let's change it around a bit.
Olofsson - Eichel - Vesey Vesey with Jack would have exceeded his 17 goal total from the previous season.
Skinner - Reinhart - Sheary Sam should be running his own line and with Skinner and Sheary on his wings it would have performed well.
Johansson - Mittelstadt - Okposo Give Mittelstadt two veteran wingers and see what he could do, his 25 pts from the previous year ranked 243rd so third line production.
Girgensons - Larsson - Rodrigues Rodrigues has the speed to make defenses cringe, Girgensons and Larsson could have dug the puck out and sent him up ice on breakaways once a game.
This line up would have been ahead of the leafs with two good scoring lines and a decent third line and solid fourth checking line.

This team has solid young defense.
It ranked 10th with the fewest 5 on 5 goals surrendered.

You have a short memory as you forgot just two years ago the team was in last place with terrible defensemen and only one scoring line and no third line.
The line up I made, has two scoring lines, a decent third line and a good checking line.
Let me add, I know Botterill made mistakes. Scandella for Frolik was about the worse ever.
But you said, Krueger has a say in the line up under Adams, do you think Krueger told Botterill "I want Frolik"?
Do you think Botterill has Hall in mind when he hired Krueger?
Do you think we could make the Johansson for Staal trade if Johansson was not here?
Krueger was a HUGE error, but if was hired to entice Hall, maybe not.
I remember when Moulson was signed, I did not know he was good friend with Okposo and may have been signed to bring Kyle here.
Forum: Armchair-GMSat at 11:47 am
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Christrpn24</b></div><div>I think Hall signed one year in Buffalo so that he could play with Eichel. I don't see him being happy with Eric Staal</div></div>
I think he said Krueger was the main reason he decided to sign in Buffalo, but read more below.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Sabres923</b></div><div>Staal is still a good player. Taylor and Jack both drive the play extremely well they don’t need to play with each other in my opinion.</div></div>
Absolutely, Hall is by far the second player on this team now.
Hall is more of a play maker than scorer. For example 61.3% of his pts are assists, in contrast Jack who is known playmaker only 59.3% of his points are assists.
With Hall on the same line with Skinner, we may see a resurgent Jeff.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Radu47</b></div><div>The more I think about it yeah he just wanted a year to boost his numbers and wait for the economic tide to turn to get a 10x10 deal in a better situation</div></div>
I agree, but maybe he will like Buffalo.
Both Muckler and Bowman still live in Buffalo.
Harry Neal moved from Toronto to live in Buffalo, 4 houses away from my sons house.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>sabreland</b></div><div>i prefer Montour over Miller, I think he wasnt given a fair season last year always playing on his off side and yet still performed decently</div></div>
No doubt about it.
Miller got more PP and less PK time than Miller, but with less prime ice time, Montour had a higher pts/min than Miller 1.2 v 1.0.
Montour had the best +/- among all skater and only Ristolainen had a higher TOI/gm and only Scandella had a higher PDO.
Montour played on his off wing over 61% of the time.
IDK how any one could make the case that he had a worse year than Miller, or that he played poorly.
Montour was top pairing defenseman the two year before Krueger ranking among top 60 NHL defensemen in both TOI and pts.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>RoyalBlueSabres</b></div><div>I really hope Ruotsalainen makes the team</div></div>
Well that would certainly give the Sabres stronger forwards.
That would mean he would be better than Thompson, Mittelstadt and Kahun which would be a very good thing.
Forum: Armchair-GMFri at 3:22 pm
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>SalamiCheese</b></div><div>Vesey = garbage
Staal &gt; Johansson
Hall &gt;&gt;&gt; Sobotka
Sheary = garbage
Hunwick = garbage
Simmonds and Frolik = garbage
Berglund = too garbage
Kahun = good trade, but he played five games for Buffalo and that's it

Pegulas had long wanted to hire Krueger, they were only connected with Botterill by the fact that Krueger knew a little about Botterill's father.

I agree that Krueger is not perfect, but Botterill gave him an absolutely garbage roster, especially in attack + bad Hutton.

Miller makes nearly four million and was a healthy scratch in Vegas, he can't be good on PK and not so good on PP, and we already had Risto, Montour, Jokiharju and Borgen in Rochester. Look at Montour's metrics, has he been that good in recent years? The only thing that Botterill did was improve the defense a little, but I do not agree that he greatly improved it, that is, these are not very good players. Risto and McCabe were already in the team, Dahlin is definitely not Botterill's merit, he just chose him under the first number, even you and I would have dealt with it. Jokiharju is his merit and one of the best deals in three years. But in the end, we now have an overabundance of RDs and really cannot do anything about it, we do not have enough LDs and we still have a fine of one and a half million also because of Botterill, and this is with a flat cap.

The fact that under Adams our top 6 will now have Taylor Hall instead of Sobotka and Eric Staal instead of Johansson is a clear increase in the team's attacking potential. At the same time, the offseason is not over yet and there is time to try to fix the defense and goalie.

Oh yeah, I don't think Krueger had such an impact on the squad last season, because it was clear that Botterill and Krueger had no roster understanding at all, they were moving in different directions.</div></div>

You win, everything is garbage.
Jokiharju = Garbage
Montour = Garbage,
Skinner = Garbage
Cozens = Garbage
Vesey and 17g/season = Garbage
Dahlin = Garbage
Kahun = Garbage