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jfalstaff
Member Since
May 17, 2016
Favourite Team
Toronto Maple Leafs
Forum Posts
297
Posts per Day
0.1
POSTS
THREADS
LIKES
ARMCHAIR-GM TEAMS
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 16, 2023 at 10:38 p.m.
Thread:
Moving on from Marner
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>draft_em_sign_em_trade_em</b></div><div>Kane doesn't want to play for a Canadian team, he turned down the chance to play for the Oilers at the TDL.
Also Matthews knows that he's a 60 goal scorer playing with Marner, playing with Nylander he's a 40 goal scorer.
Matthews will **** block any trades of Marner this summer, until Mitch gets his NMC after the UFA season opens up.</div></div>
Then I think Leafs have to trade Marner at the draft and try to repair the relationship with Matthews after.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Mar. 22, 2022 at 1:20 p.m.
Thread:
Playoff lineup
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Jangle29</b></div><div>I dont think Blackwell is sitting for Robertson</div></div>
Then sit Spezza? They need secondary scoring. Where’s it come from?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 9, 2021 at 3:41 p.m.
Thread:
Reilly a King Marner A Flame take2
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Ledge_And_Dairy</b></div><div>Flames trade makes no sense, you are either getting scammed if Gaudreau doesnt come extended and then walks, or scamming if he does come extended.
(Assuming the extension is something reasonable like 8-8.5M)</div></div>
Marner is younger and better than Gaudreau, and CGY wants, press I’ve read indicates, to move on from him. Even if the Leafs work out a decent value extension with this older, worse player, CGY gets the better player. And it is not close. Doesn’t seem to me a scam.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jun. 4, 2019 at 10:28 a.m.
Thread:
Leafs without Marleau or Zaitsev
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>WingerSupreme</b></div><div>He was a healthy scratch by VGK, he's making a fair amount of money and they have zero cap space. Now, maybe it takes a 4th and a 6th instead of a 6th and 7th, but it really seems like they would be looking to get rid of him.</div></div>
I'd think they'll look for, and could probably get, a prospect whose salary won't be on their NHL roster -- you know, why they drafted all those defensemen in the first place.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jun. 4, 2019 at 9:45 a.m.
Thread:
Leafs without Marleau or Zaitsev
I like the framework of Marleau and Zaitsev trades (and don't care about the details) and the projected salaries, but could Colin Miller be got with 2 late picks? I thought he was a decent RHD, not some cast off.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jun. 2, 2019 at 7:01 p.m.
Thread:
Goodbye Z and Patty Hello Dion and PHIL
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Zwui21</b></div><div>
Matthews is a generational talent? Geez, that word is used way too frequently lately.</div></div>
His 5v5 scoring rate is insane.
Matthews, over the last three seasons, is at 1.52 G/60.
Going back to 2007-8, only Crosby exceeds that.
They eye-test folks cite Sakic and Lindros.
Yeah, generational goal scorer.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jun. 2, 2019 at 5:43 p.m.
Thread:
Goodbye Z and Patty Hello Dion and PHIL
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Zwui21</b></div><div>This was what we were all saying before Matthews re-signed, but he still got 11.634 on a <strong>five</strong> years deal</div></div>
Who was saying Matthews wouldn't be making more than anyone but McDavid? He's the best goal-scoring center of his generation, and to find a comparable at that position you'd probably have to go back to... Sakic? Of course his contract was going to look something like that.
Marner, meanwhile, is great. Really great. Like a Kane or Kucherov or Gaudreau or Draisaitl. Great winger. But not exactly a generational talent at anything in particular.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jun. 2, 2019 at 5:32 p.m.
Thread:
Goodbye Z and Patty -- Less Silly
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Jangle29</b></div><div>0.0% chance Marner makes 11 mil. The drugs some leaf fans consume is scary</div></div>
On 8 years, why the hell not?
I'm generally team "squeeze him till he begs not to be made a pariah in his hometown," but if the Leafs can really get rid of Z and Marleau, might as well lock him long term.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jun. 2, 2019 at 5:30 p.m.
Thread:
Goodbye Z and Patty Hello Dion and PHIL
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>leafs101</b></div><div>The two laziest players on one line? Thats a lot of defence not played on line 3</div></div>
It's a sheltered scoring line, and there to drive fans crazy. Also, Willy's a good play driver and Phil's got a great shot.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Zwui21</b></div><div>He won't sit probably, because someone would probably come with an offer sheet</div></div>
Then the Leafs will take the picks and sign Skinner. Oh well.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>gmurrayt</b></div><div>For Kings to be interested in taking Marleau, they need a combination of picks/prospects/young fast players coming back and a bad contracts going the other way. A one for one swap of bad contracts in no where close enough to get Marleau moved.</div></div>
No. At most one of those sweeteners, and even then -- similarly problematic players on similarly problematic contracts get trade one-for-one all the time.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BigDog91</b></div><div>Multiple sources have said even on three year deal marner want at least 10. He wants to a deal similar or more then Mathews</div></div>
It is definitely true that Marner's agent has talked to multiple sources. But that doesn't change what's a sane amount to pay him or the Leafs' leverage one whit.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jun. 2, 2019 at 5:14 p.m.
Thread:
Goodbye Z and Patty Hello Dion and PHIL
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BigDog91</b></div><div>Multiple sources have said even on three year deal marner want at least 10. He wants to a deal similar or more then Mathews</div></div>
Yeah, but he won't get that.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jun. 2, 2019 at 12:39 p.m.
Thread:
Trades with MIN VGK EDM LAK
Really gutting the depth in the forward group to build a gaudy defense.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 29, 2019 at 12:36 p.m.
Thread:
Offer Sheet Marner
Leafs accept the picks.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 28, 2019 at 11:22 p.m.
Thread:
BYE MITCH Redux - Keep It Simple
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Smithcd995</b></div><div>Mittelstadt, McCabe #7 #30?</div></div>
Yes.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>bunzy1034</b></div><div>as a leafs fan, would you consider a package starting with Trouba and Roslovic then adding picks?</div></div>
If first rounders, yes.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 28, 2019 at 11:20 p.m.
Thread:
BYE MITCH Redux - Keep It Simple
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>palhal</b></div><div>The purpose of a Marner trade would probably to get needed cap space. So including Dumba in any trade just might go against would be original purpose of the trade. Pateryn? Isn't worth trading for.</div></div>
With a few obvious moves we know they're going to make, the Leafs have plenty of cap space to sign Marner at the 11% of the cap (~$9.1m this year) players like him have historically got on their second contracts. They're not moving him to free up that 11% but to protect the additional couple million his side seems to want. That they cannot afford, not unless they're cutting into the muscle.
That 11% cap space could certainly be reallocated to Trouba or Dumba or whatever -- and they'd still have space left over for a few depth pieces.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 28, 2019 at 5:00 p.m.
Thread:
Hey Mitch
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Spanky227</b></div><div>once an offer sheet is signed, no trade can occur per cba rules. Toronto can either match (in which case they need to keep him for 12 months) or accept the compensation
</div></div>
Yes, that's why I said "before it gets to that" -- as in, before Marner is in a position to force the Leafs hand by signing an offer sheet, he'll go on the block and offers from the entire league will be fielded.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 28, 2019 at 4:51 p.m.
Thread:
Hey Mitch
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Matthews34</b></div><div>Leafs match and thank you for negotiating for us.</div></div>
More likely, before it gets to that Leafs field a range of offers and a get a valuable NHLer contributor, a high-end prospect, and a couple of good picks -- and then use the $6-8m saved (counting salary of the NHLer coming back) toward another useful addition. All in all the Leafs come out ahead, but, point re the Rangers being, the Leafs won't be forced into a corner by them when there are at least a dozen NHL teams that'd make space and move assets to acquire Marner.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 28, 2019 at 4:33 p.m.
Thread:
BYE MITCH
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Bcarlo25</b></div><div>Lots of weird stuff going on here....but most importantly, why does Marleau accept a trade to Ottawa? That just doesn't make any sense.</div></div>
GM: Hey Patrick, we have some thoughts about your role on the Leafs going forward
Patty: Interesting! I am curious to hear what they are.
GM: You're in the pressbox for the first 65 games so you aren't absolutely useless in the playoffs
Patty: ...BUT MUH IRON MAN STREAK!
GM: Ottawa's an easy commute from Toronto and they'd love to have a veteran presence on the third (fourth?) line during their rebuild.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 28, 2019 at 4:31 p.m.
Thread:
BYE MITCH
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>draft_em_sign_em_trade_em</b></div><div>I didn't say I agree with Dubas' logic of paying 4 guys 40 million but having 4 superstar players is better than having 8 meh star players, you know like the Leafs had during the decade they kept missing the playoffs.</div></div>
Is there a rule that if the Leafs trade Marner they're also required to trade Matthews, Tavares, and Nylander?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 28, 2019 at 4:23 p.m.
Thread:
BYE MITCH
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>draft_em_sign_em_trade_em</b></div><div>Just like Dubas sacrificed JVR, Bozak, Komarov and Martin to find the 11 million to sign Tavares, he'll sacrifice Gardiner, one of Kapanen, Johnsson or Nylander and maybe even Kadri or Zaitsev if he can find a buyer, to keep Marner happy. Which he should.</div></div>
He can't ice a contending team with Marner at 12-13% of the cap. You <em>can</em> have a team that's too top-heavy in hockey, you know.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 28, 2019 at 4:21 p.m.
Thread:
BYE MITCH
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Riley816</b></div><div>Ottawa makes the floor without Marleau.
And Marleau agrees to be traded to Ottawa because....
Trade for McCabe's rights and don't offer him a contract?? I think Buffalo agrees....</div></div>
lol. whoops.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 25, 2019 at 12:06 a.m.
Thread:
Marner at 11m
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>CaptainFlynnt</b></div><div>Kapanen doesn't get the leafs a 1st round pick. A team can just offer sheet him for a 2nd round pick.
You need to be prepared to match an offer between $2M to $4M (likely $4M) for Kapanen, or be prepared to lose him for a 2nd round pick.</div></div>
Great point.
That it's even worse return supports my larger point -- if Marner wants $11m and someone will pay it, best that it <em>isn't</em> the Leafs, and they put that money elsewhere and take whatever picks/prospects they can get out of his rights.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 7, 2019 at 10:40 p.m.
Thread:
MIN Trade Redux
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>GMTD</b></div><div>OK, enough of the Nylander v. Kapanen discussion, am I the only one who thinks this is a terrible trade for the Leafs? TOR trades Brown, Connor and Zaitsev, Nikita to BUF for Sobotka, Vladimír; 2021 3rd round pick (BUF) and 2021 6th round pick (BUF)
I get it, the Leafs move the most hated player since Kessel and drop cap, but the Sabres dump Sobotka, get the defensive defenseman to pair with Dahlin and a PK forward only 2 years removed from 20 goals for only a 3rd and 6th round pick.
This is the only way I can see this trade making sense:
Sobotka is a dump and Zaitsev is a dump.
That leaves 3rd and 6th for Brown.
If the Leaf fans view the trade in this manner, then I guess it is fair. I would appreciate comments regarding this trade. BTW, I think you all know that I am a Sabres fan.</div></div>
I dunno. It's pretty simple, I think. The idea is that there's more value, to the Leafs, in cap space than in holding onto those two pieces -- they can sign/extend players that better fit their (Dubas's) style. BUF's had a pretty miserable defense and penalty kill, so they'd maybe be interested to acquire the players. But I didn't want to go nuts with picks coming back and figured there'd need to be some cap balancing. Sobotka's a bad contract, and the Leafs can benefit from and easily afford buying out the last year.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 6, 2019 at 10:24 p.m.
Thread:
MIN Trade Redux
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>ninetythreein93</b></div><div>Or you could just move Nylander and save $3.5-4M a year</div></div>
<em>Could</em>, but I wouldn't. Kadri's almost certainly not going to be re-signed, and Nylander, unlike Kapanen, is an effective center. He gives more options moving forward, in addition to being a better complement to Matthews.
Glad you're not trying to suggest Kappy led Matthews to new heights anymore tho...
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 6, 2019 at 10:21 p.m.
Thread:
MIN Trade Redux
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Jamiepo</b></div><div>Better redux some more. Kapanen and a 2nd should be more than enough for a rental. Maybe have a conditional first in 2021 if he re signs.</div></div>
Prospect for the salary retention.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 6, 2019 at 10:02 p.m.
Thread:
MIN Trade Redux
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>ninetythreein93</b></div><div>Matthews had the highest PPG of his career this year, but keep trying</div></div>
PPG isn't any way to measure how well he meshes with his 5v5 RW... It includes, say, moving to the top PP unit.
Try scoring rates (per 60) at evens.
2016-17: 1.55 G / 2.17 Pts
2017-18: 1.68 G / 2.91 Pts
2018-19: 1.35 G / 2.76 Pts
Kappy's good and Matthews is good with him -- but he's better with Nylander. And Kapanen's a valuable piece where the Leafs are really deep. In need of a raise, he's the sort of thing you move for a valuable piece you can fit into your cap. imo.
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