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jonnymc26

buffalofan
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Forum: Armchair-GMFeb. 1, 2023 at 12:45 a.m.
Thread: Demko to Buffalo
As a disinterested observer, I think that this is a bad idea for the Sabres. People who believe that a competent GM would take the risk of investing significant assets in Thatcher Demko before the trade deadline should research the history of why Jake Oettinger is tending goal for the Dallas Stars.

So let's assume that this trade occurs in the summer. (I'm going to ignore the unsigned Johnson.) Here are the possible outcomes of this trade:

1. Demko turns out to be far from the elite goalie his supporters contend that he was. No matter what happens with UPL and Kulich, Buffalo doesn't come out ahead.
2. Demko turns out to be a middle-of-the-pack goalie. Buffalo comes out ahead only if both UPL and Kulich don't pan out as well.
3. Demko turns out to be a middle-of-the-pack goalie, but UPL turns out to be as good. Buffalo doesn't come out ahead.
4. Demko turns out to be a middle-of-the-pack goalie, but UPL turns out to be an elite goalie. Buffalo REALLY doesn't come out ahead.
5. Demko turns out to be a middle-of-the-pack goalie, but Kulich turns out to be a top-6 forward. Buffalo doesn't come out ahead.
6. Demko turns out to be a middle-of-the-pack goalie, but Kulich turns out to be an All-Star. Buffalo REALLY doesn't come out ahead.
7. Demko turns out to be a middle-of-the-pack goalie, but both UPL and Kulich turn out to be first-class NHL players. Buffalo doesn't come out ahead.
8. Demko turns out to be a middle-of-the-pack goalie, but both UPL and Kulich turn into first-class NHL players, and at least one of them is very good. Buffalo REALLY, REALLY doesn't come out ahead.
9. Demko regains his form and is an elite goalie. Neither UPL nor Kulich turn out as well. Buffalo comes out ahead.
10. Demko regains his form and is an elite goalie, but the aggregate of UPL and Kulich is roughly equal. Buffalo doesn't come out ahead.
11. Demko regains his form and is an elite goalie, but one of UPL and Kulich turns out to be of equal impact. Buffalo doesn't come out ahead.
12. Demko regains his form and is an elite goalie, but both UPL and Kulich turn out to be of equal impact. Buffalo REALLY doesn't come out ahead.

Now I will be the first to concede that #9 might well be the single most likely outcome, but the risk presented by the other 11 possibilities is simply too great for any prudent GM to take.

Or, to put it another, simpler, way, <a href="/users/jonnymc26" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@jonnymc26</a> is right.
Forum: Armchair-GMJan. 12, 2023 at 7:41 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 16, 2021 at 10:11 p.m.
Thread: Eichel and Dunn
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>nepTrystan</b></div><div>Drouin is a wildcard. In the actual Eichel situation, habs will not need to include any of them. Eichel value is only going down right now : all gms knows that he wants to leaves , so thats even worse for the sabres.</div></div>

Then they'll end up trading him to a more desperate team, see its not that his values is going down. Every single team in the league would move heaven and earth to have a player like Eichel, so there's going to be a bidding war and if the Habs don't ante up then they don't get him and Buffalo moves onto the next team.

It's the fact that each and every GM knows he wants out that's increasing his value rn, people don't realize the only thing holding up this trade is the expansion draft.
Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 23, 2021 at 12:13 a.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMNov. 1, 2020 at 3:14 a.m.
Thread: would you do it for that sweet cap space
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Jdfitz77</b></div><div>Why on earth would Buffalo do that?!?!

Fleury is turning 36 &amp; has been clearly declining for a couple years now
Even if Vegas held half his salary,
I’d STILL make them give us a 1st or some kind of sweetener</div></div>

I am not a Vegas or Buffalo fan so I have no horse in the race but I think this could make sense for Buffalo.
Even if Fleury has been declining, they still are getting a clear upgrade in a position of weakness. On top of that, they are getting a young stud in Hague who hopefully will develop into their second pair LHD behind Dahlin.
Having said all that, Yes the trade looks fair in a vacuum but Vegas should definitely add a high (1st or 2nd) pick into the package as its the price of gaining all that cap space.