Jun. 17, 2019
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Never read the comments they say. Everyone is mean they say.
Other than Malgin (spend that $ on a mean 4th liner - Hathaway or Austin-Reese or someone similar who can really PK and hit) this is my favorite Avs post in a while. I am all in on Suter as 3C, and all the pick refreshes is total gonzo chaos that won't happen, but I love it!
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Flotsam5</b></div><div>Go out and get Sharangovich, the throw in can be just about anyone that's not an important prospect. Maybe you don't even need it.
Otherwise, trade every 2023 pick you have for the best 2024 and 2025 picks you can get for them, and use those picks as ammo at the deadline. They probably have to with this roster, to fill at least one position. Otherwise they're fine through the regular season.
They're taking a chance with Sharangovich, Suter, and Heinen, but I like Suter as a Compher replacement, and one of Sharangovich or Heinen should be able to fill whatever top-six winger role the Avalanche need.
Upgrade Malgin with the remaining money. I don't know with who, but there's easily someone that can play fourth line wing for $1 million and be effective (I'm just not going to go looking through the list.)
Kill it at the deadline, win cup.</div></div>
The good -
21 EV / 28 total goals on a team leading shooting % ( a likely unsustainable) 17.4% / to compare - McDavid had 18.4 & Matthews has 12.2 / I would assume a regression here)
Offensive Point Share - 3.6 - Good for 6th on the team
Sheltered TOI - He started 47.5% of the time in the D-zone, 17th on the team
TOI - EV - 11:50, 19th on the team
Takeaways - 24, 11th on the team
Blocks - 15, 18th on the team
+/- (a terrible stat, but here we are) -23, 31st on the team ahead of Bryson who played 16 less games.
Defensive Point Share - .2, 22nd on the team
Corsi - 49.7 - 19th on the team
Fenwick - 48.3, 19th on the team
PDO - 96.8, 25th on the team
SH TOI - Zero
Expected +/- -5.6 - 25th on the team
He is simply a dumpster fire defensively on a team that is up and coming but not world beaters defensively. This is all readily available data online that a donkey like me can look at. Imagine teams with a real analytics department, and what they see. This is why people, myself included, are not fans of him.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>RoyalBlueSabres</b></div><div>Show me one metric that has olofsson being a dumpster fire on defense.
Below average sure. But he has been torn to shreds on this site lately for no reason.
The fact that he is a 25+ goal scorer not playing top line minutes and not on PP1 would have others players lined up to get multiple picks. Don't know why there is so much hate going to olofsson.
The only reason he is being shopped is buffalo has similar quality players that are younger and need a spot in the lineup.</div></div>
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Chapee44</b></div><div>Perennial 20 goal scorers who have paced 30 the last two years aren't cap dumps lol</div></div>
Cap dump may be strong, but he is a terrible two way player, who's goal scoring does not offset the fact he is a complete defensive liability.
Looking at last years stats, His +/- was -23, 31st overall on the team. Digging deeper, his Offensive Point Share was 7th on the team at 3.6, but his Defensive Point Share was 22nd at 0.2, 15 total blocks on the year and 16 hits. Corsi relative was -2.0 (19th) and his Fenwick was 48.3 (20th). He had a favorable Oz start at 52% so that stats suggest he was getting slightly sheltered and/or PP time, where His GF/60 on the PP was 4.9 vs 2.7 at ES.
For comparison, constant fan least favorite Kurtis MacDermid has a DPS of 0.7. The Avs worst regular was Alex Newhook at 1.3. I'm not saying DPS is the end all be all, but it is a good barometer and it is clear that Oloffson is just a bad defensive player. The Avs do not target these types of players in trades.