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mm1010

Mac1010
Member Since
Mar. 27, 2018
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Forum: Armchair-GMJan. 25 at 6:11 p.m.
Thread: ALL IN FOR PARAYKO
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>mm1010</b></div><div>if you look at his buy out is would regularly be just over 2 Million
since he had high base salary on the front end and lower on the back in those years his cap hit is 3.7M for the last 3 years of his deal.... so 1.7M more expensive to buy him out</div></div>

Two things:

1. You're assuming the buyout happens at the end of this season? The math looks totally different than what you present: it's about $550k for two years, $2.2M for a season, $3.7M as you identify from 2027 through 2030, then drops to about $2.05M for six years. I get the point that you're making (more expensive versus conventional contract) but the uber-expensive buyouts that you're referring to were the back-diving deals like what Crosby, Ovechkin, Keith, and Weber were signed to many moons ago. <a href="/users/AC14" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@AC14</a> sets up a scenario where it's likely to be only the +35 years that the buyout focuses on. I believe that sets up June 2028 as the timeframe to look at this buyout from.

2. The four years of Parayko's buyout in 2028 onward progress as:

2028-29: $3.3M
2029-30: $3.3M
2030-31: $1.6M
2031-32: $1.6M

As long as the buyout happens after 2026, there's no fluctuation to the cap hit Parayko's buyout holds.
Forum: Armchair-GMJan. 10 at 5:58 p.m.
Thread: Deadline Blockbuster
Holloway doesn’t need a change of scenery. He only needs better injury luck to become a full time NHLer. He’s coming back from injury soon and the Oilers will see it through with this prospect. Who looked good before his most recent injury.

Akey looked great in Camp. He won’t be moved. Oilers and the fanbase are extremely high on this prospect. A bit of a steal in the 2nd round for us.

It’s a decent offer for a Campbell though I will admit. The pieces coming back can help. I assume Dickinson can be a decent 3C. Mrazek is an okay option as a backup to Skinner.

Considering that Campbells buy out cost is very easy to take on. I can’t see the Oilers doing this. They can save all those futures and still get rid of Campbell in the offseason and free up plenty of cap space (3Mish saved in the first 3 years).

If we could swap those prospects with some other prospects there could be something here. Maybe Bourgault (former 1st round pick) instead of Akey. Maybe Broberg who actually needs a change of scenery instead of Holloway who’s pretty much already on the Oilers active roster.
Forum: Fauteuil - DGJan. 8 at 4:24 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMJan. 13, 2023 at 12:08 p.m.
Thread: Provorov Sweepstakes
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>mm1010</b></div><div>yes with another move possible. but the one trade alone I dont think move the needle enough. Ceci can be very effective. i think it may turn out to be a lateral move not one that really pushes the defense forward.</div></div>

Looking at the numbers now, and Provorov's defensive metrics aren't quite as good as Ceci's (past 1.5 seasons at 5v5). And since his cap hit is more than double, I just can't see any way this works for Edmonton.

If Philadelphia was willing to retain 50% (that's not the proposal) then there's a conversation to be had here, but it would have to be in conjunction with another deal for a defensive RHD. Personally I'd rather keep Ceci and trade Kulak + Puljujarvi for Provorov with 25% retained.
Forum: Armchair-GMOct. 6, 2022 at 11:56 a.m.