moli92

Avs 2020s Dynasty
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Colorado Avalanche
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346
Forum: Armchair-GM5 hours ago
Thread: Vancouver Canucks
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TanSor</b></div><div>I'd love Boeser but if we're trading Dumba it has to be for a center. We do need right shot forwards but if we made this trade then our wingers are Fiala, Boeser, Kaprizov, Parise, Zuccarello, Kunin, Donato, Greenway, Foligno, and Hartman. Donato, Greenway, and Kunin all need to be in the top 9 and we can't even make that happen before we make this trade. It just puts us in a weird spot and doesn't give any of our young guys the development time they need. Plus, who the heck is passing Boeser the puck? Victor Rask?

I just don't really see a fit for us with Boeser unless we're moving a pick (like Pittsburgh's) and a great prospect like Boldy or Beckman along with one of Donato or Greenway and make a subsequent move for a playmaking center. Don't think the Canucks go for that, though.</div></div>

Completely understandable. A center would be a much better trade target for you guys
Forum: Armchair-GM7 hours ago
Thread: VGK fans whitecloud Value
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Miles_Togo</b></div><div>Sure, but I still don't get the purpose. The Leafs' have Muzzin and Rielly. Then they have Dermott 157 games experience, Holl 81 games experience, Sandin 28 games experience, Rosen 20 games experience, Liljegren 11 games experience and Lehtonen 0 games experience. They need D who know their way around the league and can mentor young D.</div></div>

Whitecloud isnt going to be carrying the Leafs D core. They could make another move to add a vet D if they wanted to, but this is a decent move just to have someone cheap to fall back on if needed. For the next 2 seasons TOR would get a very cheap contract who could fill in on the 3rd pair or as a 7th D if needed. Its an AHL move that could benefit their NHL team if he pans out - whats not to like?
Forum: Armchair-GM7 hours ago
Thread: Boeser and Loui Eriksson to SJ for Burns
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>CheechYou</b></div><div>Canuck fans are so quick to decline... you guys know that this isn't an attempt to fleece or anything? Burns is still -- especially with the rest he's getting and the injuries and heavy-minutes wear-and-tear healing up -- a freak of nature athletically/physically, and he's a hell of a player at least for 2-3 more seasons. His role's just redundant with SJ having EK65 long-term.

And SJ needs a young top-6 RW, and obviously a 1-for-1 with Burns wouldn't work, but the sweetener of taking on Loui Eriksson so VAN can retain Toffoli, Markstrom, Gaudette, etc. really, reaaaally should make this at the very least a better discussion than just "no" and "VAN decline". VAN fans suck lol</div></div>

lol look at his recent posts from his profile. basically every comment is: 'VAN decline' or 'hahaha no'.
Forum: Armchair-GM8 hours ago
Thread: Who Should the Ducks Draft - Description
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BuckoJoyde</b></div><div>my rankings (based on who I think could be available)

AT 6
Rossi
Drysdale
Raymond
Perfetti
NOTES:
<strong>Whatever happens avoid Holtz at all costs. Good player but we lack the roster to elevate his game which is having good puck possession and giving him ability to score from all areas of the ice. Especially low danger areas. That said don't see him translating well into the league based on what I see so far. </strong>

AT BOS pick probably 28-31 ranking
Jake Neighbors
John-Jason Peterka
Tristan Robins
Justin Barron
William Wallinder
Ozzy Wiesblatt
Ty Silmac
Notes: see BM going with a whl guy. Off the board nonetheless.

edit: Forgot Barron</div></div>

Agreed. Holtz's shot and speed are his only good qualities imo
Forum: Armchair-GMFri at 11:47 pm
Thread: Ideal Boeser Targets
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>coga16</b></div><div>hes a guy who can play with elite players, there is value in that but hes going to be a complimentary piece on a very good team who is ready for a cup run.
I haven't did the comps myself but <strong>I am curious at how this years seasons of Boeser and Burakovsky stack up</strong>

charting hockey had a really good twitter thread about boeser</div></div>

Boeser is very overrated. I compared him and Burakovsky a bit in a post on this AGM: <a href="https://www.capfriendly.com/forums/thread/340722?post_id=1545706">https://www.capfriendly.com/forums/thread/340722?post_id=1545706</a>

Long story short: very similar production overall, Burakovsky had an inflated S% and better production per 60, Boeser gets a **** ton of PP time though. imo if they both had the exact same usage I would bet that Burakovsky would outproduce Boeser
Forum: Armchair-GMFri at 7:52 pm
Thread: Boeser
if they made him available then I woudnt mind checking in on Boesers price tag (even though they are probably asking for too much) but imo hes kinda overrated. Before this season he was averaging 66.1% oZS% at even strength in his career while producing 0.83P/GP (68 point pace over a full season) with shooting percentages of 16.0%, 16.2%, and 12.4% from 16-17 to 18-19. He was producing well but was almost exclusively being used on offense which boosted his point totals. Then this season his even strength oZS% dropped to 55.4% and his shooting percentage dropped to 9.5%. No wonder his point production dropped this season - he was finally being given a more balanced role (at least at even strength) as opposed to the pure offensive role he was used to before. One of the biggest red flags for me though is his PP time, which has increased every single season from 1:46, to 2:55, to 3:32, and now to 4:07 per game this season. Despite this much PP time this season (which by the way is the 3rd most per game in the league) his PPP/60 was 3.58 (which ranked 207th in the league among players who average over 1:00 PP time per game) . I should mention that VANs PP% ranked 4th in the league, so its not like he was stuck with no help on the PP either.

Burakovsky (20+25=45 in 58GP) actually had a very similar season to Boeser. Both had identical oZs% of 55.4% at even strength, and nearly identical offensive production (Burakovsky 20+25=45 in 58GP, Boeser 16+29=45 in 57GP). I do expect Burakovsky's S% to regress (just like Boeser's has) but when you consider that Boeser had over 3 mins more ice time per game, 1:44 of which came on the PP, I dont think there is a huge gap there.

Boeser is viewed as a 1st line winger but in reality he needs extremely offense-heavy usage as well as an inflated S% to produce those numbers. Once he was put in a more balanced role (which was still very offense heavy with his PP time) his offense regressed to that of a mid-high end 2nd line winger. If he was given PP time based on his production instead of based on his reputation I would expect his production to drop even more. On the Avs I would expect 2nd line even strength and 2nd unit PP usage which would drop both his overall toi and especially his PP toi. Even if his S% bounces back to around 12% I dont see how his production would reach what it has before if hes given less-sheltered minutes
Forum: Armchair-GMFri at 12:22 pm
Thread: Wowzas
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>ColonelX</b></div><div>So I'll take a middle six winger that isn't cost controlled and give you a top six winger that's controlled for 3 more years.

I see.</div></div>

Lol how can you label Drouin a top 6 winger but label Burakovsky a middle 6 winger? Drouin has been gifted offensive ice time and top 6 mins in the past (likely because he has a high draft pick) and has never put up top 6 production, and now his ice time has decreased in each of the past 4 years. Burakovsky was stuck behind Ovechkin, Vrana, Oshie, Wilson, etc in WSH until this season, and now that he was given similar deployment as Drouin for 1 season he has already produced at a higher rate than Drouin ever has in his career. If anything I would rate them both as 2nd line wingers. Plus Burakovsky will be cheaper on his next deal than Drouin is right now and he is still under team control for another 2 years.

EDIT: actually he may only have 1 more year of control since he already has 6 years pro experience, so thats a fair point (even though I think he will stay with COL long term anyway)