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pocke

Member Since
May 26, 2022
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Columbus Blue Jackets
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Forum: Armchair-GMFeb. 15 at 6:52 p.m.
Thread: Lottery Up To 2
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AntiAnalytics</b></div><div>Idk what POINT you’re actually trying to make?
We aren’t trading Power
And if your point is that Jiricek = Power, that just isn’t true:
1- Power isn’t unhappy, Jiricek is &amp; that diminishes his value
2- Power is MUCH more established in the NHL

There’s just ZERO CHANCE of a swap happening,
no matter what your charts say 🤣🤣🤣</div></div>

You cannot possibly be this dumb, but I guess your username does imply that numbers and charts scare you. SkyRaider claimed that Jiricek wasn’t worth anything and pocke very clearly demonstrated that that was incorrect because the numbers show he is comparable to Power despite Power being a lofty first overall and Jiricek being clearly much less than that (even though weirdly your whole fanbase on this website is desperate to acquire him). Power is just older and came into a team with no one ahead of him at his position since he and Dahlin can both play both sides.
Forum: Armchair-GMFeb. 8 at 11:50 a.m.
Thread: cbj simple summer
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>pocke</b></div><div>I like Provorov to the Leafs. That's definitely one of the teams I have circled for his destination. Tampa, potentially, after the injury. I could also see Boston or Vegas if he was fully retainted. It's hard to say which teams may not want his negative PR, though, which makes it hard to feel confident.

I get the long term projection for Marchenko, but I'm not sure I'd sign him to it. Love the player, definitely willing to go long term, but above 6 million seems steep and I wonder if that's his salary ceiling (kind of like Buchnevich). He doesn't have play driving ability in transition, though he's good at recovering pucks and extending possession. He is obviously a talented finisher. In which case, going shorter might be better and then giving him this contract in a couple of years.

The KJ contract seems like a no-brainer 10.2c 2 year deal. Following Sam Reinhart.

I'd be more nervous about Chinakhov. He really has the capacity to pop-off in the next two years. It feels risky either way.

I don't mind keeping Bean but I don't mind moving on either. It would really be nice to get someone who could help insulate and guide Jiricek but the team tried that and failed with their poor Provorov decision. I think Bean-Jiricek can be a really dynamic and good pair but we'll need a better D coach and perhaps system (and perhaps Centers) before it can really click.

Really, I'd just like a center that KJ can play with if it's not Fantilli (or wingers that let him play C).</div></div>

i will fully admit that the chinakhov, johnson, bean, and marchenko deals are heavily informed by the AFP analytics projections - i've looked at some comps myself but im not great at contract prediction so i was deferring a good bit. i think marchenko 5 years $5 mil AAV <em>feels</em> better to me and then you find out if he's a true #1 RW and pay up at the end of the deal or you move on at the deadline. conveniently, 5 years would mean johnny off the books when it's time to theoretically pay up.

i agree with you on chinakhov. personally, i'd love to get all of chinakhov, sillinger, and marchenko deals with 4+ term this summer but i don't feel like that matches the precedent we've seen around the league. it'd be a lot of money to give out in one summer with just a slight cap bump. chinakhov's posturing earlier this season makes me feel like he's the most likely in that bunch to only sign short term in a "bet on myself" kind of way.

yea KJ is interesting because im personally not convinced he's an NHL center but it does feel like he needs a center we don't have, although i think he and voronkov have shown some things that might work out long term.
Forum: Armchair-GMFeb. 8 at 11:12 a.m.
Thread: cbj simple summer
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>MisstheWhalers</b></div><div>Bringing back Bean seems like a terrible idea especially at that amount, I don't see a ton of Jackets games but when I've seen him play he's looked awful, a terrible skater.

I don't think the Leafs would do that, the media backlash just wouldn't be worth it.</div></div>

bean hasn't been a huge negative honestly. totally team-average 5v5 numbers this season and is competent at jumping into the play which has helped the team keep the puck moving up ice.

it's a pretty cheap number for a LHD with NHL experience that isn't a huge negative. put a reasonable buyout number into the contract and absolutely no movement restrictions and it'll be a find stopgap until svozil is ready or another better LHD is acquired. if you have to move him, there is for sure a team that would take him 50% retained and that dead cap is forgettable.
Forum: Armchair-GMJan. 4 at 1:53 p.m.
Thread: Campbell Trade
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>jpsnow13</b></div><div>Capfriendly is a beautifull place where you can be told the same day that Monahan (18:30 TOI, 22pts) is a 3C worth a 3rd round draft pick and Jenner (19:15 TOI, 19 pts) is a 1C worth 3x1st.

I was wrong calling him a 4C, but it doesn't make this evaluation less ridiculous.</div></div>

I guess it depends who actually said what, as none of us speak for the site, but IMO:

-Monahan is definitely worth more 3rd round pick (and wasn't mentioned in this thread)
-Jenner is likely not worth 3 1sts in a vacuum
-Broberg and Holloway may not be worth the same as a late 1st to Columbus or other teams
-Monahan and Jenner don't compare as one is a rental and the other has term, and play different games
-Both of them shouldn't be playing center on the top 2 lines of contenders (which is why this thread has Jenner as 3C in Edmonton)
Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 30, 2023 at 2:25 p.m.
Thread: Farewell Petey and welcome home Macklin Celebrini
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>mv21227</b></div><div>Canucks have no reason to move Pettersson for any less. A 24 year old top 5C and borderline top 10 player in the league gets a huge return like that</div></div>

This is exactly why a Pettersson to CBJ trade won't happen. Vancouver doesn't have any reason to move Petey, and CBJ have no reason to move 2 of their top 3 prospects, which happen to fill major holes in the lineup (theoretically), have more years of team control, and fit the future window.

However, remove DPetey, Gudbranson, and the first from the original trade, and the ask is still 3 recent top-12 1st-round picks. Swap Mateychuk and Sillinger for Johnson or Fantilli and it becomes 2 recent top-6 picks, all from strong draft years. Petey was a 5th-OA, and Jiricek and Fantilli both have Petey-level ceilings (or better). It may seem fair, but it's also an insane move, with no recent comparable history and no chance at actually happening.
Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 23, 2023 at 11:02 a.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 22, 2023 at 10:17 a.m.